Wesco金融董事长致股东信,1989财年(查理·芒格)

1989 · 书信 · 原文约 9880 词
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WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION

致股东的信

致各位股东:

1989 日历年度,合并“正常”经营利润(即扣除所有非经常性经营利润和证券出售净收益之前)从上一年的 2356.4 万美元(每股 3.31 美元)增至 2441.4 万美元(每股 3.43 美元)。

Wesco 有三家主要子公司:Mutual Savings(位于帕萨迪纳)、Wesco-Financial Insurance(总部位于奥马哈,目前主要从事再保险业务)和 Precision Steel(总部位于芝加哥,从事钢材仓储和特种金属产品业务)。过去两年的合并净利润细分如下(除每股数据外,金额单位为千美元):

项目截至 1989 年 12 月 31 日截至 1988 年 12 月 31 日
Wesco 金额Wesco 每股Wesco 金额Wesco 每股
“正常”净利润来自:
Mutual Savings$4,191$0.59$4,694$0.66
Wesco-Financial Insurance 业务14,2762.0012,0941.70
Precision Steel 业务2,7690.393,1670.44
所有其他“正常”净利润 2)3,1780.453,6090.51
小计24,4143.4323,5643.31
Bowery Savings Bank 股权出售收益--4,8360.68
有价证券出售净收益5,9200.831,6290.23
Wesco 合并净利润$30,334$4.26$30,029$4.22

(1) 所有数字均为税后净额。

(2) 包括 Wesco 自 1989 年以来拥有 80% 股权的制造业务、所持各类保险子公司以及电气设备业务。

这一补充的利润分解与审计财务报表(遵循标准会计惯例)中使用的分解略有不同。提供此补充分解是因为它对股东有用。

WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS To Our Shareholders: Consolidated "normal" operating income (i.e., before all unusual operating income and all net gains from sales of securities) for the calendar year 1989 increased to $24,414,000 ($3.43 per share) from $23,564,000 ($3.31 per share) in the previous year. securites) inted set to 30.3940.0 (8A. 2 pral ope from s0, and al is 2a per roar in co previous year. Wesco has three major subsidiaries, Mutual Savings, in Pasadena, Wesco-Financial Insurance and Precision Steel, headquartered in Chicago and engaged in the steel warehousing and specialty Company, headquartered in Omaha and currently engaged principally in the reinsurance business, metal products businesses. Consolidated net income for the two years just ended breaks down as follows (in 000s except for per-share amounts) ''): Year Ended December 31, 1989 December 31, 1988 Wesco Per Wesco Per Amount Share Amount Share "Normal" net operating income of: Mutual Savings................ $4,191 $ 59 $ 4,694 $ .66 Wesco-Financial Insurance business 14,276 2.00 12,094 1.70 Precision Steel's businesses 2,769 39 3,167 ,44 All other "normal" net operating income 2) 3.178 .45 3,609 .51 24,414 3.43 23,564 3.31 Gain on sale of interest in Bowery Savings Bank..... - - 4,836 .68 Net gains on sales of marketable securities................ 5,920 83 Wesco consolidated net income $30,334 $4.26 S5 390 .23 $4.22 (1) All figures are net of Income taxes. manufaturing business, 80%-ownied by esco since erend insurance subsidiaries, and the electrical equipment statements which follow standard accounting convention. The supplementary breakdown is fur- This supplementary breakdown of earnings differs somewhat from that used in audited financial nished because it is considered useful to shareholders. 54

以下为所选段落的译文:

摘录自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

互助储蓄银行

1989 年互助储蓄银行的“正常”净经营利润为 419.1 万美元,较上一年的 469.4 万美元下降了 11%。

1989 年的下降主要归因于利率“息差”缩窄,因为储蓄资金成本的上升超过了贷款和投资的收益率。

和往常一样,这些“正常利润”数据来源于一家绝对不正常的储蓄与贷款协会。

本报告末尾列出了互助储蓄银行 1988 年和 1989 年年末的独立资产负债表。这些表格显示:(1) 储蓄账户总额从去年同期的 2.89 亿美元增加到 2.93 亿美元;(2) 股东权益与储蓄账户负债的比率非常高(接近美国任何成熟储蓄与贷款协会的最高水平);(3) 储蓄账户负债中有相当大一部分由现金等价物和可市场销售的证券所抵补;(4) 截至 1989 年末,贷款组合(主要是房地产抵押贷款)约为 1.54 亿美元,较 1988 年末的 1.37 亿美元略有增加。

1989 年末的贷款组合虽然几乎不存在违约损失风险,但其平均利率仅为 9.23%,可能接近美国储蓄与贷款协会的最低水平,但较 1988 年末的 8.70% 已略有上升。由于该贷款组合几乎完全由短期工具或利率随市场自动调整的贷款构成,因此贷款组合中的未实现折价远低于互助储蓄银行有息证券和公用事业优先股中的未实现溢价。截至 1989 年 12 月 31 日,此项溢价约为 1130 万美元。

尽管互助储蓄银行支付的储蓄平均利率与收到的贷款平均利率之间的“息差”依然过低,无法提供可观的利润,但去年这一“息差”再次改善。此外,在最近几年,由各种税收优惠投资(主要是优先股和市政债券)带来的效应,已减少了“息差”不足带来的不利影响。这种用税收优惠方式来应对贷款利差不足的负面风险在于,如果总体利率水平大幅上升,固定收益且期限较长的优先股和市政债券可能会价值下跌,无法提供足够收入来覆盖互助储蓄银行的利息及其他成本。鉴于这种风险,互助储蓄银行的总体持仓规模相对于其净资产而言一直保持保守。

互助储蓄银行仍符合旧的联邦监管定义(该定义于 1991 年 6 月 30 日终止)下的“合格储蓄贷款机构”资格,该定义要求 60% 的资产配置于各类住房相关类别。它计划继续维持几乎所有应收贷款要么具有较短的预期存续期,要么利率随市场浮动。所有新的浮动利率贷款都设有每年 25% 的利率上限,这比竞争性协会通常提供的“市场利率加 2.5 个百分点”的常见“上限”高出十多个百分点。自然,为了获得这种对利率上涨的额外保护,互助储蓄银行“付出”的代价是:(1) 相对于某个利率指数获得的“息差”更低;(2) 无法按所需金额发放贷款。

正如所附财务报表附注 10 所指出的那样,西科在互助储蓄银行中的股权账面价值(1989 年 12 月 31 日为 4890 万美元)高估了按账面价值出售或清算时可实现的税后金额。如果互助储蓄银行的所有资产在扣除负债后以 4890 万美元的账面价值出售,母公司实际收到的金额将远少于 4890 万美元,这是因为会计上被视为股东权益的约 4700 万美元,在大多数税务目的下被视为坏账准备金,因此在缴纳大量所得税后,实现金额会大幅减少。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation Mutual Savings of 11% from the $4,694,000 figure the previous year. Mutual Savings' "normal" net operating income of $4, 191,000 in 1989 represented a decrease The decrease in 1989 was primarily attributable to a less favorable interest rate "spread" as cost of holding savings increased more than yield on loans and investments. association. As usual, these "normal-income" figures come from a decidedly abnormal savings and loan Separate balance sheets of Mutual Savings at yearend 1988 and 1989 are set forth at the end of year before, (2) a very high ratio of shareholders' equity to savings account liabilities (near the this annual report. They show (1) total savings accounts rising to $293 million from $289 million the highest for any mature U.S. savings and loan association), (3) a substantial portion of savings account liabilities offset by cash equivalents and marketable securities, and (4) a loan portfolio (mostly real estate mortgages) of about $154 million at the end of 1989, up slightly from $137 million at the end of 1988. The loan portfolio at the end of 1989, although containing almost no risk of loss from defaults, bore an average interest rate of only 9.23%, probably near the lowest among U.S. savings and loan associations, but up moderately from 8.70% at the and of 1988. Because the loan portfollo is almost entirely made up of instruments of short maturity or bearing interest rates that adjust automatically unrealized appreciation in Mutual Savings' interest-bearing securities and public utility preferred with the market, there is now much less unrealized depreclation in the loan portfolio than the net stocks. That appreciation at December 31, 1989 was about $11.3 million. While the "spread" between Mutual Savings' average interest rates paid on savings and received on loans remains too low to provide respectable profits, this "spread" improved again last year. Moreover, the disadvantage from inadequate "spread" has been reduced in each recent year by the effect of various forms of tax-advantaged investment, primarily preferred stock and municipal bonds. The negative side of this tax-advantaged antidote to inadequate interest rate margin on loans is the risk that preferred stock and municipal bonds, with their fixed yield and long life, will decline in value and not provide enough income to cover Mutual Savings' interest and other costs, if the general level of interest rates should sharply rise. In view of this risk, Mutual Savings' total commitment has been kept conservative, relative to the amount of its net worth. Mutual Savings remains a "qualified thrift lender" under the old federal regulatory definition (which ends June 30, 1991) requiring 60% of assets in various housing-related categories. It plans rates that fluctuate with the market. All new variable-rate loans are "capped" at the 25% per annum to continue keeping substantially all loans receivable either with short expected lives or with interest level, which is over ten percentage points higher than the common 2½-points-over-market "cap" offered by competing associations. Naturally, to gain this extra protection from interest rate increase, Mutual Savings "pays" by (1) getting lower "spreads" over an interest rate index, and (2) not being able to make loans in amounts desired. As pointed out in Note 10 to the accompanying financial statements, the book value of Wesco's after taxes, from sale or liquidation at book value. If all Mutual Savings' assets, net of liabllities, were equity in Mutual Savings ($48.9 million at December 31, 1989) overstates the amount realizable, to be sold for the $48.9 million reported as book value, the parent corporation would receive much is designated shareholders' equity for accounting purposes is considered bad debt reserves for less than $48.9 million after substantial income taxation imposed because about $47 million of what most tax purposes. 55

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

房地产中的隐性价值。互助储蓄持有的止赎地产(主要是位于圣巴巴拉海滨或附近的 22 英亩土地,于 1966 年获得)经过长期持有,其价值已远超资产负债表中 840 万美元的账面成本。在土地使用法规的行政程序过程中,对这些地产进行合理且兼顾社区感受的开发已被拖延了 14 年以上。然而,令人惊叹的是,作为一项已获批准的、在广阔开放空间中开发 32 套住宅项目的一部分,8 套住宅及其休闲设施正处于不同的完工阶段。互助储蓄计划将该开发项目打造成各方面都是一流水准,并在景观设计质量上独具特色。房地产中的隐性价值受到允许建造的住宅数量较少(32 套)以及其中只有约一半能享有显著海景的限制。额外的限制还来自昂贵的私人道路、排污和公用设施改造及连接、景观美化,以及住宅为适应场地而进行的非标准化、环境敏感型改造。此外,各种收费和负担,包括政府机构强加的高额考古义务,将大幅减少我们潜在的可回收价值,其数额远低于如果 1970 年代早期的规划和开发环境延续至今时的水平。为了获得使用我们土地的许可,我们将很大一部分土地价值“让渡”给了圣巴巴拉县。

上述段落中描述的这家储蓄与贷款协会,长期以来与大多数其他储蓄机构截然不同,在 1988 年又增加了一项显著的新异常情况。互助储蓄将其在联邦住宅贷款抵押公司(广泛称为“房地美”)的持股增至 240 万股。这占当时已发行股份总数的 4%,是任何单一持有者购买这些股票时的法定上限。互助储蓄的平均成本为每股 29.89 美元,而 1989 年底在纽约证券交易所的交易价格为每股 67.12 美元。因此,基于 1989 年底的交易价格,互助储蓄在房地美股票上持有未实现的税前利润约为 8940 万美元。按当前税率计算,潜在的税后利润约为 5260 万美元,合每股西科公司已发行股份 7.39 美元。房地美最初由一家联邦机构(联邦住宅贷款银行委员会)创立并长期管理,现在由私人持有,主要是机构投资者,并由一个独立的董事会管理。房地美主要通过购买住房抵押贷款来支持住房建设,这些贷款迅速转化为由其担保并立即出售的抵押贷款支持证券。在此过程中,房地美赚取费用和“利差”,同时避免了大部分利率变动风险。这是一项比大多数(甚至绝大多数排名前 10% 的)储蓄与贷款协会所从事的业务好得多的生意,房地美近年来在股本上获得的高百分比回报率就证明了这一点。这些高回报率的一个讽刺性原因是,这个由联邦监管机构创立的机构不需要支付存款保险费,因为它取代了储蓄与贷款行业先前的大部分职能。以房地美当前的股息率(每股每年 1.60 美元)计算,互助储蓄基于其每股 29.89 美元的平均成本所获得的税前收益率仅为 5.35%。税后股息收益率仅为 4.4%,但这大约相当于目前从最高等级抵押贷款中获得的税后收益率的 75%。此外,房地美在避免重大贷款损失以及增加盈利和股息率方面有着非常可信的历史记录,这有助于其股票市场价格的上涨。以下是 1985-1989 年的数据:

