立志建设更美好的金融世界

2009 · 演讲 · 原文约 5529 词
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渴望构建更美好的金融世界

约翰·C·博格(John C. Bogle)演讲

先锋集团(Vanguard Group)创始人兼前首席执行官

2009 年“杰克·麦坎德利斯’51 普林斯顿大学校队俱乐部演讲系列”

新泽西州普林斯顿

2009 年 4 月 30 日

Aspiring to Build a Better Financial World Remarks by John C. Bogle Founder and former chief executive of the Vanguard Group at the 2009 Jake McCandless ’51 Princeton Varsity Club Speaker Series Princeton, NJ April 30, 2009 Honored as I am to be part of the Varsity Club Speaker series, I must confess that I have never been much of an athlete. Alas, my driving determination to compete and to win—whether in life or in business—was all too inadequate to overcome my lack of might and muscle and coordination on the fields of athletic combat.

能够成为校队俱乐部演讲系列的一员,我深感荣幸。但我必须承认,我从来算不上一个运动健将。唉,无论是在生活中还是在事业上,我那争强好胜、渴望胜利的驱动力,实在太不足以弥补我在竞技场上缺乏的力量、肌肉和协调性了。

Yet for many reasons, I feel qualified to address you this evening. Even before I entered Princeton as a freshman in 1947, I’ve been a ferocious fan of Tiger sports, reveling in victory and disconsolate in defeat. (It is only in my later years that I came to understand, that, having been witness to both triumph and disaster, I should accept Kipling’s advice, and “treat those two imposters just the same.”)

然而,出于诸多原因,我觉得自己今晚有资格站在这里讲话。早在 1947 年作为新生踏入普林斯顿之前,我就已经是老虎队(Tiger sports)的铁杆粉丝了——胜利时欢欣鼓舞,失败时沮丧不已。(直到晚年我才明白,在见证过胜利与失败之后,我应该接受吉卜林的忠告,“把这两位骗子同样看待。”)

My claim to legitimacy is further buttressed by my credentials as manager of the Athletic Association Undergraduate Ticket Office during my final two years at Princeton. In the early 1950s, we fielded undefeated football teams, and apportioning tickets when Palmer Stadium was sold-out, Saturday after Saturday, was no easy task. But the pay was pretty good, and it was a job that played to my talents, however limited. Even better, the job gave me some training in tactics (hiring good people); diplomacy (dealing with angry alumni); and even economics (balancing supply and demand).

我自认有资格谈论这个话题,另一个依据是我在普林斯顿最后两年担任校运动协会本科生售票处经理的经历。上世纪 50 年代初,我们的橄榄球队一路不败。当帕默体育场(Palmer Stadium)连续多个周六都全场爆满时,分配门票可绝非易事。不过这份工作的报酬相当不错,而且能发挥我那有限的天分。更棒的是,这份工作让我在策略(聘用优秀员工)、外交(应对愤怒的校友)乃至经济学(平衡供需)方面都得到了一些锻炼。

______________________ *The opinions expressed in this speech do not necessarily represent the views of Vanguard’s present management.

*本文中表达的观点不代表先锋集团现任管理层的看法。

As it happened, there was another benefit that was even larger. Partly because so many of us freshman were waiters in Commons (yes, that’s the way the world worked at Princeton 60 years ago), I developed lifetime friendships with some of the greatest football players in Princeton’s history. A truly remarkable number of these athletes went out into the world and achieved career success that served our society well.

事实证明,还有一项更大的好处。由于我们这批新生中有很多人在公共食堂当过服务员(没错,60 年前普林斯顿就是这样运作的),我与普林斯顿历史上一些最伟大的橄榄球运动员建立了终生的友谊。这些运动员中有相当多的人后来步入社会,取得了出色的职业成就,为社会做出了贡献。

Let me mention just a few of these splendid athletes from the great Class of 1951: George Chandler, business leader; Cliff Kurrus, mortgage banker; Hal Urschel, cardiovascular surgeon; Jack Davison, educator; Reddy Finney, headmaster at Gilman School for 24 years; Hollie Donan, insurance underwriter; Joe Zawadsky, orthopedic surgeon and Tiger team physician; and of course Jake McCandless, whose memory we honor this evening—practitioner of the art of coaching for nearly a quarter-century (including a decade at Princeton), followed by a successful two-decade career as a financial executive.

让我仅列举几位来自伟大的 1951 届的杰出运动员:商界领袖乔治·钱德勒(George Chandler);抵押贷款银行家克里夫·库鲁斯(Cliff Kurrus);心血管外科医生哈尔·厄谢尔(Hal Urschel);教育家杰克·戴维森(Jack Davison);担任吉尔曼学校(Gilman School)校长 24 年的雷迪·芬尼(Reddy Finney);保险承保人霍利·多南(Hollie Donan);整形外科医生、老虎队队医乔·扎瓦德斯基(Joe Zawadsky);当然还有今晚我们纪念的杰克·麦坎德利斯(Jake McCandless)——他从事教练艺术近 25 年(包括在普林斯顿的 10 年),随后又在金融高管职位上成功度过了 20 年职业生涯。

There’s a good message here about Princeton athletics, teamwork, and coaching, but I’ll focus my remarks this evening on the role of a Princeton education and on the sense of competitiveness and ethics—yes, ethics—that education at this best old place of all has instilled in so many of her sons, and now daughters. It is, I think, these two factors—competitive zeal and moral values—that have been central to my career-long quest to make the things that I have touched during my long life better than I found them. Hence, the title I’ve chosen for my remarks this evening—“Aspiring to Build a Better Financial World.”1 I’ll talk first about the causes of today’s financial crisis, then set out an eminently sensible—if provocative—solution, and close with some reflections on how many, well, “Princeton coincidences” have punctuated my career, and on how the values and character of my Princeton education contributed to my mission.

这里面传递的信息很好,关乎普林斯顿的体育精神、团队合作和教练之道。但今晚我的发言将聚焦于普林斯顿教育所扮演的角色,以及这所最优秀的古老学府在她诸多儿子身上——如今也包括女儿们身上——所灌输的竞争意识和道德观(是的,道德观)。我认为,正是这两个因素——竞争热情与道德价值观——贯穿于我整个职业生涯,驱动我去努力改善我所接触过的一切事物,使其比我发现它们时更好。因此,我今晚演讲的题目是“渴望构建更美好的金融世界”。我先谈谈当今金融危机的成因,然后提出一个极其合理——尽管可能引起争议——的解决方案,最后反思一下我的职业生涯中曾出现过的众多,嗯,“普林斯顿巧合”,以及我的普林斯顿教育所赋予的价值观和品格如何助力我完成使命。

Causes of the Financial Crisis Why is it important to build a better world in finance? Because finance provides credit and fosters liquidity, it is the oil that lubricates the machinery of corporate capitalism, an essential element of a flourishing society. But our financial sector has failed us, and bears the overwhelming responsibility for the current economic crisis. The proximate causes of this crisis I’m mindful of the fact that the theme of Princeton’s present capital campaign is “Aspire,” in the sense of “ambition to achieve a higher goal.” One citation in the Oxford English Dictionary defines aspire in especially beautiful terms: “an immense instinct in man’s nature (that) points upward, like a spire of flame.”

