Wesco金融董事长致股东信1998(伯克希尔·哈撒韦官方镜像)
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION
致股东的信
致各位股东:
1998 日历年度,合并“正常”净经营利润(即扣除下表中非常规项目后的利润)从前一年的 3826.2 万美元(每股 5.38 美元)降至 3762.2 万美元(每股 5.28 美元)。
合并净利润(即包含下表中非常规项目后的利润)从前一年的 1.01809 亿美元(每股 14.30 美元)降至 7180.3 万美元(每股 10.08 美元)。
Wesco 有三家主要子公司:(1)Wesco-Financial Insurance Company(简称“Wes-FIC”),总部设在奥马哈,主要经营再保险业务;(2)Kansas Bankers Surety Company(简称“KBS”),由 Wes-FIC 全资拥有,专门为中西部的银行提供定制保险产品;(3)Precision Steel,总部设在芝加哥,从事钢材仓储和特种金属产品业务。过去两年的合并净利润明细如下(单位:千美元,每股数据除外)(1):
截至 12 月 31 日止年度
1998 年
1997 年
Wesco 每股金额(2)
Wesco 每股金额(2)
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS To Our Shareholders: Consolidated ""normal'' net operating income (i.e., before irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) for the calendar year 1998 decreased to $37,622,000 ($5.28 per share) from $38,262,000 ($5.38 per share) in the previous year. Consolidated net income (i.e., after irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) decreased to $71,803,000 ($10.08 per share) from $101,809,000 ($14.30 per share) in the previous year. Wesco has three major subsidiaries: (1) Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC''), headquartered in Omaha and engaged principally in the reinsurance business, (2) The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS''), owned by Wes-FIC and specializing in insurance products tailored to midwestern banks, and (3) Precision Steel, headquartered in Chicago and engaged in the steel warehousing and specialty metal products businesses. Consolidated net income for the two years just ended breaks down as follows (in 000s except for per-share amounts)(1): Year Ended December 31, 1998 December 31, 1997 Per Per Wesco Wesco Amount Share(2) Amount Share(2)
“正常”净经营收入如下:
Wes-FIC 和 KBS 保险业务……
精密钢铁业务……
所有其他“正常”净经营收入(损失)(3)……
""Normal'' net operating income of: Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businessesÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Precision Steel businesses ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ All other ""normal'' net operating income (loss)(3) ÏÏÏ
$34,654
3,154
(186)
$34,654 3,154 (186)
$ 4.87
.44
(.03)
$ 4.87 .44 (.03)
$ 33,507
3,622
1,133
$ 33,507 3,622 1,133
$ 4.71
.51
.16
$ 4.71 .51 .16
已实现证券净收益ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
止赎物业出售收益
Realized net securities gains ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Gain on sales of foreclosed properties ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
37,622
33,609
37,622 33,609
5.28
4.72
.08
5.28 4.72 .08
38,262
62,697
38,262 62,697
5.38
8.80
.12
5.38 8.80 .12
西科金融合并净利润
Wesco consolidated net income ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
$71,803
$71,803
$10.08
$10.08
$101,809
$101,809
$14.30
$14.30
(1) 所有数字均已扣除所得税。
(2) 每股数据基于已发行流通在外的 7,119,807 股计算。西科金融没有稀释性股本等价物。
(3) 扣除利息及其他公司费用,以及此前针对西科金融前身 Mutual Savings and Loan Association 子公司所计提的止赎房地产相关成本与费用之后。收入来源于西科金融总部办公楼的所有权收益(主要出租给外部租户)、现金等价物及保险子公司以外持有的有价证券的利息与股息收入,以及 1997 年因调低此前年度为应对止赎房地产出售可能产生的损失而计提的损失准备金所产生的收益。
(1) All Ñgures are net of income taxes. (2) Per-share data is based on 7,119,807 shares outstanding. Wesco has had no dilutive capital stock equivalents. (3) After deduction of interest and other corporate expenses, and costs and expenses associated with foreclosed real estate previously charged against Wesco's former Mutual Savings and Loan Association subsidiary. Income was from ownership of the Wesco headquarters oÇce building, primarily leased to outside tenants, interest and dividend income from cash equivalents and marketable securities owned outside the insurance subsidiaries, and, in 1997, the reduction of loss reserves provided in prior years against possible losses on sales of foreclosed real estate.
这份补充的盈利分析表与审计财务报表(遵循标准会计准则)的格式略有不同。之所以提供这份补充分析表,是因为它被认为对股东有价值。
This supplementary breakdown of earnings diÅers somewhat from that used in audited Ñnancial statements which follow standard accounting convention. The supplementary breakdown is furnished because it is considered useful to shareholders.
