惠灵顿基金75周年反思

2004 · 演讲 · 原文约 7372 词
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在威灵顿基金 75 岁生日之际,一位担任了 53 年投资者兼船员、并任主席 27 年的人所感——在威灵顿基金过去 75 年的往事湮没于历史尘埃之前,我很乐意贡献那个时代的点滴回忆:正如半个世纪前我们所说,“繁荣与萧条、战争与和平、以及政治变迁”。自那以来的岁月里,我们显然见证了更多同样的景象——只不过萧条被经济衰退取代了,至少到目前为止是这样。

Reflections on Wellington Fund’s 75th Birthday From an Investor and Crewmember for 53 years, and a Chairman for 27 Years Before the events of Wellington Fund’s past 75 years vanish into the dustbin of history, I’m pleased to contribute a few memories of that era of, as we said a half-century ago, “prosperity and depression, war and peace, and political change.” In the years since then, we’ve clearly seen more of the same—except that recession has, so far at least, replaced depression.

温顿基金由沃尔特·L·摩根于 1928 年 12 月 27 日创立,自 1929 年中开始运作以来,一直遵循相同的平衡投资策略。无一例外,它始终保持着极为广泛的股票和债券投资分散化,并且,除了偶尔出现几次短暂的偏离(后来得以纠正)之外,始终坚定不移地聚焦于高投资品质。

Founded by Walter L. Morgan on December 27, 1928, Wellington Fund has followed the same balanced approach to investing ever since it began operations in mid-1929. Without exception, it has maintained an extremely broad diversification of stock and bond investments, and, with only a few intermittent aberrations (later corrected), a relentless focus on high investment quality.

从一开始,惠灵顿的三重目标始终如一:(1)资本保全,(2)合理的当期收入,(3)无过度风险地获取利润。这些目标经受住了时间的考验,也是该基金连续 298 个季度向股东分红这一卓越纪录的重要原因。该基金坚定不移地恪守其保守的投资策略,在其资产增长和赢得数百万投资者认可的过程中发挥了重要作用。

From the very outset, Wellington’s three-fold objective has remained constant: (1) Conservation of Capital, (2) Reasonable Current Income, and (3) Profits Without Undue Risk. These goals have stood the test of time, and have been importantly responsible for the remarkable string of 298 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to the Fund’s shareholders. The Fund’s stalwart consistency in hewing to its conservative investment approach has played a major role in its asset growth and acceptance by millions of investors.

但在受托管理他人资金的过程中,一致性始终是该基金的标志性特征,而其业务活动却屡经变革。与早期共同基金行业的模式一样,该基金最初以"独立基金"的形式成立,直到 1935 年才采用惠灵顿基金(Wellington Fund)这个名称。三十年后,1958 年温莎基金(Windsor Fund)加入,成为如今拥有 118 只基金的先锋集团(Vanguard)家族的第二位成员。此外,在惠灵顿基金近半个世纪的历史中,其股票几乎全部通过股票经纪人向投资者销售,经纪人凭此获得销售佣金——这一制度在 1977 年被废止,此后股票开始直接向投资者发售,免收佣金。

But while consistency has been the hallmark of the Fund’s role as trustee of other people’s money, change has punctuated its business activities. As was the mode of the early mutual fund industry, the Fund was formed as a “stand-alone” fund, and didn’t even adopt the Wellington Fund name until 1935. Three decades passed before it was joined by Windsor Fund in 1958 as the second member of today’s 118-fund Vanguard family. Further, during almost all of Wellington’s first half-century, its shares were distributed to investors by stockbrokers who were paid sales loads for their efforts, a system abandoned in 1977 when shares began to be offered directly to investors on a commission-free basis.

或许最大的变化发生在 1974 年,当时先锋集团(The Vanguard Group)成立,威灵顿成为其创始成员。随着这一创新的互惠结构诞生,威灵顿及其姊妹基金实际上承担了企业受托管理方面的职责,而该基金的长期投资顾问——威灵顿管理公司(Wellington Management Company)则按照基金董事会制定的政策,负责基金证券投资组合的管理工作。

Perhaps the biggest change of all came in 1974, when The Vanguard Group was formed and Wellington became a charter member. With the creation of this innovative mutual structure, Wellington and its sister funds assumed responsibility for, in effect, the trusteeship side of the enterprise, with Wellington Management Company, the fund’s long-time investment adviser, handling the management of the Fund’s securities portfolio in accordance with the policies established by the Fund’s board of directors.

结构上的这一变革,大幅削减了该基金的管理费和运营成本,顾问公司也认识到,提升业绩对其能否继续留任至关重要。与此同时,股票和债券市场环境开始改善,这一趋势在此后超过四分之一个世纪的大部分时间里持续向好。这些变化,再加上——最重要的是——董事会于 1978 年采纳的惠灵顿投资策略调整,将引领该基金进入一个时代,最终被证明是其漫长历史上业绩最为卓著的时期。

The change in structure resulted in a sharp reduction in the Fund’s management fees and operating costs, and recognition by the advisor that improved performance was essential to the firm’s continuing engagement. At the same time, the climate of the stock and bond markets began an improvement that would continue for most of the subsequent quarter-century-plus. These changes, along with, most importantly, the modifications in Wellington’s investment strategy that the Board adopted in 1978 would lead to an era that would prove to be by far the most productive in the Fund’s long history.

资产增长可谓惊人。威灵顿基金诞生之初——整整 75 年前——仅有 10 万美元资产。1934 年资产突破 100 万美元大关时,摩根先生欣喜若狂。1943 年突破 1000 万美元,1949 年达到 1 亿美元,1959 年迈过 10 亿美元。在 1965 年触碰 20 亿美元高点后,威灵顿基金长期的增长势头暂时中止。业绩严重下滑,股息大幅跌落,基金资产暴跌 75%,到 1982 年中期仅剩 4.7 亿美元。随后,复兴开启。这只曾经的业绩落后者,在其平衡型基金同行中一跃成为业绩领跑者,自我驱动、独立思考的投资者蜂拥加入。基金资产稳步攀升,如今达到 270 亿美元,成为全球最大的平衡型基金。

Asset growth has been remarkable. Wellington Fund began, all those 75 years ago, with just $100,000 of assets. When assets crossed the $1,000,000 mark in 1934, Mr. Morgan was exuberant. The $10-million mark was crossed in 1943, the $100 million mark in 1949, and the $1-billion mark in 1959. After cresting at $2 billion in 1965, the Wellington’s long era of growth came to a temporary halt. Performance faltered badly, the dividend tumbled, and fund assets plummeted by 75 percent, to $470 million by mid-1982. Then the renaissance began. The performance laggard became a performance leader among its balanced fund peers, and self-motivated, independent investors joined the fund in droves. Fund assets steadily rose, and now total $27 billion, the largest balanced fund in the world.

沃尔特·摩根担任惠灵顿董事长长达 42 年,之后于 1972 年将帅印交到我手中。我很自豪地继续担任这一职位 27 年,其中还包括两年高级董事长。从 1951 年起我便成为惠灵顿的员工,更不用说在那整整漫长的岁月里,我始终是一位心满意足且深感自豪的股东——我有幸见证了惠灵顿 75 年历史中超过 52 年的历程,并在塑造这段历史中扮演了重要角色。在每一种身份中——领导、服务者、所有者——我都自豪地将这份内容丰富的 75 岁生日贺卡,献给摩根先生——我长达半个世纪的前任、赞助人、导师、英雄,以及朋友——的回忆。

-1- Walter Morgan served as Wellington’s Chairman for 42 years before turning the reins over to me in 1972. I’m proud to have served in that role for another 27 years, including two years as senior chairman. As an employee ever since 1951, to say nothing of being a pleased and proud shareholder throughout that entire long period, I have been a witness to more than 52 years of Wellington’s 75-year history, and privileged to play a major role in shaping that history. In each of these capacities—leader, servant, and owner—I’m proud to dedicate this extensive 75th birthday card to the memory of Mr. Morgan, my predecessor, my sponsor, my mentor, my hero, and my friend for a full half-century.

沃尔特·摩根会希望你带着乐趣来读这段历史,从中汲取收获,并取走你能带走的东西。祝威灵顿基金 75 岁生日快乐!

Walter Morgan would want you to enjoy reading this history, to learn from it, and to take from it what you may. Happy 75th Birthday to Wellington Fund!

此致

敬礼

约翰·C·博格尔

注:本演讲中所表达的观点不一定代表先锋集团现任管理层的看法。

© 2005 约翰·C·博格尔 版权所有

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威灵顿基金成功的关键

自成立以来,威灵顿基金一直坚持平衡投资策略——投资组合中约 60% 配置于普通股,40% 配置于债券、优先股和现金。在基金成立的头三十年里,现金部分的比重变化很大,优先股也构成了一大类主要资产,但自 1970 年以来,二者都不再是投资组合中的重要组成部分。过去二十五年间,普通股的比例很少显著偏离资产的 65%,其余部分由债券(以及少量现金头寸)构成。

Sincerely, John C. Bogle Note: The opinions expressed in this speech do not necessarily represent the views of Vanguard’s present management. © Copyright 2005 by John C. Bogle -2- The Key to Wellington’s Success Ever since it began operating, Wellington Fund has been committed to a policy of balanced investing—a portfolio mix centered around 60 percent common stocks and 40 percent bonds, preferred stocks, and cash. During the Fund’s first three decades, the cash portion varied widely, and preferred stocks constituted a major asset class, but since 1970 neither has constituted a significant portfolio component. Over the past quarter-century, the common stock ratio has rarely varied far from 65 percent of assets, with bonds (and a small cash position) constituting the remainder.

