诺玛德投资合伙公司——年度信函(截至2009年12月31日)
兹拉卡里亚有限公司(Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.)
Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.
1a,伯恩索尔街,伦敦,英格兰 SW3 3SR 电话:+44 (0) 20 7101 1960 传真:+44 (0) 20 7101 1965
游牧投资基金合伙公司年度信函
截至 2009 年 12 月 31 日的年度
截至 2009 年 12 月 31 日 游牧投资合伙公司 MSCI 世界指数(净) 美元
追溯:
一年 +71.5% +30.0%
两年 -6.2% -22.9%
三年 +13.7% -16.0%
四年 +29.2% +0.9%
五年 +41.0% +10.5%
六年 +72.2% +26.7%
七年 +209.3% +68.7%
八年 +213.3% +35.1%
自成立以来(2001 年 9 月 10 日) +245.0% +40.0%
自成立以来年化
扣除业绩费前 +16.1%
扣除业绩费后 +13.7% +4.1%
以上数据未经审计,按累计基础列示,且一如既往为扣除费用前数据。我们如此列示结果,因为游牧基金的返还式业绩费及基于时间的业绩费门槛意味着,扣除所有费用后的结果因认购日期不同及投资者不同而有所差异。因此,尽管每位投资者投资游牧基金都会有其独特的扣除所有费用后的体验,但作为参考,我们也在背面详细列示了从某一时间点(此例为自成立以来)的扣除所有费用后的结果。表格中使用了一个指数,以便将我们的业绩与全球广泛股票价格进行对比。我们对我们所选指数的优劣并无强烈看法,合伙人们可能更愿意使用其他指数。无论用什么衡量标准,我们只要求将游牧基金的表现放在非常长的时间跨度内进行比较。以下,同样的扣除费用前结果按逐年增量列示。我们认为,上表对于评估长期投资业绩最为有用。
1a, Burnsall Street London England SW3 3SR T: +44 (0) 20 7101 1960 F: +44 (0) 20 7101 1965 Nomad Investment Partnership Annual Letter For the period ended December 31st 2009 To December 31st 2009 Nomad Investment MSCI World Partnership Index (net) US$ Trailing: One year +71.5% +30.0% Two years -6.2 -22.9 Three years +13.7 -16.0 Four years +29.2 +0.9 Five years +41.0 +10.5 Six years +72.2 +26.7 Seven years +209.3 +68.7 Eight years +213.3 +35.1 Since inception (Sept 10th 2001) +245.0 +40.0 Annualized since inception Before performance fees +16.1% After performance fees +13.7% +4.1% The figures above are unaudited, presented on a cumulative basis and, as ever, are before fees. We present results in this way as Nomad’s refundable performance fee and time dependent performance fee hurdle mean that the net-of-all-fees results will vary with subscription date and from investor to investor. Whilst investors will, therefore, have their own unique net-of-all fees experience of investing in Nomad, as a guide we have also detailed overleaf the net-of-all-fees result from one point in time, in this case since inception. An index is used in the table to place our results in context with a broad swathe of share prices from around the world. We do not feel strongly about the merits of the index we have chosen, and Partners may wish to use another. Whatever the yardstick, we ask only that Nomad be compared over the very long term. Below, the same pre-fee results are presented in discrete annual increments. In our opinion, it is the upper table that is most useful in assessing long term investment performance.
