Wesco金融董事长致股东信1999(伯克希尔·哈撒韦官方镜像)
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION
致股东的信
各位股东:
1999 日历年度,合并后的“正常”净经营利润(即下表中非常规项目出现前的数字)从上一年的 3762.2 万美元(每股 5.28 美元)增至 4590.4 万美元(每股 6.44 美元)。合并净利润(即下表中非常规项目出现后的数字)从上一年的 7180.3 万美元(每股 10.08 美元)降至 5414.3 万美元(每股 7.60 美元)。
1999 年底,Wesco 有三家主要子公司:(1) Wesco-Financial Insurance Company(“Wes-FIC”),总部位于奥马哈,主要从事再保险业务;(2) Kansas Bankers Surety Company(“KBS”),由 Wes-FIC 全资拥有,专为美国中西部银行定制保险产品;(3) Precision Steel,总部位于芝加哥,从事钢材仓储和特种金属产品业务。截至过去两年的合并净利润明细如下(除每股数据外,金额单位均为千美元)(1):
| 年份 | 截至 12 月 31 日,1999 年 | 截至 12 月 31 日,1998 年 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 金额 | 每股 | 金额 | 每股(2) | |
| Wesco 经营利润 | ||||
| 承保损失 | ||||
| 净投资收益 | ||||
| 其他收入 | ||||
| 所得税 | ||||
| 少数股东权益 | ||||
| 非常规项目前利润 | 45,904 | $6.44 | 37,622 | $5.28 |
| 非常规项目(税后) | 8,239 | 34,181 | ||
| 合并净利润 | 54,143 | $7.60 | 71,803 | $10.08 |
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS To Our Shareholders: Consolidated ""normal'' net operating income (i.e., before irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) for the calendar year 1999 increased to $45,904,000 ($6.44 per share) from $37,622,000 ($5.28 per share) in the previous year. Consolidated net income (i.e., after irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) decreased to $54,143,000 ($7.60 per share) from $71,803,000 ($10.08 per share) in the previous year. Wesco had three major subsidiaries at yearend 1999: (1) Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC''), headquartered in Omaha and engaged principally in the reinsurance business, (2) The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS''), owned by Wes-FIC and specializing in insurance products tailored to midwestern banks, and (3) Precision Steel, headquartered in Chicago and engaged in the steel warehousing and specialty metal products businesses. Consolidated net income for the two years just ended breaks down as follows (in 000s except for per-share amounts)(1): Year Ended December 31, 1999 December 31, 1998 Per Per Wesco Wesco (2) Amount Share Amount Share(2)
“正常”净营业收入:
西克金融(Wes-FIC)和 KBS 保险业务
精密钢铁业务
其他所有“正常”净营业收入(亏损)(3)
""Normal'' net operating income of: Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businesses ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Precision Steel businessesÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ All other ""normal'' net operating income (loss)(3) ÏÏÏÏ
$43,610
2,532
(238)
$43,610 2,532 (238)
$6.12
.35
(.03)
$6.12 .35 (.03)
$34,654
3,154
(186)
$34,654 3,154 (186)
$ 4.87
.44
(.03)
$ 4.87 .44 (.03)
已实现的证券净收益
止赎房产销售收入
Realized net securities gainsÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Gain on sales of foreclosed properties ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
45,904
7,271
45,904 7,271
6.44
1.02
.14
6.44 1.02 .14
37,622
33,609
37,622 33,609
5.28
4.72
.08
5.28 4.72 .08
西科金融合并净利润ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
Wesco consolidated net incomeÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
$54,143
$54,143
$7.60
$7.60
$71,803
$71,803
$10.08
$10.08
(1) 所有数字均已扣除所得税。
(2) 每股数据基于 7,119,807 股流通股计算。西科金融没有稀释性资本股票等价物。
(3) 扣除利息及其他公司费用,以及此前因西科金融前互惠储蓄与贷款子公司相关的止赎不动产所计提的成本和费用后。收入来源包括:西科金融总部办公大楼的租金收入(主要租户为外部租户)、现金等价物及保险子公司以外持有的有价证券的利息和股息收入,以及 1999 年对以前年度为贷款销售和止赎不动产可能损失而计提的损失准备金进行的冲减。
(1) All Ñgures are net of income taxes. (2) Per-share data is based on 7,119,807 shares outstanding. Wesco has had no dilutive capital stock equivalents. (3) After deduction of interest and other corporate expenses, and costs and expenses associated with foreclosed real estate previously charged against Wesco's former Mutual Savings and Loan Association subsidiary. Income was from ownership of the Wesco headquarters oÇce building, primarily leased to outside tenants, interest and dividend income from cash equivalents and marketable securities owned outside the insurance subsidiaries, and, in 1999, the reduction of loss reserves provided in prior years against possible losses on sales of loans and foreclosed real estate.