Consistent Policies …

Consistent Policies . . .

100% 90% 80% 70% …导致资产强劲增长 60% 50% 现金 债券/优先股。

100% 90% 80% 70% . . . Lead to Strong Asset Growth 60% 50% Cash Bond/Pfd.

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

40% 股票 $100,000 惠灵顿基金资产,30% $26,985 1929 – 2003 20% 惠灵顿基金投资余额,$10,000(单位:百万)1929 – 2003 $2,048 $5,570 10% 0% $1,000 $1,017 $470 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 1 9 19 1 9 19 19 19 $100 $49 $10 $3 $1 $0 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99 19 19 1 9 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 尽管影响这几类资产的投资条件大相径庭,但在 75 年历史中,惠灵顿平衡型策略的全局一贯性显然推动了惠灵顿基金的增长。尤其值得注意的是,从 1929 年至 1965 年顶峰期间,资产规模一直保持着极为稳健的增长(这张半对数图表反映了基金资产每年的百分比变化)。到了 20 世纪 60 年代中期投机性的“狂飙年代”,平衡型基金变得过时,这种增长随之戛然而止。随后 1973 – 1974 年的熊市对股票基金和平衡型基金同样造成重创,惠灵顿基金的资产下跌了 75%。1978 年,惠灵顿对其策略进行改革,聚焦于相对稳定的股票配置比例并强调股息收入,让基金重新回到传统的锚定轨道,此前那种持续增长的模式很快得以恢复。

40% Stock $100,000 Wellington Fund Assets, 30% $26,985 1929 - 2003 20% Wellington Fund Investment Balance, $10,000 (in millions) 1929 - 2003 $2,048 $5,570 10% 0% $1,000 $1,017 $470 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 1 9 19 1 9 19 19 19 $100 $49 $10 $3 $1 $0 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99 19 19 1 9 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 While the investment conditions affecting each of these asset classes varied wildly, the over-all consistency of Wellington’s balanced policy during its 75-year existence has clearly fostered Wellington Fund’s growth. Note especially the remarkably steady growth in assets from 1929 through the 1965 peak. (This semi-log chart reflects annual percentage changes in the Fund’s assets.) As balanced funds became passé during the speculative “go-go years” of the mid 1960s, that growth came to a halt. The bear market that followed in 1973-74 slashed the assets of stock funds and balanced funds alike, and the Fund’s assets fell by 75 percent. A revamping of Wellington’s policies in 1978, focused on a relatively stable equity ratio and an emphasis on dividend income, returned the Fund to its traditional moorings, and its earlier pattern of growth promptly resumed.

沃尔特·摩根谈惠灵顿基金的创立*1928 年 12 月 27 日,是这个基金诞生的日子。算不上一个重要的日子,真的,只是在那一天,我们在特拉华州提交了各种乏味的法律文件,让一家公司得以诞生。就在那个时刻,一个想法变成了一家实实在在的企业。当然,它当时规模很小,毫不起眼,无足轻重,但未来蕴含着成功的潜力——这个未来,在很多方面早已被此前发生的事情所决定。

Walter Morgan on the Founding of Wellington Fund* December 27, 1928, was the day the Fund was born. Not an important date, really, but simply the date on which were filed, in the State of Delaware, the variety of drab legal documents that breathe life into a corporation. At that point in time, then, an idea became a business in being. Small, humble, and insignificant, to be sure, but with the potential of success in its future—a future that in many respects had been determined by what went before.

-3- 早期反复出现在我脑海里的想法,和大多数好点子一样,本质极其简单:把一群个人投资账户合并成一个大型基金,这个基金可以广泛分散投资于大约一百种或更多证券,并由训练有素的投资专家高效管理。要开发这样一个“共同基金”,当然需要推广、分析和管理能力——这些能力部分来自我的遗传和训练,更大程度上则来自我的好运,因为我身边围绕着一群比我懂得更多的人。

-3- The idea that kept coming into my mind in the early days was, like most good ideas, the essence of simplicity: to combine a group of individual investment accounts into a single large fund, which could be diversified broadly over perhaps a hundred or more securities, and managed efficiently by trained investment experts. To develop such a “mutual fund,” of course, would require promotional, analytical and managerial abilities that were to come in part from my heredity and my training, and in even greater part from my good fortune in surrounding myself with people who knew more than I did.

我的会计师事务所摩根公司(Morgan and Company)于 1925 年开业后不久,投资建议和税务咨询就成了我业务中的主导部分。我很乐意给客户提供咨询,不仅处理他们的税务问题,也管理他们的投资——因为这始终是我的第一爱好,至今依然如此。与此同时,一个反复出现的主题在我脑海中不断回响:一定有一种比管理大量个人账户更好的方式来操盘投资管理;一定有一种比仅购买少数几只证券更好的方式来分散投资;一定有一种更好的方式来解决大量证券的保管、成百上千张债券利息票的剪取、以及多笔买入、卖出和股息记录的登记问题。一定有一种更好的方式。问题的解决方案显而易见:如果所有这些个人账户面临的实质上是相同的投资问题,为什么不把它们合并成一只单一基金呢?

**** After my own accounting firm, Morgan and Company, opened its doors for business in 1925, it was not long before investment advice and tax counseling became the dominant part of my business. I was glad to advise clients, not only on their tax affairs, but also on the handling of their investments, because this was my first love and still is. At the same time, a recurrent theme kept repeating itself over and over in my mind: There must be a better way to handle investment management than to advise a large number of individual accounts. There must be a better way to diversify investments than the purchase of only a few securities. There must be a better way to handle the problems of safekeeping a large number of securities, clipping hundreds of bond interest coupons, recording multiple purchases and sales and dividends. There must be a better way. The solution to the problem was obvious: if substantially the same investment problems were shared by all of these individual accounts, why not consolidate them into a single fund?

1928 年 7 月 1 日,工业和电力证券公司(该基金原名)以略超过 10 万美元的资产开始运营。回顾来看,我们选择了美国金融史上最糟糕的时机来推出一只新的投资工具。然而从另一个角度看,我们又是何等幸运——在保守投资的价值即将被充分证明之前的短短几个月,就推出了一只保守型基金。而更幸运的是,我们管理团队的远见、能力,当然还有好运——他们在 10 月那场悲剧性的崩盘之前,就以可观的规模卖出了股票,这一做法最终被市场的残酷现实所验证。

**** On July 1, 1928, Industrial and Power Securities Company [the Fund’s original name] had slightly over $100,000 of assets and began operations. In retrospect, we had chosen the worst time in the financial history of the United States to launch a new investment vehicle. Yet in another way, what good fortune we had to launch a conservative fund just a few brief months before the merits of conservative investing were to be so amply demonstrated. And how fortunate we were that the perception, the ability, and of course the good luck of our management team in selling stocks in a substantial way before the crash were vindicated by the events of that tragic October.

由于我们秉持保守理念并在管理上有所举措,本基金在 1929 年下半年的资产价值表现出了抗跌性,价值相对稳定,几乎没有其他投资信托或共同基金能与之匹敌。新资本开始一点点流入基金,到第一年结束时,总资产已达 19.5 万美元。我们上路了!

As a result of our conservative philosophy and our management moves, the Fund’s asset value demonstrated a resistance to decline, a relative stability of value, unmatched by virtually any other investment trust or mutual fund in the last half of 1929. New capital had started to flow little by little into the Fund and as our first year ended, total assets were $195,000. We were on our way!

我选择“惠灵顿”作为管理公司名称,原因有很多。多年来,我始终是惠灵顿的研究者与崇拜者,对其军事战役的历史着迷不已。对这位“铁公爵”的钦佩,也延伸到了许多英国的物品上,尤其是古银器与家具。此外,“惠灵顿”这个名称尚未被其他美国金融机构使用——这与华盛顿、杰斐逊、汉密尔顿、林肯这些广为人知的美国英雄名字不同。最重要的是,惠灵顿这个名字容易记住,它别具一格,自带一种神奇的魅力,一种难以言喻的品质光环,几乎堪称一家保守型金融机构的完美之名。

* I had chosen the name Wellington for the management company for a variety of reasons. I had been a student and admirer of the life of Wellington for years, and was fascinated with the history of his military campaigns. My admiration for the “Iron Duke” carried over to many things English, especially antique silver and furniture. The Wellington name, furthermore, had not been used by other American financial institutions, which was not the case with the well-known United States heroes—Washington, Jefferson, Hamilton, Lincoln, and others. Most important of all, Wellington was a name easy to remember; it was distinctive; it had a magical ring to it, a sort of indefinable air of quality about it that made it almost perfect as a name for a conservative financial organization.

__________________ *节选自《改变我们人生的商业决策》中“主街来到华尔街——一个新投资概念的诞生”一文,作者沃尔特·L·摩根,兰登书屋,1964 年出版*

基金最初的名字之所以这么选,是因为它符合 1920 年代的潮流。然而到了 1930 年代,这个名字就有点不合时宜了。封闭式投资信托公司经历的磨难——其中许多在撼动经济的浩劫中永远彻底沉没——让被滥用的“实业”一词背负了坏名声。“电力”尤其成了不祥之兆,因为公用事业控股公司纷纷崩溃。或许更重要的是,没几个人能记住我们的名字,越来越多的人开始把实业与电力证券公司称为“一只惠灵顿基金”,也就是惠灵顿公司旗下管理的账户之一。

__________________ *From Business Decisions that Changed our Lives, “Main Street Comes to Wall Street—A New Investment Concept is Born,” by Walter L. Morgan. Random House, 1964 The fund’s original name was chosen because it was in tune with the 1920s. For the 1930s, however, it was rather off-key. The trials and tribulations of the closed-end trusts, many of -4- which had gone completely and forever underwater in the cataclysm that shook the economy, had given the over-used “industrials” a bad connotation. “Power” in particular was bad news, as a result of collapse of the utility holding companies. Perhaps even more important, no one could remember our name, and more and more people began to refer to Industrial and Power Securities as “a Wellington fund,” that is, one of the accounts under Wellington Corporation management.