截至 12 月 31 日:游牧投资合伙公司 MSCI 世界指数(净) 美元
日历年度结果:
2009 年 +71.5% +30.0%
2008 年 -45.3% -40.7%
2007 年 +21.2% +9.0%
2006 年 +13.6% +20.1%
2005 年 +9.2% +9.5%
2004 年 +22.1% +14.7%
2003 年 +79.6% +33.1%
2002 年 +1.3% -19.9%
2001 年(2001 年 9 月 10 日成立) +10.1% +3.6%
新年一到,游牧基金就进入了运营的第十个日历年度。自我们成立以来,在成立之初投资于游牧基金的 1 美元,截至 1 月 1 日,扣除所有费用后已增值为 2.90 美元;而同期投资于普通股票(如上表指数所示)的 1 美元,则大约价值 1.40 美元。换句话说,净资产价值以每年 13.7% 的速度复利增长,而指数的年化收益率仅为 4.1%。
To December 31st : Nomad Investment MSCI World Partnership Index (net) US$ Calendar Year Results: 2009 +71.5% +30.0% 2008 -45.3 -40.7 2007 +21.2 +9.0 2006 +13.6 +20.1 2005 +9.2 +9.5 2004 +22.1 +14.7 2003 +79.6 +33.1 2002 +1.3 -19.9 2001 (inception Sept 10th 2001) +10.1 +3.6 The New Year brings Nomad’s tenth calendar year of operations. Since we began, a dollar invested in Nomad at inception has grown to be worth $2.90 net-of-all-fees as of January 1st, whilst a dollar invested over the same period in the average share, as reflected in the index above, would be worth around $1.40. Put another way, net asset value has compounded at 13.7% per annum, whilst the index has managed 4.1%.
信任与感谢!
Trust and Thank You!
每年 16%(即扣除费用前)的投资回报率,是在没有使用杠杆、衍生品、期权、卖空、差价合约、LYONs、PRIDES(我们可不是在编名字!)、TYGRs、STRYPES 或投资行业使用的任何其他奇异工具的情况下取得的,相反,它是以老式的方式——选股——实现的。然而,在选股方面,扎克和我并非孤军奋战。过去几年中有两件重要事件,你们,我们的合伙人们,为回报做出了重要贡献。第一件事是 2008 年初投票赞成游牧基金从爱尔兰证券交易所退市。这一动议使我们能够进行比以前大得多的单只公司投资。如今,净资产价值比如果我们的投资规模仍被官僚的一纸文件人为设限时要高出大约 20%。干得漂亮!
A sixteen percent per annum investment return (i.e. pre-fees) has been achieved without leverage, derivatives, options, selling short, contracts for difference, LYONs, PRIDES (a pride of lions, perhaps?), TYGRs, STRYPES (we are not making these names up) or any of the other exotica the investment industry uses but, instead, it has been achieved the old fashioned way, through stock-picking. However, Zak and I do not operate alone in our stock-picking efforts. There were two important events in the last few years where you, our Partners, meaningfully added to returns. The first was to vote in early 2008 for Nomad’s delisting from the Irish Stock Exchange. This motion allowed us to make much larger single-company investments than had been the case up to that point. Today, net asset value is approximately twenty percent greater than had the size of our investments remained artificially capped by the stroke of a bureaucrat’s pen. Bravo!
第二件事,去年你们没有赎回。仅此一举,至今带来的回报达到大约 70%(而且还在增加!)。信任别人并不容易,但即便如此,你们对我们的信任程度远超我所知的任何其他基金管理组织,我们对此深表感谢。请不要忽视你们这种冷静的影响力对游牧生态系统产生的效果。这些成绩,既是我们的,也是你们的。实际上,考虑到返还式业绩费账户对我们的长期投资者而言岌岌可危的余额,它们全是你们的!好吧,全部归你们,交换条件是每年约 20 个基点的管理费。真是划算的买卖。
Second, last year you did not redeem. The return to date from that action alone will be in the order of seventy percent (and counting!). Trusting people is not easy, but even so, you have trusted us far more than I am aware occurs at any other fund management organisation, and we thank you. Do not dismiss the effect your calming influence has on the Nomad ecosystem. These results are yours, as much as ours. Indeed, given the parlous balance of the refundable performance fee account for our long -erm investors, they are all yours! Well, all yours in exchange for around twenty basis points in management fee. Bargain.
