从安然事件中学习

2002 (explicit) · memo · 原文约 8969 词
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Memo to:

Memo to:

Oaktree Clients

Oaktree Clients

From:

From:

Howard Marks

Howard Marks

Re:

Re:

从安然事件中学习

Learning From Enron

调查直到六月才告结束……证词揭露了触目惊心的腐败,……对普遍认同的诚实与公平交易标准的广泛背弃,……以及利用错综复杂的公司欺诈手段中种种恶劣可能性的无情盘剥。公众因目睹对受托责任的玩世不恭的漠视而深感激愤……

这像是为安然公司起草的事后检讨的一部分?有可能,但并非如此。这段话摘自我最喜欢的一本书之一——《华尔街的誓言》。该书写于 1939 年,作者是费迪南德·佩科拉,他曾担任参议院银行与货币委员会顾问,负责调查 1929 年大崩盘,后来升任纽约最高法院法官。书中叙述了 20 世纪 20 年代商业银行与投资银行家的无耻行径,正是这些行径促成了证券交易委员会的设立,以及至今仍约束我们行业的证券法的颁布。那些银行家的行为充斥着自利交易、利益冲突和严重的欺诈。

换言之,回顾 20 世纪 20 年代,提醒我们历史有重演之势。

The investigation was not completed until June . . . The testimony had brought to light a shocking corruption, . . . a widespread repudiation of widespread standards of honesty and fair dealing . . . and a merciless exploitation of the vicious possibilities of intricate corporate chicanery. The public had been deeply aroused by the spectacle of cynical disregard of fiduciary duty . . . Part of a draft post-mortem for Enron? Could be, but it's not. It's a passage from one of my favorite books, "Wall Street Under Oath." The book was written in 1939 by Ferdinand Pecora, who served as Counsel for the Senate Committee on Banking and Currency investigating the Crash of '29 and went on to become a Justice of the Supreme Court of New York. It recounts the outrageous 1920s conduct of commercial/investment bankers that inspired the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the enactment of securities laws that govern our industry to this day. The bankers' conduct was rife with self-dealing, conflicts of interest and gross dishonesty. In other words, reviewing the 1920s reminds us of history's tendency to repeat.

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我们能从安然事件中学到什么?

What Can We Learn From Enron?

12 月 5 日《华尔街日报》上那篇关于安然公司的报道让我深受触动。文章标题是“安然陨落背后,一种在公众视野之外运作的文化”,部分内容如下:

安然是典型的例子:对金融信息的披露少之又少,而事后看来,这些信息正是理解这家复杂公司的关键所在……直到最后才浮出水面的安然文化,本身就埋藏着它崩溃的种子——这种文化充满高度可疑的金融工程、失实的盈余,以及持续让投资者蒙在鼓里的企图。

安然的高管公然无视基本的利益冲突准则。公司雇来大批律师和会计师,帮它在字面上满足联邦证券法的要求,却在实质上践踏了这些法律的意图。它越来越擅长给出技术上正确、却并非真正诚实的回答。

这篇文章,特别是上面引用的最后那句,促使我在年底给橡树资本的员工写了一封备忘录,强调走“正道”的重要性,并把安然描述为“橡树资本绝不想成为的那种公司的绝佳例子”。

An article about Enron in the December 5 Wall Street Journal made a big impression on me. Headlined "Behind Enron's Fall, a Culture of Operating Outside the Public's View," it read in part as follows: It was vintage Enron: minimal disclosure of financial information that, in retrospect, was central to understanding the complex company . . . . virtually unseen until the end was an Enron culture that contained the seeds of its collapse, a culture of highly questionable financial engineering, misstated earnings and persistent efforts to keep investors in the dark. Senior Enron executives flouted elementary conflict-of-interest standards. The company hired legions of lawyers and accountants to help it meet the letter of Federal securities laws while trampling on the intent of those laws. It became adept at giving technically correct answers rather than simply honest ones. The article, and particularly the last sentence quoted above, prompted me to write a yearend memo to Oaktree' s staff stressing the importance of taking "the high road" and describing Enron as "a pretty good example of what Oaktree doesn't want to be."

2002 年 橡树资本管理有限合伙企业(Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.)

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

保留所有权利。

All Rights Reserved

12 月时我们对安然所知,不及今日所知的一小部分。如今已清晰可见,从中可汲取的教训良多。

What we knew about Enron in December was a fraction of what we know today. It's now clear that there are many lessons to be learned from it.

可疑交易——重形式轻实质

Questionable Transactions – Form Over Substance

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仅在六个月前,安然公司还被视作企业增长与创新精神的典范。然而,我们当时毫不知情,它的“创新”并未用于打造高盈利的业务,而是设计交易,用以描绘出一幅失真的安然图像,同时还能勉强通过公认会计准则的审查。其中一些交易的虚伪与胆大妄为令人瞠目结舌。最臭名昭著的例子,莫过于设立表外合伙企业的做法。这些“特殊目的实体”被用来隐藏债务、虚增利润。当我们的分析师深入研究安然时,他们简直不敢相信其管理层竟能走得多远。

当安然希望增加债务,而其规模足以危及对其业务至关重要的信用评级时,它便组建合伙企业,将借款安排在安然的资产负债表之外。表外合伙企业并不罕见,但要使这些债务不与母公司的债务合并,外部投资者必须提供至少 3% 的股本。据认为,这些风险资本提供者的自身利益,将有助于确保这些实体的独立性。

但安然有个难题。它既要避免与自己的财务报表合并,又担心外部投资者的审慎态度会妨碍安然在合伙企业中为所欲为。投入资本承担风险的投资者,会关心承担了多少债务、合伙企业用借来的钱买了什么、以什么价格购买。他们甚至可能担心由安然高管管理这些与安然做生意的合伙企业。因此,必须吸引外部股本以满足会计准则,但如果安然要保持其灵活性,就必须避开真正有自身利益的投资者。

怎样才能吸引外部投资者投入资金却漠不关心呢?简单:保证回报。关键在于由安然而非投资者来承担风险。具体做法是承诺全额返还资本,某些情况下回报率高达每年 30%,并以安然股票为承诺背书。这家投资级公司不断飙升的股价所提供的担保,无疑坚实可靠。安然还为这些实体的一些贷款提供了担保。

于是,凭借安然承担了“外部”投资者的风险,以及“独立”合伙企业完全在其掌控之下,这些实体便能任凭安然随意摆布。当资产贬值时,合伙企业会按安然的成本价买入,从而掩盖亏损。当某季度利润可能不如人意时,资产便会以虚高的价格出售给合伙企业,填补缺口。而由于投资者与影响隔绝,便无人质疑这些交易的价格……

As little as six months ago, Enron was considered an exemplar of corporate growth and ingenuity. Little did we know, however, that its inventiveness had been directed not at developing highly profitable businesses, but rather transactions that could be used to paint an inaccurate picture of Enron and still squeak by under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. Some of these transactions were breathtaking in their duplicity and chutzpah. The most notorious examples relate to the creation of off-balance sheet partnerships. These "special-purpose entities" were used to hide debt and pump profits. As our analysts studied Enron, they couldn't believe the lengths to which its management had gone. When Enron wanted to increase its debt to an extent that would have jeopardized the credit rating that was so essential to its business, it formed partnerships to do the borrowing away from Enron's balance sheet. Off-balance sheet partnerships are common, but for their debt not to be consolidated with that of the parent, outsiders must provide at least 3% of their equity capital. The self-interest of the providers of this risk capital, it is thought, will serve to keep the entities independent. But Enron had a problem. It wanted to avoid consolidation with its own financial statements, but it feared that vigilance on the part of outside investors would prevent Enron from doing all it wanted in the partnerships. Investors with capital at risk would care about how much debt was taken on, what the partnerships bought with the borrowed money, and at what prices. They might even worry about having Enron executives running the partnerships, which did business with Enron. So outside equity capital had to be attracted to satisfy GAAP, but truly self-interested investors had to be avoided if Enron was to maintain its flexibility. How could outsiders be enticed to invest capital without caring? Simple: guarantee the results. The key was for Enron, not the investors, to absorb the risk. This is accomplished by promising a full return of capital, and returns up to 30% a year in some cases, and backing the promise with Enron stock. Certainly the security provided by this investment-grade company's soaring stock would be solid. Enron also guaranteed some of the loans to these entities. So with the "outside" investors' risk covered by Enron and the "independent" partnerships squarely under its control, they could be used any way Enron chose. When assets declined in value, the partnerships would buy them at Enron's cost, hiding the losses. When profits seemed likely to disappoint in a quarter, assets could be sold to the partnerships at inflated prices, covering the shortfall. And with investors insulated from the impact, there was no one to question the prices at which these trades took place and

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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这类交易提供了与真正独立实体打交道时才会存在的“保持距离”性质,以此掩盖真实关系。

较少被提及但同样存在疑问的,是那些为安然带来按市值计价利润的交易。例如,安然能源服务公司是一个备受吹捧的部门,它承约为商业客户提供电力、天然气和能源管理服务,有时合同期长达十年。按照市值计价会计法,这些合同预期的利润会立即反映在账面上。市值计价会计法的逻辑基于这样一种观点:既然今天签下的合同能极大地影响公司价值,那么合同所隐含的未来盈亏就应当被确认入账。根据合同条款和履行合同的可能成本,管理层预测将产生的利润,并将其计入损益表。显然,这些利润预测是否恰当,取决于成本估算是否合理。如果我同意六个月后以每加仑 2 美元的价格供应汽油,你大概可以相信我说能赚到的利润。但 2010 年供电利润数字的准确性,就另当别论了。

尽管这种技术在商品交易中属于标准做法,但当市场缺乏流动性,无法在一定程度上确定未来市场价值时,问题就出现了。(《洛杉矶时报》,2002 年 2 月 12 日)

我们被告知,在安然,用来证明合同未来价值——以及它们对当年利润的贡献——的“可靠来源”,竟是公司自己的模型。这就好比让球员自己吹哨执法,还自己记分。

我要讨论的最后一种交易,是利用衍生品让贷款看起来像销售的伎俩。再说一次,安然为其永动机所需的资金规模,超出了在不引发信用评级下调、不让机器停转的前提下所能借到的数额。于是安然找到了一种方法,通过衍生品合约进行“互换”交易,这些合约实质上就是贷款,却可以用其他方式记账。

