拯救新乌克兰

2015 · 专栏 · 原文约 801 词
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1. 标题:拯救新乌克兰

年份:2015

类型:专栏

等级:A1

来源网址:https://www.georgesoros.com/2015/01/27/save-the-new-ukraine/

A new Ukraine was born a year ago in the pro-European protests that helped to drive President Viktor F. Yanukovych from power. And today, the spirit that inspired hundreds of thousands to gather in the Maidan, Kiev’s Independence Square, is stronger than ever, even as it is under direct military assault from Russian forces supporting separatists in eastern Ukraine.

2. 一年前,一场亲欧洲的抗议运动帮助将总统维克托·F·亚努科维奇赶下台,一个新的乌克兰由此诞生。如今,激励数十万人聚集在基辅独立广场的那种精神,比以往任何时候都更加强大,尽管它正遭到支持乌克兰东部分离主义分子的俄罗斯军队的直接军事攻击。

The new Ukraine seeks to become the opposite of the old Ukraine, which was demoralized and riddled with corruption. The transformation has been a rare experiment in participatory democracy; a noble adventure of a people who have rallied to open their nation to modernity, democracy and Europe. And this is just the beginning.

3. 新乌克兰力求成为旧乌克兰的反面,旧乌克兰士气低落、腐败横行。这场转型是一场罕见的参与式民主实验,是一个民族汇聚力量、向现代性、民主和欧洲敞开怀抱的高尚冒险。而这仅仅是个开始。

This experiment is remarkable for finding expression not only in defending Ukraine’s territorial integrity from the separatists, but also in constructive work. Maidan’s supporters have moved from opposition to nation building.

4. 这场实验的可贵之处在于,它不仅体现在捍卫乌克兰领土完整、抗击分离主义者,也体现在建设性工作中。独立广场的支持者们已从反对派转向了国家建设。

Many of those in government and Parliament are volunteers who have given up well-paying jobs to serve their country. Natalie Jaresko, a former investment banker, now works for a few hundred dollars a month as the new finance minister. Volunteers are helping Ukraine’s one million internally displaced people as well as working as advisers to ministers and in local government.

5. 政府和议会中的许多人都是志愿者,他们放弃了高薪工作来为国服务。前投资银行家娜塔莉·贾雷斯科如今以每月几百美元的薪水担任新财政部长。志愿者们在帮助乌克兰境内 100 万流离失所者的同时,也在担任部长顾问和地方政府顾问。

The new Ukraine, however, faces a potent challenge from the old Ukraine. The old Ukraine is solidly entrenched in a state bureaucracy that has worked hand in hand with a business oligarchy. And the reformers are also up against the manifest hostility of Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin, who wants at all costs to destabilize Ukraine.

6. 然而,新乌克兰面临着来自旧乌克兰的强大挑战。旧乌克兰深深扎根于与商业寡头狼狈为奸的国家官僚体系之中。改革者们还面临着俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·V·普京的明显敌意,他一心想不惜一切代价 destabilize 乌克兰。

One drawback is that the new Ukraine is a well-kept secret, not just from the rest of the world but also from the Ukrainian public. Radical reforms have been hatched but not yet implemented.

7. 一个不利因素是,新乌克兰不仅是外界,连乌克兰公众自己也知之甚少。激进的改革方案已经酝酿出来,但尚未实施。

It is instructive to compare Ukraine today with Georgia in 2004. When he became president that year, Mikheil Saakashvili immediately replaced the hated traffic police and removed the roadblocks used to extort bribes from drivers. The public recognized straight away that things had changed for the better.

8. 将今天的乌克兰与 2004 年的格鲁吉亚进行对比不无启发。米哈伊尔·萨卡什维利当年就任总统后,立即撤换了令人憎恨的交通警察,清除了那些用于向司机索贿的路障。公众立刻意识到情况好转了。

Unfortunately, Ukraine has not yet found a similar demonstration project. Kiev’s police force is to be restructured, but if you need a driver’s license, you must still pay the same bribe as before.

9. 不幸的是,乌克兰还没有找到类似的示范项目。基辅的警察队伍即将重组,但如果你需要驾照,仍然得像以前一样行贿。

Mr. Saakashvili was a revolutionary leader who first stamped out corruption but eventually turned it into a state monopoly. By contrast, Ukraine is a participatory democracy that does not rely on a single leader but on checks and balances. Democracies move slowly, but that may prove an advantage in the long run.