西科金融保险公司(Wes-FIC)
1998 年,Wes-FIC 的正常净利润为 3465.4 万美元,1997 年为 3350.7 万美元。该数字包括 1998 年的 498.7 万美元和 1997 年的 604.4 万美元,由 1996 年起被 Wes-FIC 收购的堪萨斯银行家担保公司(KBS)贡献。KBS 在下文“堪萨斯银行家担保公司”一节中讨论。
1998 年底,Wes-FIC 保留了约 2400 万美元的投资资产,由与火险基金集团(Fireman's Fund Group)的前再保险安排产生的索赔准备金抵消。该安排于 1989 年 8 月 31 日终止。然而,所有索赔需要很长时间才能结清,与此同时,Wes-FIC 将多年受益于投资“浮存金”带来的收益。
我们之前曾告知股东,Wes-FIC 已通过伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团(Wesco 的最终母公司)的转分保进入巨灾再保险业务。Wes-FIC 于 1994 年初进入巨灾再保险业务,此前其与 Mutual Savings(Wesco 的前储蓄与贷款子公司)合并,大幅提升了赔付能力。1994 年,由于 Wes-FIC 财务状况稳健,标准普尔公司授予 Wes-FIC 最高可能的赔付能力评级:AAA。
Wes-FIC 从事的巨灾再保险业务对它来说仍然非常合理。Wes-FIC 的净资产相对于正在赚取的年保费而言规模庞大。这正是任何计划成为“独立”再保险公司、承保无法安全转嫁给其他确保在重大巨灾来临时保持偿付能力的公司的超级巨灾风险,所理性需要的条件。这样的“独立”再保险公司必须是一座诺克斯堡(Fort Knox),随时准备在单一年份支付比保费收入多出数倍的赔款,以覆盖比安德鲁飓风更严重的超级巨灾造成的损失,且无需向任何其他再保险公司求助。简言之,它需要的资产负债表必须非常像 Wes-FIC 的。
关于从伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团向 Wes-FIC 转分保巨灾再保险业务,随着情况演变,其性质是:伯克希尔·哈撒韦拥有其保险集团 100% 的股权,但只拥有 Wesco 和 Wes-FIC 80% 的股权,因此,并非出于某种慈善原因,通常不会将伯克希尔·哈撒韦认为理想且按给定条件仅有低于自身所需数量的再保险业务转分保给 Wes-FIC。相反,转分保仅在有限条件下偶尔发生,并给予伯克希尔·哈撒韦一定补偿。这类转分保通常仅在以下情况发生时进行:(1)伯克希尔·哈撒韦出于某种原因(通常是整体风险限制政策),希望获得的业务量低于按给定条件可获得的量;(2)Wes-FIC 具有充足的承担风险能力;(3)Wes-FIC 支付公允的分保手续费,以覆盖获取和管理保险业务的部分成本。
Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC'') Wes-FIC's normal net income for 1998 was $34,654,000, versus $33,507,000 for 1997. The Ñgures include $4,987,000 in 1998 and $6,044,000 in 1997 contributed by The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS''), owned by Wes-FIC since 1996. KBS is discussed in the section, ""The Kansas Bankers Surety Company,'' below. At the end of 1998 Wes-FIC retained about $24 million in invested assets, oÅset by claims reserves, from its former reinsurance arrangement with Fireman's Fund Group. This arrangement was terminated August 31, 1989. However, it will take a long time before all claims are settled, and, meanwhile, Wes-FIC is being helped over many years by proceeds from investing ""Öoat.'' We previously informed shareholders that Wes-FIC had entered into the business of super-cat reinsurance through retrocessions from the Insurance Group of Berkshire Hathaway, Wesco's ultimate parent. Wes-FIC's entry into the super-cat reinsurance business early in 1994 followed the large augmentation of its claimspaying capacity caused by its merger with Mutual Savings, the former savings and loan subsidiary of Wesco. In 1994, in recognition of Wes-FIC's sound Ñnancial condition, Standard and Poor's Corporation assigned to Wes-FIC the highest possible claims-paying-ability rating: AAA. The super-cat reinsurance business, in which Wes-FIC is engaged, continues to be a very logical business for Wes-FIC. Wes-FIC has a large net worth in relation to annual premiums being earned. And this is exactly the condition rationally required for any insurance company planning to be a ""stand alone'' reinsurer covering supercatastrophe risks it can't safely pass on to others sure to remain solvent if a large super-catastrophe comes. Such a ""stand alone'' reinsurer must be a kind of Fort Knox, prepared occasionally, without calling on any other reinsurers for help, to pay out in a single year many times more than premiums coming in, as it covers losses from some super catastrophe worse than Hurricane Andrew. In short, it needs a balance sheet a lot like Wes-FIC's. In connection with the retrocessions of super-cat reinsurance to Wes-FIC from the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group, the nature of the situation as it has evolved is such that Berkshire Hathaway, owning 100% of its Insurance Group and only 80% of Wesco and Wes-FIC, does not, for some philanthropic reason, ordinarily retrocede to Wes-FIC any reinsurance business that Berkshire Hathaway considers desirable and that is available only in amounts below what Berkshire Hathaway wants for itself on the terms oÅered. Instead, retrocessions occur only occasionally, under limited conditions and with some compensation to Berkshire Hathaway. Such retrocessions ordinarily happen only when (1) Berkshire Hathaway, for some reason (usually a policy of overall risk limitation), desires lower amounts of business than are available on the terms oÅered and (2) Wes-FIC has adequate capacity to bear the risk assumed and (3) Wes-FIC pays a fair ceding commission designed to cover part of the cost of getting and managing insurance business.