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation buried value in real estate. The foreclosed property on hand (mostly 22 acres at or near the Mutual Savings has not only a buried value in unrealized appreciation of securities but also a oceantront in Santa Barbara, acquired in 1966) has become worth over a long holding period considerably more than its $8.4 million balance sheet carrying cost. Reasonable, community- sensitive development of this property has been delayed over 14 years in the course of administra- ton of land-use laws. But, miraculous to report, eight houses, plus recreation facilities, are in various stages of completion on the property as part of an authorized development into 32 houses interspersed with large open areas. Mutual Savings plans to make the development first-rate in every respect, and unique in the quality of its landscaping. The buried value in real estate is limited by the small number of houses allowed (32) and by the fact that only about half of such houses will have a significant ocean view. Additional limitation will come from high cost of private streets, sewage and utility improvements and connections, landscap- ing, and non-standardized, environmentally sensitive adaptation of housing to the site. Also, varlous charges and burdens, including heavy archaeological obligations imposed by governmental bodies, will drastically reduce our potential recovery from what it would have been had the zoning and fractlon of the value of our land to the County of Santa Barbara in exchange for permission to use it development climate of the early 1970s continued into the present era. We have "given" a very large at all. The savings and loan association described in the foregoing paragraphs, quite different from most other associations for a long time, added a significant new abnormality during 1988. Mutual Savings increased its position in stock of Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (widely known as "Freddie Mac"') to 2,400,000 shares. This is 4% of the total shares outstanding, the legal limit for any one holder at the time the shares were purchased. Mutual Savings' average cost is $29.89 per share, compared to a price of $67.12 per share in trading on the New York Stock Exchange at the profit in Freddie Mac shares of about $89.4 million. At current tax rates the potential after-tax profit end of 1989. Thus, based on 1989 yearend trading prices, Mutual Savings had an unreallzed pre-tax is about $52.6 million, or $7.39 per Wesco share outstanding. Freddie Mac, formerly created and long run by a federal agency (the Federal Home Loan Bank independent board of directors. Freddie Mac supports housing primarily by purchasing housing Board), is now owned privately, largely by institutional investors and is now governed by an promptly sells. in the process Freddie Mac earns fees and "spreads" while avoiding most interest- mortgage loans for immediate transmutation into mortgage-backed securities that it guarantees and rate-change risk. This is a much better business than that carried on by most (or indeed most of the top 10% of) savings and loan associations, as demonstrated by Freddie Mac's high percentage returns earned on equity capital in recent years. One ironic cause of the high returns is that this creation of federal regulators pays no deposit-Insurance premiums as it replaces much of the former function of the savings and loan industry. At Freddie Mac's current dividend rate ($1.60 per annum per share), Mutual Savings' pre-tax yield is only 5.35% on its $29.89 average cost per share. Post-tax, the dividend yield is only 4.4%, but this amounts to about 75% of the current after-tax yield from very high grade mortgages. Moreover, Freddie Mac has a very creditable history of avoiding significant loan losses and increasing its earnings and dividend rate, thus contributing to increases in the market price of its stock. Following are figures for 1985-1989: 56

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

截至 12 月 31 日止年度每股收益每股股息每股市场价格平均股本回报率
19852.98 美元0.53 美元9.19 美元30.0%
19863.72 美元1.13 美元15.17 美元28.5%
19874.53 美元1.10 美元12.12 美元28.2%
19885.73 美元1.25 美元50.50 美元27.5%
19896.57 美元1.60 美元87.12 美元25.0%

去年西科的年报付印时,国会正在审议储蓄与贷款法规的修订。但很明显,储贷机构很快就会被“重新监管”,进入某种更不容易导致由纳税人承担的新一轮存款保险损失的模式。引发这场立法行动的,是此前的一轮损失——现在看来很可能超过 1500 亿美元。这些损失是由以下因素共同造成的:(1) 在联邦存款保险提供给那些可以自由支付任何利率以吸引存款的实体时,储贷机构和银行在利息收支之间的“息差”面临竞争压力;(2) 储贷机构的资产配置规则过于宽松;(3) 骗子与蠢材被允许担任储贷机构的管理者而监管机构不加反对;(4) 某些大区域普遍出现的房地产灾难;(5) 储贷行业游说团体以及某些受最恶劣储贷经营者操纵的国会议员,持续不负责任地保护和强化不健全的机构。

新法规以 FIRREA(《金融机构改革、复兴与实施法案》)的首字母缩略词闻名,是在国会义愤情绪下快速起草和通过的。(这种义愤的一个近期例子——用词相当夸张——来自众议员吉姆·里奇的发言:“[如果某些指控属实]查尔斯·基廷堪称一个规模骇人的金融病态者——美国商业界的吉姆·贝克牧师——一个只看到极少罪恶、因此几乎不说实话的拉拉队长,被一个由监管领域的张伯伦领导的美联储机构授予了偷窃许可证。”)互助储蓄公司通过退出美国储蓄机构联盟,并附上一封引起媒体广泛关注的辞职信,尽管措辞温和,却也为严厉的立法行动做出了一份贡献。这封辞职信的副本附在本股东信末尾。

FIRREA 几乎所有的法规修订,互助储蓄公司都希望负责任地采取行动,因此基本上都支持了,尽管其中许多会损害互助储蓄的利润。

例如:

(1) 分阶段,到 1994 年 7 月 1 日,互助储蓄公司(及其服务公司子公司)必须处置:

(a) 优质公用事业优先股,享有税赋优惠的股息率平均约为每年 10.8%,1989 年底账面价值为 4140 万美元,当时市价高出约 870 万美元;以及

(b) 所罗门公司发行的优质可转换优先股,享有税赋优惠的股息率为每年 9%,账面价值 2600 万美元,据信低于出售时能够变现的金额。

(2) 分阶段,到同一日期,即 1994 年 7 月 1 日,在计算监管目的的净资产时,互助储蓄公司必须将其持有的 240 万股房地美股票价值减记至零。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation Your-Enc eddie Mac Earninge Dividenda Market Prici stum Ear Year Ended 12/31: per Share per Shar per Share Average Equity on all 1985 $2.98 $.53 $ 9.19 30.0% 1986 3.72 1.13 15.17 28.5 1987 .... 4.53 1.10 12.12 28.2 1988 5.73 1.25 50.50 27.5 1989 6.57 1.60 87.12 25.0 revisions to the savings and loan laws. But it was clear that associations were shortly to be "re- When Wesco's annual report went to press last year, Congress was midcourse in considering regulated" into some mode less likely to cause a fresh torrent of deposit-insurance losses, borne by taxpayers. Provoking that legislative action was a prevlous torrent of losses which now seems likely the "spread" between interest paid and interest received put on associations and banks when to exceed $150 billion. These losses were caused by a combination of (1) competitive pressure on federal deposit insurance is provided to entities free to pay any interest rates they wish in order to attract deposits, (2) loose asset deployment rules for associations, (3) admission and retention of crooks and fools as managers of associations without regulatory objection, (4) general real estate calamities in certain big regions, and (5) continuous irresponsible protection and enhancement of unsoundness by the savings and loan lobby and certain members of Congress beholden to the most despicable savings and loan operators. The new laws, under the acronym FIRREA, were composed and enacted with a speed caused comparisons, is provided by the words of Congressman Jim Leach: "[If certain allegations are true] by congressional indignation. (A recent example of such indignation, employing remarkable Charles Keating is a financiopath of obscene proportions - the Reverend Jim Bakker of American — a cheerleader who saw little evit and thus spoke little truth. ") commerce, given a license to steal by a bank board headed by the Neville Chamberlain of regulation League of Savings Institutions, using a letter of resignation which drew widespread media attention Mutual Savings modestly contributed to tough legislative action by resigning from the U.S. despite its understated criticism. A copy of this letter of resignation is appended at the end of this letter to shareholders. FIRREA, even though many of them will hurt Mutual Savings' profits. Mutual Savings, desiring to act responsibly, supported virtually all the law revisions made by For example: (1) In stages, by July 1, 1994, Mutual Savings (and its service corporation subsidiary) must dispose of: (a) High-quality public utility preferred stocks, having tax-advantaged dividend rates averaging about 10.8% per annum, with a carrying value of $41.4 million at yearend 1989, and a market value then higher by about $8.7 million; and (b) High-quality convertible preferred stock of Salomon Inc, bearing a tax-advantaged below the amount which could be realized in the event of sale. dividend rate of 9% per annum, with a carrying value of $26 million, believed to be (2) In stages, by the same date, July 1, 1994, Mutual Savings must write down to zero, in computing net worth for regulatory purposes, its 2,400,000 shares of Freddie Mac, which 57

以下内容摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报:

于 1989 年末的账面价值为 7170 万美元,如前述,当时的市场价值比账面价值高出约 8940 万美元。

(3)所有新的资产承诺,在符合互助储蓄的偏好和税务状况的前提下,几乎完全局限于(a)住房贷款(包括以抵押贷款支持证券形式的间接贷款)和(b)美国政府或其机构的债务工具。

(4)为在自 1991 年 7 月 1 日起的两年期间内达标,互助储蓄将分阶段将“合格储蓄贷款机构”资产提升 10 个百分点,达到资产总额 70% 的水平,但须采用一种新的、范围更窄的“合格储蓄贷款机构”资产定义——令我们意外的是,这一新定义并不包含房地美股票。若该项新测试在 1989 年 12 月 31 日已全面生效,互助储蓄本可通过处置约 7400 万美元非住房贷款资产(包括部分现金等价物),并将收益投入住房贷款(包括以短期抵押贷款支持证券为形式的间接住房贷款)来达标。

(5)存款保险费率已上调。短期内,互助储蓄受到一次性补贴项目的保护。但到 1990 年代中期,新费率将令互助储蓄的年度盈利能力,比照仍按多年来实际执行的存款 0.083% 费率计算的水平,每年降低约 20 万美元(新费率为 0.23%)。较高的存款保险成本对股东权益百分比回报率的负面影响,在互助储蓄这里远低于几乎所有其他遭受重创的储蓄机构。互助储蓄的优势源于其股权占存款的比例远高于其他机构。这是一个与单一比率相关的“一次性”优势;在新增的每一美元储蓄上,互助储蓄面临与其他机构相同的损失。

这些综合效应将降低互助储蓄的正常盈利能力。尽管经营稳健,互助储蓄近年来一直在以自己的方式勉力前行,取得了一定程度的成功——这在很大程度上归功于 FIRREA 法案出台前法律所赋予的广泛资产配置选择权。因此,无论从公众需求考虑,新限制有多明智,FIRREA 都将对互助储蓄产生不利影响。尽管如此,互助储蓄的正常盈利能力在 1990 年和 1991 年很可能不会大幅下降。

我们预测正常盈利能力的下降会推迟,原因如下:

(1)FIRREA 的资产组合影响是分阶段实施的,且受制于广泛的监管裁量权;

(2)我们预计,监管机构会明智地运用其裁量权,对那些拥有易于变现资产的、实力特别雄厚的储蓄机构,给予与那些资产难以变现的薄弱储蓄机构相同的宽容待遇。

如果我们关于监管机构的预测被证明是错误的,互助储蓄最明智的选择可能是退出储蓄贷款业务,并解除支付存款保险费的相关义务。

如果互助储蓄继续从事储蓄贷款业务——这看起来很有可能——它将保留一项比以往更平庸的业务,仅有两个有趣的近期前景:

(1)在未来两年内,互助储蓄几乎肯定会通过处置其于 1966 年通过止赎获得的圣巴巴拉房产而取得一笔非经常性的税前利润;