金融危机的成因

为什么在金融领域构建一个更美好的世界如此重要?因为金融提供信贷、培育流动性,是润滑企业资本主义这台机器的油,是繁荣社会的关键要素。但我们的金融部门辜负了我们,对当前的经济危机负有不可推卸的责任。

这场危机的直接原因通常被归咎于:宽松的信贷;银行家和投资银行家对风险的轻率态度;“证券化”——它割断了借款人与贷款人之间传统的联系;由复杂到令人难以置信的衍生品金融工具所构建起的金融体系的超高杠杆;以及监管机构的失职。

are usually laid to easy credit; the cavalier attitude toward risk of our bankers and investment bankers; “securitization,” in which the traditional link between borrower and lender was severed; the extraordinary leverage built into the financial system by derivative securities of mind-boggling complexity; and the failure of our regulators to do their job.

美国证券交易委员会(SEC)几乎可以说是麻木不仁,未能认识到资本市场正在发生什么。美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)允许衍生品的交易和估值在缺乏透明度的环境下进行,没有要求充分的披露和阳光。我们也不能忘了国会,它以“自由市场资本主义”之名,废除了许多至关重要的法规,并掏空了自 1930 年代初期起就将传统银行业与投资银行业分离的《格拉斯-斯蒂格尔法案》(Glass-Steagall Act)。

The Securities & Exchange Commission was almost apathetic in its failure to recognize what was happening in the capital markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission allowed the trading and valuation of derivatives to proceed opaquely, without demanding transparency and the sunlight of full disclosure. And let’s not forget Congress, which in the name of “free-market capitalism” rolled back many vital regulations and gutted the Glass-Steagall Act, which, since the early 1930s, had separated traditional banking from investment banking.

市场参与者——如今以投机者而非投资者为主——也加入了这列失职者的队伍。我们的专业证券分析师未能履行评估公司资产负债表的职责,基本忽视了新型银行家和投资银行家所承担的巨大信贷风险。我们也不能忘了信用评级机构,它们乐此不疲地将证券化贷款评为 AAA 级,而换来的是发行人自己支付的巨额费用。(这叫“利益冲突”。)是的,到处都该挨骂。

Market participants—now dominated by speculators, not investors—also joined the parade of miscreants, and our professional security analysts failed to do their job of appraising company balance sheets, largely ignoring the huge credit risks assumed by the new breed of bankers and investment bankers. And let’s not forget our credit rating agencies, which happily bestowed AAA ratings on securitized loans in return for enormous fees that were paid in return by the issuers themselves. (It’s called “conflict of interest.”) Yes, there’s plenty of blame to pass around.

资本主义的病态突变

但当前危机的更大成因,是我们未能认识到资本主义本质正在发生一场巨变——一场就在我们眼前发生的巨变。简而言之,这场变化就是大型商业公司的成长,它们并非由自己的股东控制,而是由终极所有者的代理人控制。在投资界的协助和纵容下,美国企业界出现了一种病态的资本主义突变——从传统的所有者资本主义(投资收益主要流向投入资本并承担风险的出资人)演变为一种新的、有害的管理者资本主义,其中过度的资本投资收益流向了公司管理者和金融中介机构。

A Pathological Mutation in Capitalism But the larger cause of the present crisis was our failure to recognize the sea-change in the nature of capitalism that was occurring right before our eyes. That change, simply put, was the growth of giant business corporations, controlled not by their own shareholders, but by the agents of the ultimate owners. What went wrong in corporate America, aided and abetted by investment America, was a pathological mutation in capitalism—from traditional owners’ capitalism, in which the rewards of investing went primarily to those who put up the capital and took the risks, to a new and virulent managers’ capitalism, where an excessive share of the rewards of capital investment went to corporate managers and financial intermediaries.

这种有害变化有两大主要原因:

第一,旧的“所有者社会”在规模和重要性上急剧萎缩。仅在半个世纪前,我们公司 92% 的股份由直接股东持有。如今,个人投资者只持有全部股份的 25%。取而代之的是一个新兴的“代理人社会”,金融中介机构现在控制着绝大多数公司股份。机构投资者持有美国股票的比例,从 50 年前的 8% 飙升至今天的 75%。但这些代理人并未像所有者那样行事。他们未能尊重其委托人的利益——这些委托人主要是拥有我们共同基金和受益于我们养老金计划的 1 亿个家庭。

There were two major reasons for this baneful change: First, the old “ownership society” shrank radically in size and importance. Only a half-century ago, 92 percent of all shares of our corporations were held by direct stockholders. Today individual investors own only 25 percent of all shares. In its stead, a new “agency society” emerged, with financial intermediaries now controlling the overwhelming majority of corporate shares. Ownership of U.S. stocks by institutions has soared from 8 percent of all shares 50 years ago to 75 percent today. But those agents haven’t behaved as owners. They failed to honor the interest of their principals, largely those 100 million families who are the owners of our mutual funds and the beneficiaries of our pension plans.

第二,我们新的投资者代理人不仅忘记了委托人的利益,似乎也忘记了自己的投资原则。机构投资策略的主要焦点,从基于公司内在价值持久创造的长期投资智慧,转向了基于公司股票短暂价格的短期投机愚行。

The second reason is that our new investor agents not only forgot the interests of their principals, but also seemed to forget their own investment principles. The predominant focus of institutional investment strategy turned from the wisdom of long-term investing, based on the enduring creation of intrinsic corporate values, to the folly of short-term speculation, focused on the ephemeral prices of corporate stocks.

管理层成了自己数字的主人,而我们的公共会计师常常随声附和。在我所说的公司管理者、董事、会计师、投资银行家以及机构所有者和股票短期持有者之间的“愉快共谋”中,各种稀奇古怪的金融工程层出不穷。宽松的会计准则使得——常常是无中生有地——创造出可以充当盈利的玩意儿成为可能,即使是在公认会计准则(GAAP)下也不例外。一个很好的例子——它已经在为另一场正在浮现的金融危机播下种子——就是夸大养老金计划假设的未来回报率,即便对未来回报的理性预期已经恶化。

Management became the master of its own numbers, and our public accountants too often went along. In what I’ve called “the happy conspiracy” between corporate managers, directors, accountants, investment bankers, and institutional owners and renters of stocks, all kinds of bizarre financial engineering took place. Loose accounting standards made it possible to create, often out of thin air, what passes for earnings, even under GAAP standards. One good example— which is already sowing the seeds of yet another financial crisis that is now emerging—is hyping the assumed future returns earned by pension plans, even as rational expectations for future returns deteriorated.