总的来说,伯克希尔·哈撒韦在与部分控股子公司打交道时,会尽量向后退一步,以遵守卡多佐大法官所称的“最敏感荣誉之拘谨准则”,但不能指望它向韦斯-FIC 这样的部分控股子公司,大量且毫无保留地馈赠伯克希尔·哈撒韦的资产或业务。
鉴于伯克希尔·哈撒韦不愿向韦斯-FIC 做毫无保留的馈赠,以及近年来巨灾再保险市场机会减少,韦斯-FIC 收购转分保的巨灾再保险业务的前景往往不佳。
此外,韦斯科的股东应继续认识到,巨灾再保险不适合胆小的人。年度业绩的巨大波动是不可避免的,未来韦斯-FIC 将面临一些非常不愉快的年份。
但正是这些糟糕的可能性(在某些年份会带来巨大且令人尴尬的不利后果),在事物的本质上必须与之共存,才使得韦斯-FIC 喜欢以现在这种方式从事巨灾再保险业务。巨灾再保险的买家(尤其是明智的买家)往往希望与伯克希尔·哈撒韦的子公司打交道(因为它们拥有最高的信用评级和可靠的公司品格),而不是与其他那些不那么谨慎、直率和资金充裕的再保险公司打交道。而许多竞争性的巨灾再保险卖方,都在追求丰厚的“中介”利润,但这很难实现,因为它们必须找到一个“分保”的再保险公司,这家公司既要(1)非常精明,确保实力足够强大以支付可能的损失,又要(2)对成本毫不在意,以至于不太介意某些不愿承担任何重大风险的中介实体赚取丰厚的利润。因此,有理由预期,现有的市场力量,对于资金雄厚、纪律严明的决策者来说,能够带来可接受的长期业绩,尽管某些年份会出现可怕的亏损,而其他年份的业务机会又十分有限。我们再次重申,我们只期望获得可接受的长期结果。我们认为不可能出现暴利。
还应注意的是,韦斯-FIC 在与伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团的安排中,因利用伯克希尔·哈撒韦的整体声誉而获得了特殊的业务获取优势。综合所有情况来看,目前支付的 3% 的分保手续费对韦斯-FIC 来说是相当公平的。显然,伯克希尔·哈撒韦不会向伯克希尔·哈撒韦关联集团以外的任何实体提供如此优厚的条件。
最后,我们重复一项关于韦斯-FIC 巨灾再保险业务获取机制的重要披露。当伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团提供再保险的转分保业务时,让加州的人员为韦斯-FIC 做出复杂的接受或拒绝决定是不切实际的。但幸运的是,做出原始业务获取决策的伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团高管,深受笔者敬佩和信任,并且他们会“自食其果”。在这种情况下,根据笔者的建议,韦斯科和韦斯-FIC 的董事会已简单地批准,将一家或多家全资拥有的伯克希尔·哈撒韦子公司提供的再保险转分保业务,自动分给韦斯-FIC。
Generally, Berkshire Hathaway, in dealing with partly owned subsidiaries, tries to lean over a little backward in an attempt to observe what Justice Cardozo called ""the punctilio of an honor the most sensitive,'' but it cannot be expected to make large and plain giveaways of Berkshire Hathaway assets or business to a partially owned subsidiary like Wes-FIC. Given Berkshire Hathaway's unwillingness to make plain giveaways to Wes-FIC and reductions in opportunities in the super-cat reinsurance market in recent years, prospects are often poor for Wes-FIC's acquisition of retroceded super-cat reinsurance. Moreover, Wesco shareholders should continue to realize that super-cat reinsurance is not for the faint of heart. A huge variation in annual results, with some very unpleasant future years for Wes-FIC, is inevitable. But it is precisely what must, in the nature of things, be associated with these bad possibilities, with their huge and embarrassing adverse consequences in occasional years, that makes Wes-FIC like its way of being in the super-cat business. Buyers (particularly wise buyers) of super-cat reinsurance often want to deal with Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries (possessing as they do the highest possible credit ratings and a reliable corporate personality) instead of other reinsurers less cautious, straightforward and well endowed. And many competing sellers of super-cat reinsurance are looking for a liberal ""intermediary's'' proÑt, hard to get because they must Ñnd a ""layoÅ'' reinsurer both (1) so smart that it is sure to stay strong enough to pay possible losses yet (2) so casual about costs that it is not much bothered by a liberal proÑt earned by some intermediary entity not willing to retain any major risk. Thus the forces in place can rationally be expected to cause acceptable long-term results for well-Ñnanced, disciplined decision makers, despite horrible losses in some years and other years of restricted opportunity to write business. And, again, we wish to repeat that we expect only acceptable long-term results. We see no possibility for bonanza. It should also be noted that Wes-FIC, in the arrangements with the Insurance Group of Berkshire Hathaway, receives a special business-acquisition advantage from using Berkshire Hathaway's general reputation. Under all the circumstances, the 3% ceding commission now being paid seems more than fair to Wes-FIC. Certainly and obviously, Berkshire Hathaway would not oÅer terms so good to any other entity outside the Berkshire Hathaway aÇliated group. Finally, we repeat an important disclosure about Wes-FIC's super-cat-reinsurance-acquisition mechanics. It is impractical to have people in California make complex accept-or-reject decisions for Wes-FIC when retrocessions of reinsurance are oÅered by the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group. But, happily, the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group executives making original business-acquisition decisions are greatly admired and trusted by the writer and will be ""eating their own cooking.'' Under such circumstances, Wesco's and Wes-FIC's boards of directors, on the writer's recommendation, have simply approved automatic retrocessions of reinsurance to Wes-FIC as oÅered by one or more wholly owned Berkshire