在正常的互换交易中,甲方向乙方支付一笔溢价,以交换一种资金流与另一种资金流的互换。例如,如果甲方持有一笔浮动利率贷款,但不想承担利率不确定性,他可以向乙方提供一笔费用,加上该贷款的还款流,以换取一笔同样金额、同样期限的名义固定利率贷款的还款流。

在安然的交易中,一家金融机构同意接受一种还款流以交换另一种还款流,然后向安然支付其承诺在未来分期支付的还款流的估算现值。这类交易被称为“预付互换”,因为金融机构同意立即支付款项,以换取它未来有权获得的还款流。于是,安然从金融机构那里得到一笔一次性支付的现金,作为交换,它承诺未来分期付款。

supply the "arms-length" aspect that would be present in dealings with a truly independent entity. Less often discussed, but equally questionable, were the transactions that gave Enron mark-to-market profits. For example, Enron Energy Services was a highly-touted division that contracted to deliver electricity, gas and energy management services to commercial customers, sometimes for periods of up to a decade. Under mark-to-market accounting, anticipated profits from those contracts were reflected immediately. Mark-to-market accounting is based on the view that because contracts signed today can greatly influence a company's value, the future profits or losses they imply should be recognized. Based on the terms of the contracts and the likely cost of fulfilling them, management projects the profit that will arise and runs it through the income statement. Obviously, the appropriateness of these profit projections depends on the reasonableness of the cost estimates. If I have agreed to supply gasoline six months from now at $2 per gallon, you can probably depend on the profits I say I'll make. But the accuracy of profit figures for supplying electricity in 2010 is another story. Although that technique is standard in commodities trading, problems emerge when there is no liquid market that can establish with a degree of certainty what future market values will be. (Los Angeles Times, February 12, 2002) At Enron, we're told, the "reliable source" for documenting the future value of contracts – and thus their contribution to the current year's profits – was the company's own models. That's the equivalent of letting ballplayers call the game and keep their own scores. The last type of transaction I'll discuss are derivative trades that made loans look like sales. Again, the amounts of money Enron needed to fund its perpetual motion machine exceeded the amounts that could be borrowed without causing its credit to be downgraded and bringing the motion to a halt. So Enron found a way to enter into "swap" transactions using derivative contracts that in effect were loans but could be accounted for in other ways. In a normal swap transaction, party A pays party B a premium to exchange one flow of funds for another. For example, if party A holds a floating-rate loan but doesn't want to bear interest rate uncertainty, he might offer party B a fee plus the stream of payments on that loan in exchange for the payments on a hypothetical fixed-rate loan of the same amount and maturity. In Enron's transactions, a financial institution agreed to accept one stream of payments in exchange for another and then paid Enron the estimated present value of the stream it had agreed to pay over time. Trades like these are called "prepaid swaps," because the financial institution agrees to pay immediately for the stream of future payments to which it becomes entitled. Thus Enron got a lump sum from the financial institution in exchange for the promise of payments in the future. U

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙企业

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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版权所有。

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这在我看来就是一笔贷款。然而,安然公司的资产负债表却呈现出另一番景象。由于衍生品与大宗商品挂钩,其收入通常被列为“价格风险管理资产”,而应支付的款项则被列为“价格风险管理负债”。没有贷款交易记录,只是钱进了安然的金库,同时附带一笔相当于利息和本金的支付义务。

表外合伙、按市值计价会计或互换交易,以及对这些交易的标准会计处理方法,本身并无不妥。这些操作每天都在进行无数次,几乎总是无害的。问题在于,当这些交易被缔结和记账的目的在于欺骗、歪曲和隐瞒时,麻烦就来了。

贯穿安然财务操作的一条共同主线是:(1)这些操作原本设计的用途并非安然实际使用的方式;(2)安然对其进行的会计处理描绘了一幅与实际情况不符的扭曲图景。

That sounds like a loan to me. However, Enron's balance sheet told a different story. Because the derivatives related to commodities, the receipts usually were shown as "assets from price risk management" and the payments that it was obliged to make as "liabilities from price risk management." No loan transaction; just money in Enron's till and an obligation to make payments that amounted to interest and principal. There's nothing wrong per se with off-balance sheet partnerships, mark-to-market accounting or swap transactions, or with the standard methods of accounting for them. They're engaged in many times a day, and almost always benignly. The problem arises when these transactions are entered into and accounted for so as to fool, misrepresent and obscure. Among the common threads running through Enron's financial practices is the fact that (1) they had been designed for uses other than those to which Enron put them, and (2) Enron's accounting for them provided a distorted picture of what was actually going on.

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安然公司的会计出了什么问题?

What Was Wrong With Enron's Accounting?

核心问题在于,这些交易本质上是用会计作为武器,对付投资者、评级机构、交易对手和监管层。主张控枪的人常说“枪不杀人,人杀人”,但在我看来,是滥用枪的人杀了人。同理,不是会计本身滋生弊端,而是滥用会计的人制造了问题。

像许多事情一样,上述这类交易可以被滥用和误用。用得最好的时候,它们让公司达成合法目标,并清楚传达出来;用得最糟的时候,它们能绕过原本的用途,逃避被察觉——既是“理解”层面的察觉,或许也是“逮捕”层面的察觉。

显然,安然的高管们没有问“哪笔交易最符合安然及其股东的利益,什么会计方式最清晰?”相反,他们绞尽脑汁构思一种交易形式,只要能描述出来、传递出想要的印象就行——哪怕这笔交易对安然没有任何正当的商业目的,会计处理也带有欺骗性。

虽然高管、董事和外部审计师的失职确实难辞其咎,但安然能玩出这一套,很大程度上是因为会计行业制定的是数字规则,像一张造假路线图,而不是确立财务报告意图与效果标准的原则。《华尔街日报》2 月 12 日的一篇文章把区别说得很清楚:

出具无保留意见的审计师,必须认证公司的财务报表公允反映客户的财务业绩。

但会计规则讨论的是技术指标,比如某笔租赁是否算作资产或负债,某笔交易是否该在某年入账。这些规则根本不涉及公平披露这一层。

The principal problem was that the transactions represented an effort to use accounting as a weapon against investors, rating agencies, counterparties and regulators. Although the opponents of gun control like to say that "guns don't kill people; people kill people," I think it's people misusing guns who kill people. By the same token, it's not accounting that creates abuses, but people misusing accounting. Like most things, transactions like those described above can be abused and misused. At their best they allow companies to accomplish legitimate goals and communicate them clearly. At their worst they can be used to circumvent their normal purposes and avoid apprehension (certainly as in "understanding," but perhaps as in "arrest" as well). It seems clear that Enron's executives didn't say "What transaction is in the best interest of Enron and its shareholders, and what's the clearest way to account for it?" Rather, they tried to come up with a form of transaction that could be described so as to convey the desired impression – even if the transaction served no valid business purpose for Enron and the accounting for it was misleading. While failings on the part of its executives, directors and outside auditors certainly contributed, Enron was able to do this in large part because the accounting profession had set out numerical rules that could serve as a roadmap for duplicity, rather than principles that would set standards for the intent and effect of financial reporting. The Wall Street Journal of February 12 explained the distinction: Auditors who issue clean bills of health are required to certify that a company's financial statements fairly represent the client company's financial performance.

2002 年 橡树资本管理公司(Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.)

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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但如今会计行业的批评者指出,过去三十年间,准则制定者已偏离了确立广泛会计原则、确保公司财务报表公允呈现的初衷。

相反,他们转而起草冗长的规则,这些规则若按勾选框式的技术操作,可能为审计师和公司提供法律责任的庇护。这会导致公司构建复杂结构,形式上符合通用会计准则,实则隐藏数十亿美元的债务或其他公司义务。

But critics of the accounting profession today say that over the past three decades the standard setters have moved away from establishing broad accounting principles aimed at insuring that companies' financial statements are fairly presented. Instead, they have moved toward drafting voluminous rules that may shield auditors and companies from legal liability if technically followed in check-box fashion. That can result in companies creating complex structures that technically comply with GAAP but hide billions of dollars of debt or other corporate obligations.

《华尔街日报》在 2 月 1 日和 8 日的报道中写道:

……有时,过于拘泥于细节的规则反倒可能为更大的不诚实行为提供借口。

这种新环境中最受推崇的两项价值观是宽容与程序至上。

但这两者并不鼓励明智的判断,反而会压制它。

所以,关于会计的教训很简单:

As the Wall Street Journal wrote on February 1 and 8, . . . sometimes persnickety rules can become a license for larger dishonesty. This new environment's two highest values are tolerance and proceduralism. That doesn't encourage good judgment; it suppresses it. So the lessons regarding accounting are simple:  

我们需要以原则为准绳来制定和执行的会计准则,而不仅仅是技术规则。

会计就像任何其他工具一样,其结果取决于由谁掌控。

We need accounting standards that are set and enforced in terms of principles, not just technical rules. Accounting is like any other tool; the results will depend on whose hands it's in.

企业腐败的起源

The Origins of Corporate Corruption

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对于那些寻求侥幸结果解释的人,运气被描述为“当准备遇上机遇时所发生的事”。我认为安然公司为腐败提供了类似的解释:当紧急状况遇上道德弱点时,腐败便应运而生。如果橡树资本陷入困境,我希望我们能承认业绩未达预期,承认事情进展不顺,或者干脆承认我们犯了错误。我希望我们能接受后果,并努力补救局面。

然而,不幸的是,并非每个人都这样行事。有些人不太愿意直面现实。如果正道走不通,而做正确的事又并非他们最关心的问题,那么有些人就会走捷径,或寻找一种“富有创意”的出路。我没有理由相信,安然公司于 1985 年成立之初,就是为了日后变成一座“波将金村”,意图歪曲业绩、肥了高管而亏了股东。我也怀疑有谁说过:“谁在乎我们雇用的是道德上软弱的高管?”我想肯·莱曾怀有梦想,确实包含在变革中的能源行业里探索新的获利途径。但当事情未能按计划发展,而

For those seeking an explanation for fortuitous outcomes, luck has been described as "what happens when preparation meets opportunity." I think Enron inspires a similar explanation for corruption: it's what happens when exigency meets moral weakness. If Oaktree got into a bind, I hope we would admit that performance wasn't measuring up to expectations, that things weren't going our way, or that we simply had made mistakes. I hope we would accept the consequences and try to remedy the situation. Unfortunately, however, not everyone works that way. Some people are less eager to face the music. If the high road doesn't work out and doing the right thing isn't of great concern, there are people who will cut a few corners or look for a "creative" way out. I have no reason to believe Enron was formed in 1985 to be the Potemkin village it became, with the intention of misrepresenting results and profiting executives rather than shareholders. And I doubt if anyone said, "Who cares if we hire executives that are morally soft?" I think Ken Lay once had a dream that truly included new ways to profit in a changing energy industry. But when things didn't go according to plan and

2002 年 橡树资本管理公司(Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.)