(2)互助储蓄将继续保留其房地美股票的获利前景,如果正如预期,房地美支付更高的股息,且股价也上涨的话。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation had a carrying value of $71.7 million at yearend 1989, and, as reported above, a market value then higher by about $89.4 million. (3) All new asset commitments, fitting Mutual Savings' proclivities and tax position, are pretty well restricted to (a) housing loans (including indirect loans in the form of mortgage- backed securities) and (b) debt instruments of the U.S. Government or its agencies. (4) In stages, designed to create compliance during a two-year period commencing July 1, 1991, Mutual Savings will have to increase "qualified thrift lender" assets by 10 percentage points to a 70%-of-assets level, using a new and more limited definition of such "qualified thrift lender" assets which, to our surprise, does not include Freddie Mac stock. If the new test had been in full effect at December 31, 1989, Mutual Savings would have complied by and placing the proceeds in home loans (including indirect home loans in the form of short- disposing of about $74 million of non-home-loan assets (including some cash equivalents) term mortgage-backed securities). (5) Deposit-insurance premiums have been increased. Short term, Mutual Savings is protected by credits of a nonrecurring nature. But by the mid 1990s the new premium rates will reduce Mutual Savings' annual earning power by about $200,000 from the level which would have occurred if it were still paying at the 0.083%-of-deposits rate which was in effect for years, instead of the new rate of 0.23%. The adverse effect of the higher deposit insurance costs on percentage return on shareholders' equity is much lower at Mutual Savings than at almost all other associations, which suffer substantially. The cause of Mutual Savings' advantage is its much larger percentage of equity, compared to deposits. This is a "one-time" advantage related to one ratio; on an incremental dollar of savings Mutual Savings faces the same damage as everyone eise. These combined effects will reduce Mutuai Savings' normal earning power. While conservatively operated, Mutual Savings has been scrambling through recent years in its own way, obtaining a modest success made possible largely by the wide variety of asset-deployment options available under pre-FIRREA law. Consequently, FIRREA will adversely affect Mutual Savings, however wise the new restrictions, public needs considered. Nevertheless, it is probable that Mutual Savings' normal earning power will not be much reduced in 1990 and 1991. We predict this deferment of decline in normal earnings because: (1) FIRREA's asset-mix effects are phased in, subject to wide regulatory discretion; and (2) We anticipate that regulators will be wise enough to exercise their discretion to allow extra- strong associations, with easy-to-sell assets, the same forbearance which will be granted to weak associations with hard-to-sell assets. If we prove wrong in our prediction about regulators, Mutual Savings' wisest alternative will probably be withdrawal from the savings and loan business and the related obligation to pay deposit- insurance premiums. If, as seems likely, Mutual Savings stays in the savings and loan business, it will retain a business even more mediocre than before, with only two interesting near-term prospects: (1) During the next tow years, Mutual Savings is almost certain to make a pre-tax profit of a nonrecurring nature as it disposes of the Santa Barbara property it acquired through foreclosure in 1966; and (2) Mutual Savings will retain prospects for gain from its Freddie Mac stock if, as anticipated, Freddie Mac pays ever-higher dividends and the price of the stock also rises. 58

摘自西科金融 1989 年年报

长期来看,互助储蓄希望在储贷行业中找到某种建设性的、可持续的角色,这种角色不依赖于上述任何一种预期的短期前景。在找到正确的长期角色之前,我们的政策就是“硬撑过去”。《FIRREA 法案》的修订,虽然从纳税人的角度极大地改善了储贷体系,但其采用的方法可以公允地描述为“只有大棒,没有胡萝卜”。这绝不是让驴子开心的方法,但我们理应承受一部分打击,因为面对明显的错误和邪恶,我们之前太被动了。此外,该修订法案中增强安全性的措施在一个根本性方面存在不足,使得利润持续受压:银行和储贷协会在很大范围内仍然可以自由地以任何他们希望的利率吸收由政府保险的存款,而他们在转卖这种终极同质化商品——也就是资金——时,必须进入一个残酷竞争的市场。由此导致的利差挤压,加上储贷协会正常的竞争劣势,使得经营良好的普通储贷协会未来的前景难以让其所有者感到振奋。与普通银行相比,普通储贷协会正常的竞争劣势现在包括:更高的存款保险费、更令人困惑的新监管规定,以及在各种重要的盈利性活动中缺乏经验和先发优势。其结果是,即使是一家经营极为出色的传统储贷协会,比如 H.F. 阿曼森公司旗下的那家,其在股票市场上的市净率也远低于一家经营极为出色的银行。而普通储贷协会的分支机构,现在对其现有所有者提供的价值,可能还不如对那些经验丰富的银行更大。此外,普通储贷协会现在不仅与银行竞争。同样在吸收“存款”的还有货币市场基金,它们:(1) 不支付存款保险费,每年因此比储贷协会节省了相当于存款额 0.23% 的费用;(2) 要求使用的能创造利润的业主资本(基金术语中的“管理公司”)正好为零,而储贷协会却有资本金要求;(3) 监管成本更低(由一个人员不足的 SEC 监管),低于储贷协会;(4) 不维持昂贵的分行网络,尽管它们提供支票签发特权并接受频繁存款,但它们使用快速、低成本、在许多方面比普通储贷协会的系统更能适应新秩序的系统;以及,(5) 由于上述所有优势,它们的年度总成本(在业主利润之前)占资产的比例,比最高效的储贷协会的年度成本还要低 50% 以上。因此,那个天然的、“几乎无需动脑”的、非住房抵押贷款的存款吸收利基市场,现在已被一个竞争性更强、适应性更好的新物种占据。这让储贷协会处于大致相当于有袋类动物被引入澳大利亚后,最初的兔形哺乳动物所面临的境地——它们在兔子这种新物种到来后,失去了生态市场份额。可调利率住房抵押贷款这个利基市场,现在或许能为一些大型、极其高效的贷款发起机构(如住房储蓄银行)提供一个体面的栖身之所,但是,正如我们似乎每年都在说的,我们还没有为互助储蓄找到一个有吸引力(而非仅仅是可以忍受)的永久性贷款利基市场。在抵押贷款业务中,我们因此不断印证塞缪尔·约翰逊的观察:“人生是一种状态,其中需要忍受的多,能够享受的少。”在修订后的储贷体系中,仍然存在一个显著的(尽管已大大减少)给联邦政府作为存款保险人带来的结构性风险。储贷协会保留着相当大的诱因去鲁莽行事。这种诱因,是对系统结构所固有的利润压力的一种回应,正是当初导致麻烦的同一个原因。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation Long term, Mutual Savings hopes to find within the savings and loan business some constructive, continuing role which is not dependent on either of the foregoing anticipated near-term prospects. Until the right long-term role is found, our policy is simply to "stagger through." The FIRREA law revision, while greatly improving the savings and loan system from the taxpayers' point of view, took an approach which can fairly be described as "all stick and no carrot." This is no way to create felicity for the donkey, but we deserve our share of the beating because we were previously so passive in the presence of obvious error and evil. Moreover, the safety- enhancing features of the law revision fell short in one fundamental respect which leaves profits under pressure: banks and associations remain free, within wide limits, to attract government- commodity, the use of money, into a brutally competitive market. The resulting squeeze on interest- insured deposits at any interest rate they wish, while they must resell the ultimate fungible rate "spread" safely attainable, combined with normal competitive disadvantages of associations, leaves the average well-run association with a likely future which should not excite its owners. The normal competitive disadvantages of the average association, compared with the average and less experience and momentum in various important remunerative activities. As a result, even a bank, now include the following: higher deposit-insurance costs, more confusing new regulation, superbly run conventional association, like the one owned by H. F. Ahmanson & Co., sells in the stock market at a much lower price-to-book-value ratio than a superbly run bank. And the average savings and loan branch office probably now offers more incremental value to an experienced bank than it provides to its present owner. "deposits" are the money-market funds which: Moreover, the average association does not now compete only with banks. Also gathering (1) pay no deposit-insurance premiums, saving 0.23% of deposits each year, compared to associations; (2) are required to employ exactly no capital from profit-earning proprietors ("management raised; companies" in fund parlance), while capital requirements for associations have been (3) have lower-cost regulation (from an understaffed SEC) than associations; (4) maintain no expensive branch offices, although they provide check-writing privileges and accept frequent deposits, using fast, low-cost systems which are better adapted in many ways to the new order than the systems of the average association; and, (5) as a result of all the foregoing advantages, have total annual costs (before proprietors' profits), as a percentage of assets, which are more than 50% lower than annual costs of the most efficient association. Thus, the natural "almost-no-brainer," non-home-mortgage, deposit-gathering niche is now occupied by a competing, better-adapted new species. This leaves associations in roughly the introduced into Australia. The adjustable-home-mortgage niche may now provide a decent home for position of the original rabbit-like mammals which lost ecological market share when the rabbit was some large, extremely efficient loan originators like Home Savings, but, as we seem to say each year, we have not yet found for Mutual Savings a permanent lending niche which is attractive, as distinguished from bearable. In the mortgage business we thus constantly confirm Samuel John- son's observation that: "Life is a state in which much is to be endured and little to be enjoyed." structural risk for the federal government as deposit insurer. Associations retain a considerable Left in place in the revised savings and loan system is a significant (although much reduced) a natural consequence of the structure of the system, is the same one which caused troubles in the residue of temptation to act imprudently. The temptation, in response to the profit-pressure which is 59

以下内容摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

过去: 人们很想通过承担不当风险来获取其他地方无法获得的、可接受的利率“利差”,这些风险要么来自 (1) 贷款和存款期限错配,要么来自 (2) 那些愿意承诺超高利率、但信用评级更差的借款人的违约损失。这种做法在一段时间内是好事(并且表面上看起来,似乎为管理层获得更高薪酬提供了合理性),因为几乎不可能设置如此严苛的资产配置控制措施,以至于银行或储蓄机构无法承担那些最终会侵蚀其所有者权益并导致存款保险损失的风险。单纯的“大棒”控制方法比没有要好得多,但当它成为防止存款保险人蒙受损失的唯一方法时,就远非理想之选。相比之下,很久以前,当联邦存款保险机构损失较低时,储蓄和贷款体系同时运用了胡萝卜和大棒,使得普通的储蓄和贷款经营者无需非凡的运气或能力也能做得不错。(胡萝卜政策包括极低的所得税税率以及利率管制,后者降低了持有存款的成本,同时在吸引存款方面赋予了它们相对于银行的优势。)我们认为,当前修订后的体系继续让纳税人承担了本不应承担的风险,高昂的存款保险成本既在一定程度上弥补了这些风险,同时也加剧了风险。

FIRREA 的一项新限制措施,体现了储蓄机构偏离住房贷款支持方向的趋势。由于储蓄贷款机构的存在,住房现在获得的贷款支持比以前更少了。这项新规定禁止向任何一家房屋建筑商发放大额贷款,要求储蓄机构向单一客户发放的贷款不得超过其所有者权益的 15%,对于资本充足且记录良好的机构,可例外允许最高至 30%。这项新规定在互助储蓄银行早期集中资源发放开发贷款、同时仅信任少数房屋建筑商的时期,本会大幅减少其利润和对住房的贡献。如今,这项新规定产生了类似的总体效果。它将显著限制美国许多地区可用于房屋建筑贷款的资金。这个结果说明,修订一个复杂的系统而不产生不希望出现的“副产品”效应是不可能的。生态学的第一定律和立法的第一定律是同一个:“你永远不可能只做一件事。”

当然,法律修订的“副产品”有时会对市场中的某些参与者有利,而非有害。FIRREA 下新的“基于风险”的资本要求就产生了这样的效果,因为它给储蓄机构提供了新的激励,促使它们将原本可以赚取的收入转移给房地美(Freddie Mac),具体方式是将抵押贷款换成信用增强型的抵押贷款支持证券。(尽管这些证券随后带来的收入较少,但它们有助于满足监管资本要求,因为持有这些证券所需的所有者权益更少。)这种收入转移效应应该会通过互助储蓄银行在房地美持有的大量股份地位而对其有利。

精密钢铁公司

西科公司旗下精密钢铁子公司,位于伊利诺伊州富兰克林公园的芝加哥郊区,其业务在 1989 年贡献了 276.9 万美元的正常净经营利润,低于 1988 年的 316.7 万美元。1989 年利润下降的原因是产品销售磅数下降了 12%。营收降幅较小,下降了 5%,至 5944 万美元。