哈撒韦子公司。每份转分保合同均应立即由韦斯-FIC 在内布拉斯加州的代理人以书面形式接受,这些代理人同时也是伯克希尔·哈撒韦全资子公司的受薪雇员。此外,每份转分保合同都将按保费的 3% 支付分出佣金。最后,必须满足两个条件:(1)韦斯-FIC 承担的风险不超过 20%(在考虑分出佣金的影响之前);(2)伯克希尔·哈撒韦全资子公司必须保留相同风险的至少 80%(同样,不考虑分出佣金的影响)。
Hathaway subsidiaries. Each retrocession is to be accepted forthwith in writing in Nebraska by agents of Wes-FIC who are at the same time salaried employees of wholly owned subsidiaries of Berkshire Hathaway. Moreover, each retrocession will be made at a 3%-of-premiums ceding commission. Finally, two conditions must be satisÑed: (1) Wes-FIC must get 20% or less of the risk (before taking into account eÅects from the ceding commission) and (2) wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries must retain at least 80% of the identical risk (again, without taking into account eÅects from the ceding commission). We will not ordinarily describe individual super-cat reinsurance contracts in full detail to Wesco shareholders. That would be contrary to our competitive interest. Instead, we will try to summarize reasonably any items of very large importance. Will more reinsurance be later available to Wes-FIC through Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries on the basis and using the automatic procedure we have above described? Well, we have often proved poor prognosticators. We can only say that we hope so and that more reinsurance should come, albeit irregularly and with long intermissions. No new contracts became available to Wes-FIC in 1998. As of 1998 yearend, the one remaining super-cat contract, plus one other contract, not a super-cat contract, represented Wes-FIC's active reinsurance business. We continue to examine other possible insurance-writing opportunities, and also insurance company acquisitions, like and unlike the purchase of KBS. Wes-FIC is now a very strong insurance company, with very low costs, and, one way or another, in the future as in the past, we expect to continue to Ñnd and seize at least a few sensible insurance opportunities. On super-cat reinsurance accepted by Wes-FIC to date (March 8, 1999) there has been no loss whatsoever that we know of, but some ""no-claims'' contingent commissions have been paid to original cessors of business (i.e., cessors not including Berkshire Hathaway). Super-cat underwriting proÑt of $1.4 million, before taxes, beneÑted 1998 earnings, versus $2.3 million in 1997. The balance of pre-tax underwriting proÑt amounted to $1.9 million for 1998 and $2.8 million for 1997. These Ñgures came mostly from favorable revision of loss reserves on the old Fireman's Fund contract. The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS'') KBS, purchased by Wes-FIC in 1996 for approximately $80 million in cash, contributed $4,987,000 to the normal net operating income of the insurance businesses in 1998 and $6,044,000 in 1997, after reductions for goodwill amortization under consolidated accounting convention of $782,000 each year. The results of KBS have been combined with those of Wes-FIC, and are included in the foregoing table in the category, "" 'normal' net operating income of Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businesses.'' KBS was chartered in 1909 to underwrite deposit insurance for Kansas banks. Its oÇces are in Topeka, Kansas. Over the years its service has continued to adapt to the changing needs of the banking industry. Today its customer base, consisting mostly of small and medium-sized community banks, is spread throughout 25 mainly midwestern states. In addition to bank deposit guaranty bonds which insure deposits in excess of FDIC coverage, KBS also oÅers directors and oÇcers indemnity policies, bank employment practices policies, bank annuity and mutual funds indemnity policies and bank insurance agents professional errors and omissions indemnity policies. The principal change in KBS's operations in 1998 was a large reduction in insurance premiums ceded to reinsurers, eÅective January 1, 1998. The increased volume of business retained (94% in 1998 versus 58% in 1997) accompanied reduced underwriting income during 1998. However, KBS's combined ratio remained much better than average for insurers, at 62.2% for 1998, versus 37.2% for 1997 and 29.3% for 1996, and we expect volatile but favorable long-term eÅects from increased insurance retained. Part of