这份补充盈利细目与按标准会计惯例编制的经审计财务报表略有不同。之所以提供这份补充细目,是因为股东认为它有用。
西科金融保险公司(“Wes-FIC”)
Wes-FIC 1999 年的正常净利润为 4361 万美元,而 1998 年为 3465.4 万美元。这些数字包括了 1999 年贡献的 641.5 万美元和 1998 年贡献的 498.7 万美元。
This supplementary breakdown of earnings diÅers somewhat from that used in audited Ñnancial statements which follow standard accounting convention. The supplementary breakdown is furnished because it is considered useful to shareholders. Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC'') Wes-FIC's normal net income for 1999 was $43,610,000, versus $34,654,000 for 1998. The Ñgures include $6,415,000 in 1999 and $4,987,000 in 1998 contributed by
自 1996 年起由西科金融旗下公司 Wes-FIC 持有的堪萨斯银行家担保公司(以下简称 KBS),在下文“堪萨斯银行家担保公司”部分有专门讨论。
1999 年底,Wes-FIC 保留了约 2100 万美元的投资资产,这些资产由来自其先前与 Fireman's Fund 集团再保险安排下的索赔准备金所冲抵。这项安排在 1989 年 8 月 31 日终止。不过,所有索赔了结还需要很长时间,与此同时,多年以来,Wes-FIC 一直受益于对“浮存金”进行投资所获得的收益。
此外,Wes-FIC 从事巨灾再保险业务已有数年,我们在 1999 年之前的年报中对此有极其详尽的描述,西科股东应每年重读这些年报。Wes-FIC 还从事其他再保险业务,包括与我们之前跟 Fireman's Fund 集团签订的再保险合同相似或不相似的大额及小额比例再保险安排。
在我们近期出售的所有再保险业务中,我们的母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦旗下的其他子公司,以相同条款向相同客户出售了四倍于我们的再保险,不同之处在于,这些子公司通常会从我们这里收取一笔相当于 Wes-FIC 通过它们获得的保费收入的 3% 的割让佣金。除了这项割让佣金,Wes-FIC 几乎没有保险获取或保险管理成本。
本年度(2000 年)早些时候,Wes-FIC 提供了一笔公司内部贷款,为下文讨论的 CORT 商业服务公司的收购价款提供了绝大部分资金。
Wes-FIC 依然是一家实力非常雄厚的保险公司,成本极低,并且,无论以何种方式,像过去一样,我们期望在未来将继续发现并抓住至少少数明智的保险机会。
就 Wes-FIC 迄今(2000 年 3 月 3 日)已接受的巨灾再保险而言,我们一无所知,没有任何损失发生,但已经向原业务分出人(即不包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦的分出人)支付了一些“无索赔”的或有佣金。每年 140 万美元的税前巨灾再保险承保利润为 1999 年和 1998 年的收益做出了贡献。1999 年税前承保利润总额为 300 万美元,1998 年为 190 万美元。这些数字主要来自对旧的 Fireman's Fund 合同索赔准备金的有利修订。
西科股东应继续意识到,近期出色的承保业绩之后,必然会在某个时候,因 Wes-FIC 承保的巨灾或其他保险业务,出现一次或多次糟糕的承保损失。
堪萨斯银行家担保公司(KBS)
KBS 于 1996 年被 Wes-FIC 以约 8000 万美元现金购入,在 1999 年为保险业务的正常净营业收入贡献了 641.5 万美元,1998 年贡献了 498.7 万美元,上述金额已根据合并会计准则,分别扣除了每年 78.2 万美元的商誉摊销。其业绩
The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS''), owned by Wes-FIC since 1996. KBS is discussed in the section, ""The Kansas Bankers Surety Company,'' below. At the end of 1999 Wes-FIC retained about $21 million in invested assets, oÅset by claims reserves, from its former reinsurance arrangement with Fireman's Fund Group. This arrangement was terminated August 31, 1989. However, it will take a long time before all claims are settled, and, meanwhile, Wes-FIC is being helped over many years by proceeds from investing ""Öoat.'' In addition, Wes-FIC has been engaged for several years in super-cat reinsurance, described in great detail in our pre-1999 annual reports, which Wesco shareholders should re-read each year. Wes-FIC also engages in other reinsurance business, including large and small quota share arrangements similar and dissimilar to our previous reinsurance contract with Fireman's Fund Group. In all recent reinsurance sold by us, other subsidiaries of our 80%-owning parent, Berkshire Hathaway, sold four times as much reinsurance to the same customers on the same terms, except that such subsidiaries usually take from us a 3%-of-premiums ceding commission on