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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维持高高在上的股价成了一项令人着迷的挑战,而那些最重要的人,要么参与腐败行径,要么对之视而不见、不加告发。

maintaining a lofty stock price became a challenging obsession, the people who mattered most either engaged in corrupt practices or failed to blow the whistle on them.

管理层腐朽会从高管办公室向外蔓延

Corporate Rot Can Spread From the Executive Suite

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事实上,近年来安然的文化似乎纵容了错误行为的发生。当然,关于肯·莱的定论尚未落定。他是那个对细节浑然不觉、错信他人并遭欺骗的梦想家吗?还是我们在国会听证中听到被痛斥的操控型主犯?

无论实情如何,眼下我们只知道结果。安然显然曾是一家这样的公司:

In fact, Enron's culture in recent years seems to have encouraged doing the wrong thing. Certainly, the jury is still out regarding Ken Lay. Was he the oblivious dreamer who couldn't understand the details, trusted the wrong people and was duped? Or was he the manipulative master criminal we've heard vilified in Congress? Whichever was the case, right now we only know the results. It certainly appears that Enron was a company where:    

狂妄自大受到怂恿,

图谋不轨者登上高位,

人们因结果而非手段而受赏,

无人再问一句“可这正当吗?”

hubris was encouraged, schemers rose to the top, people were rewarded for ends, not means, and no one ever asked "but is it right?"

举报人谢伦·沃特金斯说过,就合伙交易的合规性质疑首席执行官杰夫·斯吉林,无异于“职场自杀”。据说首席财务官安德鲁·法斯托曾对谈判反对他所管理的合伙协议的安然代表破口大骂,还试图让其中一人被解雇。律师们会就细节争辩,法官和陪审团会作出裁决,但有一点似乎很清楚:安然内部确有作恶之人,而且那里的氛围中没有任何东西鼓励人们做正确的事。

而鼓励道德行为——或许比其他任何事都重要——是最高管理层的责任。我深信的一点是,没有高层定调,你就无法拥有一个伟大的组织。董事长和首席执行官不可能了解公司里发生的每一件事,不可能通晓每笔交易的细节和利弊,也不可能参与除最高层之外任何级别的用人决策。但他们可以营造一种氛围,让期望值走高,让重点落在手段上,而不只是结果上。

当我向潜在客户讲完我的合伙人如何管理橡树资本的投资组合后,有人会问:“那你做什么?”我告诉他们,除了与客户沟通和打理业务之外,我还要提供领导力。你在办公室里看不到它的身影,也无法量化它对业绩的影响,但它恰恰是一家公司之所以成为其自身的原因。

Whistleblower Sherron Watkins has said that questioning CEO Jeff Skilling about the propriety of the partnerships would have been "job suicide." CFO Andrew Fastow is said to have cursed at the Enron representatives who negotiated against the partnerships he ran and to have tried to get one fired. Lawyers will argue the specifics, and judges and juries will decide, but it seems clear that there were bad guys at Enron, and that nothing in the climate there encouraged doing the right thing. And encouraging moral behavior, perhaps above all else, is the responsibility of top management. One thing I’m convinced of is that you can't have a great organization without someone at the top setting the tone. The Chairman and CEO can't know everything that goes on in a company, can't be conversant with the details and merits of every transaction, and can't participate in any but the most senior hires. But they can create a climate where expectations are high and the emphasis is on means, not just ends. When I get through telling prospective clients how well my partners manage Oaktree's portfolios, some ask, "Then what do you do?" In addition to communicating with clients and managing the business, I tell them, I try to provide leadership. You can't see it around the office or quantify its effect on the results, but it's what makes a company what it is. U

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那取决于对“真正”一词的理解。

That Depends on the Meaning of the Word "True"

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我见过一些机构,在我看来,它们的真相标准是:“只要无法明确证明是谎言,我们就能说它是真相。”这种标准,充其量,似乎正是当时安然公司所遵循的。

I've seen organizations where, it seemed to me, the standard for truth was that "if something cannot definitively be proved to be a lie, we can say it's the truth." That standard, at best, appears to be what guided Enron.

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安然公司里似乎从来没有人说过“等一下!这跟实际情况不符”或者“这种描述太模糊,根本派不上用场”。安然好像用了一本非常特别的词典。它的关键词是“误导”、“混淆”、“操纵”和“掩饰”。它的形容词是“晦涩”、“迷宫般复杂”和“技术上准确”。他们根本不需要“直白”、“保持距离”或“坦诚”这些词。很多披露内容似乎都是精心安排的,万一需要,安然高管可以说:“如果你找对了地方,按我们设想的方式去读,你就不能说它不存在。”

比如,如果只按字数来算,下面这段摘自安然更长一篇脚注的话,或许能勉强算是充分披露。

2000 年,安然与关联方进行了交易,以对冲部分商业投资及其他资产的风险。作为交易的一部分,安然(一)向新成立的实体(下称“该等实体”)注入了估值约 12 亿美元的资产,其中包括 1.5 亿美元应付安然票据、370 万股未流通的安然普通股受限股,以及于 2003 年 3 月(受某些条件限制)收取至多 1800 万股安然未流通普通股的权利;(二)向该等实体转让了估值约 3.09 亿美元的资产,其中包括 5000 万美元应付票据,以及一项对间接持有可转换为安然权益法被投资方普通股的认股权证的实体的投资。作为回报,安然获得了该等实体的经济利益、3.09 亿美元应收票据(其中 2.59 亿美元按安然的结转成本零计入),以及该等实体以 1.2 亿美元应收票据形式进行的特别分配,该票据本金会因安然在执行额外衍生工具时须支付的金额而变动。该等实体持有的现金 1.726 亿美元投资于安然即期票据。此外,安然支付了 1.23 亿美元,从该等实体购买针对 2170 万股安然普通股的股份结算期权。该等实体向安然支付 1070 万美元,以终止针对 1460 万股已发行安然普通股的股份结算期权。2000 年末,安然与该等实体就 1540 万股安然普通股订立了股份结算的领式安排。此类安排在结算时将按权益交易进行会计处理。

No one in control at Enron seems to ever to have said "Wait a minute! That's not what's really happening here" or "That description is too unclear to be useful." Enron appears to have used a very special dictionary. Its key verbs were "mislead," "obfuscate," "manipulate" and "disguise." Its adjectives were "opaque," "Byzantine" and "technically correct." And they had no need for "straightforward," "arms-length" or "candid." Much of the disclosure that did take place seems to have been arranged so that, if need be, Enron executives could say "if you looked in the right place and read it the way we intended, you couldn't say it's not there." For example, if it was the number of words that counted, this paragraph from a much longer Enron footnote might pass for full disclosure. In 2000, Enron entered into transactions with the Related Party to hedge certain merchant investments and other assets. As part of the transactions, Enron (i) contributed to newly-formed entities (the Entities) assets valued at approximately $1.2 billion, including $150 million in Enron notes payable, 3.7 million restricted shares of outstanding Enron common stock and the right to receive up to 18.0 million shares of outstanding Enron common stock in March 2003 (subject to certain conditions) and (ii) transferred to the Entities assets valued at approximately $309 million, including a $50 million note payable and an investment in an entity that indirectly holds warrants convertible into common stock of an Enron equity method investee. In return, Enron received economic interests in the Entities, $309 million in notes receivable, of which $259 million is recorded at Enron's carryover basis of zero, and a special distribution from the Entities in the form of $1.2 billion in notes receivable, subject to changes in the principal for amounts payable by Enron in connection with the execution of additional derivative instruments. Cash in these Entities of $172.6 million is invested in Enron demand notes. In addition, Enron paid $123 million to purchase share-settled options from the Entities on 21.7 million shares of Enron common stock. The Entities paid Enron $10.7 million to terminate the share-settled options on 14.6 million shares of Enron common stock outstanding. In late 2000, Enron entered into share-settled collar arrangements with the Entities on 15.4 million shares of Enron common stock. Such arrangements will be accounted for as equity transactions when settled.

这 260 个字是什么意思?墨水泼洒一片,信息却没有多少。披露不等于把事实摆出来让人读不懂,而是要让人能看出事实的分量。

显然,安然在沟通上做的恰恰是诚实与完整的反面。同样明显的是,安然不想让外界知道事情真相。在安然,真相是稀缺品,是可以拿来把玩的物件。这些例子从荒唐可笑到极其严重,不一而足。想到安然搭了一个假交易大厅,分析师走过时,还教秘书们如何装得像交易员,我们不禁哑然失笑。但人们亏掉的钱一点也不可笑,正如《商业周刊》2 月 4 日报道的那样:

9 月份,莱告诉员工:“向家人和朋友吹捧公司股票,多说安然的好话。”他还说,公司即将发布的财务报告“看起来棒极了”。

Could anyone tell what these 260 words meant? There's a lot of ink there, not much information. Disclosure doesn't mean putting facts out there indecipherably, but rather in a way that lets people discern their significance. Obviously, Enron's communication was the opposite of truthful and complete. Equally obviously, Enron didn't want people to know what was going on. Truth was scarce at Enron, and something to be toyed with. The examples ranged from ridiculous to extremely serious. We can chuckle at the thought of Enron building a sham trading floor and coaching secretaries on how to sound like traders when analysts walked through. But there's nothing funny about the money people lost because, as the February 4 issue of Business Week reported, In September, Lay told employees: "Talk up the stock and talk positively about Enron to your family and friends." The company's upcoming financial report, he said, was "looking great."