KBS's continuing insurance volume is now ceded through reinsurance to other Berkshire subsidiaries under reinsurance arrangements whereunder such other Berkshire subsidiaries take 50% and unrelated reinsurers take the other 50%. KBS is run by Donald Towle, President, assisted by 15 dedicated oÇcers and employees. Precision Steel The businesses of Wesco's Precision Steel subsidiary, headquartered in the outskirts of Chicago at Franklin Park, Illinois, contributed $3,154,000 to normal net operating income in 1998, compared with $3,622,000 in 1997. The decrease in proÑt occurred as revenues decreased 2%, despite a 5% increase in pounds of product sold, and was attributable mainly to expenditures necessitated to upgrade computers and computer systems to ensure that Precision Steel's order-taking and other data processing systems continue to function accurately beyond December 31, 1999. Under the skilled leadership of David Hillstrom, Precision Steel's businesses in 1998 continued to provide an excellent return on resources employed. Tag Ends from Savings and Loan Days All that now remains outside Wes-FIC but within Wesco as a consequence of Wesco's former involvement with Mutual Savings, Wesco's long-held savings and loan subsidiary, is a small real estate subsidiary, MS Property Company, that holds tag ends of assets and liabilities with a net book value of about $13 million. MS Property Company's results of operations, immaterial versus Wesco's present size, are included in the foregoing breakdown of earnings within ""all other 'normal' net operating income (loss).'' Of course, the main tag end from Wesco's savings and loan days is 28,800,000 shares of Freddie Mac, purchased by Mutual Savings for $72 million at a time when Freddie Mac shares could be lawfully owned only by a savings and loan association. This holding, with a market value of $1.9 billion at yearend 1998, now reposes in Wes-FIC. All Other ""Normal'' Net Operating Income or Loss All other ""normal'' net operating income or loss, net of interest paid and general corporate expenses, decreased to an after-tax loss of $186,000 in 1998 from an aftertax proÑt of $1,133,000 in 1997. Sources were (1) rents ($2,921,000 gross) from Wesco's Pasadena oÇce property (leased almost entirely to outsiders, including California Federal Bank as the ground Öoor tenant), and (2) interest and dividends from cash equivalents and marketable securities held outside the insurance subsidiaries, less (3) costs and expenses of liquidating tag-end foreclosed real estate. Income in 1998 was lower because (1) reversals of reserves for possible losses on sales of such tag end real estate, expensed in prior years, beneÑted earnings by about $1.1 million in 1997, and (2) lower dividends were received in 1998 after forced conversion of preferred stock of Citigroup Inc. (""Citigroup'') into lower-dividendpaying common stock. The 1998 and 1997 ""other 'normal' net operating income or loss'' Ñgures also include intercompany charges for interest expense ($102,000 and $172,000 after taxes, respectively) on borrowings from Wes-FIC. This intercompany interest expense does not aÅect Wesco's consolidated net income inasmuch as the same amount is included as interest income in Wes-FIC's ""normal'' net operating income. Net Securities Gains and Losses Wesco's earnings contained securities gains of $33,609,000, after income taxes, for 1998, versus $62,697,000, after taxes, for 1997. The entire 1998 Ñgure resulted from sales of marketable securities. Of the 1997 Ñgure, only $93,000 was realized through the sale of securities; the balance, $62,604,000, resulted from the exchange of the preferred and common shares of Salomon Inc (""Salomon'') owned by Wesco for preferred and common shares of The Travelers Group Inc. (""Travelers'') late in 1997 in connection with the merger of Salomon with a subsidiary of Travelers. Accounting standards require that the fair (market) value of shares received in such an exchange be recorded as the new cost basis as of the date of the exchange, with the diÅerence, after appropriate reserves for future income tax on the gain, recognized in the Ñnancial statements as a realized after-tax gain. For income tax purposes the exchange is recorded at the original cost of the securities exchanged; no gain is reported on the tax return until the securities are sold. Although the realized gains materially impacted Wesco's reported earnings for each year, they had a very minor impact on Wesco's shareholders' equity. Inasmuch as the greater portion of each year's realized gains had previously been reÖected in the unrealized gain component of Wesco's shareholders' equity, those amounts were merely switched from unrealized gains to retained earnings, another component of shareholders' equity.