premium volume passed through them to Wes-FIC. Excepting this ceding commission, Wes-FIC has virtually no insurance-acquisition or insurance administration costs. Early in the current year (2000) Wes-FIC made an intracompany loan that funds a large majority of the purchase price of CORT Business Services Corporation, discussed below. Wes-FIC remains a very strong insurance company, with very low costs, and, one way or another, in the future as in the past, we expect to continue to Ñnd and seize at least a few sensible insurance opportunities. On super-cat reinsurance accepted by Wes-FIC to date (March 3, 2000) there has been no loss whatsoever that we know of, but some ""no-claims'' contingent commissions have been paid to original cessors of business (i.e., cessors not including Berkshire Hathaway). Super-cat underwriting proÑt of $1.4 million a year, before taxes, beneÑted earnings in 1999 and 1998. The balance of pre-tax underwriting proÑt amounted to $3.0 million for 1999 and $1.9 million for 1998. These Ñgures came mostly from favorable revision of loss reserves on the old Fireman's Fund contract. Wesco shareholders should continue to realize that recent marvelous underwriting results are sure to be followed, sometime, by one or more horrible underwriting losses from super-cat or other insurance written by Wes-FIC. The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS'') KBS, purchased by Wes-FIC in 1996 for approximately $80 million in cash, contributed $6,415,000 to the normal net operating income of the insurance businesses in 1999 and $4,987,000 in 1998, after reductions for goodwill amortization under consolidated accounting convention of $782,000 each year. The results of
KBS 已与 Wes-FIC 合并,并纳入上表中“Wes-FIC 和 KBS 保险业务的‘正常’净经营利润”类别。
KBS 成立于 1909 年,最初为堪萨斯州银行提供存款保险承保业务。其办公室位于堪萨斯州托皮卡市。多年来,其服务持续调整,以适应银行业不断变化的需求。如今,其客户群主要由中小型社区银行组成,遍布 25 个州,主要集中在中西部。除提供银行存款担保债券(用于保障超出 FDIC 覆盖范围的存款)外,KBS 还提供董事及高级职员赔偿保险、银行雇佣行为保险、银行年金及共同基金赔偿保险,以及银行保险代理人职业过失及遗漏赔偿保险。
KBS 运营模式发生重大变化是在 1998 年,当时大幅减少了分保给再保险公司的保费。留存业务量增加(1999 年 95%、1998 年 94%,而 1997 年为 58%),使得 1999 年的承保收入在 1998 年下降后略有回升。KBS 的综合成本率远优于行业平均水平:1999 年 59.4%、1998 年 62.2%,而 1997 年为 37.2%。我们预计,留存保险增加会带来波动但长期的有利影响。
KBS 目前一部分持续保单通过再保险安排分保给伯克希尔其他子公司,这些子公司承担 50%,无关再保险公司承担另外 50%。
KBS 由总裁唐纳德·托尔(Donald Towle)管理,由 15 名敬业的官员和员工协助。
CORT 商业服务公司(“CORT”)
2000 年 2 月,Wesco 以 3.84 亿美元现金收购了 CORT 商业服务公司(“CORT”)100% 股权。此外,CORT 保留约 4500 万美元的原有债务。
CORT 是一家历史悠久的公司,是美国租赁租户无意购买的家具领域的领导者。行业内,人们将 CORT 的业务称为“租-租”(rent-to-rent),以区别于“租-购”(lease-to-purchase)业务——后者本质上是家具的分期付款销售。
不过,正如 Hertz 作为短期租车公司必须精通二手车销售一样,CORT 也必须且擅长销售二手家具。
1999 年,CORT 总收入为 3.54 亿美元,其中 2.95 亿美元为家具租赁收入,5900 万美元为家具销售收入。1999 年 CORT 的税前利润为 4600 万美元。