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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这是杰弗里·斯基林辞职几周后,莱伊又接到雪伦·沃特金斯对其担忧的汇报,而他当时正在积极抛售自己的股票;再过几周,安然便宣布其净资产下调 12 亿美元。看起来积习难改。就在大约一周前,一位发言人为安然公司的负面进展与肯·莱伊售股在时间上的巧合辩护时指出,莱伊去年夏天曾买入股票。这话虽说得没错,但我认为他卖出的股票数量超过了买入的。有意思的是,有人竟能把“他买了股票”理解成“他总体上是在买入”。借用一位前世界领导人的话来说,关键在于“属实”这个词的含义。检验真相的试金石其实很简单:如果每个人都有机会在知情的前提下,将现实与我们所说的话加以比较,他们会怎么想?按照这个标准,安然的表现恐怕不会太好。

This was a few weeks after Jeffrey Skilling resigned and Lay was told by Sherron Watkins of her concerns, while he was actively selling his stock, and a few weeks before a $1.2 billion downward restatement of Enron' s net worth. And it seems old habits die hard. Just a week or so ago, in defending the juxtaposition of negative developments at Enron and Ken Lay's stock sales, a spokesperson pointed out that Lay had bought stock last summer. True as far as it goes, it's my belief that he sold or otherwise disposed of more shares than he bought. It's funny how someone might take "he bought stock" to mean, "he bought stock on balance." To paraphrase a former world leader, it all depends on the meaning of the word "true." The acid test for the truth is really quite simple: If everyone got a chance to knowledgeably compare reality against what we say about it, what would they think? Enron wouldn't have done very well under that standard.

利益冲突

Conflicts of Interest

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这是一个老派的问题,但在安然却被遗忘了:谁的利益优先?

我们每个人每天都在面对这个问题,必须在他人的利益和自己的利益之间权衡。我该不该为打转向灯变道的司机减速?盘子里最后一块能不能拿?最大的那块呢?如果我赶航班晚了,插队过安检行不行?只挑腰果和杏仁吃,还是也得吃自己那份榛子和花生,才算公平?有了更好的约会对象,放人鸽子合适吗?

这些决定并不容易。拉比希勒尔在两千年前就描述了这种两难:“如果我不为自己,谁来为我?如果我不为他人,我算什么?”尽管困难重重,我们大多数人从小就被父母教导,要好好平衡自身利益和他人的利益。

对于担任受托人的人来说,法律让事情简单得多:他人优先。显而易见,遗嘱执行人不能以低价从遗产中购买资产。同样,公司管理层和董事的首要忠诚对象是股东、养老金计划的受益人,而在公司破产时,则是债权人。

就像检验真理的标准一样,处理利益冲突的检验标准似乎也很简单:如果我们做的每件事最终都上了头条,会有人有理由抱怨吗?嗯,在安然似乎没人应用过这个检验标准。结果一切都上了头条,安然也就垮了。

最恶劣的例子涉及像首席财务官安德鲁·法斯托和董事总经理迈克尔·科珀这样的高管,他们(1)设立了与安然做生意的表外实体,(2)控制了这些实体,(3)在谈判中——

It's an old-fashioned question, but one that seems to have been forgotten at Enron: Whose interests come first? Each of us encounters this question daily, having to balance the interests of others against our own. Should I slow down for the driver signaling to change lanes? Can I take the last piece on the platter? The biggest one? If I'm late for a flight, is it okay to push through the security line? Is it fair to just pick out the cashews and almonds, or must I eat my share of filberts and peanuts too? Is it okay to break a date when a better offer comes along? These decisions aren't easy. Rabbi Hillel described the dilemma two thousand years ago: "If I am not for myself, who will be? And if I am not for others, what am I?" Despite the difficulty, most of us were taught by our parents to do a decent job of balancing selfinterest and the interests of others. For people in positions as fiduciaries, the law makes it a lot simpler: the other guy comes first. It's obvious that an executor can't buy assets from the estate at bargain prices. Likewise, company managers and directors owe their first loyalty to shareholders, pension plan beneficiaries and, in insolvency, to creditors. Like the test for truth, the test on handling conflicts seems pretty simple: If everything we do ends up in the headlines, will anyone have grounds for complaint? Well, no one seems to have applied that test at Enron. It all made it to the headlines, and Enron flopped. The most egregious instance involves executives like Chief Financial Officer Andrew Fastow and Managing Director Michael Kopper who (1) set up off-balance sheet entities that did business with Enron, (2) assumed control of those entities, (3) negotiated on

2002 年 橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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为那些由其决定薪酬的安然下属实体行事,(4) 赚得盆满钵满。法斯托因从这些实体中获利 3000 万美元而名声在外,科普尔至少赚了 1000 万美元。鉴于这些合伙企业普遍被认为没有服务于正当商业目的,这些利润相当于直接从安然金库转移到员工腰包,而安然没有得到任何合法回报。

顺便说一句,安然有道德准则,这些行为很可能被该准则所禁止。因此董事们投票决定放弃该准则。但那一票并不能让这些行为变得正当。

肯·莱的妹妹担任安然旅行代理,或者安然与莱及其儿子拥有的公司签约并投资,这些也不是好主意。每一项或许都有正当商业目的,但关键在于必须避免利益冲突以及冲突的表象。我们或许都想用雇主的钱来惠及亲属、朋友,甚至自己,但这种诱惑必须抵制。如果高层管理人员从事暗示自我交易的行为,即使他们可能做出曲折的自我辩解,这也传递出一个信号:信托责任和道德行为可有可无。还有什么比这更糟?

在商业世界中,潜在的利益冲突时刻都会出现。我们无法避免,但我们的目标必须以体面的方式处理它们。客户、股东以及其他依赖我们的人必须放在首位。

behalf of the entities with Enron subordinates whose compensation they determined, and (4) profited fabulously. Fastow is famous for having made $30 million from the entities, and Kopper made at least $10 million. Given that the partnerships are generally not believed to have served valid business purposes, those profits represent a direct transfer from Enron's coffers to those of the employees for which Enron received no legitimate quid pro quo. By the way, Enron had an ethics policy, and it probably would have prohibited these things. So the directors voted to waive the policy. But that vote didn't make the actions right. Neither was it a good idea for Ken Lay's sister to be Enron's travel agent, or for Enron to contract with and invest in companies owned by Lay and his son. Each of these might have had a valid business purpose. But it's essential to avoid both conflicts and the appearance of conflicts. We all might like to use employer dollars to benefit our relatives, our friends, and even ourselves, but the temptation must be resisted. If top executives engage in transactions that suggest self-dealing, even if they might be capable of tortuous rationalization, it makes a statement that fiduciary duty and moral behavior are dispensable. What could be worse? In the business world, potential conflicts of interest arise all the time. We can't avoid them, but our goal must be to deal with them honorably. Clients, shareholders and others who depend on us must come first.

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这家公司到底是谁的?

Whose Company Is It, Anyway?

当一家上市公司身处其中时,一个关键问题便是管理层行事时,究竟把公司当作自己的财产,还是股东的财产。

在我的商业教育过程中,我了解到,当管理层与所有权分离时,美国的商业进步迈出了一大步。大约一个世纪前,公司开始交由职业经理人打理。由于公司所有者未必是最佳管理者,因此,职业经理人阶层的出现,总体上应能提升管理质量。

这对我来说很有道理。当然,这种分离正是美国成为全球商业霸主的原因之一。但如今,我认为在某些情况下,这种分离已经走得太远。

艾伦·格林斯潘最近表示:“在我看来,许多公司的首席执行官与股东之间的利益已经脱节,应当重新弥合。”(《洛杉矶时报》,2002 年 2 月 28 日)

安然公司的管理层并没有表现得像别人公司的有偿看管人,反而像是公司的主人。当然,肯·莱等人会辩称,他们所做的一切都是为了给股东创造价值。但是,有什么理由相信他们会按股东所希望的方式行事?显然,他们不可能做到。

When a public company is involved, an important question is whether management acts like the company belongs to them or to the shareholders. As part of my business education I learned that America's commercial progress took a big step forward when management was separated from ownership. About a century ago, companies began to be turned over to hired managers. Because company owners aren't necessarily the best managers, it followed that the emergence of a professional manager class would, on balance, enhance the quality of management. This made great sense to me. Certainly this separation is one of the things that made America the world leader in business. But now I think it has gone too far in some cases. Alan Greenspan said recently, "There has been a severance, in my judgment, of the interests of the chief executive officer in many corporations from those of the shareholders, and that should be pulled together." (Los Angeles Times, February 28, 2002) Enron's managers didn't act like paid caretakers of other people's company, but rather as if they owned it. Of course, Ken Lay et al. would argue that everything they did was done to create value for the shareholders. But is there any reason to believe they acted the way the shareholders would have wanted them to act? Certainly they can't

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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那些人辩称,他们从未透露过真实所作所为,因此算是得到了股东的默许。

当然,高管们常用股东治理这块遮羞布来为自己开脱:说是股东选举董事,再由董事来挑选并领导首席执行官。然而,我们无数次看到,公司推选的董事名单在选举中落败,或异议提案获得通过,是何等困难。如今,为股东利益行事不过是管理层众多选项之一,而显然,安然公司选择的那条路并非如此。

argue that they had the shareholders' blessing, given that they never let on what they were really doing. Of course, executives defend their actions by invoking the cloak of shareholder governance: that shareholders elect the directors, and it's the directors who choose and direct the CEO. We've seen hundreds of times, however, how hard it is for the companyproposed slate of directors to lose an election or for a dissident proposal to be passed. Acting in the interests of shareholders is just one option for management today, and clearly it wasn't the one chosen at Enron.

Aligning Interests

Aligning Interests

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大约十年前,《福布斯》杂志出了一期高管薪酬特刊。其中,一位睿智而老练的董事谈到经理人时说:“我已经放弃让他们按我说的去做;他们只按我付钱让他们做的去做。”这句话我从未忘怀。当个人薪酬达到每年数千万乃至数亿美元(包括股票和期权)时,经理人的获利方式就好比他们拥有公司并承担了风险。在好年景里,他们为自己拿走利润的大头,而在坏年景里,他们却一无所失(除了可能丧失的潜在收益或先前累积的利润)。

按照这种方式设置,管理层有大量动机去冒险和走捷径。在安然公司,情况确实如此。高管们可以指出,董事会批准了薪酬方案的关键要素。但我再次要说,董事会对管理层的控制是有限的。

期权在薪酬过度膨胀的趋势中扮演了重要角色。早期,当期权刚开始使用时,人们觉得期权能通过以下两点让管理层与股东的利益一致:(1)让管理层关心股价表现,(2)将薪酬与公司的长期业绩挂钩。

然而,正如许多事物一样,负面效应已通过实践显现出来:

About a decade ago, Forbes published a special issue on executive compensation. In it, a sage, experienced director said of managers, "I've given up on getting them to do what I tell them to do; they do what I pay them to do." I've never forgotten that statement. When individual compensation gets into the tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars per year (including stock and options), managers profit as if they owned the company and took the risk. They appropriate a major share of profits for themselves in the good years, even though they lose nothing (other than perhaps potential or previously-accrued profits) in the bad ones. Set up this way, management has lots of incentive to take risk and cut corners. It sure worked that way at Enron. The executives can point out that the board approved the key elements in the compensation program. But once again, I say the board's control over management is limited. Options have played a major part in the trend toward outsized compensation. Early on, when their use began, it was felt that options would align the interests of management with those of the shareholders by (1) interesting management in how the stock did, and (2) tying compensation to the company's long-term performance. As with so many things, however, the negatives have been found out through experience:   

期权让注意力集中在短期表现上,而非长期。

期权让注意力集中在股价表现上,而非公司本身(这两者截然不同)。

期权让管理层对公司的利益产生扭曲。原本以为期权能让经理人变成股东,但实际情况很少如此。

员工通常在行权后很快卖出,往往同步进行。这要么是因为他们没有足够的资金持有,要么是不愿承担下行风险。因此,高管从股价上涨中获利,却很少真正持有股份。这与公司所有者的境遇大相径庭。

Options focus attention on short-term performance, not long-term. Options focus attention on the performance of the stock, not the company (and those are two very different things). Options give management a skewed interest in the company. It was thought that they would make managers into stockholders, but this is rarely the case. Employees usually sell very soon after exercising, often simultaneously. This is because they either don't have enough capital to hold or don't want to bear the downside risk. Thus executives profit from share appreciation but rarely hold shares. That's very different from the lot of the company's owners.