尽管自夸可能很诱人,但在财富创造过程中,几乎全部的重担都是由我们投资的企业承担的。如果扎克和我在投资这场派对中带来了什么(我可能有点夸大其词),那就是比其他投资者更理性。至少,我们希望如此。反过来,你们的信任使我们能够投资于那些被许多人误解的公司。例如,我们投资于那些员工薪酬比竞争对手高出 80% 的公司(好市多);那些将降价作为信仰的公司(亚马逊);那些在崇尚“各凭本事”文化的行业中强制推行公平佣金分配的公司(米歇尔·佩奇);在由富人航空公司服务的地区为大众提供低成本航线的公司(亚洲航空);以及一家认为桌面微缩战棋游戏很酷的公司(游戏工坊)。这些公司在被外界误解的情况下仍能如此行事,这不是很美妙吗?所有的社会压力都会迫使他们遵从行业规范,但这些公司拥有深深的龙骨,使它们能够保持正直。
Even though it may be tempting to flatter oneself, it is the businesses we invest in that do almost all the heavy lifting in the wealth creating process. If Zak and I bring something to the investment party, and I may be stretching things a little here, it is to be more rational than other investors. At least, we hope that is the case. Your trust, in turn, allows us to invest in firms that are misunderstood by many. For example, we invest in firms that pay their employees 80% more than rival companies (Costco); firms that lower prices as an article of faith (Amazon.com); firms that force an equitable distribution of commissions in an industry dominated by an eat-what-you- kill culture (Michael Page); a low-cost airline for the masses in a region served by airlines for the rich (AirAsia); and a company that thinks table top figurine games are cool, really, (Games Workshop). Isn’t it wonderful that these firms are behaving in this way despite being misunderstood by the outside world? All the social pressure will be to conform with industry norm but these companies have a deep keel that keeps them upright.
你们的信任使我们能够犯错误(康塞科、福来特伍德企业——请别指出它们来自同一行业!),并能迅速改变想法而不用担心受到指责(MBIA);投资于卓越的企业(亚马逊、伯克希尔·哈撒韦、好市多等)和一般的企业(驿站集团、菲律宾豪瑞、美国石膏公司);进行高度集中的投资(驿站集团、亚马逊、米歇尔·佩奇)以及投资于几个小仓位的组合(津巴布韦的四家公司)。我们做这些事,是因为这样投资是理性的,而且如果我们的业绩可以作为指引的话,它是有效的!自成立以来的累计业绩,游牧基金在几乎所有同行团体排行榜中都会位居前列。
Your trust allows us to make mistakes (Conseco, Fleetwood Enterprises – please don’t point out they are from the same industry!) and change our mind quickly and without fear of rebuke (MBIA); invest in brilliant businesses (Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Costco et al) and so-so businesses (Stagecoach Group, Holcim Philippines, USG); invest with great concentration (Stagecoach, Amazon, Michael Page) and in baskets of several small holdings (four companies in Zimbabwe). We do these things because it is rational to invest that way and, if our results are a guide, it works! Nomad would be ranked in the top cohort of almost any peer group league table for our cumulative performance since inception.