10. 萨卡什维利是一位革命领袖,他首先根除了腐败,但最终将其变成了国家垄断。相比之下,乌克兰是一种参与式民主,不依赖单一领袖,而是依靠制衡机制。民主进程缓慢,但从长远看,这可能是一个优势。

The big question is, will there be a long run? Although Russia is in a deepening financial crisis, Mr. Putin appears to have decided that he can destroy the new Ukraine before it can fully establish itself and before an economic downturn destroys his own popularity.

11. 大问题是:会有长远的未来吗?尽管俄罗斯正陷入日益加深的金融危机,但普京似乎已下定决心:他可以在新乌克兰完全站稳脚跟、且经济衰退打击他自身声望之前,摧毁这个新乌克兰。

The Russian president is stepping up the military and financial pressure on Ukraine. Over the weekend, the city of Mariupol came under attack from forces that NATO said were backed by Russian troops, undermining the pretense that the separatists are acting on their own.

12. 俄罗斯总统正在加大对乌克兰的军事和金融压力。上周末,马里乌波尔市遭到北约所称有俄罗斯军队支持的力量的袭击,这戳破了分离主义者是独立行动的幌子。

Ukraine will defend itself militarily, but it urgently needs financial assistance. The immediate need is for $15 billion. But to ensure Ukraine’s survival and encourage private investment, Western powers need to make a political commitment to provide additional sums, depending on the extent of the Russian assault and the success of Ukraine’s reforms.

13. 乌克兰将进行军事自卫,但它急需财政援助。眼前的缺口是 150 亿美元。但要确保乌克兰的生存并鼓励私人投资,西方大国需要做出政治承诺,根据俄罗斯攻击的程度和乌克兰改革成功的程度,提供额外资金。

The reformers, who want to avoid the leakages that were characteristic of the old Ukraine, have expressed their wish to be held accountable for all expenditures. They are passing extensive legislation but also want the International Monetary Fund to go on exercising oversight.

14. 改革者们希望避免旧乌克兰那种资金流失的痼疾,他们表示愿意对所有支出负责。他们正在通过广泛立法,同时也希望国际货币基金组织继续实施监督。

Unfortunately, just as democracies are slow to move, an association of democracies like the European Union is even slower. Mr. Putin is exploiting this.

15. 不幸的是,正如民主国家行动缓慢,像欧盟这样的民主国家联盟行动则更慢。普京正在利用这一点。

It is not only the future of Ukraine that’s at stake, but that of the European Union itself. The loss of Ukraine would be an enormous blow; it would empower a Russian alternative to the European Union based on the rule of force rather than the rule of law. But if Europe delivered the financial assistance that Ukraine needs, Mr. Putin would eventually be forced to abandon his aggression. At the moment, he can argue that Russia’s economic troubles are caused by Western hostility, and the Russian public finds his argument convincing.

16. 处于危险之中的不仅是乌克兰的未来,还有欧盟自身的未来。失去乌克兰将是一个沉重打击,这将强化一种基于强权而非法治的、与欧盟对立的俄罗斯模式。但如果欧洲提供乌克兰所需的财政援助,普京最终将被迫放弃侵略。目前,他可以辩称俄罗斯的经济困境是西方敌意造成的,而俄罗斯公众觉得他的论证有说服力。

If, however, Europe is generous with its financial assistance, a stable and prosperous Ukraine will provide an example that makes clear that the blame for Russia’s financial troubles lies with Mr. Putin. The Russian public might then force him to emulate the new Ukraine. Europe’s reward would be a new Russia that has turned from a potent strategic threat into a potential strategic partner. Those are the stakes.

17. 然而,如果欧洲慷慨提供财政援助,一个稳定繁荣的乌克兰将成为一个榜样,清楚表明俄罗斯的财政困境应归咎于普京。届时,俄罗斯公众可能迫使普京效仿新乌克兰。欧洲的回报将是一个新的俄罗斯,它从一个强大的战略威胁转变为潜在的战略伙伴。这就是赌注。

Bernard-Henri Levy and George Soros, Co-authors