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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因为期权计划的成本从未在利润表中体现出来,它们的成本被以扭曲的方式看待。授予期权等于把公司的一部分送给员工,但在现行公认会计准则(GAAP)下,却看不到任何净利润影响。

股价下跌带来期权重新定价这个令人不快的两难困境。当股价暴跌时,管理层常常提议相应降低期权的行权价。股东已经承受了巨大损失,再让高管们免受痛苦似乎不公平。但确实,那些深度价外的旧期权无法再起到留任和激励员工的作用。而在期权授予“免费”的情况下,重新定价往往令人难以抗拒。

Because the cost of option programs never shows up in the income statement, their cost is considered in a distorted way. Option grants amount to giving a portion of the company to the employees, but no net income effect is ever seen under current GAAP. Stock price declines introduce the unattractive dilemma of option repricing. When a stock falls precipitously, management often proposes a commensurate reduction of the exercise price on options. With shareholders having taken a big loss, it seems unfair to exempt executives from the pain. But it is true that old options that are way out of the money won't serve to retain and motivate employees. And with option grants "free," repricing often is irresistible.

期权文化、股市泡沫和巨额薪酬的出现,在最坏的情况下联手助长了短期主义和粉饰乃至欺诈性的会计手法,这一点似乎不言自明。我认为,我们的高收益债券组合在 2001 年 2 月一个月内就遇到了两起会计欺诈案例,比过去二十年加起来还多,这绝非巧合。

抛开期权的话题不谈,2001 年 3 月 1 日的《纽约时报》指出了薪酬激励适得其反的另一种方式。据该报报道,2001 年初,安然公司的高管和其他员工获得了数亿美元的奖金,这些奖金与盈利和股价表现挂钩。

……高管们获得了巨额奖金……金额在很大程度上取决于公司的盈利——而安然董事会特别委员会的调查人员认定,这些盈利数字被公司高管不当夸大了……

法律专家表示,这些款项可以有力证明调查人员认为扭曲公司业绩报告并最终导致其倒闭的财务操作的动机。没有这些操作,获取这些款项所需的利润水平和股价水平肯定无法达到……

最终导致公司崩溃的几乎每一个决定——包括建立一系列合伙企业……董事会调查委员会认定这些合伙企业被用来不当粉饰盈利——都是在(奖金考核的盈利测试正在进行)的时间段内作出的……

(据一位前联邦检察官说:)“我们在这里谈到的薪酬水平,必然会成为任何人铤而走险的强大动力。”(强调为我所加)

管理层应当得到激励,但要激励得有建设性。过度关注股价表现的短期主义不符合股东的长期利益,在安然这种恶劣案例中,显然会招致灾难性的后果。

It seems obvious that the option culture, the stock market bubble and the advent of mega-compensation have combined in the worst of cases to encourage short-term fixes and artful – even fraudulent – accounting. I think it's no coincidence that our high yield bond portfolios encountered two examples of accounting fraud in February 2001 alone, more than in the previous twenty years put together. Moving away from the subject of options, the New York Times of March 1 indicated another way in which compensation incentives can be counterproductive. Early in 2001, the Times reported, Enron executives and other employees received hundreds of millions of dollars in bonuses tied to earnings and stock price performance. . . . executives received large bonuses . . . with the amount based in large part on the earnings of the company – figures that investigators for a special committee of the Enron board have concluded were inappropriately inflated by company executives . . . Legal experts said that the payments could provide strong evidence of a motive for the financial machinations that investigators think distorted the company's reported performance and ultimately led to its demise. Without those efforts, the profits and stock price levels required to obtain the money certainly would not have been reached . . . Almost every decision that ultimately led to the company's collapse – including the establishment of a series of partnerships . . . which an investigating committee of the board concluded were used to bolster earnings improperly – was made during the time frame [when the earnings test for bonus purposes was underway] . . . [According to a former federal prosecutor,] "The level of compensation that we are talking about here would certainly seem to be a powerful incentive for anyone to do anything." [Emphasis mine] Management should be incentivized, but constructively. Excessive, short-term focus on stock price performance is not in shareholders' long-term interest and, in egregious cases like Enron, obviously can bring disastrous results.

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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我还想谈谈高管出售股票的问题。或许是因为这个问题在情感上极具吸引力,头条新闻充斥着“公司垮台之际高管抛售股票;员工和小投资者损失殆尽”之类的报道。

但我并不认为高管出售股票本身有什么不妥。他们买股票是为了获利,也应预期在某个时点兑现这笔收益。如果公司和股价表现良好,升值可能会让持仓大到难以审慎持有的程度。所以出售本身没问题;问题在于时机。

显然,当管理者掌握别人不知道的信息时,他们绝不能出售股票。至于何时算这种情况,是个棘手的问题,往往取决于程度;任何股东都不可能像首席执行官那样了解那么多。一边说“公司经营得很好”一边出售股票,可能不是什么好主意——尤其是当实际情况并非如此时。而适当出售的股票数量,可能取决于涉及的绝对金额和持有的股票数量。

最后一点:我对像安然公司那样的叛逆高管毫无同情,但他们并不是唯一有错的一方。每一个抱怨安然高管股票出售行为的投资者,本可以从政府文件中了解大部分情况,并跟着一起卖出。事实上,当内部人士大规模抛售股票时,仍然持有或买入的投资者才应承担责任。投资者必须为自己的行为负责;安然的违规交易或许隐蔽,但大多数股票抛售都发生在众目睽睽之下。

I also want to touch on the issue of stock sales by executives. Perhaps because it's an issue with so much visceral appeal, the headlines are full of "Executives Sold While Company Crumbled; Employees and Small Investors Lost Everything." But I don't think there's anything inherently wrong with executives selling stock. They buy it to profit, and they should be expected to reap that profit at some point in time. If the company and the stock do well, appreciation can create a position too large to hold prudently. So selling's okay; the issue is when. Clearly, managers mustn't sell when they know things others don't. When that's true is a tough question and often a matter of degree; no shareholder can ever know as much as the CEO does. Selling while saying "the company's doing great" probably isn't a terrific idea – especially if it's not. And the number of shares it's proper to sell probably is a function of the absolute dollar amounts involved and the number of shares retained. One last note: I have absolutely no sympathy for managers who are renegades, like Enron's seem to have been, but they're not the only ones at fault here. Every investor who's complaining about the stock sales made by Enron executives could have learned about most of them from government filings and sold alongside. In fact, the onus is on investors who hold or buy while insiders are announcing massive sales. Investors must accept responsibility for their actions; Enron's faulty transactions might have been covert, but most of the stock sales took place in plain sight.

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责任止于何处?

Where Does the Buck Stop?

说到责任这个话题,安然事件中还有谁应当承担责任呢?(到目前为止,我没看到多少人主动举手。)

小人物们正搬出纽伦堡式的辩护:“我只是奉命行事。”多数情况下他们说得没错。的确,他们本可以对所见之事提出异议,但那要求实在太高。要具备确信、原则、职业出路和/或财力资源去当举报人,这样的情形少之又少。

雪伦·沃特金斯或许是迄今为止最接近这一形象的人,她确实在八月的备忘录中拉响了警报。她勇敢地站了出来,当时很少有人这么做,但我还不准备就此把她奉为圣人。在我这么做之前,我得先克服她备忘录中大量提及的——不是对错问题,而是什么可能被曝光的那部分。八月份她写道:

While we're on the subject of responsibility, who else should accept it in the case of Enron? (So far I haven't seen many hands going up.) The little guys are employing the Nuremberg defense: "I only did what I was told." And they're right most of the time. It's true they could have objected to what they saw, but that would be asking a lot. The combination of certitude, principles, career alternatives and/or financial resources needed to create a whistleblower occurs only rarely. Sherron Watkins might be the closest thing thus far, and she certainly did raise red flags in her memo of August. She was brave and stepped forward when few others did, but I'm not ready to canonize her yet. Before I do so, I'll have to get over the large number of references in her memo not to what was right or wrong, but to what might be found out. In August she wrote:     

斯凯林的突然离职会招致怀疑,

我们将不得不拿出安然股票来充数,这不可能不引起注意,

我非常担心我们会在会计丑闻的浪潮中崩盘,

我们正受到太多关注,可能有一两个‘被调岗’的员工对‘古怪’的会计处理了如指掌,足以给我们惹上麻烦,

太多人在寻找确凿的证据,

Skilling's abrupt departure will raise suspicions, we will have to pony up Enron stock, and that won't go unnoticed, I am incredibly nervous that we will implode in a wave of accounting scandals, we are under too much scrutiny and there are probably one or two 'redeployed' employees who know enough about the 'funny' accounting to get us into trouble, too many people are looking for a smoking gun,

Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.,2002 年

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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 

我们的情况,在证监会和投资者眼里都不好看,最好的结果就是:能悄无声息地收拾干净就悄无声息地收拾干净。

we do not have a fact pattern that would look good to the SEC or investors, and best case: clean up quietly if possible.

这些引文无疑表明了对“认知”的执着。沃特金斯当真纠结于对错,并选择自己的表达方式以对雷和公司产生影响吗?她写信是为了投诉不当行为,还是仅仅为了推动止损?这两者究竟是一回事,还是两回事?