所以,(这个显而易见的)决定很快就做出了。1935 年 7 月 11 日,工业和电力证券公司更名为威灵顿基金公司。由于这个名字容易记住,它非常适合帮助我们实现早期的一个主要目标:让威灵顿像“凯迪拉克”、“可口可乐”或“蒂芙尼”一样家喻户晓。我毫不怀疑,选择威灵顿这个名字是我们成功的基石之一。

So (the obvious) decision was easily made. On July 11, 1935, Industrial and Power Securities Company became Wellington Fund, Inc. Since the name was easy to remember, it was well-suited to help us accomplish one of our major early objectives: to make Wellington a household name like “Cadillac,” “Coca-Cola,” or “Tiffany.” There is no question in my mind that the choice of the Wellington name was one of the cornerstones of our success.

作为受托人和经验丰富的管理者,我们将继续怀有高度的受托责任感履行我们的职责。正是这份责任感,加上我们对保守投资的一贯信念,帮助我们在稳健的财务基础上将主街引入华尔街。1928 年威灵顿基金诞生时所开创的保守平衡理念,不过是共同基金发展长河中的一条支流,它将一种现代投资方法带给了普通美国家庭。正是这种投资方法,将在未来岁月中帮助塑造数百万美国人的财务未来。

* As trustees and experienced managers, we will continue to carry on our dutues with a high sense of fiduciary responsibility. It is this sense of responsibility, together with our constant belief in conservative investing, that help us to bring Main Street to Wall Street on a sound financial footing. The concept of conservative balance that was pioneered when Wellington Fund was born in 1928 was simply one tributary in the river of mutual fund progress that brought to the average American family a modern method of investing. It is this investment method that will help to shape the financial future of millions of Americans in the years to come.

“超越头条” 1944 年末,威灵顿基金出版了一份引人注目的成立前 15 年历史回顾,自豪地指出其资产已增长至近 2500 万美元(!),位居行业第十大。这本名为“超越头条”的小册子,详细分析了基金的政策与策略,以及 1929 至 1944 年期间每五年一个阶段的重大历史事件与股市走势。接下来的两页,摘录了这本精美出版物中前两个阶段的内容。在第三阶段,第二次世界大战爆发。虽然小册子出版时和平尚未到来,但摩根先生随附的信函以乐观的语气结尾:“没有任何方法能保证,仅仅因为管理层过去取得了令人满意的投资成就,未来就一定能继续如此。然而,一个合乎逻辑的假设似乎是:那些亲身经历过 1929 年股市崩盘、大萧条以及最后五年战争岁月的管理层,应当具备有价值的背景和真正能力,以令人满意的方式应对未来的问题。” 总体来看,事实也确是如此。

“Beyond The Headlines” In late 1944, Wellington published a remarkable history of the Fund’s first fifteen years, proudly noting its asset growth to almost $25 million(!), the tenth largest firm in the industry. The brochure, entitled “Beyond the Headlines,” presented a detailed analysis of the Fund’s policies and strategies, and the historical events and stock market actions during each five-year segment of the 1929-1944 period. The next two pages are excerpts from this handsome publication covering the first two of those segments. During the third segment, World War II began. Although peace was not yet at hand when the brochure was published, Mr. Morgan’s accompanying letter closes on an optimistic note: “There is no way to guarantee that just because a management has effected notably satisfactory investment achievement in the past, it is going to continue to do so in the future. It does seem logical to assume, however, that a management which has gone through the actual experience of the 1929 crash, and the depression, and the last five war years, would have a worthwhile background and a real ability to meet future problems in a satisfactory manner.” And, so, on balance, it did.

-5- 最初的五年 1929–1933 在此期间,惠灵顿基金直面并克服了股市沸腾及随后的崩盘所带来的问题。1929 年,惠灵顿基金于当年 4 月启动业务,管理层很快便面临一个问题:应在多大程度上顺应“新时代”哲学?我们是应当不加保留地接受这一理念,将所有资金投入普通股?是应当认同公众的看法,认为 1928–29 年的上涨“仅仅是开始”,还是应当走一条保守路线,认识到那个沸腾市场中的风险因素?

-5- The First Five Years 1929-1933 During which WELLINGTON FUND met and overcame the problems of a boiling stock market and its subsequent collapse 1929 WELLINGTON FUND began business in April, 1929, and its management was soon faced with the question of how far to go along with the “new Era” philosophy. Should we unqualifiedly accept this philosophy and have all our funds in common stocks? Should we agree with the public that the 1928-29 rise was “only the beginning” or should we pursue a conservative course and recognize the risk factors in that boiling market?

1929 年夏天,惠灵顿管理公司认为股票不可能再上涨太多,价格水平极度脆弱,已严重偏离内在价值与盈利水平。

WELLINGTON Management in the summer of 1929 believed that stocks could not advance much farther and that the price level was highly vulnerable, being away out of line with intrinsic values and earnings.

到 1929 年 9 月市场达到高点时,如下表所示,我们已经建立了大量现金储备,并将普通股占资产的比例从 6 月 30 日的 78.02% 降至 41.77%。

By the time the market had reached its high point in September, 1929, as the following table shows, we had built up a large cash reserve and reduced common stocks to 41.77% of assets as compared with 78.02% on June 30th.

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

投资类型优先股普通股现金债券
日期(六月三十日,1929 年)7.99%13.99%78.02%
七月三十一日,1929 年39.31%10.37%17.19%33.13%
九月三日,1929 年37.89%4.84%15.50%41.77%

从威灵顿基金在 1929 年股市崩盘前卖出的一些普通股所实现的价格,可以一窥当时市场的价位水平:艾奇逊公司 278 美元,柯蒂斯出版公司 124 美元,联合太平洋铁路公司 288 美元,美国钢铁公司 258 美元,西屋电气公司 286 美元。与许多其他个人投资者和投资团体一样,威灵顿 1930 年的管理层在 1931 年曾基于一种广泛流行的观点——即市场可能反弹——将相当一部分现金储备暂时投入市场。投资中最大部分为普通股,但优先股也增加了。

Preferred Common Cash Bonds Stocks Stocks June 30, 1929 . . . . . . 7.99% None 13.99% 78.02% July 31, 1929 . . . . . . .39.31% 10.37% 17.19% 33.13% Sept. 3, 1929 . . . . . . . 37.89% 4.84% 15.50% 41.77% Some idea of the market price level at that time may be gleaned from the prices realized by WELLINGTON FUND for some of the common stocks which we sold before the crash in 1929: Atchison $278 Curtis Publishing $124 Union Pacific $288 U.S. Steel $258 Westinghouse $286 In common with many other individual investors and groups, WELLINGTON 1930 management in 1931 temporarily invested a substantial portion of cash reserves 1931 under the widely held belief that the market might rally. The largest portion of the investments was in common stocks though preferreds were also increased.

然而,在 1931 年期间,市场下跌将持续这一点已变得显而易见,WELLINGTON 通过清仓两类证券,重新积攒了现金储备。现金占总资源的比例,从 1930 年底的 3%,上升到了 1931 年底的 28%。

However, during 1931 it became evident that the market decline would continue and WELLINGTON, by liquidation of both classes of securities, reaccumulated its cash reserves. Cash had been increased from 3% of total resources at the end of 1930, to 28% at the end of 1931.

1932 年 到 1933 年的这两年,主要的问题是判断通缩何时结束,以及 1932 年夏季反弹之后通缩是否已经走到尽头。

1932 During these two years, the chief problem was to decide when deflation would end 1933 and whether it had run its course after the summer rally of 1932.

正是在这一时期,WELLINGTON 首次开始大量积累折价债券,这些债券当时每美元面值仅以 40 美分到 50 美分出售。当然,在这些年里,我们也继续持有或买入选定的普通股。

It was in this period that WELLINGTON first began to accumulate substantial holdings of discount bonds, then selling at .40c to .50c on the dollar. Of course in these years we also continued to hold or purchase selected common stock issues.

换言之,WELLINGTON 的管理层认为,如果市场上涨,这些证券与普通股一样能带来利润;但如果市场继续下跌,基金资产持有这些被低估的优先证券能得到更好的保护。

In other words, the WELLINGTON management felt that if the market were going to advance it would enjoy profits in these securities as well as in common stocks but that if the market decline continued, the Fund’s assets would be better protected in these undervalued senior securities.

第二个五年:1934–1938 年

1934 年 —— 威灵顿基金通过投资于被低估的债券和优先股,获得了可观的利润。

在这一年,威灵顿基金的表现跑赢市场约 20%,主要原因是我们在被低估的债券和优先股上进行了大量投资。像 Central Illinois Public Service 5½’s of 1968、Central Gas & Electric 5½’s of 1946、Indiana Service 5’s of 1963、Puget Sound 5½’s of 1949、Southeastern Power & Light 6’s of 2025 以及 Washington Suburban 5½’s of 1941 这类公用事业债券,在当年内升值了 40% 至 60%。

-6- The Second Five Years 1934-1938 WELLINGTON FUND profits materially from its investments in undervalued Bonds and Preferred Stocks In this year, WELLINGTON performed better than the market by approximately 20%— 1934 primarily because of our large investments in undervalued bonds and preferred stocks. Such utility bonds as Central Illinois Public Service 5½’s of 1968; Central Gas & Electric 5½’s of 1946; Indiana Service 5’s of 1963; Puget Sound 5½’s of 1949’ Southeastern Power & Light 6’s of 2025 and Washington Suburban 5½’s of 1941 appreciated 40% to 60% during the year.