KBS have been combined with those of Wes-FIC, and are included in the foregoing table in the category, "" 'normal' net operating income of Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businesses.'' KBS was chartered in 1909 to underwrite deposit insurance for Kansas banks. Its oÇces are in Topeka, Kansas. Over the years its service has continued to adapt to the changing needs of the banking industry. Today its customer base, consisting mostly of small and medium-sized community banks, is spread throughout 25 mainly midwestern states. In addition to bank deposit guaranty bonds which insure deposits in excess of FDIC coverage, KBS also oÅers directors and oÇcers indemnity policies, bank employment practices policies, bank annuity and mutual funds indemnity policies and bank insurance agents professional errors and omissions indemnity policies. A signiÑcant change in KBS's operations occurred in 1998 and consisted of a large reduction in insurance premiums ceded to reinsurers. The increased volume of business retained (95% in 1999 and 94% in 1998 compares with 58% in 1997) accompanied slightly higher underwriting income for 1999 after a reduction in the amount for 1998. KBS's combined ratio remained much better than average for insurers, at 59.4% for 1999 and 62.2% for 1998, versus 37.2% for 1997, and we expect volatile but favorable long-term eÅects from increased insurance retained. Part of KBS's continuing insurance volume is now ceded through reinsurance to other Berkshire subsidiaries under reinsurance arrangements whereunder such other Berkshire subsidiaries take 50% and unrelated reinsurers take the other 50%. KBS is run by Donald Towle, President, assisted by 15 dedicated oÇcers and employees. CORT Business Services Corporation (""CORT'') In February 2000, Wesco purchased 100% of CORT Business Services Corporation (""CORT'') for $384 million in cash. In addition, CORT retains about $45 million of previously existing debt. CORT is a very long established company that is the country's leader in rentals of furniture that lessees have no intention of buying. In the trade, people call CORT's activity ""rent-to-rent'' to distinguish it from ""lease-to-purchase'' businesses that are, in essence, installment sellers of furniture. However, just as Hertz, as a rent-to-rent auto lessor in short-term arrangements, must be skilled in selling used cars, CORT must be and is skilled in selling used furniture. In 1999, CORT had total revenues of $354 million. Of this, $295 million was furniture rental revenue and $59 million was furniture sales revenue. CORT's pre-tax earnings in 1999 were $46 million.
因此,西科金融实际上支付了 3.84 亿美元,买来了 4600 万美元的税前利润。约 60% 的收购价格归因于商誉,这是资产负债表上的一项无形资产。
交易完成后,西科金融的合并资产负债表上将包含约 2.6 亿美元的商誉(包括西科 1996 年收购堪萨斯银行担保公司带来的 2900 万美元商誉)。按全年计算,西科未来报告的盈利将因商誉摊销(大部分不可抵税)而减少约 600 万美元。然而,我们并不认为这一会计扣减反映了盈利驱动型商誉的任何实际减损。
关于 CORT 交易的更多细节,见随附财务报表的附注 8 以及本年报的最后一页,请仔细阅读。
CORT 长期由现年 53 岁的保罗·阿诺德领导,他是一位明星级管理者,长期担任 CORT 首席执行官的成绩就令人信服地证明了这一点。保罗将继续担任 CORT 首席执行官,西科总部不会干涉。对一位拥有如此业绩纪录的商业人士指手画脚,那简直是疯了。我们非常高兴保罗和 CORT 能加入西科,并期望 CORT 的业务和盈利在未来年份能有可观的扩张。
精密钢铁公司
西科旗下精密钢铁子公司的业务,总部位于伊利诺伊州富兰克林公园(芝加哥郊区),1999 年贡献了 253.2 万美元的正常经营净利润,而 1998 年为 315.4 万美元。1999 年净利润减少了 62.2 万美元,尽管产品销售磅数增加了 2.5%,主要原因是主要原材料成本下降时,竞争压低了价格。用于支付运营费用的毛利总额减少了。精密钢铁 1999 年和 1998 年的经营业绩也分别反映了约 22.5 万美元和 35 万美元的税后支出,这些支出是升级计算机和计算机系统所必需的,以确保精密钢铁的订单接收及其他数据处理系统在 1999 年 12 月 31 日之后继续准确运行。