金融工程的其他例子包括:并购后会计处理允许建立一个名副其实的“储备金罐”,以备日后用来创造虚假的盈利增长,尽管我们发现大约 61% 的公司并购实际上摧毁了股东价值;未能将股票期权成本计入薪酬费用(所幸现在这种做法已被禁止);通过设立特殊目的实体来隐藏债务(安然公司(Enron)将此手段滥用到了极致);金融机构不愿按“市值计价”原则处理那些已经摧毁其资产负债表的毒害抵押贷款支持债券。银行当然讨厌这个想法;我们把它们的偏好称为“按管理层计价”吧。

Other examples of financial engineering include post-merger accounting that allows the creation of a veritable “cookie jar” of reserves to be drawn on to create illusory earnings growth later on, even as we learn that some 61 percent of corporate mergers actually destroy shareholder value; failing to include the cost of stock options as a compensation expense (a practice now, happily, prohibited); the concealment of debt by forming special-purpose entities, abused most notably by Enron; and the unwillingness of financial institutions to “mark-to-market” the toxic mortgage-backed bonds that have destroyed their balance sheets. Banks, of course, hate the idea; let’s call their preference “mark to management.”

在公认会计准则(GAAP)下,这些做法都是……嗯,合法的。那么,可以说,这种创造性的金融工程的问题不在于什么是非法的。而在于什么是合法的。(事实上,即便是股票期权的回溯——近期公司管理者渎职的一个例子——如果会计处理得当,也是合法的。)因此,管理顾问的陈词滥调——“如果你能衡量它,就能管理它”——成了首席执行官的口头禅,即使没有得到董事们的知情同意,至少也得到了他们的默许。

Under GAAP, these practices are all, well, legal. Surely it can be said, then, that the problem in such creative financial engineering isn’t what’s illegal. It’s what’s legal. (Indeed, even the back-dating of options—a recent example of the malfeasance of corporate managers—when accounted for properly—is legal.) And so the management consultant’s bromide—“If you can measure it, you can manage it”—became the mantra of the chief executive, if not with the knowledge of the directors, at least with their tacit blessing.

简而言之,我们上市公司的管理者开始将自身利益置于所有者利益之上,他们利用代理人的权力,却不受董事、会计师、监管者等传统守门人的约束,甚至也不受所有者本身的约束。因为真正的所有者如今在我们投资世界中只扮演一个小角色,并且这个角色正在逐渐消失。我们占据主导地位的基金经理代理人,欣然接受了这种管理者自身利益至上的新环境。事实上,他们通过将公司报告的任何盈利视为金科玉律,并且普遍忽视诸如代理投票权、高管薪酬、董事会构成,乃至并购和股息政策等公司治理问题,从而助长了这种环境。

In short, the managers of our public corporations came to place their own interests ahead of the interests of their owners, exploiting the powers of their agency, yet unchecked by traditional gatekeepers such as directors, accountants, and regulators, and even the owners themselves. For true owners now play but a small and gradually vanishing role in our investment world. Our now-dominant money manager agents blithely accepted the new environment in which management self-interest held sway. Indeed, they fostered it by accepting as holy writ whatever earnings our corporations reported, and by generally ignoring corporate governance issues such as proxy access, executive compensation, board composition, and even mergers and acquisitions and dividend policy.

亚当·斯密曾极具先见之明地这样描述当今企业与机构管理者的特征(其中许多管理者本身就被大型金融集团所控制):“管理他人钱财的人[很少]会像管理自己的钱财那样……怀着同样的焦虑和警觉去照看它……他们轻易就能原谅自己。疏忽与挥霍必然盛行。”2 那么,该怎么办?我提议我们采纳“信托责任”解决方案:在我们逐渐消失的“所有者社会”和已然失败的“代理人社会”基础上,创建一个全新的“信托社会”。在此,我们的资金管理人代理人将被联邦法规要求——必须将委托人(即所有者/委托人,他们本应为之服务)的利益置于自身利益之上。这是一项持续得到执行的公共政策,明确要求我们的金融机构承担信托责任,专一服务于它们理应为之尽责的所有者/委托人的利益。这一责任将要求我们的机构代理人回归到传统的专业管家标准,而这早已刻不容缓;要求他们有效且负责任地参与我们上市公司的治理;督促其投资组合中持股的那些商业企业的管理者以所有者利益为导向来治理公司;并承担起服务全社会的道德责任。

Adam Smith presciently described the characteristics of today’s corporate and institutional managers (many of which are themselves controlled by giant financial conglomerates) with these words: Managers of other people’s money [rarely] watch over it with the same anxious vigilance with which . . . they watch over their own . . . they very easily give themselves a dispensation. Negligence and profusion must always prevail.2 So what’s to be done? I propose that we undertake the “Fiduciary Duty” solution: To create, out of our disappearing ownership society and our failed agency society, a new fiduciary society. Here, our money-manager agents would be required—by federal statute—to place the interests of their principals ahead of their own interests, a consistently enforced public policy that places a clear requirement of fiduciary duty on our financial institutions to serve exclusively the interests of the owner/principals whom they are duty-bound to serve. That duty would require the long overdue return of our institutional agents to traditional standards of professional stewardship; their effective and responsible participation in the governance of our publicly-owned corporations; pressing the managers of the business corporations whose shares are held in their portfolios to govern in the interest of their owners; and assuming an ethical responsibility to serve society at large.

在亚当·斯密的时代,“挥霍”被定义为“奢侈或浪费的开支、超额的金钱、铺张、浪费等”。

In Smith’s era, profusion was defined as “lavish or wasteful expenditures, excess amount of money, squandering, waste, etc.”

这种受托人社会将确保那些最终所有者——主要是把资本投入股票、用自己的储蓄在冒险的共同基金股东和养老金受益人——作为投资委托人的权利。这些权利必须包括:(1)要求他们的资金管理人/代理人完全代表他们利益行事的权利。简而言之,客户必须是国王。

Such a fiduciary society would guarantee that those last-line owners—largely the mutual fund shareholders and pension fund beneficiaries who have committed this capital to equity ownership and whose savings are at stake—their rights as investment principals. These rights must include: (1) The right to have their money-manager/agents act solely in their behalf. The client, in short, must be king.

(2)有权信赖为我们评估投资组合的基金经理和证券分析师保持高度的专业标准与勤勉尽责。3(3)有权要求共同基金及他们提供的金融产品具备某种程度的纪律性和诚信。

(2) The right to rely on high professional standards and due diligence on the part of our money managers and securities analysts who appraise securities for our portfolios.3 (3) The right to demand some sort of discipline and integrity in the mutual funds and financial products that they offer.

(4)确保我们的代理人以负责任的企业公民身份行事,将股票所有权被忽视的权利归还给委托人,并要求公司董事和管理层履行他们对自身股东应尽的受托责任。

(4) The assurance that our agents will act as responsible corporate citizens, restoring to their principals the neglected rights of stock ownership, and demanding that corporate directors and managers meet the fiduciary duty that they owe to their own shareholders.

(5)建立符合“合理性”标准的管理费结构,不仅要基于费率,还要基于美元金额,而且更重要的是,要依据这些费用与基金管理人向其他客户收取的费用及费用结构之间的关联性。

(5) The establishment of advisory fee structures that meet a “reasonableness” standard based not only on rates but dollar amounts, and, importantly, their relationship to the fees and fee structures available to other clients of the manager.