在戴维·希尔斯特罗姆(David Hillstrom)的娴熟领导下,精密钢铁公司的业务在 1989 年继续提供着非凡的资本回报率。

正如我们从不厌倦所说的那样,良好的财务结果背后总有根本原因,尽管并非所有原因都强大到足以在缺乏卓越管理的情况下也能产生这样的结果。精密钢铁公司的业务,尽管名称普通,但在质量等级上已远非单纯的商品型业务可比。许多精密钢铁的客户,需要可靠地及时供应特定等级的优质冷轧带钢、合理的价格、按订单切割的技术精度,以及在供应短缺时的优先供应,他们有充分理由相信,在精密钢铁的市场区域内,他们找不到完全可比的替代选择。事实上,许多客户依赖我们。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation past: the temptation to seek an acceptable interest rate "spread," not available any other way, by bearing undue risk from either (1) mismatched maturities of loans and deposits or (2) losses through defaults of a gamier class of borrowers willing to promise extra-high interest rates. It is good for a while (and give the appearance of justitying higher compensation of management) as it almost impossible to have asset deployment controls so tough that a bank or association can't look takes risks which will in due course destroy its owners' equity and also cause deposit insurance losses. The "all stick" method of control is much better than nothing, but it is far from ideal when it is the exclusive method for prevention of losses borne by the deposit insurer. In contrast, when, long ago, the federal deposit insurer had low losses, the savings and loan system used both carrots and stick, so that the average savings and loan operator could do well without exceptional luck or ability. (The carrots were very low income taxation plus interest-rate controls which reduced cost of holding deposits while giving an advantage over banks in attracting deposits.) We think the present, revised system continues to impose more risk than taxpayers should bear, with high deposit- insurance costs contributing to the risk as well as compensating for it. example of the drift away from housing assistance is provided by FIREA's new restriction Housing is now less assisted than before by the existence of savings and loan associations. An preventing large loans to any one house builder. The new requirement is that an association loan no more than 15% of owners' equity to one customer, with exceptions permitted up to 30% for reduced the profits and housing contributions of Mutual Savings in its early days when it concen- adequately capitalized associations with good records. The new requirement would have greatly trated resources in development loans while trusting only a few house-builders. And the new requirement now has the same general effect. It will significantly restrict availability of house- bullding loans in many regions of the country. This result demonstrates the impossibility of revising a complex system without undesired "by-product" effects. The first law of ecology and the first law of legislation are one and the same: "You can never do merely one thing." Of course, a "by-product" of law revision sometimes helps, instead of hurts, some participant in a market. New "risk-based" capital requirements under FIRREA have such an effect, as they give associations new incentives to transfer monies they otherwise would have earned to Freddie Mac, through exchange of mortgages for credit-enhanced, mortgage-backed securities. (Although the securities then provide less income, they help satlsfy regulatory capital requirements, because the securities require less owners' equity to hold.) This income-transfer effect should help Mutual Savings, through its large shareholding position in Freddie Mac. Precision Steel The businesses of Wesco's Precision Steel subsidiary, located in the outskirts of Chicago at compared with $3,167,000 in 1988. The decrease in 1989 profit occurred as pounds of product sold Franklin Park, Illinois, contributed $2,769,000 to normal net operating income in 1989, down 13% declined by 12%. Revenues were down less, by 5% to $59,440,000. Under the skilled leadership of David Hillstrom, Precision Steel's businesses in 1989 continued to provide an extraordinary return on resources employed. one strong enough to cause the results achieved in the absence of superb management. Precision As we never tire of saying, the good financial results have an underlying reason, although not Steel's businesses, despite their mundane nomenclature, are steps advanced on the quality scale from mere commodity-type businesses. Many customers of Precision Steel, needing dependable prices, technical excellence in cutting to order, and remembrance when supplies are short, rightly supply on short notice of specialized grades of high-quality, cold-rolled strip steel, reasonable believe that they have no fully comparable alternative in Precision Steel's market area. Indeed, many 60

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以下是对应段落的译文:

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

远离芝加哥(例如洛杉矶)的客户会主动寻求精密钢公司的服务。

像精密钢公司这样的业绩在钢材仓储行业并不常见。在戴维·希尔斯特罗姆的领导下,我们看到的是年复一年、枯燥但可复制的卓越表现,他始终牢记一条基本的信条:提供最高质量的服务。我们希望与他长期合作。

西科金融保险公司

1985 年,西科集团新增了一项业务,是与西科 80% 的控股股东及最终母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司共同投资的。

在获得西科所有董事(包括持有大量西科股份的彼得斯家族和卡斯珀斯家族成员)的热烈批准后——没有这些人的同意,这项行动本不可能进行——西科于 1985 年向一家新成立的全资保险公司西科金融保险公司(“Wes-FIC”)投资了 4500 万美元的现金等价物。1986 年、1987 年和 1989 年又追加投资了 5800 万美元。

这家新子公司 Wes-FIC 通过另一家伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险公司作为无利润中介,再保险了历史悠久的人马集团的全部保险业务中的 2%。因此,Wes-FIC 根据一份覆盖人马集团在截至 1989 年 8 月 31 日的四年期间内所赚取的所有保险费的合同,承担了人马集团价格、成本和损失的利益与负担。这种安排使 Wes-FIC 几乎处于与其直接承保那 2% 业务相同的境地。仅从保险的投资端来看,结果会有所不同,因为 Wes-FIC 取代了人马集团,负责投资由“浮存金”产生的资金。在合同终止前,Wes-FIC 在 1989 年所赚取的保费份额超过了 3700 万美元。

合同终止后,Wes-FIC 向人马集团返还了 1560 万美元的未赚保费(扣除相关的分出佣金),并保留了约 9100 万美元的资产,同时减去了将在未来许多年内逐步耗尽的赔款准备金。我们认为,考虑到未来所有的赔款支付,西科参与人马集团再保险合同的这四年整体前景极佳。西科的最终母公司(并持有 80% 股份)当时允许西科参与这项计划,几乎可以肯定是对西科的一种帮助,正如当初所计划的那样。

多年前为人马集团合同选择一个终止日期方面,有一些好运气。1989 年 8 月 31 日这个日期,恰好发生在飓风雨果和旧金山地震之前。这个结果里有几分天公作美,因为在 1985 年合同生效后数小时内,Wes-FIC 就已承担了一部分飓风损失。

Wes-FIC 于 1988 年开始承保直接业务,以区别于再保险。它现在在内布拉斯加州、犹他州和爱荷华州获得许可,但在 1989 年只承保了 18.3 万美元的直接保费,几乎全部是阿拉巴马州的溢额保险业务(允许非认可保险公司承保)。赚得的直接保费为 43.8 万美元。

Wes-FIC 1989 年的“正常”净收入为 1427.6 万美元,而 1988 年为 1209.4 万美元。净“正常”收入数字排除了 1989 年扣除所得税后的证券收益 591 万美元,相比之下 1988 年为 607.1 万美元(其中包括出售 Wes-FIC 所持鲍厄里储蓄银行 9% 股权实现的 483.6 万美元收益)。这些项目在下面报告为“出售证券的净收益”。Wes-FIC 的净收入在 1989 年因所得税拨备的一次性调整而受益约 21.5 万美元,而 1988 年受益约 26 万美元,该调整是由 1986 年的《税制改革法案》引起的。

: Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation customers at locations remote from Chicago (for instance, Los Angeles) seek out Precision Steel's service. It is not common that steel warehouses have results like Precision Steel's. What we see, year basic catechism emphasizing service of the highest quality. We hope to be associated with him for a after year, under David Hillstrom's leadership is boring, repetitive excellence as he remembers a long time. Wesco-Financlal Insurance Company A new business was added to the Wesco group in 1985, in co-venture with Wesco's 80% owner and ultimate parent corporation, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. With the enthusiastic approval of all Wesco's directors, including substantial Wesco sharehold- ars in the Peters and Caspers families, without whose approval such action would not have beer taken, Wesco in 1985 invested $45 million in cash equivalents in a newly organized, wholly owner insurance company, Wesco-Financial Insurance Company ("Wes-FIC"'). Another $58 million was invested in 1986, 1987 and 1989. company subsidiary as intermediary-without-profit, 2% of the entire book of insurance business of The new subsidiary, Wes-FIC, reinsured, through another Berkshire Hathaway insurance the long-established Fireman's Fund Group. Wes-FIC thereby assumed the benefits and burdens of Fireman's Fund's prices, costs and losses under a contract covering all insurance premiums earned in almost exactly the position it would have been in if it, instead of Fireman's Fund, had directly by Fireman's Fund during a four-year period ending August 31, 1989. The arrangement put Wes-FIC written 2% of the business. Differences in results occurred only from the investment side of insurance, as Wes-FIC, instead of Fireman's Fund, invested funds from "float" generated. Wes- FIC's share of premiums earned in 1989, before contract termination, exceeded $37 million. Upon contract termination, Wes-FIC returned to Fireman's Fund $15.6 million in unearned premiums, net of related ceding commissions, and retained assets of about $91 million offset by Claims reserves which will be exhausted slowly over many future years. We regard the totality of Wesco's four-year participation in the Fireman's Fund reinsurance contract as having excellent prospects, all future claim payments considered. Wesco's ultimate parent corporation (and 80% owner) almost certainly did Wesco a favor in allowing Wesco's participation, as was planned at the time. There was some good luck in the selection, years ago, of a termination date for the Fireman's Fund contract. The date, August 31, 1989, happened to be just before occurrence of both Hurricane Wes-FIC caught a share of hurricane losses within hours after the inception of the contract in 1985. Hugo and the San Francisco earthquake. There was some heavenly justice in this outcome, because Wes-FIC in 1988 began to write direct business, as distinguished from reinsurance. It is now licensed in Nebraska, Utah and lowa, but it wrote only $183,000 in direct premiums, almost all surplus lines coverage (permitted for non-admitted insurers) in Alabama. Earned direct premiums were $438,000. Wes-FIC's "normal" net income for 1989 was $14,276,000, versus $12,094,000 for 1988. The net "normal" income figures excluded securities gains, net of income taxes, of $5,910,000 in 1989, Bowery Savings Bank) in 1988. These items are reported as "Net Gains on Sales of Securities," compared with $6,071,000 (including $4, 836,000 realized on sale of Wes-FIC's 9% equity interest in below. Wes-FIC's net income benefitted by about $215,000 in 1989, versus $260,000 in 1988, because of an unusual adjustment to its income tax provision caused by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. 61

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

即便是最优秀的财产险公司,其经营性质也决定了在记账时必须预估并从已赚保费中扣除所有未来的成本和损失。保险业的这一特点使得财务报表比通常非保险公司的账目更依赖“最佳诚实估算”。这项工作本身固有的不确定性,让财务数据更接近“最佳诚实的猜测”。再保险业务作为财产险的一部分,由于在损失报告链条中多了一个或多个环节,通常比非再保险业务带来更大的会计不确定性。西科股东应始终意识到 Wes-FIC 会计处理固有的不完善之处,因为它建立在对未来多年结果的预测之上。

Wes-FIC 留存了过多的资本,却缺少优质的保险业务。我们目前看到的稳健扩张机会寥寥无几,但预计随着时间的推移,当其他保险公司无力或不愿支付合理索赔时,恐慌情绪会为我们带来更多保险业务。1990 年,我们预计由此产生的保费收入约为 800 万美元。我们认为这份再保险合同对西科有价值,但按每美元承保保费计算,它的潜力远不及与消防员基金签订的那份合同。

所有其他“正常”经营净利润

所有其他“正常”经营净利润(扣除利息支出和一般公司费用后)从 1988 年的 360.9 万美元下降至 1989 年的 317.8 万美元。其来源包括:(1) 西科位于帕萨迪纳的办公楼群租金(总额 251.8 万美元,不含互助储蓄的租金,该楼主要出租给外部租户,尽管互助储蓄是一楼租户);(2) 储蓄贷款及保险子公司以外持有的现金等价物和有价证券的利息和股息;(3) 新美洲电气公司的收益。1989 年这部分收益下降的主要原因是,西科将相关资产及其收益转移至其保险子公司,以增强后者的资本状况。

证券出售净收益

西科证券出售的合并净收益(税后)从 1988 年的 652.5 万美元下降至 1989 年的 592 万美元。如上所述,1989 年有 591 万美元的收益来自 Wes-FIC 保险子公司,而 1988 年该数字为 607.1 万美元。

所罗门公司的可转换优先股

1987 年 10 月 1 日,西科及其部分全资子公司购买了所罗门公司新发行的 10 万股 A 系列累积可转换优先股(无面值),成本为 1 亿美元。所罗门公司的主要业务由其子公司——领先的证券公司所罗门兄弟公司开展。我们的投资是伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(西科母公司)旗下其他子公司 6 亿美元投资的一部分。这是一笔总额 7 亿美元的交易。该交易的主要条款包括:(1) 优先股按年利率 9% 支付股息;(2) 每股优先股(购买成本为 1000 美元)可在 1990 年 10 月 31 日或之后(或某些特殊事件发生时提前)转换为 26.31579 股所罗门普通股;(3) 该优先股受强制赎回条款约束,要求自 1995 年起,每年 10 月 31 日按每股 1000 美元加上应计股息赎回发行量的 20%,直至优先股全部清偿。