部分铁路债券、部分特殊品种(如时代公司可转换优先股)以及若干精选普通股也实现了显著增值,具体如下:Electric Auto Lite 42%、吉列安全剃须刀 51%、纽约 Horn & Hardart 32%、Swift International 61%、Third National Investors 49%。1935 年。在这几年间,WELLINGTON 管理团队延续了在债券、优先股和普通股领域广泛分散投资的策略。1936 年,被低估的优先股持仓大幅增加,同时债券占比有所降低,主要原因在于债券价格已上涨至不再具备吸引力的水平。即便采取了如此多元化的投资方案,WELLINGTON 基金在这两年间的涨幅仍几乎与普通股市场持平。WELLINGTON 基金的价格涨幅(含股息)为 73.7%,而同期以道琼斯综合股票平均指数衡量的普通股价格涨幅(含股息)为 79%。

Notable appreciation was also enjoyed in certain railroad bonds, certain specialties (such as Time, Inc. Convertible Preferred) and in certain selected issues in the common stock field such as the following: Electric Auto Lite 42% Gillette Safety Razor 51% Horn & Hardart, N.Y. 32% Swift International 61% Third National Investors 49% 1935 During these years the WELLINGTON management continued its policy of broad diversification in bonds, preferred stocks and common stocks. Holdings of undervalued 1936 preferred stocks were substantially increased during 1936 while the ratio of bonds was reduced, primarily because the bonds had advanced to a price where they no longer seemed attractive. Even with this diversified investment program, WELLINGTON FUND advanced nearly as much as the common stock market during these two years. The WELLINGTON appreciation in price including dividends was 73.7% while common stock prices as measured by the Dow-Jones Composite Stock Average advanced 79% including dividends.

威灵顿基金在 1937 年大萧条期间的表现与当年的市场大致相当。尽管 1937 年头 7 个月普通股持仓平均不到资源的 50%,并且现金储备从 1936 年 6 月 30 日 1.8% 的低点增至 1937 年 3 月的 10.5%,再升至同年 12 月 31 日的 22% 以上,但基金仍经历了下跌。

The performance of WELLINGTON during the 1937 depression was about the same as 1937 the market. A decline was experienced despite the fact that for the first seven months of 1937 holdings of common stocks averaged less than 50% of resources and the further fact that cash reserves were increased form a low point of 1.8% on June 30, 1936 to 10.5% in March 1937 and to over 22% on December 31 of that year.

所有通常被视为稳健管理特征的因素,都被某些公用事业股票和铁路债券跌幅超过大盘这一点抵消了。这两类资产的抗跌性比我们预想的更差,原因在于政府对公用事业的态度、铁路收益大幅下滑,以及银行投资规则变更限制了铁路债券的持有。

All those factors which are generally considered characteristic of sound management were offset because certain utility stocks and rail bonds declined more than the market. These two groups had less resistance to decline than we had expected, due to the Government’s attitude towards utilities, drastically lower rail earnings and the change in rules for bank investments restricting holding of rail bonds.

由于市场整体下跌以及 1938 年公司盈利同步下滑,威灵顿在 1938 年初显得过于保守。当时市场在焦虑中反复波动,威灵顿的管理层选择增持现金储备,从而错过了市场从 3 月 31 日的 98.95 点涨至 6 月 30 日的 133.88 点的第一波上涨。因此,威灵顿 1938 年的涨幅仅为 18%,而道琼斯综合平均指数上涨了 27.6%。事后看来,如果在 1938 年承担更多风险、增持更多股票,收益会更高——这又是一个“后见之明总比先见之明更准确”的例证。

As a result of the general decline of the market and coincidental fall in corporate 1938 earnings WELLINGTON was too conservative early in 1938. The market was fluctuating nervously and WELLINGTON management built up cash reserves, thereby missing the first market advance from 98.95 on March 31 to 133.88 on June 30. WELLINGTON appreciation for 1938, therefore, was only 18% while the Dow-Jones Composite Average showed 27.6%. As events turned out, assumption of more risk and purchase of more equities in 1938 would have proved more profitable—another case of “hindsight is more accurate than foresight.”

尽管如此,18% 的涨幅仍然相当可观。此外,如果威灵顿基金在 1938 年就完成了满仓投资,那么它在 1939 年的择时能力或许就不会这么幸运了。若将 1938 年和 1939 年合并视为一个整体来看,威灵顿基金的表现则优于大盘。

Nevertheless, 18% was a substantial appreciation. Furthermore, if WELLINGTON FUND had been fully invested in 1938, it might not have been as fortunate in its timing in 1939. If both years 1938 and 1938 are considered in conjunction as a single period, the WELLINGTON record compares favorably with that of the general market.

-7- 1945-1982:28 年盛宴,10 年饥荒 1945-1964。和平归来。1945 年 6 月二战结束,标志着金融市场新时代的开始。随着和平降临,战后经济开始增长,投资者信心恢复,共同基金行业迎来了持续增长的漫长时期。在 1946-1949 年市场平淡之后,股票开始创下其历史上最大的涨幅之一——1949-1952 年上涨超过 100%,接着 1954-1956 年又上涨了 100%。这一升势主要是由企业利润的大幅增长推动的,后者从 1945 年到 1955 年几乎翻了四倍。

-7- 1945-1982: 28 Years of Feast, 10 Years of Famine 1945-1964. Peace returns. The end of World War II in June 1945 was the beginning of a new era for the financial markets. As peace returned and the post-war economy began to grow, investor confidence returned, ushering in a long period of sustained growth for the mutual fund industry. After the flat markets of 1946-1949, stocks began to generate some of the largest gains in their history—up over 100 percent in 1949-1952, and then up another 100 percent in 1954-1956. This advance was driven largely by substantial increases in corporate earnings, which nearly quadrupled from 1945 through 1955.

1965–1968 年,“Go-Go”年代。股票市场所谓的“新时代”(当然并非如此)在 60 年代中期应运而生,受到虚幻而非现实支撑的“概念股”脱颖而出,成为市场领跑者。共同基金行业紧随其后,推出“业绩基金”,这些基金迅速主导了行业的方向与资金流向。此前流行的平衡型基金开始退潮。

1965-1968. The “Go-Go” Years. What was labeled as a “New Era” for the stock market (but of course was not) came to pass during the mid-1960s, as “concept stocks,” supported by illusion rather than reality, emerged as market leaders. The mutual fund industry jumped on the bandwagon with “performance funds,” which quickly came to dominate both the industry’s agenda and its cash flows. The earlier popularity of balanced funds began to recede.

1969-1972 年,“漂亮五十”泡沫。尽管狂飙年代迅速消退,但取而代之的是一种同样危险的投机形式。大型公司的盈利大幅增长,这批成长股被称为“漂亮五十”。基金公司大力推广它们的“成熟成长型基金”,取代了“进取型成长基金”,成为基金购买者的首选。股市在 1969-1970 年虽有震荡,但在 1971-1972 年迎来最后一波上冲,在此前涨幅基础上再添 35%。

1969-1972. The “Favorite Fifty” Boom. While the Go-Go era quickly faded, it was superceded by an equally insidious sort of speculation. Earnings of the largest companies were growing sharply, and this list of growth stocks became known as the “Favorite Fifty.” Fund sponsors promoted their “established growth funds,” which replaced “aggressive growth funds” as the choice of fund buyers. While the stock market faltered in 1969-1970, it made a final upward surge during 1971-1972, adding 35 percent to its earlier gains.

1973-1974 年。无可避免的崩盘随之而来。股价飙升之际,企业利润却并未同步增长。事实上,1970 年的盈利水平甚至低于 1964 年,而到了 1973 年初,市盈率已高达 21 倍——相比之下,1949 年牛市启动时仅为 7 倍。市场早已注定要经历一场暴跌,而这场暴跌很快就来了。从 1973 年 1 月的高点到 1974 年 10 月的低点,股票整体下跌了整整 50%,这是自 1929-1933 年大崩盘以来最大的一次市场下跌。

1973-1974. The Inevitable Bust Follows. When stock prices were soaring, alas, corporate profits were not. In fact, earnings in 1970 were actually lower than in 1964, and by early 1973 price-earnings multiples reached 21 times earnings versus a mere 7 times when the bull market began in 1949. The market was riding for a fall, and it quickly took one. From the January 1973 high to the October 1974 low, stocks fell by fully 50 percent, the largest market decline since the Great Crash of 1929-1933.

1975-1981 年:复苏与整合。在此期间的头两年,股市迅速反弹,却在接下来的六年中有两年间歇性下跌。整个 1970 年代,股票的年平均回报率仅为 5.8%,这一回报率将证明是 20 世纪所有十年中的倒数第二低。与此同时,从 1930 年代到 1960 年代一直保持在历史性(且人为)低位——2% 至 5% 区间——的债券收益率,飙升到了前所未有的高度。在 1970 年代末和 1980 年代初,美联储决心制止对经济造成巨大损害的高通胀,将长期债券利率在 1981 年推高至 16% 的峰值,债券价格相应暴跌。

1975-1981. Recovery and Consolidation. During the first two years of this period, stocks mounted a snappy recovery, only to decline fitfully during two of the next six years. The return on stocks during the decade of the 1970s averaged just 5.8 percent per year, a return that would prove to be the second lowest for any decade of the 20th century. Meanwhile, bond yields, which had remained at historically (and artificially) low levels—in the 2 percent to 5 percent range—from the 1930s through the 1960s, soared to unprecedented heights. During the late 1970s and early 1980s, the Federal Reserve, determined to stop the high inflation that was doing great damage to the economy, pushed interest rates on long-term bonds to a peak of 16 percent in 1981, with bond prices plunging accordingly.