(6)消除所有可能妨碍这些目标实现的利益冲突。

(6) The elimination of all conflicts of interest that could preclude the achievement of these goals.

当然,联邦政府需要采取行动,来推动我设想的这个新型受托社会的建立。最根本的是,必须清晰无误地表明,政府有意愿也有能力执行信托与受托责任的标准,让基金管理人唯一且排他的目的就是服务于受益人的利益。简而言之,“没有人能侍奉两个主人。”

Of course it will take federal government action to foster the creation of this new fiduciary society that I envision. Above all else, it must be unmistakable that government intends, and is capable of enforcing, standards of trusteeship and fiduciary duty under which money managers operate with the sole and exclusive purpose of serving the interests of their beneficiaries. In short, allowing “no man to serve two masters.”

这些变化将共同迫使——甚至可能激励——我们的企业负责人和资金管理者提升他们自身的道德准则。(在这重要的区别上再玩一次文字游戏!)但我们还需要提高社会的期望,要求我们的领导者达到高尚的道德行为标准。因此,除了亚当·斯密近乎普遍适用的对“市场”的洞察之外,我看到一种新的、更强烈的需求,即制定一套规定,让那些在市场中行动的人有责任秉持最高原则行事。贝莱德备受尊敬的高管、前财政部官员彼得·费舍尔认为,我们应该强制机构投资者更好地进行投资研究,并制定和执行更高的证券分析师最低胜任标准。

Together, these changes will compel—and perhaps even inspire—the principals of our corporations and our money managers to improve their own ethical principles. (One more play on that important distinction!) But we also need to raise our society’s expectations that our leaders meet high standards of ethical conduct. So, in addition to Adam Smith’s almost universally- Peter Fisher, widely-respected BlackRock executive and former Treasury Department official, believes we should force institutional investors to do a better job of investment research, and develop and enforce higher minimum standards of competence for security analysts.

出自《道德情操论》中亚当·斯密早先提出的概念,我们需要借助他那几乎无人知晓的“公正旁观者”,而非广为人知的“看不见的手”。

known Invisible Hand, we need to call on his almost universally-unknown Impartial Spectator, from Smith’s earlier Theory of Moral Sentiments.

这个“公正的旁观者”究竟是谁?斯密告诉我们,它是“那个向我们呼唤的声音……它能让最狂妄的激情感到震惊,告诉我们自己不过是芸芸众生中的一员,丝毫不比其中的任何其他人优越;当我们如此可耻、如此盲目地偏爱自己胜过他人时,我们就理当成为他人怨恨、憎恶和咒骂的对象。只有从他那里,我们才学会认清自己真正的渺小。正是这个公正的旁观者……向我们展示了慷慨的恰当与不公的丑恶;展示了为了他人更重大的利益而放弃自身最重大利益的恰当……以便为我们自己谋取最大的利益。在许多场合,促使我们践行那些神圣美德的,并非对邻人的爱,也非对人类的大爱。而是一种更强烈的爱,一种更有力的情感——即对高尚和尊贵之爱,对我们自身品格中那份恢宏、尊严与卓越之爱。”

Just who is this Impartial Spectator? It is, Smith tells us, “the voice who calls to us . . . capable of astonishing the most presumptuous of our passions, that we are but one of the multitude, in no respect better than any other in it; and that when we prefer ourselves so shamefully and so blindly to others, we become the proper objects of resentment, abhorrence, and execration. It is from him only that we learn the real littleness of ourselves. It is this Impartial Spectator . . . who shows us the propriety of generosity and the deformity of injustice; the propriety of resigning the greatest interests of our own, for the yet greater interests of others . . . in order to obtain the greatest benefit to ourselves. It is not the love of our neighbour, it is not the love of mankind, which upon many occasions prompts us to the practice of those divine virtues. It is a stronger love, a more powerful affection, the love of what is honourable and noble, the grandeur, and dignity, and superiority of our own characters.”

艾伦·格林斯潘与泡沫 公平地说,未能恪守那些崇高的标准,在酿成近期的危机中扮演了重要角色。事实上,一位先锋集团(Vanguard)股东将其形容为“一场道德比例的危机”(这是对标准说法“史诗比例”的一个巧妙变奏),我一周前在《华尔街日报》发表的专栏评论文章正是以此为题。道德价值观的沦丧,在管理资本主义以及管理资本家的失败中起了主导作用——正是这种失败导致了金融泡沫及其无可避免的破灭。

Alan Greenspan and the Bubble It is fair to say that the failure to honor those lofty standards played an important role in creating the recent crisis. Indeed, one Vanguard shareholder described it as “a crisis of ethic proportions” (a nice variation on the standard “epic” proportions), the title that I used for my op-ed essay published in The Wall Street Journal a week ago. For the decline in ethical values played a major role in the failure of managerial capitalism and—managerial capitalists—that led to the financial bubble, and the burst that inevitably followed.

前美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘相信竞争和自由市场会奖赏信任与诚信,但他似乎没有意识到资本主义正在发生的这场深刻变革。值得肯定的是,格林斯潘承认了自己的错误。去年 10 月在国会作证时,他承认这场危机的导火索是“……整个知识体系的崩塌……那些指望贷款机构出于自身利益保护股东权益的人——尤其是我自己——都处于震惊与难以置信的状态,” 他说。他补充道,这种自身利益无法实现自我约束的现象,“是我所认为的定义世界运行方式的关键功能结构中的一个缺陷。”

While former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan believed that competition and free markets would reward trust and integrity, he seemed unmindful of this sea-change in capitalism that was occurring. To his credit, Greenspan admitted his mistake. In his testimony before Congress last October, he acknowledged that the crisis had been prompted by “ . . . the collapse of a whole intellectual edifice . . . Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity—myself especially—are in a state of shocked disbelief,” he said. This failure of self-interest to provide self-regulation was, he added, “a flaw in the model that I perceived as the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works.”

值得琢磨一下这句话:“定义世界运作方式的那些关键功能结构。”正如《纽约客》撰稿人约翰·兰彻斯特所观察到的:“要在这么个庞然大物身上找漏洞,可不是闹着玩的。”兰彻斯特接着写道:“那些掌权的人以为自己懂得比实际更多。银行家们显然数学知道得太多,历史知道得太少——或许他们两样都懂得不够。”想想看:在我们的金融体系中,我们既忽略了数学,也忽略了历史,而把期望主要寄托在金融市场可能带来的回报上。我们还忽略了华尔街交易员和基金经理从我们的回报中抽走的巨额成本——这些成本大幅侵蚀、甚至常常吞噬了我们的企业所赚取的回报份额,以及我们在投机交易创纪录水平时代所承受的过高税负。这些成本加在一起,已把投资者实际到手(经通胀调整后)的回报毁得所剩无几。

It’s worth dwelling on that phrase: “the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works.” As the New Yorker writer John Lanchester observed: “That’s a hell of a big thing to find a flaw in.” Lanchester continued: “the people in power thought they knew more than they did. The bankers evidently knew too much math and not enough history—or maybe they didn’t know enough of either.” Think about it: In our financial system, we have ignored both math and history, and largely focus our expectations on the returns that the financial markets may deliver. We’ve also ignored the exorbitant costs extracted from our returns by Wall Street traders and money managers, costs that substantially diminish—indeed often overwhelm—our participation in the returns that our corporations earn and the excessive taxes that we incur in this era of record levels of speculative trading. Together, these costs have devastated the real (inflation-adjusted) returns that remain for investors.