我们怀着复杂的心情报告,担任精密钢铁总裁兼首席执行官超过二十年的戴维·希尔斯托姆于 1999 年下半年退休,特里·派珀当选接替他的职位。特里能力非常强,对精密钢铁并不陌生。他大约四十年前加入公司做销售员,稳步晋升,并在过去十三年里担任精密钢铁旗下精密品牌产品子公司的总裁兼总经理。特里现在肩负着继承前任领导职责的重任;在两人的技能组合下,精密钢铁的业务在 1999 年继续为使用的资源提供了卓越的回报。
Thus, in essence, Wesco paid $384 million for $46 million in pre-tax earnings. About 60% of the purchase price was attributable to goodwill, an intangible balance sheet asset. After the transaction, Wesco's consolidated balance sheet will contain about $260 million in goodwill (including $29 million from Wesco's 1996 purchase of Kansas Bankers Surety). On a full year basis, Wesco's future reported earnings will be reduced by about $6 million on account of mostly-non-tax-deductible amortization of goodwill. We do not believe, however, that this accounting deduction reÖects any real deterioration in earnings-driving goodwill in place. More details with respect to the CORT transaction are contained in Note 8 to the accompanying Ñnancial statements, and on the last page of this annual report, to which careful attention is directed. CORT has long been headed by Paul Arnold, age 53, who is a star executive as is convincingly demonstrated by his long record as CEO of CORT. Paul will continue as CEO of CORT, with no interference from Wesco headquarters. We would be crazy to second-guess a man with his record in business. We are absolutely delighted to have Paul and CORT within Wesco and hope to see a considerable expansion of CORT's business and earnings in future years. Precision Steel The businesses of Wesco's Precision Steel subsidiary, headquartered in the outskirts of Chicago at Franklin Park, Illinois, contributed $2,532,000 to normal net operating income in 1999, compared with $3,154,000 in 1998. The $622,000 decrease in 1999 net income occurred despite a 2.5% increase in pounds of product sold, and reÖects mainly the pounding which competition gave to prices as costs of principal raw materials declined. Fewer dollars of gross proÑt were available to absorb operating expenses. Precision Steel's operations for 1999 and 1998 also reÖect after-tax expenditures of approximately $225,000 and $350,000, respectively, necessitated to upgrade computers and computer systems to ensure that Precision Steel's order-taking and other data processing systems continue to function accurately beyond December 31, 1999. It is with mixed emotions that we report that David Hillstrom, President and Chief Executive oÇcer of Precision Steel for more than twenty years, retired in the latter part of 1999 and that Terry Piper was elected to replace him. Terry is a very able man and is no stranger to Precision Steel. He joined it as a salesman approximately forty years ago, steadily advanced, and served as President and General Manager of Precision Steel's Precision Brand Products subsidiary for the last thirteen years. Terry now has the responsibility of carrying on the leadership of his predecessor; and, under their combined skills, Precision Steel's businesses in 1999 continued to provide an excellent return on resources employed.