按照优先股约定的转换价格,只要在 1990 年 10 月 31 日之后,所罗门普通股(在纽约证券交易所上市)的交易价格超过每股 38 美元,就存在获利空间(需满足某些程序要求)。在我们投资时,所罗门的普通股价格约为 32 美元,我们目前预计需要等待一段时间才能获利。全年没有进行优先股转换。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation It is in the nature of even the finest casualty insurance businesses that in keeping their accounts they must estimate and deduct all future costs and losses from premiums already earned. guesses" than is typically the case with accounts of non-insurance-writing corporations. And the Uncertainties inherent in this undertaking make financial statements more mere "best honest reinsurance portlon of the casualty insurance business, because it contains one or more extra links in the loss-reporting chain, usually creates more accounting uncertainty than the non-reinsurance portion. Wesco shareholders should remain aware of the inherent imperfections of Wes-FIC's accounting, based as it is on forecasts of outcomes in many future years. Wes-FIC retains a "longage" of capital and a shortage of good insurance business. We see few present opportunities for sound expansion, but we expect more insurance writing in due course, made possible by fear that other insurers will become unable or unwilling to pay fair claims. approximate $8 million in 1990. We regard this reinsurance contract as worth having at Wesco, but it is not nearly as promising, per dollar of insurance written, as was the Fireman's Fund contract. All Other "Normal" Net Operating Income decreased to $3,178,000 in 1989 from $3,609,000 in 1988, Sources were (1) rents ($2,518,000 All other "normal" net operating income, net of interest paid and general corporate expenses, gross, excluding rent from Mutual Savings) from Wesco's Pasadena office building block (predomi- nantly leased to outsiders although Mutual Savings is the ground floor tenant), (2) interest and insurance subsidiaries, and (3) earnings of New America Electrical Corporation. The decrease in dividends from cash equivalents and marketable securities held outside the savings and loan and this "all other" component of earnings in 1989 resulted primarily from transfer of assets, with their related incomes, to Wesco's insurance subsidiary to augment its capital position. Net Gains On Sales Of Securities Wesco's aggregate net gains on sales of securities, combined, after income taxes, decreased to $5,920,000 in 1989 from $6,525,000 in 1988. As noted above, $5,910,000 of these gains were realized in the Wes-FIC insurance subsidiary in 1989, versus $6,071,000 realized in 1988. Convertible Preferred Stock of Salomon Inc newly issued shares of Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock, without par value, of On October 1, 1987 Wesco and certain of its wholly owned subsidiaries purchased 100,000 Salomon Inc ("Salomon"'), at a cost of $100 million. Salomon's primary business is transacted by transaction in which other subsidiaries of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Wesco's parent, invested $600 its subsidiary, Salomon Brothers, a leading securities firm. Our investment was part of a $700 million million. Principal terms of the transaction included the following: (1) the preferred stock pays dividends at the annual rate of 9%; (2) each preferred share, purchased at a cost of $1,000, will be convertible into 26.31579 shares of Salomon common stock on or after October 31, 1990, or earlier if certain extraordinary events occur; and (3) the preferred stock is subject to mandatory redemption provisions requiring the retirement, at $1,000 per share plus accrued dividends, of 20% of the issue on each October 31, beginning in 1995, so long as any shares of preferred stock remain outstanding. requirements) will be realizable whenever, after October 31, 1990, the common stock of Salomon At the stated conversion price of the preferred stock, a profit (subject to certain procedural (listed on the New York Stock Exchange) trades at over $38 per share. At the time of our 62

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

但在西科收购所罗门新优先股之前,其普通股交易价格在 30 美元出头。然而,就在西科拿到新股票凭证后不久,1987 年 10 月 19 日的“黑色星期一”股市崩盘发生了,这给所罗门造成了暂时的巨额经营亏损和信用评级下调。尽管所罗门在这场普遍灾难中承受的损失与其他证券公司大致相当,但其普通股在崩盘后一度跌至 16.75 美元。

到 1989 年底,所罗门的普通股交易价格为 23.625 美元,而 1988 年底为 24.75 美元,其间所罗门的业务已根据新情况进行了大量建设性调整。所罗门作为优先股股息和股票赎回潜在来源的信用状况有所改善且趋于稳定。并且在 1989 年,与大多数其他证券公司相比,所罗门表现出色。

如今,西科所持优先股的合同期限缩短,其转换选择权在过去两年中价值提升,我们相信,西科该项投资的公允价值已略高于其成本,而截至 1989 年 12 月 31 日,任何此类超额的总金额对西科而言并不重大。

伯克希尔·哈撒韦的董事长沃伦·巴菲特和本人于 1987 年 10 月 28 日加入所罗门董事会,并对此次合作深感满意。

其他可转换优先股

在与所罗门投资类似的交易中,西科及其子公司在 1989 年投资总计 7500 万美元,购买了多只新发行的可转换优先股。所有发行公司的普通股均在纽约证券交易所上市。这些交易简要总结如下:

(1)吉列公司

1989 年 7 月 20 日,西科旗下的 Wes-FIC 子公司投资 4000 万美元,购买了吉列公司新发行的可转换优先股。该优先股提供 8.75% 的年股息,吉列必须在 10 年内赎回,并可转换为吉列普通股,转换价为每股 50 美元。西科母公司董事长沃伦·巴菲特已加入吉列董事会。吉列刚刚推出了一款新产品——Sensor 剃须刀,该产品因显著改进了湿剃过程而将畅销。

(2)全美航空集团公司

1989 年 8 月 7 日,Wes-FIC 投资 1200 万美元,购买了全美航空集团公司新发行的可转换优先股。该优先股提供 9.25% 的年股息,全美航空必须在 10 年内赎回,并可转换为全美航空普通股,转换价为每股 60 美元。

(3)冠军国际公司

1989 年 12 月 6 日,西科及其某些子公司投资 2300 万美元,购买了冠军国际公司新发行的可转换优先股。该优先股提供 9.25% 的年股息,冠军国际必须在 10 年内赎回,并可转换为冠军国际普通股,转换价为每股 38 美元。

尽管我们钦佩这些公司和其管理层,但总体而言,我们认为这些投资稳健但不令人兴奋。几乎没有任何投资者能够通过投资领先公司的可转换优先股而大获成功。考虑到在投资时可供选择的其他方案,我们很乐意买入这些股票,但西科股东不应期待暴利。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation commitment to buy the new preferred, the common stock of Salomon was selling in the low 30s. However, shortly after Wesco acquired its new stock certificates, the October 19, 1987 "Black Monday" stock market crash occurred, which caused temporary but substantial operating losses plus a lowered credit rating at Salomon. Although Salomon, among securities firms, suffered only its rough share of the general debacle, its common stock at one time after the crash traded as low as $16%. At the end of 1989 Salomon common stock was trading at $23%, compared with $24% at the end of 1988, after much constructive adjustment of Salomon's business to new conditions. Salomon's credit as a potential source of preferred dividends and stock redemptions improved stable. And during 1989 Salomon was a star performer, compared to most other securities firms. during its 1988 recovery, when generaliy available dividend rates on preferred stock were roughly With Wesco's preferred stock now shorter in contractual duration, and its conversion privilege enhanced in value during the last two years, we believe that the fair market value of Wesco's investment was somewhat in excess of its cost, and that the aggregate amount of any such excess was not material to Wesco, at December 31, 1989. Berkshire Hathaway's Chairman, Warren Buffett, and the undersigned joined the board of Salomon on October 28, 1987, and are very pleased with the association. Other Convertible Preferred Stocks In transactions similar to that which created our Salomon investment, Wesco and its subsidiar- ies during 1989 invested a total of $75 million in several new issues of convertible preferred stock. The common stock of all issuers is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. These transactions are briefly summarized below: (1) The Gillette Company On July 20, 1989, Wesco's Wes-FIC subsidiary invested $40 million in newly issued shares of annual dividend, must be redeemed by Gillette in 10 years, and is convertible into Gillette convertible preferred stock of The Gillette Company ("'Gillette'"). The stock provides an 84% joined Gillette's board of directors. Gillette has just introduced a new product, the Sensor razor, common stock at $50 per share. Warren Buffett, Chairman of Wesco's parent company, has which will sell well because it provides significant improvements to the wet-shaving process. (2) USAlr Group, Inc. stock of USAir Group, Inc. ("USAir"). The stock provldes an annual 94% dividend, must be On August 7, 1989, Wes-FIC invested $12 million in the newly issued convertible preferred redeemed by USAir in 10 years, and is convertible into USAir common stock at $60 per share. (3) Champion International Corporation of convertible preferred stock of Champion International Corporation ("'Champion). The On December 6, 1989, Wesco and certain of its subsidiaries invested $23 million in a new issue stock provides an annual 94% dividend, must be redeemed by Champion in 10 years, and is convertible into Champion common stock at $38 per share. aggregate as sound but not exciting. Few, if any, investors have ever prospered mightily from While we admire the corporations and managements involved, we regard these investments in the when the investments were made, we were pleased to buy the stocks, but Wesco shareholders investing in convertible preferred stocks of leading corporations. Considering alternatives available should expect no bonanza. 63

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报,现为新美国电气公司

1988 年底,西科以 820 万美元的价格收购了新美国电气公司(“新美国电气”)80% 的股份。这笔收购款中,716.5 万美元以现金形式支付给新美国基金原股东的清算信托,另有一笔 103.5 万美元的十年期、利率 10% 的应付票据,收款人是新美国电气的首席执行官格伦·米切尔,他本人保留了西科未收购的新美国电气 20% 股份。此次收购的模式在伯克希尔·哈撒韦集团内部很常见:我们愿意成为许多企业的 80% 所有者,但前提是我们钦佩并信任保留另外 20% 股份、且被预期将继续经营企业——在我们几乎不会提供帮助、也绝不施加阻碍的情况下——的那些人。确实如此,因为西科首席执行官及其家族持有的新美国电气股份比例高于西科,整个交易最终由西科董事会批准,而伯克希尔·哈撒韦(西科的母公司)的首席执行官兼大股东沃伦·巴菲特对此表示了推荐并参与了决策。巴菲特先生在新美国电气没有任何财务利益,他与查理·芒格先生、格伦·米切尔先生都认为,截至 1988 年底,新美国电气 100% 股权的公允价值为 1025 万美元。这笔收购所以能落到西科头上,是因为格伦·米切尔更愿意成为伯克希尔·哈撒韦集团子公司的少数股东(持股 20%),而不是在新美国电气做占主导地位的 30% 所有者——当时摆在他面前的另一个选择是让新美国电气全部股票通过新股公开发行而变得相当分散。我们乐于赢得这样的信任,并总是努力使自己配得上它。新美国电气是一家制造多种电气产品的公司,产品包括开关设备、断路器、照明镇流器和启动器,以及用于码头、活动房屋和房车停车场的电气设备。其工厂位于加利福尼亚州奥兰治县。西科收购其 80% 权益时,新美国电气的账面净资产约为 640 万美元,其中包括约 250 万美元的现金及现金等价物,而且该公司长期以来一直拥有资本高回报率的优秀历史,但当时的盈利因全行业的价格战而有所下降。不幸的是,新美国电气在被收购后的第一年里,其财务业绩令我们感到尴尬。1989 年,新美国电气在税后(按合并会计惯例调整前,这是我们的股票收购所附带的条件)仅实现盈利 16.8 万美元,这相当于(1)仅占其历史股东权益账面价值的 2.6%,以及(2)仅占西科收购价格的 1.6%。经过合并会计调整后,新美国电气对西科 1989 年盈利的总贡献甚至更低:仅为 5.9 万美元(已计入我们盈利细分中的“所有其他正常净营业收入”类别)。新美国电气逐年下降的盈利幅度高达惊人的 77%。盈利下降的部分原因是,将此前分散的运营活动整合到一栋新租用的大型建筑中,产生了高昂的费用。其他原因包括:(1)价格战升级,伴随销售额同比下降 2.5%;(2)一起诉讼中出现了荒谬且不公的结果;(3)事后看来,至少有一项决策似乎是错误的。新美国电气 1989 年的麻烦仅限于利润表。其资产负债表依然强劲。例如,到 1989 年底,尽管进行了重大的设施改进和新设备采购,手头现金及现金等价物仍与年初持平:250 万美元。我们认为 1989 年的盈利下降是暂时的。我们相信格伦·米切尔正以他一贯的精湛技能和勤勉态度来应对这些问题。新厂房和新设备给我们留下了深刻印象,这两者都将降低成本并提高产品质量和服务水平。我们

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation Now America Electrical Corporation At the close of 1988, Wesco acquired 80% of the stock of New America Electrical Corporation liquidating trust for the former shareholders of New America Fund and $1,035,000 was a ten-year, ("'New America Electric"') for a price of $8,200,000. Of this price $7,165,000 was cash paid to a 10% note payable to Gien Mitchel, CEO of New America Electric, who retains the 20% of New America Electric not acquired by Wesco. The pattern of this acquisition is a common one within the Berkshire Hathaway group, where we are willing to be an 80% owner in many a business we would not be in if we did not admire and trust people who retain the other 20% and are expected to continue to operate the business, with little help and no hindrance from us. signed, Wesco's CEO. Indeed, because Wesco's CEO and his family owned a higher percentage of Glen Mitchel is a long-time friend and trusted and admired business associate of the under- New America Electric than Wesco, our whole transaction was approved by the Wesco board with the racommendation and participation of Warren Buffett, CEO and major shareholder of Berkshire Hathaway, Wesco's parent company. Mr. Buffett had no financial interest in New America Electric, and he, plus Messrs. Munger and Mitchel, all believed that $10,250,000 was a fair valuation for 100% of New America Electric at yearend 1988. This acquisition became available to Wesco because Glen Mitchel preferred minority (20%) ownership of a Berkshire Hathaway group subsidiary instead of dominant 30% ownership in New America Electric, with all other New America Electric stock pretty well scattered through a new deserve it. public offering, which was the alternative offered. We like causing such confidence and try always to New America Electric is a manufacturer of various electrical products including switchgear, circuit breakers, lighting ballasts and starters and electrical equipment for marinas and mobile home and recreational vehicle parks. Its facilities are in Orange County, California. $6,400,000, including approximately $2,500,000 in cash and equivalents, and a long history of When Wesco purchased its 80% interest, New America Electric had a book net worth of about earning high returns on capital, but with current earnings reduced by an industry-wide price war. Unfortunately, financial results in New America Electric's first year after acquisition are an adjustments under consolidated accounting convention incident to our purchase of stock), which is embarrassment to us. In 1989, New America Electric earned only $168,000, after taxes (before (1) only 2.6% on historical book value of shareholders' equity, and (2) only 1.6% on the price Wesco paid. After consolidated accounting adjustments, the total contribution of New America Electric to Wesco's 1989 earnings was even lower: only $59,000 (included in our earnings breakdown in the "all other normal net operating income" category). The year-to-year earnings decline at New America Electric was a stunning 77%. Part of the earnings decline was caused by high expense incurred in consolidating previously scattered operations in a large, newly leased building. Other factors were (1) escalation of the price war accompanied by a 2.5% year-to-year decline in sales, (2) a ridiculous, unfair result in a lawsuit, and (3) at least one decision which, with hindsight, looks like an error. Now America Electric's 1989 troubles were limited to the income statement. Its balance sheet remained strong. For instance, at yearend 1989, despite major improvements of facilities and purchase of new equipment, the same amount of cash and equivalents was on hand as at the start of the year: $2.5 million. We appraise the 1989 earnings decline as temporary. We think Glen Mitchel is tackling the problems with his usual skill and diligence. We are impressed with the new building and new equipment, which will both reduce costs and improve quality of products and service. And we 64