总而言之,我们如今占据主导地位的资金管理行业,已将其注意力从关注我们旗下实体企业所创造、生产和分销的商品与服务的内在价值的持久性,转向了关注公司股票转瞬即逝的价格——这是感知对现实的胜利。我们生活在一个吹捧公司股价远比构建公司自身内在价值容易得多的世界。我们似乎忘记了传奇人物本杰明·格雷厄姆的警告:不要只关注短期感知,而忽略了长期现实。他告诫道:“股市短期看是投票机,长期看是称重机。”

In all, our now-dominant money management sector has turned its focus away from the enduring nature of the intrinsic value of the goods and services created, produced, and distributed by our corporate businesses, and toward the ephemeral price of the corporation’s stock—the triumph of perception over reality. We live in a world in which it is far easier to hype the price of a company’s stock than it is to build the intrinsic value of the corporation itself. And we seem to have forgotten the legendary Benjamin Graham’s warning against focusing on short-term perception, rather than on long-term reality: “In the short run, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long run it is a weighing machine.”

一个历史性分野

现在请随我一同思考:我所描述的金融市场性质那深刻且基本未被察觉的变迁,是如何助长了商业行为、价值观与道德的腐蚀。这一变迁反映了两种截然不同的投资观,两个截然不同的市场。一个是内在商业价值的真实市场,另一个是瞬息股价的预期市场。

An Historic Distinction Consider with me now how the erosion in the conduct, values, and ethics of business has been fostered by the profound—and largely unnoticed—change that I have described in the nature of our financial markets. That change reflects two radically different views of what investing is all about, two distinct markets. One is the real market of intrinsic business value. The other is the expectations market of momentary stock prices.

一个奇妙的巧合是,自打我在普林斯顿大学学习经济学时第一次接触到这一尖锐二分法以来,就一直对它念念不忘。确实如此!在我 1951 年的本科毕业论文中——灵感来自 1949 年《财富》杂志一篇关于当时“规模虽小但争议不断的共同基金行业”的文章——我援引了英国伟大经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯对投资(“预测资产在其整个生命周期内的预期收益”)与投机(“预测市场的心理”)所做的区分。

It’s a curious coincidence that I’ve been concerned about this sharp dichotomy ever since I first encountered it in my study of economics at Princeton University. Really! In my 1951 senior thesis, inspired by a 1949 article in FORTUNE on the then “tiny but contentious Mutual Fund industry,” I cited the distinction made by the great British economist John Maynard Keynes between enterprise (“forecasting the prospective yield of the asset over its whole life”) and speculation (“forecasting the psychology of the markets”).

凯恩斯对短期投机行为在股票定价中日益扩大的角色深感忧虑,认为这会带来严重的社会后果。他写道:“由大量无知个体的群体心理所建立起来的(股票)传统估值,极易因一些对预期收益实则影响甚微的因素所引发的观点突变而剧烈动荡……从而产生非理性的乐观与悲观情绪浪潮。”

Keynes was deeply concerned about the societal implications of the growing role of short-term speculation on stock prices. “A conventional valuation [of stocks] which is established [by] the mass psychology of a large number of ignorant individuals,” he wrote, “is liable to change violently as the result of a sudden fluctuation of opinion due to factors which do not really matter much to the prospective yield . . . resulting in unreasoning waves of optimistic and pessimistic sentiment.”

接着,凯恩斯勋爵预言性地指出,这种趋势将会加剧,因为就连“那些判断力和知识都超越普通个人投资者的专业高手”,关心的也不是“对一项投资在整个生命周期内的可能收益做出卓越的长期预测”,而是“比大众提前一小段时间,去预测传统估值方法将发生怎样的变化。” 因此,凯恩斯警告说,股市将会变成“一场智力竞赛,目标是预测几个月后的传统估值基础,而不是一项投资在未来多年内的预期收益。”

Then, prophetically, Lord Keynes predicted that this trend would intensify, as even “expert professionals, possessing judgment and knowledge beyond that of the average private investor would become concerned, not with making superior long-term forecasts of the probable yield on an investment over its entire life, but with forecasting changes in the conventional valuation a short time ahead of the general public.” As a result, Keynes warned, the stock market would become “a battle of wits to anticipate the basis of conventional valuation a few months hence rather than the prospective yield of an investment over a long term of years.”

在我的论文里,我引用了那段原话,然后斗胆与这位伟人唱了个反调。我预测——后来事实证明我的预测是准确的——共同基金行业将变得远比当时庞大,而投资组合经理会“为市场提供一种对证券的需求,这种需求是稳定、老练、开明且富有分析精神的(原文为斜体强调),其基础从根本上取决于公司的内在表现(即凯恩斯所说的‘企业’),而不是公众对股票价值的评判,也就是股票的价格(即凯恩斯所说的‘投机’)。”

In my thesis, I cited those very words, and then had the temerity to disagree with the great man. Portfolio managers, in what I predicted—accurately, as it turned out—would become a far larger mutual fund industry, would “supply the market with a demand for securities that is steady, sophisticated, enlightened, and analytic [italics added], a demand that is based essentially on the [intrinsic] performance of a corporation [Keynes’s enterprise], rather than the public appraisal of the value of a share, that is, its price [Keynes’s speculation].”

遗憾的是,我当年预测的专业机构投资者那种稳健、精明、理性又有分析力的需求,如今已无迹可寻。恰恰相反!我们的基金经理人,按照奥斯卡·王尔德对犬儒主义者的定义,似乎“知道每样东西的价格,却对价值一无所知”。股票共同基金的换手率——当年一直稳定在每年 15% 左右——近年来已飙升至超过 100%,平均持有期不足一年。所以,在我那篇论文写下那些话半个多世纪之后,我必须不情愿地承认一个显而易见的事实:凯恩斯那种老练的犬儒主义是对的,而博格尔那套天真的理想主义是错的。但这并不意味着我们就该让那套体系永远主宰一切。

Alas, the steady sophisticated, enlightened, and analytic demand I had predicted from our expert professional investors is now nowhere to be seen. Quite the contrary! Our money managers, following Oscar Wilde’s definition of the cynic, seem to know “the price of everything but the value of nothing.” Portfolio turnover of equity mutual funds, then running steadily about 15 percent, year after year—has soared in recent years to more than 100 percent—an average holding period of less than one year. So, a half-century-plus after I wrote those words in my thesis, I must reluctantly concede the obvious: Keynes’ sophisticated cynicism was right, and Bogle’s callow idealism was wrong. But that doesn’t mean we should let that system prevail forever.

