我不会袖手旁观
我,看来,是个“外国财阀”。我捐给英国脱欧辩论中留欧阵营的巨额资金是“带毒的”,应该立刻退还。我应该“滚出”英国政治。这一切都源于我几天前举办的一场晚宴。我从未隐瞒过我对脱欧的反对,事实上,在公投时我就在《星期日邮报》上相当公开地阐述了我的立场。
I am, it seems, a ‘foreign plutocrat’. The considerable sum of money I’ve donated to the Remain side of the Brexit debate is ‘tainted’ and should be handed back immediately. I should ‘butt out’ of British politics. All of this grew out of a dinner party I hosted just a few days ago. I have never made any secret of my opposition to Brexit and, indeed, I made my case quite openly in the pages of The Mail on Sunday at the time of the referendum.
然而,最有害的是,我被指责“破坏民主”——这真是一项严重的指控,我想正面回应它。
Yet, most damaging of all, I find myself accused of ‘undermining democracy’ – and it is this rather serious charge I would like to address head on.
也许我可以谈谈我的背景,以及为什么这个国家和民主对我如此重要。
Perhaps I could say a little about my background and why this country and democracy matter quite so much to me.
我人生的决定性经历是 1944 年纳粹德国对匈牙利的占领。作为犹太人,如果不是父亲为我家人和许多其他犹太人安排了假身份证件和藏身处,我可能已经丧命。我在 13 岁时就明白了什么样的政治体制占上风有多么重要。
The formative experience of my life was the occupation of Hungary by Nazi Germany in 1944. Being Jewish, I would probably have perished had my father not arranged false identity papers and hiding places for his family and many other Jews. I learned at the age of 13 just how important it is what kind of political regime prevails.
纳粹占领之后是共产主义统治,我觉得那令人窒息,于是我逃离了匈牙利,在英国找到了避难所,当时那里对难民的态度比现在好得多。我在这个国家待了 9 年,成了一个坚定的亲英派。
Nazi occupation was followed by communist rule, which I found so stifling that I escaped Hungary and found refuge in England, where refugees were then treated much better than nowadays. I spent nine years in this country and became a confirmed Anglophile.
1956 年,工作把我带到了纽约,但英国依然在我心中占据重要位置。我在伦敦仍有一处房子,每年都会在那里住一段时间。
Work took me to New York in 1956, but Britain remained close to my heart. I still have a house in London and spend part of each year there.
尽管前财政大臣拉蒙特勋爵可能会批评我作为外国人的介入,但知道我在英国长期拥有企业或许对他有帮助——这就像鲁珀特·默多克一样,他是美国公民,著名脱欧派。
While former Chancellor Lord Lamont might criticise my involvement as a foreigner, it might help him to know I also have long had businesses in Britain – in much the same way as has Rupert Murdoch, an American citizen and well-known Brexiteer.
好处是,我们这两个“外国人”都非常乐意给英国经济带来就业机会。
The good thing is that both of us ‘foreigners’ have been more than happy to bring jobs to the UK economy.
年轻时,我在英国度过的岁月对我影响很大。我得以进入伦敦政治经济学院,在那里遇到了伟大的奥地利哲学家卡尔·波普尔,他成了我的导师。
As a young man, I was greatly influenced by the years I spent in Britain. I was able to go to the London School of Economics, where I encountered the great Austrian philosopher Karl Popper, who became my mentor.
在他的影响下,我学会了区分开放社会——人们选举他们的领导人,领导人应该为选民的利益服务——和封闭社会——统治者剥削他们控制下的人民。
Under his influence I came to distinguish between an open society – in which people elect their leaders, who are supposed to serve the interests of their electorate – and a closed society, in which rulers exploit the people under their control.
我热切信仰前者,这就是为什么我最终决定成立开放社会基金会,并将我的财富用于传播开放民主的好处,帮助那些遭受压迫的人。
I believe passionately in the former, and this is why I eventually decided to establish the Open Society Foundations and devote my wealth to spreading the benefits of open democracy and helping those that suffer repression.
开放社会的特征是冷静、理性的讨论,不带有我们近日所见的恶毒、人身攻击。
Open society is characterised by calm, rational discussion, free from the toxic, personal criticism we have seen in recent days.
我自豪地支持“最佳英国”组织,该组织希望英国继续留在欧盟。我认为脱欧是一个悲剧性错误。
I am a proud supporter of Best For Britain, a group that wants Britain to remain a member of the European Union. I consider Brexit a tragic mistake.
脱欧前,英国拥有两全其美的局面:它既是欧盟成员,又未采用欧元。
Prior to Brexit, Britain enjoyed the best of all possible worlds: it was a member of the European Union without adopting the euro.
就成员国身份举行公投是一个致命错误。经验表明,公投往往导致糟糕的决定。在肆无忌惮的煽动者的鼓动下,人们借此表达对现状的不满,而不去思考后果。现状不令人满意,并不意味着它不会变得更糟。这正是英国发生的情况。
Allowing a referendum on membership was a fatal error. Experience has shown that referenda often lead to bad decisions. Egged on by unscrupulous agitators, people use them to express their dissatisfaction with the current state of affairs rather than contemplating the consequences. The fact that conditions are unsatisfactory does not mean they can’t get worse. That is what has happened in Britain.
脱欧对英国和欧洲都是一个双输的局面。政治上,没有英国的欧洲在捍卫和促进民主价值观方面的能力将被削弱。
Brexit is a lose-lose proposition both for Britain and for Europe. Politically, Europe without Britain will be weakened in its ability to defend and promote democratic values.