与那些小人物不同,高层主管们采用了我所称的“日内瓦式辩护”:“战争期间我在瑞士。”没有人下令做那些错事,甚至无人知情。要么他们当时不在场,要么灯灭了。那些控制欲强、记忆力超群的人把事情交给别人,或者记不清发生了什么。最终,他们声称董事和审计师批准了一切。

These quotations certainly suggest a preoccupation with perception. Did Watkins truly worry about right and wrong and choose her mode of expression to make an impact on Lay and company? Did she write to complain about wrongdoing or just to push for damage control? And are they two different things or the same? Unlike the little guys, the top execs are employing what I call the Geneva defense: "I was in Switzerland during the war." Nobody ordered the misdeeds or even knew about them. Either they were out of the room or the lights went off. Control freaks with great memories left things to others or can't remember what happened. And, ultimately, they claim the directors and auditors approved everything.

审计师的角色

The Role of the Auditors

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为什么公司需要审计师?为了让所有者能够确信:(1)他们了解管理层在做什么;(2)财务报表准确反映了实际情况。因此,审计师在公司治理过程中扮演着绝对关键的角色。除了核查数字并就财务报表的合理性发表意见之外,他们的职责还包括通过审计委员会,在发现问题时告知董事。每一次审计委员会会议都应安排一段时间,确保没有管理层代表在场。这是审计师向董事们反映他们认为存在问题的机会。

安达信在安然事件中是否履行了其职责?他们说履职了,管理层说没有。真是意外!!当然,至少可以说,情况并不理想。

Why do companies have auditors? So the owners can be sure that (1) they know what management is doing and (2) the financial statements accurately reflect what's going on. As such, auditors play an absolutely essential role in the corporate governance process. In addition to checking the numbers and opining on the reasonableness of the financial statements, it's their job to tell directors, through the audit committee, when something's amiss. Every audit committee meeting should include some time when no management representatives are present. This is the auditors' chance to tell the directors about things they feel are wrong. Did Arthur Andersen fulfill its responsibilities at Enron? They say yes and management says no. Surprise!! Certainly, at minimum, the picture is less than ideal. 

首先,无可回避的事实是,安达信认证的财务报表,没人说一句好话。即便他们心存疑虑,也不足以让安达信亮起警示红旗。我们未见到任何记录显示安达信曾向审计委员会表达过疑虑。

First, there's no getting around the fact that Andersen certified financial statements about which no one has a kind word to say. If they had misgivings, they weren't sufficient to make Andersen send up a red flag. We haven't seen any record of Andersen expressing misgiving to the audit committee.

安然公司在 2000 年向安达信支付了 5200 万美元的费用,其中不到一半是审计费。审计师的报酬可能如此之高,以至于保住这份工作成了他们过于优先考虑的事情。

Andersen received $52 million in fees from Enron in 2000, less than half of which was for auditing. Auditors' compensation can be so great that keeping the job becomes too high a priority.

总额中大约 500 万美元用于安达信在构建部分被投诉交易上的协助。当管理层说,“我们付钱给你,让你为我们的问题想个有创意的解决方案”时,就很有动力去搞出个在效果和观感上都能达成公司目标的东西。而同一家公司几乎不可能在审计时否定它。这就好比花钱请国税局的人来设计避税方案。

Roughly $5 million of the total was for Andersen's help in structuring some of the complained-of transactions. When management says, "we'll pay you to think of a creative solution to our problem," there's a lot of incentive to come up with something that accomplishes the company's objectives in terms of effect and optics. And there's little likelihood that the same firm will disapprove it on audit. It's kind of like paying your IRS agent to design a tax shelter. U

2002 年,橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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最后,安达信为安然服务了十九年,也许日子过得太舒服了。虽然美国证券交易委员会规定审计合伙人必须轮换,但对会计师事务所的任期却没有限制。

Finally, Andersen served Enron for nineteen years, and maybe things got too comfortable. While SEC rules require that the audit partner be rotated, they don't limit the tenure of the firm.

另一方面,为安达信辩护的是:

On the other hand, in Andersen's defense: 

审计师很难比管理层透露的了解更多。(不过,如果他们觉得自己没有得到完整信息,向审计委员会报告并尽可能独立核查,这正是他们的职责所在。)反对的证据实在太多,没人会相信诚实的审计师总能嗅出不诚实的管理层。

It's hard for auditors to know more than management will tell them. (It is their job, however, to tell the audit committee when they don't feel they're getting complete information and to check matters independently where they can.) There's just too much evidence to the contrary for anyone to believe that honest auditors will always sniff out dishonest management.

安德森会计师事务所所认证的财务报表的所有细节,以及他们在安然公司的聘用安排,或许都符合规则的文字要求——即便不符合规则的精神实质。

All of the details of the financial statements Andersen certified, and of their engagement at Enron, may have met the letter – if not the spirit – of the rules.

和任何其他领域一样,一个坏苹果——不诚实的审计师,甚至是不称职的审计师——都能造成巨大破坏。我们尚不清楚安达信的戴维·邓肯在安然丑闻中到底扮演了什么角色,但如果他如讨论中所说的那样获得豁免权,我们或许能查明真相。

As in any other field, the rotten apple - the dishonest auditor, or even the incompetent one – can do a lot of damage. We don't know yet what the real role of Andersen's David Duncan was in the Enron debacle, but we may find out if he receives immunity as seems to be under discussion.

审计师是股东最后一道保护屏障之一。安然公司的例子向我们揭示了两点:他们的本质属性和他们可能犯下的错误。我们仍然需要更多的帮助。

Auditors are one of the shareholders' last bastions of protection. The Enron example shows us two things: their essential nature and their fallibility. We still need more help.

那剩下谁呢?

So Who's Left?

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股东最终的保障来自董事会。董事是股东的代表,也是首席执行官的老板。他们有权雇佣和解雇,有权批准和否决。听起来好像没有人能把责任推卸给别人。

但事实是,董事并不在公司工作,不参与日常事务,他们了解的信息几乎全部来自管理层。我本人就是公司董事,我的信息来自管理层和审计师(而审计师的大部分信息也来自管理层)。如果这些人违法或不诚实,我也无力保护股东。说到底:我们无法防止所有欺诈和虚假陈述。最多只能加以遏制,最坏情况下只能事后惩罚。我们通常假设人们在说真话,而我也不愿意在一个无法这样假设的地方工作。

如果遵循一些准则,董事的贡献可以大大提升。不这样做可能正是安然公司的主要问题之一:

第一,独立董事必须真正独立。这意味着他们应当意识到,自己服务的是股东——而不是公司或管理层——并且以此行事。

The shareholders' ultimate protection comes from the board of directors. The directors are the representatives of the shareholders and the bosses of the CEO. They are in position to hire and fire, and to approve and disapprove. Sounds like there's no one for them to pass the buck to. But the truth is, the directors don't work at the company, aren't involved in its day-to-day affairs, and know little that they don't learn from management. I'm a corporate director, and I get my information from management and the auditors (who get much of theirs from management). If they're criminal or uninformed, I'm powerless to protect the shareholders. Bottom line: we can't prevent all fraud and misrepresentation. At best we can discourage it, and at worst we can punish it. We usually assume people are telling the truth, and I would hate to work in a place where I can't. The contribution of directors can be increased greatly if a few standards are adhered to. The failure to do so may have been one of the major problems at Enron: First, independent directors must be independent. That means they should be aware that they work for the shareholders – not the company or the management – and act like

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如果董事从公司获取不合理的好处,他们就会丧失客观性,变得受人摆布,或害怕失去职位。仅举一例,在安然公司事件中,董事会调查委员会主席曾作证,所有董事都乘坐公司的飞机四处飞行。他们当初是否愿意放弃这一特权,来表达自己的立场呢?

其次,独立董事必须是勤勉尽责的人,他们会认真出席董事会议,提出尖锐的问题,并向管理层发起挑战。我们正在为旗下的一家公司物色董事人选。当我向某人询问一位候选人的情况时,他说:“他会给管理层找麻烦的。”在合理范围内,这正是我想听到的评价。松懈的态度会破坏独立性的概念。那些无限期任职的董事也值得审视。任职多年之后,他们可能会认定自己的忠诚对象是管理层。

第三,至少部分独立董事必须具有足够的财务敏锐度,能够完全理解公司正在发生的事情。让财务方面的新手加入,是因为他们可能在技术、法律或环境等领域拥有专业知识,这有充分的理由。但董事中应有足够的财务专家,以便理解管理层的行为,并在必要时提出质询。

最后,让管理层的好友担任董事,无助于董事会的独立性。(尽管董事是首席执行官的顶头上司,但他们往往是通过首席执行官获得职位的;这是多么矛盾啊!)

例如,当你审视安然公司审计委员会六名董事的名单时——这大概是保护股东方面最重要的机构——你会发现至少五位董事不符合上述所有标准:

it. If directors derive unreasonable benefits from the company, they can lose their objectivity, become beholden or grow afraid of losing the job. For just one example in the case of Enron, the chairman of the board's investigating committee testified that all of the directors flew around on company jets. Would they have been willing to give that up to take a stand? Second, independent directors have to be hard-working people who will attend meetings diligently, ask tough questions and challenge management. We're in the process of looking for directors for one of our companies. Someone I asked about a prospect said, "He'll be a pain in the ass to management." Within reason, that's what I want to hear. Relaxed attitudes negate the concept of independence. Directors who serve in perpetuity also should be looked at. After enough years, they can conclude their loyalty is to management. Third, at least some of the independent directors must be financially astute enough to fully understand what's going on. There are valid reasons to include financial novices for knowledge they may have in areas like technology, law or the environment. But there should be enough financial experts to understand management's actions and question them when necessary. Lastly, having friends of management as directors can't help the board's independence. (Although they are the CEO's bosses, directors often get their jobs through the CEO; how's that for a paradox?) When, for example, you look down the list of the six directors on Enron's audit committee – probably the most important body in terms of protecting the shareholders – you see that at least five fail to satisfy all of these criteria:     

RJ 担任审计委员会主席长达 15 年。

RC 缺席了超过 25% 的董事会及委员会会议。

安然曾向 JM 负责的癌症中心捐赠 150 万美元。

JW 作为顾问每年额外获得 7.2 万美元。

WG 所在的大学项目收到安然公司 5 万美元捐款。

RJ chaired the audit committee for 15 years. RC missed more than 25% of the board and committee meetings. Enron has given $1.5 million to the cancer center JM headed. JW got an additional $72,000 a year as a consultant. WG's university program received $50,000 in Enron donations.