1951-1978 年:威灵顿的幕后个人笔记。当我 1951 年加入威灵顿时,我很快便对该基金投资方法的一致性感到惊叹。起初,1949 年后的牛市几乎未改变其传统的保守作风。尽管平衡型基金的回报自然落后于股票型基金,但投资者仍将资金投入威灵顿基金,尽管规模逐渐缩小。但进入 1960 年代后,威灵顿开始落后于其平衡型基金同行,起初是略微落后,后来则差距悬殊。在 1963 年至 1966 年间,该基金令人失望的 5.1% 年回报率,几乎只有平衡型基金平均回报率 9.3% 的一半。

1951-1978: A Personal Note Behind the Scenes at Wellington When I joined Wellington in 1951, I quickly learned to marvel at the consistency of the Fund’s investment approach. At first, the post-1949 bull market brought little change to its traditional conservatism. While balanced fund returns of course lagged the returns of their stock fund cousins, investors continued to put their money to work in Wellington Fund, albeit at gradually diminishing levels. But as the 1960’s wore on, Wellington began to lag its balanced fund peers, at first slightly, then sharply. During 1963-1966, the Fund’s disappointing 5.1percent annual return was barely one-half of the 9.3 percent return of the average balanced fund.

与此同时,“奔腾年代”正值全盛时期,我们正处于一个新时代的观点甚嚣尘上。1965 年,摩根先生委托我负责为我们组织迎接未来,我迅速做出了回应——而且,唉,不明智。我相信我们需要聪明的新经理人来管理该基金,我们需要在我们的“产品线”中增加一支激进的成长型基金,并且我们应该将业务多元化,从共同基金领域扩展到养老金管理领域。进入 1966 年,几乎奇迹般地,一个同时实现这三件事的机会出现了。在我固执己见且过于自信的领导下,我们将威灵顿管理公司与桑代克、多兰、佩因和刘易斯公司合并,这是一家规模相对较小但快速发展的波士顿投资咨询公司,也管理着激进的 Ivest 基金,该基金在合并后的几年内,创下了整个共同基金行业五年期表现最佳的纪录。

At the same time, the Go-Go years were in full flower, and the idea that we were in a new era was rife. In 1965, Mr. Morgan entrusted me with the responsibility to prepare our organization for the future, and I responded swiftly—and, alas, unwisely. I believed that we needed smart new managers to run the Fund, that we needed to add an aggressive growth fund to our “product line,” and that we should diversify beyond the mutual fund field into pension management. As 1966 began, almost miraculously, an opportunity arrived, to do all three things in one fell swoop. Under my headstrong and overly-self-confident leadership, we merged Wellington Management Company -8- with Thorndike, Doran, Paine and Lewis, Inc., a relatively small but rapidly-growing Boston investment counsel firm that also managed the aggressive Ivest Fund, which within a few years after the merger would hold the record as the top five-year performer in the entire mutual fund industry.

偏离传统——《1967 年年报》节选。“变革是进步的起点,1967 年是威灵顿基金变革的一年。显然,时代在变。我们决定,我们也应改变,以使投资组合更符合现代概念和机遇。我们选择了‘动态保守主义’作为我们的理念,重点关注那些展现出应对、塑造变化并从变化中获利能力的公司。(我们)已将普通股头寸从资源的 64% 增加到 72%,明确侧重于成长型股票,并减少了对传统基础工业的配置。”

Departing from Tradition— Excerpts from the 1967 Annual Report “Change is a starting point for progress, and 1967 was a year of change for Wellington Fund. Obviously, times change. We decided we too should change to bring the portfolio more into line with modern concepts and opportunities. We have chosen “dynamic conservatism” as our philosophy, with emphasis on companies that demonstrate the ability to meet, shape and profit from change. (We have) increased our common stock position from 64 percent of resources to 72 percent, with a definite emphasis on growth stocks and a reduction in traditional basic industries.

“一只保守的投资基金,会积极寻求回报,因此对资本增长、潜在利润和不断增长的股息有相当大的敞口……(一只基金)需要想象力、创造力和灵活性。我们将投资于我们社会中许多伟大的成长型公司。因此,动态和保守的投资并非矛盾之言。强大的进攻是最好的防守。”

“A conservative investment fund is one that aggressively seeks rewards, and therefore has a substantial exposure to capital growth, potential profits and rising dividends . . . (one that) demands imagination, creativity, and flexibility. We will be invested in many of the great growth companies of our society. Dynamic and conservative investing is not, then a contradiction in terms. A strong offense is the best defense.”

在我的批准下,我们那些看涨且创新的新经理人着手“现代化”威灵顿基金。股票配置比例从 1966 年的 62% 提高到 1967 年的 74%,并在 1971 年、牛市见顶前不久,达到了历史最高的 77%。随着股票市场变得越来越投机,持有越来越多的股票并非唯一的问题。股票持仓也从其传统的大盘蓝筹股基础,转向被认为具有更大增长潜力的小盘股。在基金的《1967 年年报》中,我们自豪地向股东宣布了这些变化。(见上一页文本框。)

With my approval, our bullish and innovative new managers set out to “modernize” Wellington Fund. The equity ratio was raised from 62 percent in 1966 to 74 percent in 1967, and, in 1971, shortly before the bull market crested, to an all-time high of 77 percent. Holding more and more equities as the stock market became increasingly speculative was not the only problem. The equity position was also moved away from its traditional base of large blue-chip stocks to smaller stocks believed to have greater growth potential. In the Fund’s 1967 Annual Report we proudly announced these changes to our shareholders. (See box on previous page.)

然而,这些变化非但没有改善基金的业绩,反而摧毁了它。在 1967 年至 1972 年间,我们每年落后同行近整整四个百分点(5.6% vs 9.1%)。在 1973 年至 1978 年间,我们也好不了多少,每年再落后两个百分点(2% vs 4%)。我们原本旨在改善威灵顿在 1960 年代初期表现不佳的状况,却只是让它变得更糟。

Rather than improving the Fund’s record, however, these changes devastated it. During 1967-1972, we lagged our peers by almost four full percentage points per year (5.6 percent vs. 9.1 percent). We didn’t do much better during 1973-1978, lagging by another two percentage points annually (2 percent vs. 4 percent). We had set out to improve the lagging performance that Wellington had delivered during the early 1960s, and had only succeeded in making it worse.

威灵顿的问题并非这家新合并公司造成的唯一问题。在熊市中,Ivest 基金和我们为分享一个从未出现的“新时代”红利而创建的其他基金一起崩溃了。我们的基金和咨询资产暴跌,1974 年 1 月,在管理公司董事会中拥有强大代表的波士顿经理人解雇了我。那不是一个愉快的时刻。

The Wellington problem was not the only problem created by the newly-merged firm. In the bear market, Ivest Fund collapsed, along with the other funds we had created to share in the blessings of a “New Era” that never came into existence. Our fund and counsel assets tumbled, and in January 1974, the Boston managers, strongly represented on the management company board, fired me. It was not a happy moment.

一个深度伪装的机遇。但是,在糟糕的市场环境、我们萎缩的资产基础、激进成长型基金的崩溃以及威灵顿基金业绩的衰落的组合中,却隐藏着一个千载难逢的机遇。当我被“逐出”威灵顿管理公司的首席执行官职位时,我仍然“留任”威灵顿基金及其姊妹基金的董事会主席和总裁。经过八个月的艰苦研究和互谅互让,我说服基金董事保留我的职位,并组建一个小型团队来管理基金的会计、股东记录保存和法律事务。我们成立了一家新公司来处理这些职责,由基金本身全资拥有,并按成本运营——这是一种真正共同化的结构,在业内独一无二。我为这家新公司选择的名字,当然是先锋——先锋集团公司。

An Opportunity in Deep Disguise But in the combination of terrible market conditions, our declining asset base, the collapse of our aggressive growth funds, and the demise of Wellington Fund’s performance lay, however deeply disguised, the opportunity of a lifetime. While I was “out” as Wellington Management’s chief executive, I remained “in” as chairman and president of Wellington Fund and its sister funds. After eight months of laborious study and give-and-take, I was able to persuade the Fund directors to retain me in my posts and build a small staff to administer the funds’ accounting, shareholder record-keeping, and legal affairs. We formed a new corporation to handle these responsibilities, wholly-owned by the funds themselves and operating on an at-cost basis—a truly mutual structure, unique in the industry. The name I chose for the new firm, of course, was Vanguard—The Vanguard Group, Inc.

在新结构下,基金的工作人员还将监督和评估威灵顿管理公司在其继续担任先锋基金顾问和分销商角色时的投资业绩和营销成果。我决心,首要的是,将威灵顿基金恢复到昔日的辉煌,因为我辜负了摩根先生对我的信任,尽管是无意的。重组威灵顿基金绝非易事,但在 1977 年加入我们基金董事会的普林斯顿教授伯顿·马尔基尔的帮助下,我们完成了这项工作,并指示威灵顿管理公司实施重组。

Under the new structure, the funds’ staff would also oversee and evaluate the investment performance and marketing results of Wellington Management in its continuing role as adviser and distributor to the Vanguard funds. I was determined, above all, to restore Wellington Fund to its -9- earlier glory, for I had failed, however unintentionally, to live up to Mr. Morgan’s trust in me. Restructuring Wellington Fund would be no easy task, but, with a helping hand from Princeton professor Burton Malkiel, who had joined our Fund boards in 1977, we got it done, and directed Wellington Management Company to implement the restructuring.