储蓄与贷款时代的残余物
如今,西科金融因曾涉足穆图阿尔储蓄公司(Wesco 长期持有的储蓄与贷款子公司)而遗留在西科金融内部、但在西科-金融公司之外的全部资产,只剩下一个规模很小的房地产子公司——MS 房地产公司,它持有账面净值约 1500 万美元的零星资产和负债。MS 房地产公司的经营业绩相对于西科金融目前的规模微不足道,已包含在上述“其他‘正常’净经营收入(亏损)”的收益细分中。
当然,西科金融储蓄与贷款时代的主要残余物是对房地美普通股的投资。这笔投资由穆图阿尔储蓄公司以 7200 万美元买入,当时房地美股票只能由储蓄与贷款协会合法持有。截至 1999 年末,西科-金融公司持有的 2880 万股房地美股票市值为 14 亿美元。
其他“正常”净经营收入或亏损
其他“正常”净经营收入或亏损(扣除已支付利息及一般公司费用后)在 1999 年和 1998 年分别为税后亏损 23.8 万美元和 18.6 万美元。来源包括:(1) 西科金融位于帕萨迪纳的办公楼物业租金收入(1999 年毛租金 286.2 万美元,几乎全部租给外部租户,包括底层租户加州联邦银行);(2) 保险子公司以外持有的现金等价物及有价证券产生的利息和股息;减去 (3) 清算零星止赎房地产产生的成本和费用。1999 年亏损扩大,是因为当年花旗集团优先股被迫转换为股息较低的普通股后,收到的股息减少。1999 年和 1998 年的“其他‘正常’净经营收入或亏损”数字还包括对西科-金融公司借款的利息支出(税后分别为 35.3 万美元和 10.2 万美元)。这项关联公司间利息支出不影响西科金融的合并净利润,因为相同金额已作为利息收入计入西科-金融公司的“正常”净经营收入。1999 年的“其他‘正常’净经营收入或亏损”因冲回前几年计提的贷款销售及零星房地产潜在损失准备金而获益约 80 万美元。
证券净损益
西科金融 1999 年实现的证券收益为税后 727.1 万美元,而 1998 年为税后 3360.9 万美元。
尽管已实现收益对西科金融各年的报告收益产生了重大影响,但它们对西科金融股东权益的影响却微乎其微。由于每年已实现收益的绝大部分此前已反映在西科金融股东权益的未实现收益部分中,这些金额仅仅是从未实现收益转入了留存收益——股东权益的另一组成部分。
Tag Ends from Savings and Loan Days All that now remains outside Wes-FIC but within Wesco as a consequence of Wesco's former involvement with Mutual Savings, Wesco's long-held savings and loan subsidiary, is a small real estate subsidiary, MS Property Company, that holds tag ends of assets and liabilities with a net book value of about $15 million. MS Property Company's results of operations, immaterial versus Wesco's present size, are included in the foregoing breakdown of earnings within ""all other 'normal' net operating income (loss).'' Of course, the main tag end from Wesco's savings and loan days is an investment in Freddie Mac common stock, purchased by Mutual Savings for $72 million at a time when Freddie Mac shares could be lawfully owned only by a savings and loan association. The 28,800,000 shares owned by Wes-FIC at yearend 1999 had a market value of $1.4 billion. All Other ""Normal'' Net Operating Income or Loss All other ""normal'' net operating income or loss, net of interest paid and general corporate expenses, amounted to after-tax losses of $238,000 in 1999 and $186,000 in 1998. Sources were (1) rents ($2,862,000 gross in 1999) from Wesco's Pasadena oÇce property (leased almost entirely to outsiders, including California Federal Bank as the ground Öoor tenant), and (2) interest and dividends from cash equivalents and marketable securities held outside the insurance subsidiaries, less (3) costs and expenses of liquidating tag-end foreclosed real estate. The loss widened in 1999 because fewer dividends were received during the year after forced conversion of preferred stock of Citigroup Inc. (""Citigroup'') into lower-dividend-paying common stock. The ""other 'normal' net operating income or loss'' Ñgures for 1999 and 1998 also include intercompany charges for interest expense ($353,000 and $102,000 after taxes, respectively) on borrowings from Wes-FIC. This intercompany interest expense does not aÅect Wesco's consolidated net income inasmuch as the same amount is included as interest income in Wes-FIC's ""normal'' net operating income. ""Other 'normal' net operating income or loss'' beneÑted in 1999 by about $800,000 caused by reversals of reserves for possible losses on sales of loans and tag-end real estate, expensed in prior years. Net Securities Gains and Losses Wesco's earnings contained securities gains of $7,271,000, after income taxes, for 1999, versus $33,609,000, after taxes, for 1998. Although the realized gains materially impacted Wesco's reported earnings for each year, they had a very minor impact on Wesco's shareholders' equity. Inasmuch as the greater portion of each year's realized gains had previously been reÖected in the unrealized gain component of Wesco's shareholders' equity, those amounts were merely switched from unrealized gains to retained earnings, another component of shareholders' equity.