找到既能力出众又真正独立的董事并不容易。薪酬太低,有资格的人不会接这差事;薪酬太高,独立性又会打折扣。若安然公司的董事会失去保障条款并遭到起诉,各公司恐怕再难觅得独立董事了。

归根结底,须牢记在心的是,在现行体制下,股东要选出的董事会,除了管理层提名的那一套,很难有别的选择。但正如眼下讨论的诸多议题那样,这并不意味着股东就该放弃争取能代表自身利益的董事会。

Getting highly competent and truly independent directors isn't easy. If the job pays too little, nobody qualified will take it. If it pays too much, independence can be compromised. And if Enron's board is stripped of indemnification and sued, it may become hard for companies to find independent directors at all. Ultimately, it must be borne in mind that, under the current system, it's tough for shareholders to get boards other than those proposed by management. But as in many of the issues under discussion here, that doesn't mean they should stop pushing for boards that represent their interests.

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别指望分析师能帮上什么忙

Don't Expect Much Help From the Analysts

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2 月 27 日,参议院政府事务委员会就研究安然公司的卖方分析师举行了听证会。其数据显示,即便在 11 月 8 日——美国证券交易委员会已宣布调查安然可能存在的违规行为数周之后——研究安然的 15 名分析师中仍有 10 人将其评级为“买入”或“强烈买入”。(当时股价约为 9 美元,如今已几乎归零。)彼时安然的债务在市场上大约以面值的 60% 成交。分析师或许认为该股票是绝佳的买入机会,但债券投资者显然认为债权人不太可能得到偿付——若果真如此,股票将一文不值。

分析师们向参议员解释,他们的失误源于所依赖的安然财务报表不准确。诚然,分析师的起点必须是财务报表,如果报表虚假,准确的分析确实变得极为困难。但即便如此,有洞察力的分析师仍能指出盈利质量欠佳及报告不充分或含糊不清的问题。就安然而言,似乎没有一位知名的卖方分析师发出过任何异议。

因此,安然与互联网泡沫时期的案例如出一辙,再次印证了两种可能:(a)最善意的解读是,券商分析师缺乏洞察力,其观点毫无价值;(b)最刻薄的解读是,他们存在的目的似乎不是帮助投资者,而是服务于其所在公司的投行业务。

我在 20 世纪 60 年代刚开始做分析师时,每股佣金很高,券商分析师的职责就是创造这些佣金。他们通过提供卓越的研究来实现这一目标。(尽管如此,直截了当的“卖出”建议仍属罕见,或许是因为“买入”建议的潜在受众要大得多。)自那以后,佣金被逐步压缩、分析师转而受投行业务考量的驱动——这一过程是逐渐演变的。

事实是,一位态度强硬、给出“卖出”建议的分析师,很可能既产生不了多少佣金,又注定成为不受欢迎的人,并确保其雇主无法从所研究的公司获得投行业务。因此,正如参议员约瑟夫·利伯曼所言:“这些影响侵蚀了分析师的客观性,意味着普通投资者对他们那些底线建议,即使不抱着一大桶盐,至少也应半信半疑。”

缺乏客观性并非分析师帮助不大的唯一原因。首先,获取卓越的信息本身就很难;事实上,美国证券交易委员会的规定要求公司同时向所有人提供相同的数据。其次,分析师常常与公司及其高管过于亲近,从而模糊了客观性。第三,当然,分析师可能拥有的任何洞见都会广泛传播,进入公共领域,并迅速反映在市场价格中。

我对研究结论的底线是(如你所知):一般分析师帮不上多大忙,只有少数远超平均水平的例外——这由定义使然。如果你能找到一位敏锐且独立的分析师,那是难得的幸运。

On February 27, the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee held hearings regarding sell-side analysts who covered Enron. Its data showed that as late as November 8, weeks after the SEC had announced its probe of possible irregularities, 10 out of 15 analysts who covered Enron still rated it as a "buy" or "strong buy." (The stock, then around $9, is now worth roughly zero.) Enron's debt was selling at roughly 60 cents on the dollar at that time. The analysts may have thought the stock was a great buy, but debt investors apparently considered it unlikely that the creditors would be paid – in which case the stock would be worthless. The analysts told the Senators their failure was attributable to the inaccuracy of the Enron financial statements on which they had relied. Certainly, analysts' starting point has to be the financial statements, and if they're fraudulent, accurate analysis is rendered very difficult. But still, an insightful analyst can call attention to poor earnings quality and inadequate or unclear reporting. In the case of Enron, none of the prominent sell-side analysts seems to have made a peep. Thus Enron represents another instance, like the dot-coms, where (a) most benignly, we'd have to say brokerage house analysts possess little insight and their opinions are of no value, and (b) most cynically, it seems they're not there to help investors as much as their companies' investment banking efforts. When I started off as an analyst in the 1960s, per-share commissions were high and it was the job of brokerage house analysts to generate them. They accomplished this by providing superior research. (Outright "sell" recommendations were rare nevertheless, perhaps because "buy" recommendations had a much bigger potential audience.) The process through which commissions were whittled down and analysts became driven by investment banking considerations instead built gradually since then. The truth of the matter is that a hard-nosed analyst with a "sell" recommendation is likely to generate little in the way of commissions but certain to become persona non grata and assure that his employer won't get investment banking business from the subject company. Thus, as Sen. Joseph Lieberman said, "These influences compromise an analyst's objectivity and mean that the average investor should take their bottom-line recommendations with at least a grain of salt, if not a whole bucket." Lack of objectivity isn't the only reason why analysts aren't much help. First, it's hard to develop superior information; in fact, SEC regulations require companies to give everyone the same data at the same time. Second, analysts often develop a closeness with companies and their executives that clouds their objectivity. And third, of course, any insight analysts may have is distributed widely so as to enter the public domain and quickly be reflected in market prices. My bottom line on research (as you know): the average analyst isn't much help, and only a few are far above average – by definition. If you find an astute and independent U

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分析师,就跟着他(或她)走。许多经验丰富的投资者已经学会,在券商分析之外,再参考独立研究机构的意见。

analyst, stick with him (or her). Many sophisticated investors have learned to supplement brokerage house analysis with input from independent research organizations.

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该由谁来负责?

Where Does the Buck Stop?

我们身处自由市场。倘若不配获得资本(或品行不端的)公司拿到了本不该得的资金,最终责任要落在股权资本提供者肩上。安然事件的所有资料我几乎都读过了,可几乎没人提到股东们或许也有失职之处。

没错,股东们确实是这场有组织、全方位的欺诈的受害者。但谁也不能说没有预警信号。股东们持有并买入安然股票,尽管他们根本不可能认为自己看懂了财务报表,或者弄清了利润从何而来。他们持有股票的时候,公司高管正在抛售。首席执行官不作解释就辞职,他们依然无动于衷。

我说的不只是散户投资者。安然最大股东安联集团的阿尔·哈里森曾引述说,他是凭“信仰”买入的。他甚至承认:“公司似乎有意不提供完整信息。我没对此采取行动,真是我的耻辱。”(《纽约时报》,2002 年 3 月 3 日)坦诚值得表扬;尽职调查却做得不够。

我相信许多投资者低估了投资的难度,低估了谨慎和厌恶风险的重要性,也低估了在这个过程中他们需要积极、带着怀疑去参与的必要性。买者自负。或者像电视上说的:“切勿在家模仿。”

Ours is a free market. If undeserving (or crooked) companies get capital they shouldn't, the responsibility ultimately falls to the providers of equity capital. I've read everything I could on Enron, and yet there's almost no mention that shareholders may have been remiss. Sure, the shareholders were victims of what appears to have been organized and pervasive fraud. But no one can say there weren't warning signs. Shareholders held and bought Enron stock although they couldn't possibly have thought they understood the financial statements, or where the profits came from. They held while the top executives were selling. And they remained unperturbed when the CEO quit without explanation. And I'm not just talking about individual investors. Al Harrison of Alliance, Enron's biggest holder, has been quoted as saying he bought on "faith." He even admits, "The company seemed to be on a deliberate path not to give full information. Shame on me for not doing something about it." (New York Times, March 3, 2002) Good marks for candor; not so good for due diligence. I believe many investors underestimate the difficulty of investing, the importance of caution and risk aversion, and the need for their active, skeptical involvement in the process. Caveat emptor. Or as they say on TV, "don't try this at home."

回顾、影响与改革

Recap, Ramifications and Reform

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安然公司董事会委员会总结道:

关联交易和会计错误的悲惨后果,是诸多层面、诸多人士的失灵所致:构想本身存在缺陷、员工中饱私囊、内部控制设计不周、执行不力、监督懈怠、简单(以及不那么简单)的会计差错,以及在一种似乎鼓励挑战底线的文化中过度冒进。(《纽约时报》,2002 年 2 月 3 日)

这些交易只是安然整个事件中的一环,却典型地反映了普遍存在的渎职、松懈和玩忽职守。我列举了归咎于高管、会计师、审计师、董事和分析师的部分失职行为。商业银行家、投资银行家、评级机构、律师、政客和监管者也受到指责。几乎没人能幸免于难。

As Enron's board committee concluded, The tragic consequences of the related-party transactions and accounting errors were the result of failures at many levels and by many people: a flawed idea, selfenrichment by employees, inadequately designed controls, poor implementation, inattentive oversight, simple (and not-so-simple) accounting mistakes, and overreaching in a culture that appears to have encouraged pushing the limits. (New York Times, February 3, 2002) These transactions were just one element in the overall Enron picture, but they typify the malfeasance, laxness, and dereliction of duty that were widespread. I have listed some of the failings that have been laid to executives, accountants, auditors, directors and analysts. Fingers also are being pointed at commercial bankers, investment bankers, rating agencies, lawyers, politicians and regulators. Virtually no one has come away unscathed.

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安然事件披露到最密集的时候,市场似乎随时会被恐慌席卷。泰科和其他有“会计问题”的公司股价一落千丈。90 年代末投资者对企业的信任过了头,如今又变得疑神疑鬼,说不定也过头了。有位朋友这样形容:“几年前,管理层说‘我们要赚 50 亿美元’,投资者囫囵吞下。现在,CFO 说‘我们有 1.75 亿美元现金’,投资者要问‘我们怎么知道这是真的?’”