有时在生活中,我们通过倒退才能取得最大的进步。当我们决定让威灵顿基金回归本源时,我们正是这样做的。董事会同意了我们的政策建议:(1)将股票配置比例严格控制在资产的 60% 至 69% 范围内;(2)侧重于大盘蓝筹股,同时兼顾价值股和成长股;(3)大幅增加基金的股息收入,考虑到基金必须持有高等级债券,这需要出售投资组合中许多低收益的成长型股票,并将收益再投资于高收益的价值型股票。我们在《1978 年年报》中宣布了这些变化。(见下方文本框。)

Sometimes in life, we make the greatest forward progress by going backward. That is just what we did when we decided to take Wellington Fund back to its roots. The Board agreed to our policy recommendations: (1) Hold the equity ratio firmly within a range of 60 to 69 percent of assets; (2) Emphasize large blue-chip stocks, with a significant representation of both value stocks and growth stocks; (3) Sharply increase the Fund’s dividend income, which, given the fund’s mandatory position in high-grade bonds, would require the sale of many of the portfolio’s low-yielding growth stocks, with the proceeds reinvested in higher-yielding value stocks. We announced these changes in our 1978 Annual Report. (See box below.)

回归传统——《1978 年年报》节选。“我们相信,更加侧重于当期收入将增强威灵顿基金满足其股东需求的能力。您的董事会已批准改变投资方法,这将增加基金普通股投资所赚取的股息金额。这一目标应能增加股息增长的可能性,并且不会对‘总回报’潜力(收入加资本增值)造成任何实质性牺牲。”

Returning to Tradition— Excerpts from the 1978 Annual Report “We believe a greater emphasis on current income would enhance Wellington Fund’s ability to meet the needs of its shareholders. Your Board of Directors has approved a change in investment approach which will increase the amount of dividends earned on the Fund’s common stock investments. This goal should increase the likelihood of a growing dividend, and be accomplished without any material sacrifice of “total return” potential (income plus capital appreciation).

“这一策略并不打算改变基金的股票/债券比例(目前为资产的 68%),该比例将继续保持在净资产的 60% 至 70% 之间。()额外的投资收入将主要通过将我们部分普通股持仓转向具有股息增长潜力的高收益股票来产生……我们在 1978 年最后几个月启动了一项增加当期收入的积极计划,并计划在 1979 年进一步加强对收入的重视。”

“This strategy does not contemplate any change in the fund’s stock/bond ratio (now 68 percent of assets), which will continue to represent between 60 percent and 70 percent of net assets. (The) additional investment income will be primarily generated by orienting portions of our common stock holdings to higher yielding issues with dividend growth potential . . . We launched a vigorous program for increasing current income in the closing months of 1978, and plan to further increase the emphasis on income in 1979.”

-10- 现代时代的威灵顿 1978-2003 年。从 1929 年到 1964 年,威灵顿基金的投资政策和股票选择由其投资委员会负责,沃尔特·摩根和投资主管 A. 莫耶·库尔普的声音最为有力。(布兰登·巴林格的早期积极参与逐渐减少,而罗森·劳埃德在 1950 年代和 1960 年代初期成为第三大声音。)但正如基金业将其运作模式从投资委员会的集体判断转变为投资组合经理的个人判断一样,威灵顿也在 1960 年进行了转变——先是罗伯特·卡明,然后是罗伯特·斯坦伯格,然后是沃尔特·卡博特,然后是丹尼尔·阿亨,然后在 1973 年初,是文森特·巴贾基安。

-10- Wellington in the Modern Era 1978-2003 From 1929 through 1964, Wellington Fund’s investment policies and equity selections had been the responsibility of its Investment Committee, with Walter Morgan and investment chief A. Moyer Kulp the strongest voices. (Brandon Barringer’s early active participation gradually declined, and Rawson Lloyd became the third major voice during the 1950s and early 1960s.) But even as the fund industry was shifting its modus operandi from the collective judgment of an investment committee to the individual judgment of a portfolio manager, so, in 1960, did Wellington—first with Robert Cummin, then Robert Steinburgh, then Walter Cabot, then Daniel Ahearn, and then, as 1973 began, Vincent Bajakian.

他前任们的记录不言自明。文·巴贾基安是第一个成功让基金朝着正确方向前进的人,尽管花了几年的时间。但是,当威灵顿董事会在 1978 年下达新的行动指令时,他并不高兴。他认为成长型股票是最佳选择,而使用高收益股票会损害业绩。然而,对基金股东来说幸运的是,他接受了新策略。投资组合从成长型转向价值型,基金的股息分红开始急剧而稳定地增长。

The record of his predecessors speaks for itself. Vin Bajakian was the first to succeed in getting the Fund moving in the right direction, though it took a few years. But when the new marching orders were handed down by the Wellington board in 1978, he was not pleased. He believed that growth stocks were the optimal choice, and that the use of higher-yielding stocks would harm performance. Happily for the Fund’s shareholders, however, he signed on to the new strategy. The portfolio veered away from growth and toward value, and the Fund’s income dividends began a sharp and steady increase.

假设将威灵顿自成立以来支付的大量资本利得分红进行再投资,该基金最初的每股 0.50 美元股息收益在 1930 年已降至 1939 年的 0.20 美元,然后逐渐翻了两番,到 1966 年达到 0.83 美元。但在新收入导向策略出台前的 1977 年,该股息仅增加到 0.97 美元。收入猛增——1979 年达到 1.32 美元,然后是 1.50 美元,然后是 1.68 美元,然后是 1.74 美元,然后是 1.82 美元,然后在 1984 年达到 1.87 美元。仅仅七年时间,增长了 93%,同时基金的债券头寸保持在 35% 左右的水平。

Assuming the reinvestment of the substantial capital gains distributions paid by Wellington since its inception, the Fund’s initial income dividend of $0.50 per share in 1930 had dropped to $0.20 in 1939, before gradually quadrupling to $0.83 in 1966. But it had increased only to $0.97 in 1977, just before the new income-oriented policy was introduced. The income leaped ahead—in 1979 to $1.32, then $1.50, then $1.68, then $1.74, then $1.82, and then, in 1984, to $1.87. In just seven years, a 93 percent increase, all the while with the Fund’s bond position held constant in the 35 percent range.

文·巴贾基安值得高度赞扬,他适应了新策略,并通过明智的选股,使其为股东带来了如此有效的回报。他于 1995 年驾驶自己的飞机不幸去世,本可能是一个重大挫折,但威灵顿管理公司选择了投资老手恩斯特·冯·梅奇接替他,他继续提供优于其平衡型基金同行的回报,直到 2002 年退休。他的继任者,威灵顿的爱德华·布萨,已经取得了不错的开局。

Vin Bajakian deserves great credit for adjusting to the new strategy and, by judicious stock selection, making it work so effectively for shareholders. His tragic death while flying his own airplane in 1995 could have been a major setback, but Wellington Management chose investment veteran Ernst von Metzsch to succeed him, and he continued to deliver returns that were superior to those of his balanced fund peers until his retirement in 2002. His successor, Wellington’s Edward Bousa, is already off to a fine start.

这些股票经理人工作出色。但他们得到了威灵顿债券经理人的强力支持,后者维持了一个以高投资质量为圭臬的固定收益组合。保罗·沙利文在 1972 年至 1995 年期间领导这些专业人士,并由保罗·卡普兰出色地接替。他们也应该分享基金复兴的功劳。

These equity managers did their work well. But they were more-than-ably supported by Wellington’s bond managers, who maintained a fixed income portfolio for which high investment quality was the watchword. Paul Sullivan led these professionals during 1972-1995, ably succeeded by Paul Kaplan. They also share in the credit for the Fund’s renaissance.

大牛市是过去四分之一个世纪里塑造投资世界的主导力量。尽管惠灵顿基金风格保守,但在 2000 年初之前股市长期上涨的浪潮中,它表现不俗;在随后的熊市以及 2002 年 10 月至 2003 年 12 月期间的复苏中,它的表现甚至更为出色。自牛市顶峰以来,该基金实际上实现了 32% 的正收益,这是对平衡型基金价值的极好证明。

The Great Bull Market was the dominant force shaping the investment world during the past quarter century. Despite Wellington Fund’s conservatism it gave a good account of itself in the long upsurge in stock prices through early 2000, and an even better account in the ensuing bear market, with its subsequent recovery during October 2002-December 2003, the Fund has actually generated a positive return of 32 percent since the bull market peak, a remarkable testimonial to the value of a balanced fund.

下图展示了威灵顿基金存续期的累计回报与平衡型基金平均累计回报的比率。该图清晰地反映了以下几点:(a)1930-1962 年间,基金业绩持续处于竞争性水平;(b)1961-1965 年间出现的滞后,导致了采用更激进新策略的决定;(c)随后的 1966-1968 年,业绩反而更差;(d)之后经历了一段短暂的稳定期,随后又进一步下滑;(e)以及这样一个现实:1978 年基金回归保守传统后,最初直到 1982 年,业绩也仅恢复到竞争性水平。然而,自那以后,基金的业绩便一直是卓越表现的教科书。

The chart below reflects the ratio of the cumulative returns of Wellington Fund during its lifetime to the cumulative returns of the average balanced funds. It clearly reflects: (a) the Fund’s steady competitive performance from 1930-1962; (b) the lag in 1961-1965 that resulted in the decision to follow a new, more aggressive strategy; (c) the subsequent results for 1966-1968 that were even worse; and (d) the subsequent brief period of stability, followed by a further decline; and (e) the reality that the return to the Fund’s conservative tradition in 1978, at first produced no more than competitive returns through 1982. Ever since, however, the Fund’s performance has been a study in superiority.