为什么?因为我们的社会正在为凯恩斯如此精准预言的那种转变付出高昂代价。当职业机构投资者把目光从长期投资的智慧转向短期投机这种愚蠢行为时,“国家的资本发展[变成了]赌场活动的副产品”。正如他警告的那样:“当企业沦为投机漩涡中的一个气泡时,资本主义的活儿就很可能干砸了。”这是我们绝对不能容忍的事情。

Why? Because our society is paying a high price for the shift that Keynes so accurately predicted. As professional institutional investors moved their focus from the wisdom of long-term investment to the folly of short-term speculation, “the capital development of the country [became] a by-product of the activities of a casino.” Just as he warned, “when enterprise becomes a mere bubble on a whirlpool of speculation, the job of capitalism is likely to be ill-done.” And that is one thing that we can’t allow to endure.

普林斯顿的教育 我坦白承认,投资中简单的算术与塑造我漫长职业生涯的简朴道德美德之间的交汇,让我深受触动。这两者都源于我在普林斯顿所受的教育,以及与众多杰出的普林斯顿人的频繁交往——从我的导师、20 届的沃尔特·L·摩根开始,再到我已故的连襟、52 届的约翰·J·F·(杰伊)·谢雷德,这位杰出的前普林斯顿校董,这段经历无疑被进一步强化。尤其是在近些年,我不断思考简单算术与简朴价值这两块基石之间的关系,以及它们如何与我逐渐苏醒的工程文化兴趣,还有我长期对人文的热爱相呼应。

A Princeton Education I freely confess that I am struck by the confluence of the simple arithmetic of investing and the simplistic virtue of ethical values that have shaped my long career. Both were inspired by my Princeton education and frequent encounters with remarkable Princetonians, beginning with my mentor Walter L. Morgan, ’20, and surely enhanced by my brother-in-law John J.F. (Jay) Sherrerd ’52, the late great Princeton Trustee. In my recent years especially, I’ve reflected on the relationship between these keystones of simple arithmetic and simple values, and how they paralleled my awakened interest in the culture of engineering and my long-standing love for the humanities.

回想起来,我担心自己在普林斯顿选课时过于狭隘、过于谨慎了。如果我能从头再来(并且能消除时空限制),我会一头扎进安东尼·劳比契克的经典课程;戴维·比林顿的“现代世界中的工程学”课程;伯特·马尔基尔的金融课程;鲍勃·霍兰德对但丁的解读;乌韦·莱因哈特的会计课程(那实际上已超越单纯的会计);莱昂内尔·戈斯曼的欧洲文学课程之一;约翰·麦克菲的创意写作研讨班(不过我怀疑自己会不会被录取!);以及一门关于西方文明根源的概览课程。

In retrospect, I fear that I was too narrow, too cautious in selecting my courses at Princeton. Had I had time to do it all over (and could erase the limitations of time and space), I’d leap into Anthony Raubitschek’s classics courses; David Billington’s course on “Engineering in the Modern World”; Burt Malkiel’s finance course; Bob Hollander’s exploration of Dante; Uve Reinhardt’s accounting course (that in fact transcended mere accounting); one of Lionel Gossman’s courses in European literature; John McPhee’s creative writing seminar (though I doubt I’d get admitted!); and a survey course on the roots of Western Civilization.

我没能有机会选择这套广泛涉猎的课程并不是重点所在。而是,我逐渐相信,我们需要更好地教育大学生,让他们同时理解并尊重两种传统上相互分离的文化——科学探究与工程学的文化,以及我们人文传统中那些珍贵的价值——若你愿意,可以称之为西方文明。事实上,我们对两者似乎都视而不见,而我们的损失,就是社会的损失。两位普林斯顿校友的工作,进一步加深了我对这两种文化的兴趣。

That I won’t get the opportunity to choose this broad-based curriculum is not really the point. Rather, I have come to believe that we need to better educate our college students in both of the traditionally-separate cultures of scientific inquiry and engineering and the precious values of our humanistic heritage—call it Western Civilization, if you will—by common understanding and respect. In fact, we seem to be losing sight of both, and our loss is our society’s loss. The work of two fellow Princetonians has reinforced my interest in both cultures.

首先,工程师文化。在工程领域,尽管我逐渐对金融工程的兴起持怀疑态度——从定义上看,这类工程在总体上会从社会抽取价值⁴——但我几乎被机械工程、土木工程、航空工程、化学工程以及一系列相关领域的美感所迷住,而这些工程都在为我们的生活增添价值。

First, the Culture of the Engineer In engineering, while I’ve come to be skeptical about the rise of financial engineering— which in the aggregate, by definition, subtracts value from society4—I find myself almost transfixed by the beauty of mechanical engineering, civil engineering, aeronautical engineering, chemical engineering, and a host of related subjects, all of which add value to our lives.

普林斯顿毕业后的那些年里,我对工程师思维的精确与理性产生了深深的敬意。是的,正如传奇教师、1950 届校友戴维·比林顿教授在其非凡著作《力量、速度与形态》5 中指出的那样,工程专业已与社会脱节。我们以为工程学复杂得难以理解,但事实上,正如比林顿博士所指出的,大多数工程思想中的根本性创新并非建立在复杂性之上,而是“建立在基本理念的简洁性之上”。

During the years after Princeton, I have come to deeply respect the precision and rationality of the engineer’s mind. Yes, as Professor David Billington, legendary teacher and member of the Class of 1950, points out in his remarkable book, Power, Speed, and Form,5 the engineering profession has been isolated from society. We think of engineering as complex beyond comprehension, but in fact, as Dr. Billington points out, most radical innovations in engineering thought have been based, not on complexity, but on “the simplicity of the basic ideas.”

比林顿博士在书中提醒我们注意一个事实:许多最伟大的工程师——包括亚历山大·格拉汉姆·贝尔、托马斯·爱迪生和亨利·福特——他们的想法都“浸淫在已有技术和做事方式之中”。他指出,最优秀的工程师追求的是经济而非昂贵、高效而非低效,并且在可能的情况下,追求优雅而非丑陋。

In his book, Dr. Billington calls attention to the fact that the ideas of many of our greatest engineers—including Alexander Graham Bell, Thomas Edison, and Henry Ford—were “immersed in established technologies and ways of doing things.” The best engineers, he notes, have sought the economical over the costly, the efficient over the less efficient, and, where possible, the elegant over the ugly.

这可能只是我普林斯顿生涯中又一个奇妙的巧合,但我猛然意识到,在我的论文里,我几乎用了完全相同的表述。我呼吁共同基金应以“最经济、最高效、最诚实的方式运作”。前两个词与戴维·比林顿的口头禅完全一致——他的第三个词是“优雅”,用于工程设计。或许,将投资中的优雅视为一种美感并不牵强,这种美感正体现在那些迄今为止创造出的最佳金融“产品”中——那种极其罕见的、纯粹的诚实。

It’s probably just one more crazy coincidence in my Princeton life, but I’m struck by the realization that in my thesis I used an almost identical formulation. I called for mutual funds to be operated in “the most economical, most efficient, and most honest way possible. The first two words are the same in David Billington’s mantra. His third was elegance, applied to engineering design. Perhaps it is not far-fetched to see the elegance in investing as represented by the beauty represented in the all-too-rare simple honesty of the best financial “products” yet created.