当心你所期望的
在之前的信中,我们描述了游牧基金与投资行业在委托代理冲突(或其表现形式,如短期持股)上存在的分歧。我不想对此过多强调,部分原因是我认为我们并没有说出太多新意,而且我认为也理应让所谓的“专业基金管理行业”来为其做法辩护。确实,在我们看来,似乎是这个行业必须不断推出新事物才能让游戏继续下去:新基金、新产品、新投资故事、新的“一致”业绩费、新公司。每一个新事物又都伴随着大量的营销支持,也许是为了给这些新事物(相对于现已降格的旧事物)增添额外的动力。无论如何,这个行业多年来高声宣传的累积效应之一,就是将一些善意的概念提升到了行业教条的地位。这在一定程度上是通过排挤相反论点而实现的。例如,“专业化”和“多元化”是许多营销主张的核心,听起来既有益又谨慎,有点像母亲和苹果派那样。然而,这些观念如果走向极端,可能会适得其反。例如,在“零零年代”的抵押贷款市场中,一个广泛持有的观点是,通过“多元化”可以消除对信用度较低者进行“专业化”贷款的风险。这全是销售话术,但它起效了,部分原因是销售人员能够将其产品宣传为“安全”,因为专业化和多元化是那些容易受骗的投资者高度推崇的特性。结果证明是虚假的特性,因为这些产品并未实现多元化,而且其复杂性使得它们几乎无法分析。确实够“专业”!一个万亿美元的“当心你所期望的”案例。这种伎俩并非仅存在于信贷市场:许多股票投资组合也是用类似原则构建的。
Careful what you wish for In previous letters we have described the split that exists between Nomad’s approach and that of the industry in terms of the principal-agent conflict, or manifestations thereof, such as short investment holding periods. I don’t want to make too much of these as, in part, I do not think we are saying much that is new and I think it should also fall on the so-called “professional fund management industry” to defend its practices. Indeed, it seems to us that it is the industry that has to constantly say something new to keep the game going: new funds, new products, new investment stories, new “aligned” performance fees, new firms. Each new new thing is in turn supported with lots of marketing, perhaps in an attempt to give the new things extra oomph over the, now demoted, old things. At any rate, one cumulative effect of years of the industry’s shouted marketing claims has been to elevate well-meaning concepts to the status of industry dogma. In part, this happens through the crowding out of contrary argument. For example, “specialisation” and “diversification” are at the heart of many marketing claims and sound wholesome and prudent enough, a little like motherhood and apple pie. However, such notions, if run to extremes, can be counter- productive. For example, a widely held view in the noughties mortgage market was that the risk of “specialised” lending to the less credit-worthy could be removed through “diversification”. It was all sales talk, but it worked, in part, as the salesmen were able to promote their products as “safe” because specialisation and diversification were traits so highly prized by the rube investor. False traits, it turned out, as the products were not diversified and their complexity made them all but un-analysable. Specialised indeed! A U$1 trillion case of ‘careful what you wish for’. Such a ruse does not just exist in the credit markets: many equity portfolios are constructed using similar principles.
更衣室文化
这些新事物的构建者和销售者的态度,可能类似于查理·芒格所说的“更衣室文化”。这是一种参与者只需获胜,而对获胜手段不怎么敏感的态度。如果获胜对某些人来说意味着确保比其他人获得更高的奖金,那么在抵押贷款市场的案例中,任何能让人们购买昂贵纸面资产的方法都是可以的,后果去他的。这是一种骄傲、操控性、计分导向的心态,表现在生活的方方面面,但在华尔街可能尤其明显,尽管一些推销员、运动员、首席执行官、政客、军阀和对冲基金经理显然也未能豁免。这或许是当代主导性的、追求进步的心态,其本质聚焦于生动、短期的产出。通过走捷径达成的销售目标和利润率,最终可能毫无价值,但它们可以在一段时间内迷惑人,而这正是它们对更衣室群体的价值所在。
The Locker Room Culture The attitude of the builders and sellers of these new things may be akin to what Charlie Munger called the “locker room culture”. This is an attitude whereby the players just have to win, and they are not too squeamish about the means. And if winning, for some, meant securing a bigger bonus than others, then, in the case of the mortgage market, any way to get people to buy expensive paper was just fine, and to hell with the consequences. This is a proud, manipulative, points-scoring orientation that manifests itself in all walks of life, but may be especially evident on Wall Street, although some salesmen, sportsmen, chief executives, politicians, warlords and hedge fund types are notably not exempt. It is perhaps the dominant, get-ahead mindset of our times and it is inherently focused on vivid, short term outputs. Sales targets and profit margins achieved through cutting corners may be inherently worthless in the end, but they can dazzle for a while, and that is their value to the locker room set.