合并资产负债表及相关讨论
如附表所示,按会计师的惯例计算,西科金融的净资产从 1998 年末的 22.2 亿美元(每股 312 美元)下降到 1999 年末的 19 亿美元(每股 266 美元)。净资产报告的这一缩水来自(1)1999 年净利润贡献的 5410 万美元;减去(2)投资市值在扣除未来资本利得税后减少的 3.741 亿美元;再减去(3)支付的 840 万美元股息。
前述每股 266 美元的账面价值,假设西科所有非证券资产在税后能以账面价值清算,那么这一数字就近似清算价值。这个假设可能过于保守了。但我们认为,对清算价值的估算不太可能被低估超过每股 2 到 3 美元,原因是(1)西科合并房地产持有(其中几乎全部有潜力的部分如今都集中在西科帕萨迪纳办公楼权益上,该办公楼仅有 12.5 万平方英尺净可租面积)的清算价值,加上(2)其他资产(主要是精密钢铁公司)的未实现增值,相对于西科的整体规模,都不足以大幅改变整体税后清算价值的计算结果。
当然,只要西科不清盘,也不出售任何已增值资产,它就等于从政府那里获得了一笔无息“贷款”,其金额等于计算净资产时扣除的、针对未实现收益的递延所得税。这笔来自政府的无息“贷款”目前正为西科股东效力,在 1999 年末累计每股约 99 美元。然而,总有那么一天,或许很快,随着资产被出售,这笔无息“贷款”的大部分必须偿还。因此,西科股东并不能永远享有这笔每股 99 美元的价值优势。相反,西科股东这项优势的现值,逻辑上必然远低于每股 99 美元。在笔者看来,1999 年末,西科从其临时性的无息“贷款”中所获优势的价值,可能约为每股 20 美元。
在估算出无息“贷款”所含优势的价值后,就可以合理近似出西科的每股内在价值。这个近似值只需将(1)每股无息“贷款”优势的价值与(2)每股清算价值相加即可得出。别人可能持不同看法,但笔者觉得上述方法在估算西科每股内在价值时是合理的。因此,如果 1999 年末无息递延税款“贷款”优势的价值为每股 20 美元,而税后清算价值当时约为每股 266 美元(笔者看来这些数字是合理的),那么西科的每股内在价值在 1999 年末就将约为 286 美元,相比 1998 年末的内在价值,下降了约 16%。
Consolidated Balance Sheet and Related Discussion As indicated in the accompanying Ñnancial statements, Wesco's net worth decreased, as accountants compute it under their conventions, to $1.90 billion ($266 per Wesco share) at yearend 1999 from $2.22 billion ($312 per Wesco share) at yearend 1998. The $328.4 million decrease in reported net worth in 1999 was the result of (1) $54.1 million from 1999 net income; less (2) a $374.1 million decrease in the market value of investments after provision for future taxes on capital gains; and (2) $8.4 million in dividends paid. The foregoing $266-per-share book value approximates liquidation value assuming that all Wesco's non-security assets would liquidate, after taxes, at book value. Probably, this assumption is too conservative. But our computation of liquidation value is unlikely to be too low by more than two or three dollars per Wesco share, because (1) the liquidation value of Wesco's consolidated real estate holdings (where interesting potential now lies almost entirely in Wesco's equity in its oÇce property in Pasadena containing only 125,000 net rentable square feet), and (2) unrealized appreciation in other assets (primarily Precision Steel) cannot be large enough, in relation to Wesco's overall size, to change very much the overall computation of after-tax liquidating value. Of course, so long as Wesco does not liquidate, and does not sell any appreciated assets, it has, in eÅect, an interest-free ""loan'' from the government equal to its deferred income taxes on the unrealized gains, subtracted in determining its net worth. This interest-free ""loan'' from the government is at this moment working for Wesco shareholders and amounted to about $99 per Wesco share at yearend 1999. However, some day, perhaps soon, major parts of the interest-free ""loan'' must be paid as assets are sold. Therefore, Wesco's shareholders have no perpetual advantage creating value for them of $99 per Wesco share. Instead, the present value of Wesco's shareholders' advantage must logically be much lower than $99 per Wesco share. In the writer's judgment, the value of Wesco's advantage from its temporary, interest-free ""loan'' was probably about $20 per Wesco share at yearend 1999. After the value of the advantage inhering in the interest-free ""loan'' is estimated, a reasonable approximation can be made of Wesco's intrinsic value per share. This approximation is made by simply adding (1) the value of the advantage from the interest-free ""loan'' per Wesco share and (2) liquidating value per Wesco share. Others may think diÅerently, but the foregoing approach seems reasonable to the writer as a way of estimating intrinsic value per Wesco share. Thus, if the value of the advantage from the interest-free tax-deferral ""loan'' was $20 per Wesco share at yearend 1999, and after-tax liquidating value was then about $266 per share (Ñgures that seem rational to the writer), Wesco's intrinsic value per share would become about $286 per share at yearend 1999, down 16% from intrinsic