也许有点不谦虚,我会把全球第一只指数共同基金归入这一类——它是金融史上最简单的基本理念。又是一个巧合,这一理念的种子正是在普林斯顿大学我的本科毕业论文里播下的:只需买入并持有整个股票市场。*见约翰·C·博格尔,《一个重要到让你无法分心的问题》,《投资组合管理期刊》,2008 年春季刊*

Perhaps immodestly, I’d include the world’s first index mutual fund in that category, the simplest basic idea in financial history. In yet one more coincidence, the seed for that idea was planted right here in Princeton in my senior thesis. Just own the entire stock market and hold it See “A Question So Important That It Should Be Hard To Think About Anything Else,” John C. Bogle, Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring 2008.

副标题为“工程师与二十世纪塑造”。由普林斯顿大学出版社于 2006 年出版。

Subtitled Engineers and the Making of the Twentieth Century. Published by Princeton University Press in 2006.

永远持有它;并且通过一家真正具有互助结构的公司来拥有它——在这样的公司里,服务两个主人是绝对的禁忌,投资的回报归于投资者而非管理者。

forever; and own it through a company with a truly mutual structure, a company where serving two masters is anathema, and where the rewards of investing go to the investors rather than to the managers.

从某种意义上说,先锋集团提供的大部分基金,都是简单算术的产物,也是索福克勒斯这句话的体现:“记住,陌生人,算术是科学之首,安全之母。”没错,算术和工程。

In a sense, most of the funds Vanguard offers are products of simple arithmetic, a reflection of these words of Sophocles’: “Remember, O Stranger, that arithmetic is the first of the sciences, and the mother of safety.” Yes, arithmetic and engineering.

那么接下来,我们来考量人文主义者的文化。正如普林斯顿大学的戴维·比尔林顿在我理解工程师文化时成为精神导师之一,同样,普林斯顿 1992 届校友埃利奥特·麦古肯则在我领会人文主义者文化时提升了我的精神境界。麦古肯博士在普林斯顿大学获得物理学学士学位,随后在北卡罗来纳大学教堂山分校取得物理学博士学位。如今他在佩珀代因大学任教,并开设了一门商学院课程,名为“艺术创业与技术”,将当今的信息时代与西方文明的伟大价值观联系起来。他的必读书目包括荷马的《奥德赛》和但丁的《神曲》。

So Next Let’s Consider the Culture of the Humanist Even as Princetonian David Billington became one of my guiding spirits on the culture of the engineer, so Elliot McGucken, Princeton Class of 1992, has lifted my spirits on the culture of the humanist. Dr. McGucken received a B.A. in Physics from Princeton, and earned a Ph.D. in physics at University North Carolina in Chapel Hill. Now teaching at Pepperdine University, he has created a business school course entitled “Artistic Entrepreneurship and Technology,” linking today’s Information Age to the great values of Western Civilization. His required reading list includes Homer’s Odyssey, and Dante’s Inferno.

信不信由你,“E 博士”是在逛书店时发现了我 2005 年出版的《资本主义灵魂之战》一书。这本书成为他课程三大阅读基础之一。当他告诉我这件事时,我当然欣喜若狂。(说实话,其实是震惊!)但请听听麦古肯在阐述人文学科教育现状时的担忧,他表述得比我好得多:四年前我刚开始这项尝试时,曾以为常识会更常见一些,荷马和博格尔会自然且立即在学术界占据上风,几乎无需争辩。好吧,在学生当中,确实存在一个巨大的市场,渴望那些能与他们灵魂中不朽情感共鸣的言辞(因此时间站在我们这边!),但现代大学的官僚体系已经演变为与古典智慧对立的形态,华尔街和我们的政府也是如此——它们往往更看重通过纯粹的金钱来购买美德和恒久财富,而非首先聚焦于美德和“做正确的事”,这让我们想起苏格拉底的信念:我们应该“关心灵魂的最大提升……”

Believe it or not, “Dr. E.” discovered my 2005 book, The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism when he was browsing in a bookstore. It formed one of three foundations for reading in his course. When he told me that, of course I was thrilled. (Heck, truth told, astonished!) But hear the concern McGucken expresses as he explains what is happening to Humanistic education, in words far better than my own: When I first embarked on this venture four years ago, I had thought that common sense would be a bit more common, and that Homer and Bogle would naturally and immediately prevail in the academy with nary a battle. Well, amongst the students a vast market exists for the words that speak to the immortal sensibilities of their souls (and thus time is on our side!), but the modern university's bureaucracy has evolved to oppose classical wisdom, as has Wall Street and our government, which all too often see more profit in trying to purchase virtue and enduring wealth via mere money; rather than focusing first on virtue and ‘doing the right thing,’ reminding us of Socrates belief that we should ‘care about the greatest improvement of the soul . . .

美德并非金钱所赐,但美德能带来金钱以及人类一切其他美好之物。

virtue is not given by money, but from virtue comes money and every other good of man.’

他接着说,每次系务会议上,我都要为自己为什么在商科课堂上讲荷马和苏格拉底而辩解。我曾忍不住想问:“你们能找出比这更具永恒价值的东西吗?”但我始终没有说出口……尽管每日新闻都在向我们呐喊着当前体制的史诗级失败,以及毫无灵魂的 MBA 课程所造就的一切恶果,但当代学术界仍然拒绝正视现实——因为 MBA 学位就是一张许可证,让人得以参与每年 5000 亿美元、毫无创新可言的财富转移(流向金融业),这种转移损害、侵蚀并违背了资本主义的道德前提。承担风险者理应获得回报,而一个机构的首要目的应当是服务——而不是诱惑和索取。

During each faculty meeting, he continues, I need to justify why I am teaching Homer and Socrates in a business class of all things. I have been tempted to ask the question, ‘Well, can you find anything of greater and more-enduring value?’ But I have refrained . . . despite the daily news which screams at us regarding the epic failures of the current system and all that the soulless MBA curriculum hath wrought, the contemporary academy yet refuses to see, because the MBA is a license to partake in the $500 billion of innovation-free, annual wealth-transfer [to the financial sector] that compromises, erodes, and opposes capitalism's moral premises. The risk-taker ought to get the reward, and the primary purpose of an institution ought to be to serve—not to tempt and take.