老实说,我们都曾被不择手段的推销员及其短期承诺欺骗过。这或许也是成长的一部分。扎克和我肯定曾拿着订单簿和笔,准备响应那些明确承诺收入和利润率目标的企业,而没有真正考虑这些目标将如何实现或是否可持续。哦,天哪!更衣室群体一比零领先。但最终,更衣室文化及其不惜一切代价获胜的罪恶和愚蠢,对我们所有人造成了巨大的伤害。
If we are honest, we have all been tricked by the unscrupulous salesman and his short-term promises. It is, perhaps, part of growing up. Zak and I have certainly responded, with order sheet and pen at the ready, to firms that have explicitly promised revenue and margins targets, without really considering how those targets were to be earned or whether they were sustainable. Oh dear! One-nil to the locker room set. In the end though, the sin and folly of the locker room culture, with its win at any costs attitude, does huge damage to us all.
关于为何更衣室心态在上市公司中存在,已有很多论述。然而,有趣的是,迄今为止的评论几乎都在对股东表现出顺从,将股东更多地描绘成丑闻的受害者,而非自身不幸的播种者。我们持相反观点:如果一家上市公司的股东基础主要由,比如说,寻求短期业绩的共同基金主导,那么它们在其投资中也将寻求同样的东西。因此,在由销售团队控制的共同基金的直接商业诉求与,比如说,一家需要实现盈利的消费品公司之间,可能会形成一种奇怪的契约。双方都会关心短期产出,并会从长期中提取所需以满足自身需求。所有各方都必然会否认情况如此,至少对他们的客户是这样,但我们想问:激励机制是如何一致的呢?我们认为,不仅公司会得到它们应得的投资者,而且投资者也会得到他们应得的公司。
A great deal has been penned on why the locker room mindset exists in listed businesses. However, it is interesting that the commentary has, to date, been almost deferential towards shareholders, who are cast more as victims of scandals rather than sowers of their own misfortune. We would argue a contrary view: if the shareholder base of a listed firm is dominated by, say, mutual funds that, in turn, are seeking short term performance, then that too will be what they will seek in their investments. An odd pact may, therefore, develop between the immediate business imperatives of the salesforce-controlled mutual fund and, say, the consumer goods company with earnings to hit. Both parties will care for short term outputs and will take from the long-term to meet their needs. All parties will invariably be in denial that this is the case, at least to their clients but, we ask, how are the incentives aligned? We would argue that not only do companies get the investors they deserve, but investors also get the companies they deserve.
糟糕的东西引来糟糕的东西,如此而已。
Schlock begets schlock, as it were.
身处泡沫之中,许多参与者很难看清这一点。作家厄普顿·辛克莱在评论商人的态度时——几乎恰好比当前信贷危机早一百年——说得很准确:“当一个人的薪水(或奖金)取决于他不理解某件事时,让他理解这件事是很困难的。”因此,这种心态很普遍,因为它短期内有利可图。但这并不能让它成为正确的事,也不能让它在长期内盈利。
Operating inside the bubble, it is hard for many participants to see this. The author Upton Sinclair, commenting on the attitude of businessmen and almost one hundred years to the day before the current credit crisis, had it about right, “it is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary (or bonus) depends on his not understanding it”. So, the mindset is prevalent because it pays in the short term. But this does not make it the right thing to do, nor does it make it profitable over the long-term.