我们通常不会向西科股东详细描述个别的巨灾再保险合同,这不符合我们的竞争利益。相反,我们会尽量合理总结任何极其重要的事项。
未来韦斯-FIC 能否基于上述基础和自动程序,从伯克希尔·哈撒韦子公司获得更多再保险?嗯,我们常常是糟糕的预测者。我们只能说希望如此,并且应该会有更多再保险业务,尽管时间不规律且间隔很长。1998 年,韦斯-FIC 没有获得任何新合同。截至 1998 年底,仅存的一笔巨灾再保险合同,加上另一笔非巨灾再保险合同,构成了韦斯-FIC 的活跃再保险业务。
我们继续考察其他可能的保险承保机会,以及保险公司收购机会,无论相似与否,比如收购 KBS。
韦斯-FIC 现在是一家实力非常雄厚的保险公司,成本极低。无论如何,未来我们将一如既往,期望能继续发现并抓住至少一些合理的保险机会。
对于韦斯-FIC 迄今(1999 年 3 月 8 日)接受的巨灾再保险业务,我们已知没有任何损失。但已向原始分出人(即不包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦的分出人)支付了一些“无索赔”或有佣金。1998 年,税前巨灾再保险承保利润为 140 万美元,对当年收益有所贡献,而 1997 年为 230 万美元。1998 年税前承保利润的其余部分为 190 万美元,1997 年为 280 万美元。这些数字主要来自对旧有 Fireman's Fund 合同赔款准备金的有利修订。
堪萨斯银行担保公司(“KBS”)
KBS 于 1996 年被韦斯-FIC 以约 8000 万美元现金收购。在按合并会计惯例每年摊销 78.2 万美元商誉后,KBS 在 1998 年为保险业务的正常净经营收益贡献了 498.7 万美元,1997 年贡献了 604.4 万美元。KBS 的经营业绩已与韦斯-FIC 的合并,并包含在前述表格“韦斯-FIC 和 KBS 保险业务之‘正常’净经营收益”类别中。
KBS 成立于 1909 年,宗旨是为堪萨斯州的银行承保存款保险。其办公室位于堪萨斯州托皮卡。多年来,其服务不断适应银行业不断变化的需求。如今,其客户群主要由中小型社区银行组成,遍布 25 个州,主要集中在中西部。除了为超过 FDIC 承保范围的存款提供银行存款担保债券外,KBS 还提供董事及高级职员赔偿保单、银行雇佣行为保单、银行年金及共同基金赔偿保单,以及银行保险代理人职业错误与遗漏赔偿保单。
1998 年 KBS 运营的主要变化是,自 1998 年 1 月 1 日起,大幅减少了分给再保险人的保费。自留业务量的增加(1998 年为 94%,而 1997 年为 58%)伴随着 1998 年承保收入的减少。然而,KBS 的综合成本率仍远优于保险公司平均水平,1998 年为 62.2%,而 1997 年为 37.2%,1996 年为 29.3%。我们预计,自留保险增加将带来波动但有利的长期影响。目前,KBS 持续保险业务的一部分,通过再保险安排分给了其他伯克希尔子公司,此类安排下,其他伯克希尔子公司承担 50%,非关联再保险人承担另外 50%。
KBS 由总裁唐纳德·托尔(Donald Towle)领导,共有 15 名尽职尽责的高级职员和员工。
精密钢铁公司
西科旗下精密钢铁子公司总部位于伊利诺伊州富兰克林公园的芝加哥郊区。1998 年,其为正常净经营收益贡献了 315.4 万美元,而 1997 年为 362.2 万美元。利润下降的原因是,虽然产品销售量增长了 5%,但收入下降了 2%,这主要归因于为升级计算机和计算机系统以确保精密钢铁的订单接收及其他数据处理系统在 1999 年 12 月 31 日之后仍能准确运行而产生的必要支出。
在戴维·希尔斯特罗姆(David Hillstrom)的精明领导下,精密钢铁的 1998 年业务继续为所用资源提供了极佳的回报。
储蓄与贷款时代的残余
如今,因西科此前参与 Mutual Savings(西科长期持有的储蓄与贷款子公司)而留在韦斯-FIC 之外但属于西科的,仅剩一家小型房地产子公司 MS Property Company,它持有账面净值约 1300 万美元的资产和负债残余。MS Property Company 的经营业绩相对于西科目前的规模而言微不足道,已包含在上述收益分解的“所有其他‘正常’净经营收益(亏损)”中。
当然,西科储蓄与贷款时代的主要残余是 2880 万股房地美股票。这些股票由 Mutual Savings 以 7200 万美元购入,当时房地美股票只能由储蓄与贷款协会合法持有。这项持股在 1998 年底的市值为 19 亿美元,目前归入韦斯-FIC 名下。
所有其他“正常”净经营收益或亏损
所有其他“正常”净经营收益或亏损(扣除利息支出和一般公司费用后)从 1997 年的税后利润 113.3 万美元下降到 1998 年的税后亏损 18.6 万美元。其来源包括:(1)西科帕萨迪纳办公物业的租金(毛额 292.1 万美元,几乎全部租给外部租户,包括加州联邦银行作为底层租户);(2)保险子公司以外持有的现金等价物和有价证券的利息和股息,扣除(3)清算残余止赎房地产的成本和费用。1998 年收入较低的原因是:(1)此前几年计为费用的此类残余房地产可能销售损失的准备金转回,在 1997 年使收益增加了约 110 万美元;(2)1998 年,花旗集团优先股被迫转换为股息较低的普通股后,收到的股息减少。1998 年和 1997 年的“其他‘正常’净经营收益或亏损”数字还包括因向韦斯-FIC 借款而产生的公司间利息费用(税后分别为 10.2 万美元和 17.2 万美元)。此项公司间利息费用不影响西科的合并净利润,因为相同金额已作为利息收入包含在韦斯-FIC 的“正常”净经营收益中。
证券净损益
西科 1998 年的收益包含税后证券利得 3360.9 万美元,而 1997 年税后为 6269.7 万美元。1998 年的全部数字均来自有价证券出售。在 1997 年的数字中,只有 9.3 万美元是通过证券出售实现的;其余 6260.4 万美元源于 1997 年末,西科将其持有的所罗门公司的优先股和普通股,与旅行者集团公司的优先股和普通股进行交换,这与所罗门并入旅行者子公司有关。会计准则要求,此类交换中收到股份的公允(市场)价值应记录为交换日的新成本基础,差额在扣除未来所得税准备后,在财务报表中确认为已实现税后收益。就所得税目的而言,该交换按被交换证券的原成本入账;在证券出售之前,纳税申报表上不报告收益。
尽管已实现利得对西科各年报告收益产生了重大影响,但对其股东权益的影响非常小。由于每年已实现利得的大部分此前已反映在西科股东权益的未实现利得部分中,这些金额只是从未实现利得转移到了留存收益(股东权益的另一组成部分)。
可转换优先股持股
截至 1998 年底,西科及其子公司持有原始成本为 2000 万美元的可转换优先股,该优先股因 1998 年末旅行者与花旗银行合并而成为花旗集团的可转换优先股。旅行者优先股本身是在 1997 年(见前文)通过交换西科集团持有的剩余所罗门优先股获得的,该等优先股原始成本为 2000 万美元,其成本在交换日上调至 4500 万美元。该发行人要求在 1999 年 10 月 31 日按面值 2000 万美元赎回,除非在此之前转换为 892105 股普通股。截至 1998 年 12 月 31 日,该投资在西科合并资产负债表上以公允价值 4400 万美元列报(即当时普通股的大致市价),根据会计惯例,其调整后成本与市价之间 100 万美元的差额(扣除所得税影响后)从股东权益中扣除,而不影响报告净利润。此可转换优先股是在西科母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦以相同每股价格获得额外相同股票的同时获得的。
截至 1997 年底,西科的合并财务报表反映了一笔对美国航空集团公司 9.25% 可转换优先股的投资,该投资由西科于 1989 年按面值 1200 万美元购入;当我们于 1994 年判定其价值出现了非暂时性下跌时,该数字被调减至 300 万美元。1998 年初,美国航空要求赎回该优先股。在生效日之前,西科将其优先股投资转换为 309718 股美国航空普通股,并以 2173.8 万美元出售,为财务报表确认了 1873.8 万美元的利得(税后 1218 万美元)。然而,就纳税申报而言,仅实现利得 973.8 万美元(税后 633 万美元),因为 1994 年的 900 万美元减值不允许扣除。
合并资产负债表及相关讨论
如随附财务报表所示,根据会计师按惯例计算,西科的净资产从 1997 年底的 17.6 亿美元(每股西科 248 美元)增加到 1998 年底的 22.2 亿美元(每股西科 312 美元)。
1998 年报告净资产增加 4.595 亿美元是三个因素的结果:(1)投资持续增值(扣除未来资本利得税后)带来的 3.958 亿美元;(2)1998 年净利润 7180 万美元;减去(3)支付的股息 810 万美元。
上述每股 312 美元的账面价值近似于清算价值,假设西科所有非证券资产在税后能以账面价值清算。可能这个假设过于保守。但我们计算的清算价值不太可能低于实际每股西科两到三美元,因为(1)西科合并房地产持有的清算价值