欧洲将因缺少英国推动必要制度改革的压力而受损。经济上,欧洲将失去其第三大经济体以及自由经济政策的最强倡导者。
Europe will suffer from the absence of British pressure for the necessary institutional reforms. Economically, Europe will lose its third-largest economy and its strongest advocate of liberal economic policies.
脱欧后的英国将失去大部分全球影响力。经济上,英国将遭受损失,因为与欧洲长达 45 年的成功一体化将发生逆转。离婚是一个极具破坏性的过程;不存在友好离婚这回事。
Britain, outside Europe, will lose much of its global influence. Economically, Britain will suffer because 45 years of successful integration with Europe will go into reverse. Divorce is a very destructive process; there is no such thing as a friendly divorce.
认为经济分离能在两年内完成是种幻觉。这至少需要五年,甚至可能更长。这个过程将把英国和欧洲从朋友变成敌人,至少在过渡期是这样。公投前,英国的经济表现优于欧洲其他国家。但现在情况已经逆转,欧洲大陆经济势头强劲,而英国却落后了。
It is an illusion to think economic separation can be accomplished in just two years. It will take at least five years and possibly much longer. This process will change Britain and Europe from friends into foes, at least during the transitional period. Before the referendum Britain was doing better economically than the rest of Europe. But this has now been reversed, with continental economies powering ahead while Britain lags behind.
脱欧带来的不确定性对英国经济的影响,将在未来六个月随着离婚进程进入最具争议的阶段而变得更加痛苦明显。
The effect of the uncertainties created by Brexit on the UK economy will become much more painfully obvious in the next six months as the divorce process enters its most contentious phase.
更糟的是,离婚进程将在未来数年内占据英国和欧洲的主要精力,而此时它们本应团结起来抵抗像普京治下的俄罗斯这样的外部敌人,并解决让一些人视欧盟为敌人的内部矛盾。
To make matters worse, the divorce process will preoccupy both Britain and Europe for years ahead, when they should be uniting to resist external enemies like Putin’s Russia and resolve the internal contradictions that made some people regard the EU as their enemy.
脱欧让两党制变得过时。左右的旧有区分已被亲欧或反欧所掩盖。保守党显然是右翼政党,工党是左翼政党,但各自内部在对待脱欧的态度上都存在分裂。
Brexit has rendered the two-party system outdated. The old distinction between Left and Right is overshadowed by being either pro- or anti-European. The Conservatives are clearly the party of the Right and Labour the party of the Left, but each is internally divided in its attitude towards Brexit.
这极大地复杂化了脱欧谈判,使英国难以决定其对欧立场,更难以修改这一立场。
This complicates the Brexit negotiations immensely and makes it difficult for Britain to decide its position towards Europe and even more difficult to modify it.
脱欧也在年轻人和老年人之间分裂了英国政治。尽管我已经 87 岁,但我非常关心那些将生活在我永远看不到的未来里的年轻人。35 岁以下的人绝大多数投票留欧,只有 55 岁以上的人中支持脱欧的选民占多数。
Brexit has also split British politics between young and old. Even though I am 87, I think a lot about young people who will live in a future I will never see. People under 35 voted overwhelmingly Remain and it was only over 55 that a majority of voters supported Brexit.
年长选民否决了年轻选民的意见,而后者将在未来数十年承受脱欧的后果。这加剧了年轻人对民主的幻灭感。这也带来了英国最终可能想重新加入欧盟的前景。
Old voters have overruled young voters who will have to live with the consequences of Brexit for decades ahead. This is aggravating the disillusionment with democracy among young people. It also raises the prospect that Britain will eventually want to rejoin the EU.
欧洲的大门在未来或许会敞开,但如果英国现在离开,它永远无法以同样优惠的条件重新加入欧盟。
The doors of Europe may be open in the future, but if Britain leaves now it will never be able to rejoin the EU on the same favourable terms.
既然脱欧是双输,那么议会投票阻止脱欧就恰恰相反。
Since Brexit is a lose-lose proposition, it follows that a parliamentary vote to stop Brexit would be its opposite.
但仅仅逆转 52:48 的脱欧多数票是不够的。留欧的多数票必须大得多,才能让欧洲相信英国对欧洲的态度发生了根本性转变,其决定值得认真对待。
But a mere reversal of the 52:48 majority for Brexit is not enough. The majority for staying would have to be significantly larger to convince Europe that Britain’s attitude towards Europe has fundamentally changed and its decision deserves to be taken seriously.
趋势正在朝正确的方向发展。问题是如何加速其势头,使其在未来 6 到 9 个月内达到一个临界点。
The trend is moving in the right direction. The question is how its momentum can be accelerated so that it reaches a tipping point in the next six to nine months.
这里存在一个鸡生蛋还是蛋生鸡的问题:选民需要推动他们的议员,让他们有勇气反抗政党领导层;而选民需要被激励,不仅去投票,还要在政治中发挥积极作用。
There is a chicken-or-egg problem: the electorate needs to push their MPs to give them the courage to rebel against the party leadership, and the electorate needs to be motivated not just to vote but to take an active role in politics.
“最佳英国”试图通过汇聚所有因渴望英国留在欧洲而团结起来的力量来打破僵局。它得到了我全心全意的支持。
Best For Britain seeks to break the logjam by bringing together all the various forces that are united by their aspiration for Britain to remain part of Europe. It has my wholehearted support.