以下为按照要求翻译的对应段落(确保一个段落,使用中文全角标点,数字和英文与中文之间加空格,术语统一):

摘自 1989 年西科金融公司年报

我们不仅钦佩格伦·米切尔,也钦佩他的主要高管:托马斯·约翰逊、杰夫·莫里和托马斯·沃格尔。在业务运营得到修复的过程中,我们将给予大力支持。我们共同承受失望时光,但这不会在我们向股东提交的报告中掩盖因非理性恐慌而导致的糟糕财务结果——无论这些结果是暂时还是永久的——因为这种分享本就是那些选择与我们进行 80%-20% 交易的人应得的权利。但我们尤其会主动强调任何近期业务收购中出现的不良结果,无论该结果在会计术语中是多么“微不足道”,前提是西科的董事长在该被收购业务中拥有利益。如果西科股东今后很少听到关于新美洲电气的消息,那将意味着成功,而非失败,导致了这种淡化处理。

合并资产负债表及相关讨论

西科的合并资产负债表(1)保持了与其合并净资产支持着对他人巨额未偿承诺相匹配的稳固实力;(2)反映了持续缓慢的额外业务收购步伐,因为尽管我们不断搜寻,但几乎找不到从西科股东角度来看价格合理的标的。

如随附财务报表所示,截至 1989 年 12 月 31 日,西科的有价权益证券总市值比其总账面价值高出约 9800 万美元,较一年前的约 5400 万美元大幅增加。包括债券和其他固定收益证券在内的所有有价证券的合并总市值超过总账面价值约 1.03 亿美元。如前所述,这一未实现增值中约有 1.01 亿美元存在于储蓄贷款子公司,其中包括 8940 万美元的房地美股票增值。此外,西科保险子公司持有的普通股(主要是可口可乐公司股票)中还有约 2900 万美元的未实现增值。根据一项仅适用于保险公司的奇特会计惯例,在扣除若出售这些股票所应缴纳的所得税后,这一增值已计入西科的经审计净资产,即便该收益从未通过任何经审计的收益报告体现出来。

西科在帕萨迪纳的房地产包括整个街区,内含(1)约 12.5 万平方英尺一流净可出租面积的现代办公楼(含互助储蓄自用空间),以及(2)旧建筑中额外 3.4 万平方英尺经济上处于边缘地位的净可出租面积,后者毁掉可能比改造更明智。该房地产的市值大幅超过其账面价值。这一未实现增值的证据在于(1)该房地产上的抵押债务(固定利率 9.25%,金额 464.3 万美元)现已超过其截至 1989 年 12 月 31 日资产负债表上的折旧后账面价值(286.2 万美元),以及(2)偿还抵押贷款债务后,该物业每年为西科带来可观的当前净现金流(约 100 万美元)。尽管帕萨迪纳办公楼空置面积过剩,但该现代办公楼出租率达 97%。我们收取略低于标准的租金,并将其打造成我们欣赏的租户的俱乐部式一流场所。事实上,我们即将翻新所有卫生间,尽管它们几乎没有任何问题。(我们最近观察到其他大楼许多管理不善的例子,管理人员宁愿粉饰财务记录,也不愿粉刷大楼。我们尽量——偶尔也有疏忽——与这种行为保持距离,认为它既违反了向租户的隐性义务,也有悖于业主的长期利益。)凭借这些做法、优越的地理位置和出色的停车设施,我们预计未来现金流会增加,但增速不会超过通胀率。

当总债务与总股东权益及总流动资产相比较时,西科仍保持着审慎的立场。西科的习惯做法是在具体需要之前进行一定数量的长期借款,以便拥有最大的财务灵活性来应对危险和机遇。遵循这一做法,并为降低利息成本,西科在 1989 年偿还了

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation admire not only Glen Mitchel but also his chief officers: Thomas Johnson, Jeff Mowry and Thomas Vogele. We wlll be very supportive as operations are fixed. Our sharing of disappointing times without we will not obscure, in reports to our shareholders, poor financial results, temporary or not, from irrational panic Is an entitlement for people who choose to make these 80%-20% deals with us. But any recent business acquisition. And we will be particularly anxious to highlight bad results, no in the business acquired. If Wesco's shareholders don't hear much about New America Electric in matter how "immaterial" (in accountingspeak), in a case where Wesco's Chairman had an interest the future, it will be success, not failure, which causes de-emphasis. Consolidated Balance Sheet and Related Discusslon Wesco's consolidated balance sheet (1) retains a strength befitting a company whose consolidated net worth supports large outstanding promises to others and (2) reflects a continuing slow pace of acquisition of additional businesses because few are found available, despite constant search, at prices deemed rational from the standpoint of Wesco shareholders. As indicated in the accompanying financial statements, the aggregate market value of Wesco's marketable equity securities was higher than their aggregate carrying value at December 31, 1989 by about $98 million, up significantly from about $54 million one year earlier. The consolidated aggregate market value of all marketable securities, including bonds and other fixed-income securities, exceeded aggregate carrying value by about $103 million. As earlier emphasized, about $101 million of this unrealized appreciation lies within the savings and loan subsidiary, and includes $89.4 million of appreciation in stock of Freddie Mac. In addition, there is about $29 million of unrealized appreciation in common stocks (mostly stock of The Coca Cola Company) held by Wesco's insurance subsidiary. Under a peculiar accounting convention applicable only to insurance companies this appreciation, after deducting income taxes which would be due if the stocks were sold, is already included in Wesco's audited net worth, even though the gain has never passed through any audited report of income. net rentable square feet, including Mutual Savings' space, in a modern office building, plus (2) an Wesco's Pasadena real estate comprises a full block containing (1) about 125,000 first-class additional net rentable 34,000 square feet of economically marginal space in old buildings, which it excess of carrying value. The existence of unrealized appreciation is demonstrated by (1) mort- would probably be wiser to destroy than improve. This real estate has a market value substantially in gage debt ($4,643,000 at 9.25% fixed) against this real estate now exceeding its depreciated current net cash flow (about $1 million per year) to Wesco after debt service on the mortgage. The carrying value ($2,862,000) in Wesco's balance sheet at December 31, 1989, and (2) substantial just-below-standard rents and run the building as a sort of first-class club for tenants we admire. In modern office building is 97% rented, despite a glut of vacant office space in Pasadena. We charge fact, we are about to refurbish all the bathrooms, even though there is almost nothing wrong with them. (We have observed many recent instances of mismanagement at other buildings where lapse, managers prefer to paint the financial record, instead of the building. We try, with an occasional to stay a long way removed from such conduct, considering it contrary to both implicit superior parking facilities, we anticipate future increases in cash flow, but at no better rate than the obligation to tenants and long-run interest of the owner.) With these practices, a prime location and rate of inflation. Wesco remains in a prudent position when total debt is compared to total shareholders' equity and total liquid assets. Wesco's practice has been to do a certain amount of long-term borrowing in advance of specific need, in order to have maximum financial flexibility to face both hazards and opportunities. Following this practice, and to reduce interest costs, Wesco during 1989 paid off at 65

致西科金融公司 1989 年年报

1999 年 11 月到期的债券。新债券的低利率之所以能实现,得益于西科 AA 级信用评级。西科将其 2500 万美元、1991 年 6 月到期的 10% 债券赎回,并发行了 3000 万美元、利率 8%% 的新债券。

可以预期,合并后企业的资产负债表实力,将在适当的时候用于一次或多次业务扩张。正如下文所解释的,这种扩张活动需要耐心,至少对我们这样的人来说是如此。

许多商学院的毕业生,以及几乎所有咨询师都认为,一家公司通过收购不相关或关系松散的业务,就能轻易改善其业绩。根据这种普遍的观点,只要采取了显而易见的手段,只要采用了恰当的“使命宣言”并雇佣了合适的“专家”,那么每家铁路公司,就不会被新型竞争、过时且充满敌意的法律以及工会规则所束缚,它们本应成为另一家联邦快递,另一家联合包裹服务公司,甚至成为另一家像艾默生电气那样表现出众的公司。

我们自身的经验,无论是实际的还是间接的,都让我们对通过收购业务来轻松解决问题不那么乐观。我们认为,过度的乐观情绪之所以产生,是因为成功的案例吸引了太多关注。许多人接着就像我如果只看彩票大奖得主就预言买彩票前景光明一样去推理。反过来也成立,甚至有过之而无不及。如果只观察伊万·伦德尔和施特菲·格拉芙,就对网球运动的前景充满信心,或者只观察加州彩票赢家,就认为前景大好,这种思路的错误是相同的。对于公司收购中最糟糕的那些案例给股东(或其他所有者)带来的可怕后果,人们关注得太少了。这些案例包括 CBS-DuMont、Xerox-Scientific Data Systems、General Electric-Utah International、Exxon-Reliance Electric、Sohio-Kennecott、First Interstate Bancorp-Allied Bancshares、Arizona Public Service-MeraBank、USX-Texas Oil & Gas、Prudential Insurance-Bache、Mobil Oil-Montgomery Ward、General Motors-Hughes Aircraft,以及 Avon Products-Practically Anybody。这个清单到此为止是因为篇幅所限,而不是因为缺少更多例子。这些收购方公司中,有许多是伟大的企业,运营得也很体面。事实上,正是它们的伟大使得它们作为例子特别有用,因为这展示了即使是在备受推崇的公司里,通过精英程序晋升上来的经理人,想通过收购来增进所有者的利益是多么困难。

最糟糕例子的全部含义并未被充分理解,部分原因是公司报告的惯例使得经理人以一种掩盖事实和影响的方式呈现数据。糟糕的结果被掩盖了,平庸的结果被粉饰得看起来不错。掩盖真相的手法包括:(1) 将糟糕或平庸的结果混入其他本来会好得多的良好结果中,从而拉低了整体表现;(2) 通过“大洗澡”手法,一下子把几个糟糕的结果赶下舞台。而“大洗澡”手法,又常常伴随着在别处取得的一些非经常性收益,这些收益按照意在混淆视听的时间表兑现。或者,把损失混入“重组”之中,这种用词手法,就像把拿破仑在滑铁卢的结局解释为对法国的一次深思熟虑的加强。

在我们看来,这种“通过收购解决问题”的企业模式,其结局大多像彼得·格雷斯那样平庸地“跟风”,远不如多佛公司那般精彩。即使一个人 (1) 不依赖外部顾问的价值判断——那些顾问必须促成交易才能生存,而且 (2) 不设立内部部门——那些除了收购别无他职、通常冠以“规划”甚至“战略规划”之名的内部等价物,也难以保证成功。避免可疑的方法论并不能保证成功。要想在这场游戏中获胜是很难的。