Convertible Preferred Stockholdings At the end of 1998, Wesco and its subsidiaries owned $20,000,000, at original cost, in convertible preferred stock which by merger of Travelers and Citicorp late in 1998 became convertible preferred stock of Citigroup. The Travelers preferred stock, itself, was received in 1997 (see the preceding section) in exchange for the Wesco group's remaining shares of Salomon preferred stock, which originally cost $20,000,000, and whose cost was adjusted upwards to $45,000,000 as of the date of the exchange. The issue requires redemption at par value of $20,000,000 on October 31, 1999, if not converted to 892,105 shares of common stock before that date. The investment is carried on Wesco's consolidated balance sheet at fair value of $44,000,000 as of December 31, 1998, the approximate market value of the common shares at that date, with the $1,000,000 diÅerence between its adjusted cost and market value deducted from shareholders' equity, net of income tax eÅect, without aÅecting reported net income, according to accounting convention. The convertible preferred stock was obtained at the same time Wesco's parent corporation, Berkshire Hathaway, obtained additional amounts of the same stock at the same price per share. Through yearend 1997, Wesco's consolidated Ñnancial statements reÖected an investment in 9.25% convertible preferred stock of US Airways Group, Inc., acquired by Wesco at par of $12,000,000 in 1989; that Ñgure was adjusted down to $3,000,000 when we decided in 1994 that an other-than-temporary decline in the value of its stock had occurred. Early in 1998, US Airways called the preferred stock for redemption. Prior to the eÅective date, Wesco converted its preferred stock investment to 309,718 shares of US Airways common stock and sold the latter for $21,738,000, realizing a gain of $18,738,000 for Ñnancial statement purposes ($12,180,000 after taxes). For tax return purposes, however, only $9,738,000 of gain ($6,330,000 after taxes) will be realized, because the $9,000,000 writedown in 1994 was not deductible. Consolidated Balance Sheet And Related Discussion As indicated in the accompanying Ñnancial statements, Wesco's net worth increased, as accountants compute it under their conventions, to $2.22 billion ($312 per Wesco share) at yearend 1998 from $1.76 billion ($248 per Wesco share) at yearend 1997. The $459.5 million increase in reported net worth in 1998 was the result of three factors: (1) $395.8 million resulting from continued net appreciation of investments after provision for future taxes on capital gains; plus (2) $71.8 million from 1998 net income; less (3) $8.1 million in dividends paid. The foregoing $312-per-share book value approximates liquidation value assuming that all Wesco's non-security assets would liquidate, after taxes, at book value. Probably, this assumption is too conservative. But our computation of liquidation value is unlikely to be too low by more than two or three dollars per Wesco share, because (1) the liquidation value of Wesco's consolidated real estate holdings
(目前有趣的可能性几乎完全在于西科金融在帕萨迪纳办公楼物业中的权益)仅含 12.5 万净可租平方英尺,并且(2)其他资产(主要是精密钢铁公司)的未实现增值,相对于西科金融的整体规模而言,不可能大到足以显著改变其整体税后清算价值的计算结果。
当然,只要西科金融不清算,也不出售任何增值资产,它就实际上从政府那里获得了一笔无息“贷款”,金额等于其在确定净资产时扣除的、针对未实现收益的递延所得税。这笔来自政府的无息“贷款”正为西科金融的股东创造价值,到 1998 年底,这笔贷款约为每股西科金融股票 127 美元。
但是,总有一天,也许很快,随着资产被出售,这笔无息“贷款”的大部分必须被偿还。因此,西科金融的股东并不能永久享有每股 127 美元的价值优势。相反,西科金融股东所享有的优势的现值,在逻辑上必然远低于每股 127 美元。在笔者看来,西科金融从其暂时的、无息的“贷款”中获得的优势价值,在 1998 年底可能约为每股西科金融股票 30 美元。
在估算出这笔无息“贷款”所蕴含的优势价值之后,就可以对西科金融的每股内在价值做出一个合理的近似。这个近似很简单,只需将(1)每股西科金融股票中来自无息“贷款”的优势价值与(2)每股西科金融股票的清算价值相加即可。其他人可能有不同看法,但笔者看来,上述方法在估算西科金融每股内在价值时是合理的。
因此,如果 1998 年底来自递延税款的无息“贷款”的优势价值为每股西科金融股票 30 美元,而当时的税后清算价值约为每股 312 美元(笔者看来这组数字是合理的),那么西科金融 1998 年底的每股内在价值将约为 342 美元,比 1997 年底类似计算所猜测的内在价值高出 25%。最后,将这个在笔者看来合理的、每股 342 美元的内在价值估算值与 1998 年 12 月 31 日西科金融股票每股 354.1 美元的售价进行比较,比较结果表明,当时西科金融股票的交易价格高出内在价值约 4%。
随着西科金融的未实现收益在泡沫化的证券市场中持续增长,应该记住的是,这些收益会受市场波动影响,可能出现大幅下跌,且无法保证其最终能完全实现。未实现的税后收益占西科金融 1998 年底股东权益的 76%(而一年前和两年前分别为 73% 和 70%)。
综合考虑各种因素,西科金融目前的业务质量和人员素质,仍远不及伯克希尔·哈撒韦。西科金融并非一个同样出色但规模较小的伯克希尔·哈撒韦,也并非因其规模较小而更易增长。相反,西科金融每一美元的账面价值所提供的内在价值,仍然明显低于伯克希尔·哈撒韦每一美元账面价值。而且,近年来,账面价值内在品质上的这种差距一直在扩大,对伯克希尔·哈撒韦有利。
尽管如此,我们并不试图根据当前的股票市场报价来评估西科金融与伯克希尔·哈撒韦股票之间的相对投资吸引力。从长期来看,我们目前对业务扩张并不悲观。尽管目前整个企业的市场极度乐观,使得西科金融很难找到有吸引力的机会,但我们并不相信这样的机会永远不会到来。
1999 年 1 月 13 日,西科金融将其常规股息从每股 28.5 美分提高到每股 29.5 美分,于 1999 年 3 月 10 日支付,股权登记日为 1999 年 2 月 10 日营业结束时。
本年度报告包含 10-K 表格,这是一份向美国证券交易委员会提交的报告,其中包含有关西科金融及其子公司的详细信息,以及经过审计并附有大量脚注的财务报表。如常,恳请您对这些内容给予仔细关注。