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按照 1998 年底类似计算推测出的内在价值。另外,在笔者看来,西科股票每股内在价值 286 美元的合理估值,应与 1999 年 12 月 31 日西科股票每股 245 美元的市场价格进行比较。这一比较显示,当时西科股票的售价低于内在价值约 14%。
1999 年,西科的投资组合所遭受的市值下跌幅度超过了其应有的比例。去年我们曾表示:“随着西科未实现收益在泡沫化的证券市场中持续增长,应当牢记的是,这部分收益会随市场波动,下跌幅度可能非常剧烈,其最终能否全部实现并无保证。” 我们几家被投资规模最大的公司股票在 1999 年的表现远远落后于市场。我们持有的可流通证券价值能否迅速回升,并无定数。截至 1999 年底,未实现税后收益占西科股东权益的 69%,而一年前和两年前这一比例分别为 76% 和 73%。
综合考虑所有因素,西科目前的业务质量和人员素质仍然远不及伯克希尔·哈撒韦。西科并不是一个同样优秀但规模较小的伯克希尔,也没有因为规模小、增长更容易而变得更好。相反,西科每 1 美元账面价值所对应的内在价值,明显低于伯克希尔·哈撒韦每 1 美元账面价值。而且,近年来,在账面价值内在质量的差距上,伯克希尔·哈撒韦的优势还在扩大。
尽管如此,我们并不试图根据当前股票市场报价来评估西科股票与伯克希尔·哈撒韦股票的相对投资吸引力。
西科董事会最近将常规股息从每股 29.5 美分提高至 30.5 美分,于 2000 年 3 月 8 日向 2000 年 2 月 9 日营业结束时登记在册的股东派发。
本年度报告包含提交给美国证券交易委员会的 10-K 表格,其中详细介绍了西科及其子公司的信息,以及附有大量注释的经审计财务报表。如往常一样,恳请您对此予以仔细关注。
value as guessed in a similar calculation at the end of 1998. And, Ñnally, this reasonable-to-this-writer, $286-per-share Ñgure for intrinsic per share value of Wesco stock should be compared with the $245 per share price at which Wesco stock was selling on December 31, 1999. This comparison indicates that Wesco stock was then selling about 14% below intrinsic value. Wesco's investment portfolio suÅered more than its commensurate share of decline in market value in 1999. Last year, we said ""as Wesco's unrealized appreciation has continued to grow in frothy markets for securities, it should be remembered that it is subject to market Öuctuation, possibly dramatic on the downside, with no guaranty as to its ultimate full realization .'' The stock of several of our largest investees lagged the market in 1999 by a large margin. It's no sure thing that the value of our marketable securities will quickly recover. Unrealized after-tax appreciation represented 69% of Wesco's shareholders' equity at 1999 yearend, versus 76% and 73% one and two years earlier. Business and human quality in place at Wesco continues to be not nearly as good, all factors considered, as that in place at Berkshire Hathaway. Wesco is not an equally-good-but-smaller version of Berkshire Hathaway, better because its small size makes growth easier. Instead, each dollar of book value at Wesco continues plainly to provide much less intrinsic value than a similar dollar of book value at Berkshire Hathaway. Moreover, the quality disparity in book value's intrinsic merits has, in recent years, been widening in favor of Berkshire Hathaway. All that said, we make no attempt to appraise relative attractiveness for investment of Wesco versus Berkshire Hathaway stock at present stock-market quotations. The Board of Directors recently increased Wesco's regular dividend from 29¥ cents per share to 30¥ cents per share, payable March 8, 2000, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 9, 2000. This annual report contains Form 10-K, a report Ñled with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and includes detailed information about Wesco and its subsidiaries as well as audited Ñnancial statements bearing extensive footnotes. As usual, your careful attention is sought with respect to these items.
查理·T·芒格
董事会主席
2000 年 3 月 3 日
Charles T. Munger Chairman of the Board March 3, 2000