在 1978 年至 2003 年的 25 年间,惠灵顿基金有 18 年跑赢了同行的平均水平,2 年基本持平,仅 5 年落后。整个期间的回报率,反映了惠灵顿在其最辉煌时期展现出的极为卓越的优越性。

During the 25 years from 1978 to 2003, Wellington has outpaced its average rival in 18 years, essentially equaled them in two, and fallen short in just five years. The returns for the full period reflect Wellington’s truly remarkable superiority during the Fund’s finest era.

-11- 年度回报率 – 1978–2003 年

年度 累计

威灵顿基金 +13.1% +2058%

平均平衡型基金 +10.5% +1108%

威灵顿优势 +2.6% +950%

威灵顿 vs. 平均平衡型基金

1.4

1.27

1.21

1.2

1.12

1.0

0.8

0.77

0.68

0.6

回报率比率(1929 年 = 1)

0.4

34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99

19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19

威灵顿自成立以来的完整记录——1929–2003 年

下图比较了在威灵顿基金成立之初投资 10000 美元、一直持有到其 75 岁生日(2003 年),与同样金额投资于平均平衡型基金的业绩差异。(由于直到 1935 年才只有极少数同类基金,我们假设 1930–1934 年间两者表现相同。)这幅图考虑了该基金在美国金融史上最不逢时的起点——随后经历的“繁荣与萧条、战争与和平、政治变迁”,曾经近二十年迷失方向、远远落后,以及过去四分之一世纪里令人瞩目的复苏。令人激动的是,最初在威灵顿投资的 10000 美元现在价值 383 万美元(!),而平均平衡型基金仅为 302 万美元。

-11- Annual Returns – 1978-2003 Annual Cumulative Wellington Fund +13.1% +2058% Average Balance Fund +10.5 +1108 Wellington Advantage +2.6% +950% Wellington vs. Avg. Balanced Fund 1.4 1.27 1.21 1.2 1.12 1.0 0.8 0.77 0.68 0.6 Ratio of Returns (1929 = 1) 0.4 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89 94 99 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Wellington’s Lifetime Record-1929-2003 The chart below compares the results of an investment of $10,000 in Wellington Fund at its inception right up to its 75th birthday in 2003 with a similar investment in the average balanced fund. (Since there were only a tiny handful of similar funds until 1935, we’ve assumed equal records during 1930-1934.) It takes into account the Fund’s beginning at one of the most inopportune moments in U.S. financial history, the following years of “prosperity and depression, war and peace, political change,” the near two-decade period when it lost its traditional bearings and fell far behind, and its remarkable recovery during the past quarter-century. It is a thrill to see that the initial $10,000 investment in Wellington would now be valued at $3,830,000(!) vs. $3,020,000 for the average balanced fund.

当复利有长达四分之三个世纪的时间来施展魔法,神奇的事情就会发生。即使初始投资恰好在 1929-1933 年股市崩盘(美国历史上最惨烈的崩盘)之前做出,威灵顿基金 8.4% 和普通平衡型基金 8.0% 的年度回报率看似温和,最终也会累积到惊人的规模——而那个微小的年度优势,经复利放大后变成了巨大的累计领先幅度。(当然,这些回报以名义美元计算,若采用实际美元,则忽略了通货膨胀会带来的巨大侵蚀;税收负担也同样被忽略了。现实世界是一个艰难的地方!)尽管如此,威灵顿基金 75 年的业绩依然令人自豪,我们希望在未来 25 年里,这一业绩能得到保持和提升。谁又能说,威灵顿基金在 2028 年迎来 100 岁生日时,不值得举办一场比 75 岁生日时更盛大的庆祝呢?

When compounding has three-quarters of a century to work its magic, amazing things happen. Even when the initial investment is made just before the 1929-1933 stock market crash, the worst in U.S. history, the superficially modest annual returns earned by Wellington Fund (8.4 percent) and by the average balanced fund’s (8.0 percent) grow to staggering levels, and that small annual advantage compounded into a huge cumulative margin of advantage. (Of course, these returns are measured in nominal dollars, ignoring the huge bite that inflation would have taken had we used real dollars, and the burden of taxes has been ignored as well. The real world is a tough place!) Nonetheless, the Wellington Fund’s 75-year record is a proud one, and we can hope that in the next quarter-century it will be maintained and enhanced. Who’s to say that Wellington Fund’s 100th birthday in 2028 will not call for an even larger celebration than its 75th birthday?

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

-12- 威灵顿基金 vs. 普通平衡型基金

1,000 万美元

383 万美元

威灵顿基金

302 万美元

100 万美元

普通平衡型基金

14.4 万美元

11.4 万美元

10 万美元

2.2 万美元

2.3 万美元

1 万美元

1000 美元

1935 年 1941 年 1947 年 1953 年 1959 年 1965 年 1971 年 1977 年 1983 年 1989 年 1995 年 2001 年 2019 年

附注 #1 —— 别忘了成本!

-12- Wellington vs. Avg. Balanced Fund $10,000,000 $3,830,000 Wellington $3,020,000 $1,000,000 Avg. Bal. Fund $144,000 $114,000 $100,000 $22,000 $23,000 $10,000 $1,000 35 41 47 53 59 65 71 77 83 89 95 01 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 POSTSCRIPT #1 - Don’t Forget Costs!

尽管我们完全有理由为惠灵顿基金的成功历史感到骄傲,但必须指出,基金经理的成就之所以如此耀眼,很大程度上得益于该基金在运营成本上远低于同行——这是一个巨大的先天优势。

While we have every right to bask in the glory of Wellington Fund’s record of success, it’s important to note that the accomplishments of its managers have been greatly enhanced by the substantial advantage that the Fund has enjoyed by operating at a cost dramatically lower than its peers.

1951 年我加入威灵顿时,其 0.55% 的费用率已显著低于同类平衡型基金 0.74% 的水平,每年享有 19 个基点的优势。25 年后,差距仅小幅扩大至:威灵顿 0.56%,同类基金 0.84%,优势为 28 个基点。此后,该基金开始在先锋集团的成本结构下运营,同样关键的是,以公平原则与威灵顿管理公司协商费率。我们的成本优势由此大幅提升。

When I joined Wellington in 1951, its expense ratio of 0.55 percent was already well below the 0.74 percent ratio of its balanced fund peers, a 19 basis point annual advantage. A quarter century later, the gap was only slightly larger: Wellington 0.56 percent, peer group 0.84 percent, a 28 basis point advantage. Then the Fund began to operate under Vanguard’s at-cost structure and, equally importantly, to negotiate fees with Wellington Management Company at arms-length. Our cost advantage then accelerated dramatically.

到 2002 年,在先锋集团的庇护下,惠灵顿基金的费用率已降至仅 0.36%。然而,平衡型基金的费用率上涨速度甚至比惠灵顿基金下降的速度还要快,去年已飙升至惊人的 1.28%。结果:惠灵顿基金现在享有确实极为可观的 92 个基点优势——每年几乎多出一个百分点的回报!在超过半个世纪的时间里,惠灵顿基金的费用率平均仅为 0.44%,而同类基金平均为 0.91%。

By 2002, under Vanguard’s aegis, the Wellington Fund expense ratio had declined to just 0.36 percent. Yet the balanced fund ratio has gone up even faster than the Wellington’s has gone down, rising to a staggering 1.28 percent last year. Result: Wellington now enjoys a truly awesome 92 basis point edge—nearly one percentage point per year in extra return! Over the full half-century-plus, Wellington’s ratio averaged just 0.44 percent vs. 0.91 percent for its peers.

这么想就对了:

年化回报率——1951–2003 年

扣除费用前成本比率扣除费用后
威灵顿基金10.09%0.44%9.65%
平均平衡型基金10.11%0.91%9.20%
威灵顿优势-0.02%-0.47%+0.45%

无可争议,正是低费用,在威灵顿基金获得巨大成本优势之后,将其有竞争力的业绩转化成了获胜的业绩。将这一优势复利化,尽管在扣除费用前威灵顿的收益率比平均平衡型基金差了一丁点儿,但最初对威灵顿基金的 1 万美元投资,50 年后可增长到 120.3 万美元,而同期平均平衡型基金只能增长到 91.7 万美元。我还需要说出来吗?成本至关重要!

Think about it this way: Annual Returns – 1951-2003 Before Expense After Costs Ratio Costs Wellington Fund 10.09% 0.44% 9.65% Average Balance Fund 10.11 0.91 9.20 Wellington Advantage -0.02% -0.47% +0.45% Unarguably, then, it was low cost that turned Wellington Fund’s competitive record into a winning record after the Fund’s substantial cost advantage came into play. Compounding that advantage allowed—despite the return being a hair behind the average balanced fund before the deduction of costs—an initial $10,000 investment in Wellington to grow to $1,203,000 over 50 years, compared to $917,000 for the average balanced fund. Do I even need to say it? Costs matter!

-13- 后记 #2 – 一件你可能从不知道的事

-13- POSTSCRIPT #2 – Something You Probably Never Knew.