我们读到过投资者信心大面积流失的风险。有人拿 20 年代的公司腐败做文章,说那场幻灭直接拖累了其后十年的股市低迷。前任证监会主席阿瑟·莱维特就安然事件作证时说:“垮掉的恰恰是监督资本市场的整套体系。”(《新闻周刊》,2002 年 2 月 4 日)。《纽约时报》2 月 10 日报道:“结局主要看安然事件能在华盛顿和公众视线里待多久,也要看那些一度风光的企业会不会也被看成靠财务把戏撑着的纸牌屋。”好消息是,这场病似乎没有蔓延开来。人们到现在还愿意把安然看成管理层失控的孤例。

这不代表接下来不会冒出一堆监管和改革措施。当年佩科拉的揭露就带来过一波,没理由不会再发生。安然的故事又有画面感又政治敏感,正是华盛顿磨坊里最合口的谷物。我当然不是说有些改革不需要。

下面就是近来冒出的一些想法(列在这里并不等于我赞成它们):

关于会计流程:监管“特殊目的实体”和“表外合伙”;要求股票期权计入费用、抵减利润;披露规则要定大原则,而不是只写技术细则;由联邦政府来定会计准则。

Around the time the Enron disclosures reached their peak, contagion seemed ready to sweep the market. Tyco and other companies with "accounting issues" saw their stocks collapse. Whereas investors generally placed too much faith in companies in the late 1990s, now they have become highly skeptical, perhaps unduly so. As a friend described it, "A few years ago, if management said 'we'll make $5 billion,' investors swallowed it whole. Today if a CFO says 'we have $175 million in cash,' investors ask 'how do we know that's true?''' We've read about the risk of a widespread loss of investor confidence. Allusions have been made to the corrupt practices of the 1920s and the fact that the resulting disillusionment had a lot to do with the stock market's doldrums in the following decade. Arthur Levitt, the last SEC Chairman, testified on Enron that, "What has failed is nothing less than the system for overseeing our capital markets." (Newsweek, February 4, 2002) As The New York Times wrote on February 10, "The outcome will depend largely on how long the Enron collapse holds the attention of Washington and the public, and on whether once-elevated companies also come to be seen as houses of cards kept standing by financial sleight of hand." The good news is that no epidemic seems to have taken hold. People have been willing thus far to view Enron as an isolated example of management run wild. That doesn't mean there won't be a spate of regulation and reform. That's what Pecora's disclosures produced, and there's no reason it won't happen again. The Enron story remains telegenic and political, and that makes it grist for Washington's mill. And I certainly don't mean to suggest that some reform isn't needed. Here are just a few of the ideas that have surfaced (their presence here absolutely does not indicate my endorsement of them): On the accounting process : regulate "special-purpose entities" and "off-balance sheet partnerships"; require that option grants be an expense against profits; specify broad principles for disclosure, not just technical rules; let the federal government set accounting standards.

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关于审计师:禁止或限制其承接非审计业务;审计师的聘用、解聘及薪酬应由董事会而非管理层决定;要求审计师在意见书中增加评述内容;对审计事务所实行任期限制;限制审计人员从审计所跳槽至客户方;终结行业自我监管,由外部机构取而代之;在针对审计师的惩戒程序中加大“力度”;考虑恢复对“协助或教唆”违反证券法的审计师(及律师)的民事责任(最高法院于 1994 年取消了这一责任)。

On auditors : prohibit or limit non-audit work; make auditor hiring, firing and compensation the province of the board, not management; require increased commentary in auditors' opinion letters; enact term limits for auditing firms; restrict the movement of personnel from audit firm to client; end self-policing by the profession, substituting an outside body; increase "teeth" in disciplinary process regarding auditors; consider restoring civil liability for auditors (and lawyers) who "aided or abetted" a violation of securities law (eliminated by Supreme Court in 1994). U

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关于银行:恢复将商业银行与投资银行分离的《格拉斯-斯蒂格尔法案》(颇具讽刺意味的是,该法案正是佩科拉调查的主要产物之一,而其核心条款在两年多前刚刚被废止);要求披露或有负债及其准备金(那些已承诺向……放贷的银行,

On banks : revive the Glass-Steagall Act separating commercial banking and investment banking (ironically, this law was one of the prime outgrowths of Pecora's investigations, and its key provisions were repealed just over two years ago); require disclosure of contingent liabilities and reserves against them (banks that had committed to lend to

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安然公司(Enron)在被评为投资级时提出的邀约,在其信用评级崩塌后却被(客户)接受了。

对券商分析师:禁止其薪酬与投资银行业务挂钩;要求披露分析师的薪酬构成,以及从目标公司收取的所有费用;限制分析师交易其推荐的股票;要求全面披露公司及分析师持有和交易这些股票的情况;将经纪和研究活动与投资银行业务分离。

Enron while it was rated investment grade were taken up on their offer when the credit rating collapsed). On brokerage house analysts : prohibit compensation tied to investment banking business; require disclosure of the derivation of analysts' pay, and of all fees received from the subject company; restrict analysts' trading in recommended stocks; require full disclosure of firms' and analysts' holdings and trading in those stocks; separate brokerage and research activities from investment banking. U

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关于 401(k)计划:限制对公司股票的投资;放宽公司股票出售的限制;要求在暂停参与者变更生效前发出通知;改进报告和参与者咨询。

On 401 (k) plans : limit investment in company stock; ease restrictions on sales of company stock; require notice before a moratorium on participants' changes goes into effect; improve reporting and participant counseling. U

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关于公司、高管和董事的问题:对误导性财务报表施加处罚;不仅要惩罚欺诈,还要惩罚疏忽大意;要求增加信息披露,特别是涉及关联方和内部人员的交易;控制“创造性”会计概念的使用,如调整后的预估收益;在财务报表误导的情况下,取消个人赔偿条款。

On companies, executives and directors : impose penalties for misleading financial statements; punish carelessness, not just fraud; require increased disclosure, especially regarding transactions with affiliates and insiders; put controls on the use of "creative" accounting concepts such as adjusted pro forma earnings; eliminate personal indemnification in cases of misleading financial statements. U

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关于美国证券交易委员会:审查信息披露规定;扩大权力,以便暂停或禁止不道德的高管或董事在上市公司任职;要求内部人交易(目前仅需在月底前报告)更快报告,或许实现线上报告,包括向公司回售股份的情况(目前仅需在次年底前报告);增加美国证券交易委员会的预算,以便其能够雇用并留住员工,加强执法活动。

On the SEC : review disclosure regulations; increase power to suspend or bar unethical executives or directors from working at public companies; require quicker, perhaps online reporting of insider trades (now not required until month-end), including sales back to the company (now not required until the next year); increase the SEC's budget so that it can hire and retain staff and increase enforcement activity. U

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关于政界人士:推进竞选筹款改革(可能正在推进中);要求游说者的接触向公众报告;限制游说者在起草立法中的角色。

On politicians : enact campaign finance reform (it might be on the way); require reporting of lobbyists' contacts; limit lobbyists' role in drafting legislation. U

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这张冗长的解决方案清单表明:(a)安然事件所揭示的问题之严重;(b)政府急于出手救市的心态。会有些改革措施出台,但认为问题并不普遍的看法应当限制其改革范围。

那么,最终的结论是什么?依我看,安然的真正教训如下:

This vast laundry list of possible solutions suggests (a) the magnitude of the problem indicated by Enron and (b) the eagerness of government to ride to the rescue. Some changes will be made, but the belief that the problem isn't widespread should limit their scope. What's the bottom line, then? The real lessons from Enron, in my opinion, are these: 

只要有信息披露规则存在——而且永远都会存在——就总会有一些“技术性合规”的表述,让投资者一头雾水。要得到有诚信的数字,你得先有诚信的人。

As long as there are disclosure rules – and that's forever – there'll be "technically correct" statements that leave investors in the dark. In order to get numbers with integrity, you need people with integrity.

规则只是构建安全市场的第一步。我们还需要合规与执行,这两者都永远无法做到百分之百完善。尽管我们的公司监管体系堪称全球最佳,但远非尽善尽美。在面对严重的公司腐败时,董事、审计师和监管机构保护股东的集体力量会大打折扣。骗子们一时得逞而不受惩罚,想想都令人咋舌。

Rules are just the first building block in creating a safe market. We also need compliance and enforcement, neither of which will ever be 100%. Even though it’s the best in the world, our system for corporate oversight is far from perfect. The collective power of directors, auditors and regulators to protect shareholders withers in the face of serious corporate corruption. It's amazing what con men can get away with for a while.

2002 年橡树资本管理公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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安然公司那些复杂且可疑的交易表明,寻找规则漏洞的人往往动机强烈、资金充足、智囊云集。而那些负责堵漏的人常常力不从心,他们的努力通常只是权宜之计。安然会计丑闻引发的轩然大波表明,我们需要有能力坚持一般性原则,并惩罚那些违反原则的人。

As Enron's complex, questionable transactions indicate, the people looking for holes in the rules are often highly motivated, well financed and well advised. Those whose job it is to plug the loopholes are often over-matched, and their efforts to do so usually amount to a holding action. The furor over Enron's accounting shows that we need the ability to insist on adherence to general principles and punish those who violate them.

证券分析和知识型投资并不容易。投资者必须警惕模糊或残缺的信息,也要提防那些不把股东利益放在首位的公司。他们只有在清楚自己不懂什么的时候才应当投资,而且必须坚持留有足够的安全边际,以弥补任何不足之处。

Security analysis and knowledgeable investing aren't easy. Investors must be alert for fuzzy or incomplete information, and for companies that don't put their interests first. They must invest only when they know what they don't know, and they must insist on sufficient margin for error owing to any shortcomings.

我们都必须警惕意想不到的后果,在制定法规时尤其如此。会计规则和期权计划起初都是出于良好的意愿,但走向极端后,它们引来了安然公司那些有害的交易和适得其反的激励。下一次,情况也不会两样。

We all must watch out for unintended consequences, and that's especially true when promulgating regulations. Accounting rules and option programs were created with the best of intentions, but in the extreme they led to Enron's noxious transactions and counterproductive incentives. It'll be no less true the next time around.

我为这封备忘录的冗长致歉,但安然事件牵涉之广、层面之复杂,使我无法回避。在此,我的目的是阐明问题,而非复述事件经过。希望你能觉得它既有意思又有用处。

I apologize for the length of this memo, but the Enron matter is so sweeping and multifaceted that I found it inescapable. It is my aim here to shed light, not to recount events. I hope you'll find it interesting and of use.

March 14, 2002

March 14, 2002

2002 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司

2002 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

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版权所有。

All Rights Reserved