或许比优秀公司收购记录之罕见更具启示意义的,是那些为数不多的优秀记录中,重要收购的罕见程度。大多数赢家表现得像一位明智的棒球击球手,如果他获准在挥棒前可以尽可能多地放过投球,他就会那样做。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation debentures due in November 1999. The low interest rate on the new debentures was made possible par its $25 million of 10% debentures due in June 1991, and issued $30 million of new 8%% by Wesco's AAt credit rating. It is expected that the balance sheet strength of the consolidated enterprise will in due course be used in one or more business extensions. The extension activity requires patience, at least for people like us, as explained below. corporation can easily improve its outcome by purchasing unrelated or tenuously related busi- It is assumed by many business school graduates, and by almost all consultants, that a "mission statement" had been adopted and the right "experts" hired, then each railroad, instead of nesses. According to this widely shared view, if only the obvlous steps had been taken, if the right remaining bound in chains by new forms of competition and obsolete and hostile laws and union rules, would have become another Federal Express, another United Parcel Service, or even another brilliant performer in the mode of Emerson Electric. Our experience, both actual and vicarious, makes us less optimistic about easy solutions through business acquisition. We think undue optlmism arises because successful records draw too much attention. Many people then reason as I would if I forecasted good prospects in big-time lottery after limiting observation to winners. The converse is also true, only more so. Far too little tennis after observation limited to Ivan Lendl and Steffi Graf, or good prospects in the California attention is given to the terrible effects on shareholders (or other owners) of the worst examples of corporate acquisitions such as CBS-DuMont, Xerox-Scientific Data Systems, General Electric-Utah International, Exxon-Reliance Electric, Sohio-Kennecott, First Interstate Bancorp-Allied Banc- shares, Arizona Public Service-MeraBank, USX-Texas Oil & Gas, Prudential Insurance-Bache, Mobil Oil-Montgomery Ward, General Motors-Hughes Aircraft, and Avon Products-Practically corporations listed are great enterprises, honorably run. In fact, their greatness augments their Anybody. The list ends here for want of space, not a shortage of additional examples. The acquiring utility as examples as they show how hard it is, even for managers promoted to power through meritocratic procedures at admired corporations, to advance by acquisition the interests of owners. The full implications of the worst examples are lost, in part, because the conventions of corporate reporting cause managers to present data in a manner which obscures both facts and implications. Horrible results are obscured, and mediocre results are made to look fine. Techniques for masking the truth include (1) mixing bad or mediocre results into other good results which would have been much better, absent the mixture, and (2) taking several poor results off the stage at once through the "big bath" technique. The "big bath" technique, in turn, is often accompanied by some extraordinary gain elsewhere which is cashed on a time schedule designed for obfuscation. Or a loss is mixed into a "restructuring," adopting word usage which would explain Napoleon's outcome at Waterloo as a thoughtful strengthening of France. As we appraise it, the corporate mode of "solving your problems by acquisition" far more often record of a Dover Corporation. Nor does the avoidance of dubious methodology guarantee success. ends in the mediocre "follow-the-fad-of-the-year" record of a Peter Grace than in the wonderful It is hard to win at the game, even if one (1) does not rely on the valuation judgment of outside in-house equivalent of the outside adviser who must buy to thrive, namely the internal department acquisition "experts" paid per transaction recommended and closed, and (2) does not create the which has no function except acquisitions and often bears a label including "planning," or even "strategic planning." Perhaps more instructive than the rarity of good corporate acquisition records is the striking rarity of important acquisitions within the few good records. Most winners act as a wise baseball hitter would if permitted to pass as many pitches as he wished before swinging. 66

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

例如,收并购纪录最好的公司之一就是大都会/美国广播公司的汤姆·墨菲和丹·伯克。然而,他们最重要的几笔收购(占最终经济价值的 80% 以上)——这些收购虽完全由他们掌控、推进速度也慢——平均每两年都不到一次。这两位是我见过最机灵的学习者和行动者,所有重要工作都亲力亲为,而且身处一个利润丰厚、持久不衰的通信革命行业(电视广播),这里快速变化为敏锐者创造了高于正常水平的机会。(作者不得不从自己多年前参与拒绝墨菲提供的一个电视台机会的经历来相信,墨菲和伯克抓住的机会只有敏锐者才能识别出来。这符合当今的价值观。) 墨菲和伯克曾被法律禁止收购,而当他们终于能买的时候,价格不到现在价值的十分之一。

对于喜欢行动的人来说,还有一个特别令人沮丧的教训,可以从西科金融的最终母公司——伯克希尔·哈撒韦的收并购纪录中提取出来。24 年来,伯克希尔将一家不起眼的、濒临倒闭的新英格兰纺织企业,变成了一家大型多元化的公司,最终发行的股票数量却没有增加多少。然而,如果从伯克希尔的纪录中剔除最重要的六次收购(平均每四年一次),这个纪录现在就不会在这里或其他任何地方被提及了。

用公司现金仓促进行不利的企业收购一直很容易(实际上,你会吸引一大帮帮手)。而如果一个人不够明智,比如通用电气在犹他国际合并案中,或者施乐在合并科学数据系统公司时,对任何可实现的换股合并都可能转移比收购所得更多内在价值这一可能性不够极度敏感,那么就更容易造成损失。另一方面,不涉及竞争对手或可通过收购方现有销售体系销售品牌的有利企业收购,却很难找到。

并非只有彼得原理导致企业的收并购纪录平均来看如此糟糕,尽管该原理在收并购领域造成的损害尤其严重。(因为,当你把销售总经理提拔为 CEO,让他去做不相关的企业收购时,自然比你之前把某个地区的销售经理提拔为销售总经理时制造的麻烦更大。) 即使是一位拥有良好收购判断力的 CEO,在其职业生涯剩余的时间里,如果能找到一个值得理性应对的重大机会,那也算是幸运的了。

当然,好的收购交易匮乏并不意味没有优秀的企业待售。只是在一个有限的、竞争激烈的世界里,没有哪家企业好到不会因为提价而毁掉它作为一个收购候选对象的吸引力。当这种情况发生时,许多公司还是会买下它,原因正如哥伦比亚大学伟大的哲学家查尔斯·弗兰克尔所深刻理解的那样。这个体系被如此构建(弗兰克尔会说不负责地构建),以至于即使股东受损,企业经理人仍能获利。(顺便提一句,弗兰克尔是被抢劫犯打死的,这是他对“不负责任的体系”研究的最后一个无心贡献,提醒了许多保守派社会批评家苏格拉底的命运。)

此时,还剩最后一个问题:如果成功的企业收并购如此困难,那么如何解释近年来大多数杠杆收购(LBO)操作者收购公司后普遍取得的成功?答案很大一部分来自于所得税效应和其他简单效应。当在一个典型的 LBO 中,典型的以股权为主的资本结构被 90% 的债务和 10% 的新普通股所取代时:(1)所有新普通股加上所有新债务的总市值,远高于所有旧普通股此前的市值,因为现有的税前利润流不再需要与公司所得税分享;(2)更重要的是,经营那部分新债务的管理层,其思维模式和行为方式都发生了根本性改变。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation For instance, among the best acquisition records is that of Tom Murphy and Dan Burke at Capital Cities/ABC. Yet the major acquisitions, which accounted for more than 80% of ending slow pace occurred even though they were in full control, were (and are) two of the quickest economic value for continuing shareholders, occurred less often than once each two years. This learners and actors around, did all the important work themselves, and were located in the midst of a profit- laden and long-lasting communications revolution (television broadcasting) wherein rapid change churned out opportunities for the acute at an above-normal rate. (The writer has to believe from the writer's participation in rejecting a television-station opportunity, long ago given by Murphy that the opportunities seized by Murphy and Burke were recognizable only by the acute. This follows present-day value.) and Burke when they were barred by law from purchase. The price was less than one-tenth of A particularly depressing lesson, for the action-prone, might also be extracted from the Berkshire transformed a small, doomed New England textile enterprise into a large and diversified business acquisition record of Wesco's ultimate parent, Berkshire Hathaway. Over 24 years, company, without ending up with many more shares outstanding. Yet if you removed from Berkshire's record the six most significant acquisitions, extracting occurrences averaging one every four years, the record would not now be mentioned here, or anywhere else. business purchases in a hurry with corporate cash. And it has been even easier to cause It has always been easy (indeed, one attracts scores of helpers) to make disadvantageous disadvantage if one is unwise enough, like General Electric in the Utah International merger, or Xerox in the marger with Scientific Data Systems, not to be super-sensitive to the probability that any attainable stock-for-stock merger will transfer more intrinsic business value than is acquired. On the other hand, advantageous business purchases, not involving competitors or branded products which can be sold through the acquirer's present sales system, are difficult to find. although that Principle does especially intense damage in the acquisition field. (This occurs It is not just the Peter Principle which makes corporate acquisition records so bad, on average, because, when you promote the General Sales Manager to CEO making unrelated business acquisitions, you naturally cause more trouble than you earlier did when you made a less Even a CEO with good acquisition judgment is lucky if, in his remaining career, he finds one large substantive change by promoting the Sales Manager of some territory to General Sales Manager.) opportunity which tempts rational response. The scarcity of good acquisition transactions, of course, does not imply that no wonderful that it can't be ruined as an acquisition candidate by increasing the price. When this happens, many businesses are ever for sale, It is just that, in a finite, competitive world, no business is so wonderful corporations buy anyway, for reasons Columbia's great philosopher, Charles Frankel, so well understood. The system is so constructed (irresponsibly, Frankel would say) that the corporate manager gains even though the shareholder loses. (Incidentally, Frankel was mugged to death in a social critics of Socrates.) final inadvertent contribution to the study of Irresponsible systems, reminding many conservative how does one explain the widespread recent success of most of the leveraged-buy-out ("LBO") At this point, a last question remains: If successful corporate business acquisition is so hard, operators who have purchased corporations? A huge part of the answer comes from income-tax effects and other simple effects. When, in a typical LBO, the typical mostly equity corporate capitalization was replaced by 90% debt plus a new 10%-of-capitalization common stock position: (1) the combined market value of all the new common stock plus all the new debt became much higher than the previous market value of all the old common stock, because the existing stream of pre-tax earnings was no longer shared with corporate income tax 67

转载自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

股东们;此外,许多情况下,还有收藏者,他们先前每年获得的现金收入,甚至超过了——(2)即便在公司减税带来的价值提升效应与前任股东分享——即通过支付超高价格让他们退出——之后,留存下来的价值增值效应,使得新的普通股(现在变得很像带有优厚条款的价值投机权证)在收购文件墨迹未干时就价值远超成本;以及(3)新的“所有者”随后采取了构思和实施都不困难的策略,包括以下内容:(a)他们削减了许多容易去除的成本(主要是人员成本)和表现不佳的业务板块,这些板块在某些组合中(i)困扰着成功的企业(包括我们的企业),带来懈怠和愚蠢,同时(ii)也创造了企业的人性温暖,并通过当下的牺牲带来良好的长期前景,证明所承受的牺牲是合理的;以及(b)他们以超高价格卖掉了部分业务,有时运用最简单的微观经济学洞察,卖给直接竞争对手,有时卖给一个出奇容易找到的非竞争性公司买家——这些买家不由其管理层所有,愿意支付几乎和竞争对手一样高的价格;以及(4)新的“所有者”随后在适当的时候获利,不仅来自上述的税收效应和其他简单的重新洗牌操作,还来自长期经济繁荣期间极端财务杠杆伴随股市上涨所带来的巨大上行效应。

这个国家是否希望其大型企业中有很大一部分(甚至任何一部分)拥有极端杠杆化的资本结构(除了偶尔的困境外),这提出了有趣的社会问题。企业的一个社会功能是否是保持财务强健,从而充当冲击吸收器,保护依赖它们的员工、供应商和客户免受资本主义固有的一部分波动性影响?本·富兰克林在《穷理查年鉴》中收录的这句民间智慧是否正确:“空袋子难以直立。”一家借到顶的弱企业,是否在社会意义上等同于一座结构强度储备不足的桥梁?假定杠杆收购对长期效率有一些有利影响(以及不利影响),我们是否希望吸引成千上万有才能的人投身于那些(1)减少公司所得税、(2)经常考验反垄断法界限、(3)将商业注意力集中在短期现金生成以偿还压迫性债务水平的公司资本重组活动?最后,正如哥伦比亚法学院卢·洛温斯坦教授(大致)所说:“我们真的希望整个企业——作为重要的社会机构——像猪腩期货合约一样持续交易吗?”