威灵顿基金在头半个世纪里,之所以能在销售其份额的经纪人市场以及持有其份额的投资者中获得成功,一个主要来源就是该基金的股息政策。可悲的是,根据我的判断(我当时就在现场!),同样的股息政策在 1960 年代和 1970 年代却成了该基金失败的一个重要根源——其相对投资表现逐渐且无可否认地恶化了。

One of the prime sources of Wellington’s success in the marketplace of the brokers who sold the Fund’s shares during its first half century, and among the investors who owned them, was the fund’s dividend policy. Sadly, that same dividend policy was, in my judgment (and I was there!), a major source of the Fund’s failure during the 1960s and 1970s—the gradual, yet unmistakable, deterioration of its relative investment performance.

这一股息政策并无神秘之处。事实上,1945 年的《头条之外》专栏已清楚说明:该基金的政策是“力求以最低年率支付股息,使其相当于资产价值的合理回报,包括来自利息和股息的普通净收益、来自证券利润的特别股息……以及(必要时)从实缴盈余中拨出一部分,以维持对股东的合理回报。”随附的表格显示,该基金在 15 年间总计派息约每股 0.90 美元(未按基金 1956 年 2 比 1 的股票拆分进行调整),金额波动不大,但资金来源于何处并未披露。

This dividend policy was not a mystery. Indeed, it was clearly described in “Beyond the Headlines” in 1945: The Fund’s policy is “to endeavor to pay dividends (sic) at such a minimum annual rate as would represent a reasonable return on asset value, including ordinary net income from interest and dividends, special dividends from security profits . . . and a portion from paid-in surplus (when necessary) to maintain a reasonable return to shareholders.” An accompanying table shows a 15-year string of total distributions averaging about $0.90 per share, (unadjusted for the Fund’s 2-for-1 stock split in 1956) with few major variations, but with the sources of the distributions undisclosed.

这种从投资收入以外的来源定期发放分红、并将其称为“股息”的做法,激怒了我们的竞争对手。许多人认为,这种资本利得(当然也包括盈余)的分配,本质上就是向投资者返还资本。1950 年,全美证券交易商协会(NASD)禁止将来自任何其他来源的分配与收入股息混为一谈。因此,惠灵顿基金的数据被重新表述,后来的报告显示,原先每股 0.90 美元的平均分红中,包含 0.60 美元的收入、0.27 美元的资本利得,以及 0.03 美元来自实缴盈余的部分。

This policy of regularly paying distributions from sources other than investment income and calling them “dividends” infuriated our competitors. Many believed that such payouts of capital gains (and, of course, surplus) were simply returns of capital to investors. In 1950, the NASD banned the practice of lumping together distributions from any other source with income dividends. The Wellington figures, accordingly, were restated and later reports showed that the original $0.90 cent per share average included $0.60 of income, $0.27 of capital gains, and $0.03 from paid-in surplus.

但尽管报告规则发生了变化,基金的派息政策却没有改变。股东和经销商已经习惯了高额派息,无法戒掉这种依赖。随着收入分红的增长,资本利得分红也同步增长。20 世纪 40 年代,收入分红平均每股 0.30 美元,资本利得分红平均每股 0.22 美元。50 年代分别为 0.44 美元和 0.34 美元。60 年代分别为 0.47 美元和 0.43 美元。当然,每一次资本派息都让每股股息收入的可持续变得更加困难。

But while the reporting rules changed, the Fund’s policy did not. Shareholders and dealers had gotten used to the high payouts and couldn’t be weaned away. As the income dividend grew, so the capital gains distribution grew apace. In the 1940s, income dividends averaged $0.30 per share, capital gains distributions, $0.22. In the 1950s, $0.44 and $0.34. And in the 1960s, $0.47 and $0.43. Of course, each payout of capital made it more difficult for the per share dividend income to be sustained.

1950 年代和 1960 年代,是企业股息增长的强劲十年。股价的上涨——部分由股息增长推动——意味着资本利得相对容易实现,只需卖出投资组合中涨幅最大的股票即可。但到 1970 年,远在 1973-1974 年熊市到来之前,这根弦就崩断了。

The 1950s and 1960s, were robust decades for corporate dividend growth. Rising stock prices, engendered in part by this dividend growth, meant that capital gains were relatively easy to realize, simply by selling the portfolio holdings with the largest appreciation. But by 1970, well before the bear market of 1973-1974, the string ran out.

到那时,基金的股息政策主要已由我负责。我在这一行待得够久,深知如果停止高额分红,不仅股东难以接受,对惠灵顿的增长也极为不利。因此,当 1970 年不再有未实现资本收益时,我建议,董事会勉强批准,从盈余中每股支付 0.25 美元。虽然我本人并不热衷这个主意,但它似乎确实管用。(至少这些支付对股东是免税的。)

By that time, the Fund’s dividend policy was importantly my responsibility. And I’d been around long enough to realize that the end of our high distributions would be both ill-accepted by shareholders and gravely harmful to Wellington’s growth. So, when no unrealized capital gains remained in 1970, I recommended, and the Board reluctantly approved, a payment of $0.25 per share from surplus. While I wasn’t keen about the idea, it seemed to do the job. (At least such payments were tax-free to our shareholders.)

但在 1971 年,该基金的税务身份上出了一条技术性条款,导致即使我们用盈余来支付股息,持有人也要为此纳税。我不能建议支付这样的股息。当我们在 1971 年没有进行额外分配时,我们最担心的事情变成了现实。当年,股东赎回了 9% 的威灵顿基金份额,次年赎回了 19%,再下一年赎回了 14%,短短三年内总计赎回了近 4.9 亿美元。基金资产跌至 9.39 亿美元,还不到 1965 年创下的 20 亿美元峰值的一半。虽然我们在 1972 至 1978 年间恢复了用盈余支付股息,但伤害已经造成。赎回量仍处于高位,我们最终在 1979 年彻底放弃了这一股息政策。威灵顿基金的资产一直持续下降,到 1981 年第三季度触及 4.7 亿美元的低点,较峰值下跌了 75%。

But in 1971, a technicality in the Fund’s tax-status left us in a position where even a surplus distribution would have been taxable to our owners. I couldn’t recommend paying one. When we made no extra distributions in 1971, our worst fears were realized. Shareholders redeemed 9 percent of their Wellington shares that year, 19 percent the next year, and 14 percent the next, a total of nearly $490 million of liquidations in just three years. Fund assets fell to $939 million, less than half the $2 billion peak recorded in 1965. While we resumed the payments from surplus during 1972-1978, the damage had been done. Redemptions continued at high levels, and we abandoned the payout policy for once and for all in 1979. Wellington’s assets would continue to decline through the third quarter of 1981, reaching a low of $470 million, 75 percent below their high.

到 1983 年,基金再次实现资本利得,但这只是投资组合经理正常投资活动的结果,并非为了强行达到某个总支付额。然而,根据我们 1978 年采取的政策,单靠股息收入支付的金额已大幅上升。当资本利得支付从 1989 年的 0.60 美元降至 1990 年的零时,这毫无影响;同样,它从 2000 年的每股 1.48 美元降至 2001 年的 1.12 美元,再到 2002 年的零,也无关紧要。我们已成功摆脱了一项始于 1930 年代(当时初衷无可厚非),却在 1960 年代和 1970 年代中期变成科学怪人式的怪物,最终被抛弃的政策。愿这篇后记中描述的漫长故事,能作为对惠灵顿基金未来各位经理和董事的警示:只为投资原因而创造收入和实现资本利得。

By 1983, the Fund was again realizing capital gains, but only in the normal course of the investment activities of our portfolio managers, not to force a given total payout. Given the policy that we had adopted in 1978, however our payout from dividend income alone had risen sharply. When the capital gains payment dropped from $0.60 in 1989 to zero in 1990, it was a non-event, as was its drop from $1.48 per share in 2000, to $1.12, in 2001, and to zero in 2002. We had -14- successfully broken away from a policy that began, innocently enough, in the 1930s, became a Frankenstein monster in the 1960s and mid-1970s, before finally being abandoned. Let the long saga described in this postscript serve as a warning to future generations of Wellington Fund managers and its directors to stick to producing income and realizing capital gains only for investment reasons.

后记之三——坚持到底。

POSTSCRIPT #3 – Staying the Course.

1929 年威灵顿基金成立时,当时的“九大先驱”中只有另外 8 只共同基金。到今天,这 9 只基金全部依然存续。但威灵顿基金以 270 亿美元的净资产总值,在成功度上远超同类。1924 年成立的马萨诸塞投资信托基金以 60 亿美元位居第二,规模仅为威灵顿的五分之一。令人惊讶的是,即便过了 75 年,这 8 只基金中仍有 4 只的资产规模低于 10 亿美元。威灵顿如此显著的领先地位,难道不恰恰完美诠释了我最喜欢的两句格言吗:

When Wellington Fund began operations in 1929, The Nine Pioneers there were only eight other mutual funds in 2003 existence. All continue to exist today. But with Total Net current assets of $27 billion, Wellington Fund stands out among the crowd in its success. Massachusetts Name Assets $M Investment Trust, founded in 1924, is second with $6 billion, about a fifth of Wellington’s size. Amazingly, Vanguard Wellington $29,985 even after 25 years, four of the eight funds still have Massachusetts Investors Trust 6,449 assets below $1 billion. Could Wellington’s clear Pioneer 6,066 distinction possibly represent a more apt application Putnam (Incorporated) Investors 5,502 of two of my favorite sayings: State Street Research Investment 1,488 “Press on, regardless.” Scudder Income (Balanced) 950 CGM (Loomis Sayles) Mutual 455 “Stay the course.” Century Shares Trust 342 Seligman (Broad Street) Stock 312 *Parentheses indicate 1929 name -15-