(where interesting potential now lies almost entirely in Wesco's equity in its oÇce property in Pasadena) containing only 125,000 net rentable square feet, and (2) unrealized appreciation in other assets (primarily Precision Steel) cannot be large enough, in relation to Wesco's overall size, to change very much the overall computation of after-tax liquidating value. Of course, so long as Wesco does not liquidate, and does not sell any appreciated assets, it has, in eÅect, an interest-free ""loan'' from the government equal to its deferred income taxes on the unrealized gains, subtracted in determining its net worth. This interest-free ""loan'' from the government is at this moment working for Wesco shareholders and amounted to about $127 per Wesco share at yearend 1998. However, some day, perhaps soon, major parts of the interest-free ""loan'' must be paid as assets are sold. Therefore, Wesco's shareholders have no perpetual advantage creating value for them of $127 per Wesco share. Instead, the present value of Wesco's shareholders' advantage must logically be much lower than $127 per Wesco share. In the writer's judgment, the value of Wesco's advantage from its temporary, interest-free ""loan'' was probably about $30 per Wesco share at yearend 1998. After the value of the advantage inhering in the interest-free ""loan'' is estimated, a reasonable approximation can be made of Wesco's intrinsic value per share. This approximation is made by simply adding (1) the value of the advantage from the interest-free ""loan'' per Wesco share and (2) liquidating value per Wesco share. Others may think diÅerently, but the foregoing approach seems reasonable to the writer as a way of estimating intrinsic value per Wesco share. Thus, if the value of the advantage from the interest-free tax-deferral ""loan'' present was $30 per Wesco share at yearend 1998, and after-tax liquidating value was then about $312 per share (Ñgures that seem rational to the writer), Wesco's intrinsic value per share would become about $342 per share at yearend 1998, up 25% from intrinsic value as guessed in a similar calculation at the end of 1997. And, Ñnally, this reasonable-to-this-writer, $342-per-share Ñgure for intrinsic per share value of Wesco stock should be compared with the $354∂ per share price at which Wesco stock was selling on December 31, 1998. This comparison indicates that Wesco stock was then selling about 4% above intrinsic value. As Wesco's unrealized appreciation has continued to grow in frothy markets for securities, it should be remembered that it is subject to market Öuctuation, possibly dramatic on the downside, with no guaranty as to its ultimate full realization. Unrealized after-tax appreciation represents 76% of Wesco's shareholders' equity at 1998 yearend), versus 73% and 70% one and two years earlier. Business and human quality in place at Wesco continues to be not nearly as good, all factors considered, as that in place at Berkshire Hathaway. Wesco is not an equally-good-but-smaller version of Berkshire Hathaway, better because its small size makes growth easier. Instead, each dollar of book value at Wesco continues plainly to provide much less intrinsic value than a similar dollar of book value at Berkshire Hathaway. Moreover, the quality disparity in book value's intrinsic merits has, in recent years, been widening in favor of Berkshire Hathaway. All that said, we make no attempt to appraise relative attractiveness for investment of Wesco versus Berkshire Hathaway stock at present stock-market quotations. We are not now pessimists, on a long-term basis, about business expansion. Despite present super-ebullient markets for entire businesses, making it hard for Wesco to Ñnd attractive opportunities, we do not believe that such opportunities will never come. On January 13, 1999 Wesco increased its regular dividend from 28¥ cents per share to 29¥ cents per share, payable March 10, 1999, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 10, 1999. This annual report contains Form 10-K, a report Ñled with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and includes detailed information about Wesco and its subsidiaries as well as audited Ñnancial statements bearing extensive footnotes. As usual, your careful attention is sought with respect to these items.
1999 年 3 月 8 日
查尔斯·T·芒格
董事会主席
Charles T. Munger Chairman of the Board March 8, 1999