无论社会问题如何回答,当前局势的三个方面是明确的。第一,在杠杆收购交易中,公司税效应如此之大,以至于这类交易容易成功,但这并不意味着普通的企业收购中成功很容易。第二,现在蜂拥而至的杠杆收购操作者抬高了整体收购价格,损害了其他潜在收购者,包括西科,我们不愿通过最大化借贷来最大化税收优惠。第三,只要目前宽松的法律持续存在,杠杆收购操作者就不会消失。在这样的法律下,操作者拥有真正的优势,而不仅仅是促销的遮羞布。尽管失败和耻辱会减少他们的数量,并且杠杆收购交易中支付的价格会下降,但减少公司所得税的资本化价值仍将存在。因此,交易仍将有充分的理性动机。杠杆收购的精灵会遇到挫折,但除非新法律下令,否则他不会回到瓶子里。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation shareholders; and collectors who, in many cases, had previously received more cash each year than (2) even after the value-enhancing effect of the corporate tax reduction was shared with former shareholders by paying them extra-high prices to leave, a retained residue of value- speculative warrant with good terms) worth considerably more than cost as the ink drie anhancing tax effect made the new common stock (which now became much like on acquisition papers; and (3) the new "owners" then resorted to strategies, difficult neither to conceive nor implement, including the following: (a) they eliminated many of the easily removable costs (largely personnel costs) and sub-par segments which in some mix (i) bedevil successful corporations (including . ours) with sloth and folly and (li) create their humane grace and, through present sacrifice, good long-term prospects, justifying sacrifice endured; and (b) they sold off a few operations at super-high prices, sometimes exercising the easiest microeconomic insight by selling to a direct competitor and sometimes selling to a surprisingly easy-to-find non-competitive corporate buyer, not owned by its manag. ers, willing to pay almost as high a price as a competitor would; and (4) the new "owners" then profited, in due course, not only from the tax effect and other simple reshuffling activities described above, but also from the wonderful upside effects of market. extreme financial leverage during a long business boom accompanied by a rising stock Whether the country wants a large number (or even any) of its large corporations to have questions. Is one social function of corporations to be financially strong so that they act as shock extremely leveraged capitalizations, except through occasional adversity, presents interesting social implicit in capitalism? Was Ben Franklin right when he included the following folk wisdom in Poor absorbers, protecting dependent employees, suppliers and customers from part of the volatility Richard's Almanac: "It is hard for an empty sack to stand upright." Is a weak corporation, borrowed Granting that leveraged buy outs have some favorable effects (as well as unfavorable effects) on to the hilt, the social equivalent of a bridge with an inadequate reserve of structural strength? long term efficiency, how many thousands of able people do we wish to attract into promotional limits of antitrust law, and (3) focuses business attention on short-term cash generation to pay corporate recapitalization activity which (1) reduces corporate income taxes, (2) often tests the down oppressive levels of debt? Finally, as Columbia Law School's Professor Lou Lowenstein puts continuously traded like pork belly contracts?" it (more or less): "Do we really want entire corporate businesses, as important social institutions, However the social questions are answered, three aspects of the present situation are clear. does not imply that success is easy in ordinary corporate acquisitions. Second, the hordes of First, the corporate tax effect is so large in LBO transactions that easy success in such transactions leveraged-buy-out operators now with us raise the general level of acquisition prices to the detriment of other would-be acquirers, including Wesco, which are not willing to maximize tax benefits through maximized borrowing. And, third, the LBO operators will not go away so long as present permissive laws last. The operators have a real advantage under such laws, not just a fig leaf aiding promotion. Even though failure and disgrace will reduce their number, and prices paid In leveraged-buy-out transactions will fall, the capitalized value of reducing the corporate income tax will remain. Therefore, plenty of rational incentive will remain for transactions. The LBO genie will encounter reverses, but he is not going back in the bottle unless ordered to do so by new laws. 68

摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

税法带来的优势和快速重组业务的意愿

还应该指出的是,杠杆收购经营者的高价竞标动机并不因真正的顾虑而终止。高价竞标的额外激励来自典型的架构设计,其中杠杆收购合伙企业的普通合伙人拿自己的钱冒的风险很小(在扣除费用后,往往少于零),却能在收益中分得可观的份额。这样的安排类似于赛马场上的“托儿”制度——有谁见过哪个托儿不希望自己的赞助商多下几注呢?

对西科这样一家非杠杆收购经营者来说,优秀企业的收购游戏向来艰难。而最近这些年,这场游戏越来越像在明尼苏达州的利奇湖钓北美狗鱼。笔者最早的生意伙伴埃德·霍斯金斯曾与他的印第安向导有过这样一段对话:

“这湖里有北美狗鱼吗?”

“这湖里捕到的北美狗鱼比明尼苏达任何其他湖都多。这湖以盛产北美狗鱼而闻名。”

“你在这钓鱼多久了?”

“19 年了。”

“那你钓到了多少条北美狗鱼?”

“一条也没有。”

当管理层持有我们这样的观点时,业务收购的频率低是可以放心预测的。无论这种情况的发生,如我们愿意相信的那样,是因为这场游戏对几乎所有人都很难,还是仅仅因为这场游戏对我们来说很难,对西科股东来说结果都一样:比我们所有人期望的要少很多的有价值活动。但也许有一个安慰:一连串重大且无法纠正的收购麻烦,且没有有意义的补救措施,很少是由那些认为收购游戏如同在利奇湖钓北美狗鱼的人造成的。当然,一次糟糕的收购结果也是完全可能的。例如,西科乐于在明天投入 7500 万美元,并接受 60% 的全损概率,只要获胜的回报足够大,使得统计期望值能提供可观的收益。

如西科财务报表所附的附表一所示,投资——包括储蓄和保险子公司的投资以及暂时持有以待出售以资助业务扩展的其他投资——往往集中在非常少的几个地方。通过这种集中投资的实践,我们对所做的少数决策追求更好的理解。

西科年度报告合并净利润与报告合并股东权益的比率,在 1987-89 年约为 11%,这在很大程度上依赖于证券收益,而这类收益本质上是波动不定的。

撰写本文时,西科合并财务状况中相当大且高于期望的流动性,并非源于我们预测商业状况即将恶化,或利率即将上升,或普通股价格即将下跌。西科的这种状况,反而是因为我们根本没有找到更积极运用资本的、让我们感到舒适的机会。

西科继续尝试更多地从始终牢记显而易见的事情中获益,而不是从把握深奥难懂的东西中获益。令人瞩目的是,像我们这样的人,通过努力做到始终不愚蠢,而不是试图变得非常聪明,获得了如此多的长期优势。民间谚语中一定有某种智慧:“淹死的都是会游泳的”。我们的方法,虽然过去平均表现相当不错,并且在长期未来也可能表现得相当不错,但注定会经历一段段沉闷和不利的时期,因为它限制了行动。

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation advantages derived from tax law and willingness to reshuffle businesses with much speed and fow It should also be noted that the LBO operators' Incentives to bid high do not end with real scruples. Additional incentives for high bids come from typical structures In which general partners of LBO partnerships risk little of their own money (often less than none after fees are taken into track tout. And who has ever seen a tout who didn't want his backer to make a lot of bets? account), yet share significantly in gains. Such arrangements are similar to the system of the race And that game in each recent year has become more like fishing for muskies at Leech Lake, in To Wesco, as a non-LBO operator, the good-corporata-acquisition game was always tough. with his Indian guide: Minnesota, where the writer's earliest business partner, Ed Hoskins, had the following conversation "Are any muskies caught in this lake?" for muskies." "More muskles are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota. This lake is famous "How long have you been fishing here?" "19 years." "And how many muskies have you caught?" "None." When a management has our point of view, infrequency of business acquisition may safely be everyone, or merely because the game is hard for us, the result for Wesco shareholders is the same: predicted. Whether this happens, as we like to believe, because the game is hard for almost less worthwhile activity than we all would like. But there may be one consolation: A series of big, Incorrectable acquisition troubles, with no meaningful salvage, is seldom caused by people who of course, quite possible. For instance, Wesco would cheerfully invest $75 million tomorrow, with a think the acquisition game is like fishing for muskies at Leech Lake. One terrible acquisition result is, 60% chance of total loss, provided the pay-off for winning was large enough to cause statistical expectation to provide a handsome return. those in the savings and loan and insurance subsidiaries and those held temporarily elsewhere As indicated in Schedule I accompanying Wesco's financial statements, investments, both practice of concentration of investments, better understanding is sought with respect to the few pending sale to fund business extension, tend to be concentrated in very few places. Through this decisions made. The ratio of Wesco's annual reported consolidated net income to reported consolidated gains, irregular by nature. shareholders' equity, about 11% in 1987-89, was dependent to a significant extent on securities The considerable, and higher than desired, liquidity of Wesco's consolidated financial position as this is written does not result from our forecast that business conditions are about to worsen, or that interest rates are about to rise, or that common stock prices are about to fall. Wesco's condition which we are comfortable. results, instead, from our simply not finding opportunities for more aggressive use of capital with Wesco continues to try more to profit from always remembering the obvious than from grasping be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent. There must be some wisdom in the the esoteric. It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to folk saying: "It's the strong swimmers who drown". Our approach, while it has worked fairly well on encounter periods of dullness and disadvantage as it limits action. average in the past and will probably work fairly well over the long-term future, is bound to 69

本文摘自西科金融公司 1989 年年报

西科金融只有极少一部分内在价值存在于拥有足够商业优势、能确保持久高资本回报率的企业中。相比之下,西科的母公司——伯克希尔·哈撒韦——则有更大比例的内在价值位于持久的高回报业务之中。

上述态度描述,以及对当前局势的历史解释,每年都会在年报中重复,并附上标准的免责声明,旨在抑制不恰当的乐观情绪。当西科的母公司获得控股权时,西科的经营活动几乎完全局限于持有(1)一些过剩现金,加上(2)一家拥有大量长期固定利率抵押贷款、并以有息活期存款支撑的多分行储蓄贷款协会。收购这种内在劣势地位的行为是不明智的,其所考虑的替代机会,是受到了一个被认为略低于清算价值的价格的过度影响。(本函的签署者也包括在内)。在这种情况下,对于那些并非快速周转型运营者的收购方来说,收购行为平均而言往往会产生低至中等水平的长期结果。这是因为,从起始“便宜货”中获得的任何优势,都会被所购业务中变革阻力带来的平庸表现所淹没。在西科,尽管有一些成功的活动,包括 1985 年从对通用食品的投资中获得巨额收益,但此类通常效应并未完全避免。

像西科这样,内在价值中没有显著比例位于伟大企业中的公司,始终就像龟兔赛跑中的那只乌龟。而且,正如我们又一年所展示的那样,这只特别的乌龟并不怎么敏捷。更糟的是,仅存的一点敏捷也常常被对过去新业务结果的记忆所抑制——那些结果至少与本函作者家的狗第一次闯出院子的下场一样糟糕:那条狗(1)被车撞伤,(2)因吃垃圾而腹胀如鼓。(一些西科的长期股东可能痛苦地记得这样一个曾经的新业务:在一个名字颇具讽刺意味的地方“友好谷”进行山坡住宅开发。)

1990 年 1 月 25 日,西科将常规季度股息从每股 19.5 美分提高到每股 20.5 美分,于 1990 年 3 月 13 日支付给 1990 年 2 月 28 日营业结束时的登记在册股东。

本年度报告包含 10-K 表格,这是一份向证券交易委员会提交的报告,并包含关于西科及其子公司的详细信息,以及附带广泛脚注的经审计财务报表。一如既往,恳请您仔细审阅这些内容。

查尔斯·T·芒格

董事长

1990 年 3 月 5 日

Reproduced from 1989 Annual Report of Wesco Financial Corporation tiny fraction of its total intrinsic value in businesses with enough commercial advantage in place to Moreover, our approach continues to be applied to no great base position. Wesco has only a assure permanent high future returns on capital employed. In contrast, Berkshire Hathaway, Wesco's parent corporation, has a much larger proportion of its intrinsic value in durable high-return businesses. The foregoing description of attitude, as well as the following historical explanation of the current situation, is repeated in the annual report each year, accompanied by a standard disclaimer designed to deter inappropriate optimism. When Wesco's parent corporation acquired control, Wesco's activities were almost entirely limited to holding (1) some surplus cash, plus (2) a multi- by interest-bearing demand deposits. The acquisition of this intrinsically disadvantageous position branch savings and loan association which had many very long-term, fixed-rate mortgages, offset of this letter) was overly influenced by a price considered to be moderately below liquidating value. was unwisely made, alternative opportunities considered, because the acquirer (including the signer Under such circumstances, acquisitions have a way of producing, on average, for acquirers who are from a starting "bargain" gets swamped by effects from change-resistant mediocrity in the not quick-turn operators, low to moderate long-term results. This happens because any advantage purchased business. Such normal effects have not been completely avoided at Wesco, despite some successful activities, including a large gain in 1985 from an investment in General Foods. A corporation like Wesco, with no significant proportion of intrinsic value in great businesses, continues to be like a tortoise in a race of hares. And, as we have demonstrated in one more year, this particular tortoise is not very sprightly. Moreover, what sprightliness remains is often deterred by remembrance of past new-activity outcomes which were at least as bad as those of the writer's dog when it limped home from its first foray outside the yard both (1) injured by a car and (2) bloated from overeating garbage. (Some long-time Wesco shareholders may painfully remember one such once-new activity: hillside subdivision in the place with the ironic name, "Friendly Valley.") On January 25, 1990, Wesco increased its regular quarterly dividend from 19½ cents per share to 20½ cents per share, payable March 13, 1990, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 28, 1990. Commission, and includes detailed information about Wesco and its subsidiaries as well as audited This annual report contains Form 10-K, a report filed with the Securities and Exchange respect to these items. financial statements bearing extensive footnotes. As usual, your careful attention is sought with CharlesT manger Charles T. Munger Chairman of the Board March 5, 1990