麦古肯引用《谁杀死了荷马》一书指出:“对美国每一个人来说,对希腊智慧的茫然无知都应该是一件至关重要的事情。希腊人留给我们宪政政府、个人权利、言论自由、开放经济、文官治军、政教分离、私有财产、自由的科学探究和公开的异议。然而,如果只接受这些文明遗产,却不理解希腊人同时也坚持认为,这种活力必须接受一整套几乎已经消失的文化规约的监督和约束——公民责任、博爱精神、一种近乎绝对的世界观、一种认为人生并不美好、而是悲剧且转瞬即逝的信念……一种看待世界的完整方式,一种与如今驱动美国的那些新神——治疗文化、道德相对主义、对进步的盲目迷信以及对物质文化的颂扬——完全背道而驰的方式——那是愚蠢的,也是危险的。”

Quoting from Who Killed Homer, McGucken notes that “This ignorance of Greek wisdom should be of crucial interest to every American. The Greeks bequeathed us constitutional government, individual rights, freedom of expression, an open economy, civilian control of the military, separation of religious and political authority, private property, free scientific inquiry and open dissent. But it is foolish—and dangerous—to embrace these conventions . . . without understanding that the Greeks also insisted that such energy was to be monitored and restrained by a host of cultural protocols that have nearly disappeared: civic responsibility, philanthropy, a world view that is rather absolute, a brief that life is not nice, but tragic and ephemeral . . . an entire way of looking at the world, a way diametrically opposite to the new gods that now drive America: therapeutics, moral relativism, blind allegiance to progress and the glorification of material culture.”

这下你该明白,为什么我和 E 博士能如此投缘了!我们在热爱经典、以及追求美德与伦理——甚至包括受托责任——战胜当下那些日益淡薄的价值观方面,找到了共同立场。现在是时候承担起我们的责任,扭转近来不受约束的商业行为大行其道的局面,并努力恢复曾经渗透我们社会的专业操守了。

So you can see why Dr. E and I get along so well! We have reached common ground in loving the classics and in seeking the triumph of virtue and ethics—and even fiduciary duty!— over the vanishing values of the day. It is time to accept our responsibility to reverse the recent triumph of unfettered business conduct, and fight to restore the professional conduct that once permeated our society.

“一部美国商业的道德史”。我从多年前在普林斯顿求学的起点绕了一圈,又回到这里——我的职业生涯、我经历的战斗、我为投资策略建立新标准的使命,以及我日益增长的信念:工程学那些不可动摇的法则,加上不可动摇的道德行为准则,终将到来并造福我们的社会。所以,我现在终于要讲到另一个与普林斯顿的巧合——它从我的论文研究开始算起,已经伴随我整整 60 年了。

“A Moral History of U.S. Business” I close by coming full circle from my Princeton education that began all those years ago; through my career, my battles, and my mission to establish new standards of investment strategy; my ever-growing confidence that the unbending rules of engineering combined with the unbending standards of ethical conduct will come and will benefit our society. So I now move, finally, to one more Princeton coincidence that has remained with me even 60 years after my thesis research began.

1949 年 12 月号的《财富》杂志里,在我偶然读到那篇引我走向共同基金行业、催生我论文的文章的同时,还有另一篇早已被遗忘、如今却占据我脑海前端的文章。它篇幅很长(九页),题为“美国商业的道德史”。这篇文章回顾了六代商人如何试图将商业成功与道德目标协调一致。它向高管们发问:“他们掌权的社会地位(以及政治权力)具有怎样的道德凭证?”当文章描述他们工作背后的非金钱动机时,提到了“对权力和威望的热爱、利他主义、好斗心、爱国精神,以及希望透过产品或机构被后人铭记”。这些话,不论好坏,似乎恰如其分地描述了我自己的职业生涯,我能感觉到作者正用一种不以为然的目光注视着我。

In that same December 1949 issue of FORTUNE magazine, when a chance reading of the article that led me to the mutual fund industry and to my thesis, there was another essay, long forgotten, but now at the front of my mind. It was lengthy (nine pages), and was entitled “The Moral History of U.S. Business.” The article reviews how six generations of businessmen have sought to harmonize their business success with moral purpose. It asks executives, “What are the moral credentials for the social position [and political power] they wield.” When the article described the extra-pecuniary motives that lay behind their labors, it mentioned “love of power and prestige, altruism, pugnacity, patriotism, and the hope of being remembered through a product or institution.” Those words, for better or worse, seemed to aptly describe my own career, and I could feel the author gazing at me with a disapproving stare.

但后面引用的另一段话,信不信由你,似乎更是针对我这类人。文章引用了 19 世纪中期纽约一位正直人士威廉·帕森斯的话:“好的商人,虽富有进取心且愿意承担一定风险,却不会孤注一掷,也不会把一切都押在一次投掷上……最重要的是,他在良知上不会拿委托给他保管的他人财产去冒险投机……他谨慎地不沉溺于奢侈,量入为出……他举止简朴,生活习惯不事张扬,戒除一切轻浮之举和愚蠢的支出……他牢记自己不仅是一个商人,更是一个人,有头脑需要提升、有心灵需要涵养、有品格需要塑造。”

But a later quotation, believe it or not, seemed even more focused on the likes of me. Quoting William Parsons, a mid-19th century New Yorker of probity the essay continued, “The good merchant, though an enterprising man and willing to run some risks, yet is not willing to risk everything, nor put all on the hazard of a single throw . . . Above all, he makes it a matter of conscience not to risk in hazardous enterprises the property of others entrusted to his keeping . . . He is careful to indulge in no extravagance, and to live within his means . . . Simple in his manner and unostentatious in his habits of life, he abstains from all frivolities and foolish expenditures . . . He recollects that he is not merely a merchant, but a man, and that he has a mind to improve, a heart to cultivate, a character to form.”

于是我们来到了今天。从我普林斯顿大学毕业至今这么多年,这些年间普林斯顿一次又一次通过种种巧合的关联,回到我的脑海和我的生命中,直到今晚这一刻,我看着这些话,仿佛它们就是我自己写下的。头脑需要提升?受教育的启发,我几乎无时无刻不在追求此事,并希望我今晚的发言不会与此言相悖。心灵需要涵养?当然。但不是那颗历经近 67 年磨损、最终在 1996 年停止跳动的心脏。而是一颗新的心脏——如今才 39 岁——它要求我将精力用于有价值的事业。品格需要塑造?确实如此,但再过一个星期我就满 80 岁了,想要大幅改变我如今根深蒂固的品格,恐怕很难。所以我猜我只能努力将金融行业和整个社会的品格提升到一个更高标准,是的,回到我的标题,我“渴望建设一个更美好的金融世界”。

So here we are. All these years after my Princeton graduation, and all those years in which Princeton returned to my mind and my life through one connecting coincidence after another, to this very evening, I look at those words as if they were my own. A mind to improve? Inspired by my education, I pursue that quest virtually continuously, and hope my remarks this evening do not belie my claim. A heart to cultivate? Of course. But not the heart that finally expired in 1996 after almost 67 years of wear and tear. A new heart—now but 39 years old—that demands that my energies be used for a worthwhile cause. A character to form? Surely that, but as I reach the age of 80 a week from tomorrow, it’s likely to be difficult to alter my now-deeplyimbedded character very much. So I guess I’ll just have to drive to raise the character of our financial sector and our society to a higher standard, yes, returning to my title, as I “aspire to build a better financial world.”