做正确的事,而不是做讨好的事 扎克和我更偏爱另一种做法。我们会说,更衣室行为更有可能被有耐心的、运用常识的通才投资者发现,因为跳出泡沫有助于看清泡沫。如果投资者准备进行有意义的长期投资,这也能帮助其思考,因为这打破了推销员(坦白说,也包括我们头脑里的那个推销员!)那种快进快出、一夜暴富的魔咒。我们反对更衣室心态的态度,得到了 Nomad 投资的一家公司创始人的回应。他在一次私下会议中这样说:“如果你想成功,而我们的确想,那么你就必须愿意被误解,去做那些对大多数人来说似乎不合理的事情。”例如,“如果你(员工)早上进办公室时想的是如何击败行业第一、第二或第三”——我们听过多少公司这样表述?——“那么,我们公司不适合你。我们从客户出发,反向工作。”哦,甜美的甘露!他接着说,与其以别人的做法为标准,公司从对现状的“神圣不满”中受益,这让同事保持警觉,公司不断改进,无论竞争对手在做什么。换句话说,他的公司有一个内部指南针,真北指向对客户有利的方向。
Doing what is right rather than what plays well Zak and I far prefer a different approach. We would argue that locker room behaviour is more likely to be spotted by patient, generalist investors deploying common sense, as it helps to be outside the bubble to see the bubble. It may also aid one’s thinking if the investor is prepared to make a meaningful, long term investment as this breaks the in-out, get-rich-quick spell of the salesman (and, let’s face it, the salesman in one’s own head!). Our anti-locker room disposition was echoed by the founder of one of Nomad’s investee firms, who, in a private meeting, put it as follows: “if you want to be successful, and we do, then you have to be willing to be misunderstood, and do things that do not seem sensible to most people”. For example, “if you (employees) come into the office in the morning thinking how you are going to beat number one, two or three in the industry” - how many times have we heard companies articulate that view? - “then, our firm is the wrong place for you. We start with the customer and work backwards.” Oh, sweet nectar! He continued that rather than set your standards by what others do, the firm benefited from a “divine discontent” with the status quo, which kept colleagues on their toes and the firm improving, irrespective of what the competition were doing. In other words, his company had an internal compass with true north pointing to what was right for the customer.
这种取向让我们觉得是更衣室心态的对立面。
This orientation strikes us as the antithesis of the locker room set.
品格作为降低再投资风险的方式 根据我们在面试公司中的成功率,扎克和我粗略估计,只有不到 5% 的上市公司做他们认为正确的事,而不是做他们认为能讨好外界(媒体、华尔街、投资者)的事。即便如此,Nomad 绝大多数投资的公司都长期做正确的事。但我怀疑我们对这类人有一种偏好。这引出了今天 Nomad 的一个重要特征,我们希望它能在未来数年影响业绩。
Character as a way of reducing reinvestment risk Judging by our hit rate with companies interviewed, Zak and I would guestimate that fewer than five percent of publicly listed firms do what they think is right, rather than what they think plays well with the outside world (media, Wall Street, investors). Even so, the vast majority of Nomad’s firms do what is right long term. But I suspect we have a predilection for such people. Which brings us on to an important characteristic of Nomad today that we hope will affect results for years to come.
作为投资者,大致有两种行为方式。第一种:买进某种便宜货,预期价格上涨,获利卖出,然后重复。几乎每个人都在某种程度上这样做。对于某些基金经理来说,根据投资组合中的股票数量和持有时间,这可能需要每年做出数百个决策。第二种:以合理价格买入优秀企业的股票,让企业成长。这看起来只需要一个决定(买入股票),但事实上,它还需要每天决定不卖出股票!几乎没有人这样做,部分原因是它需要耐心——而更衣室心态的人没有耐心——也因为不活跃是高收费的敌人。
There are, broadly, two ways to behave as an investor. First, buy something cheap in anticipation of a rise in price, sell at a profit, and repeat. Almost everybody does this to some extent. And for some fund managers it requires, depending upon the number of shares in a portfolio and the time they are held, perhaps many hundred decisions a year. Alternatively, the second way to invest is to buy shares in a great business at a reasonable price and let the business grow. This appears to require just one decision (to buy the shares) but, in reality, it requires daily decisions not to sell the shares as well! Almost no one does this, in part because it requires patience - and the locker room set does not do patience - but also because inactivity is the enemy of high fees.
无论看起来如何,扎克和我正朝着不活跃的方向漂移,至少以我们行业的标准来看是这样。正如我们在之前的信中所阐述的,部分原因是,通过间接——以及不那么间接(!)——的经验,我们意识到自己懂得并不多。我们当然对数百只股票没有看法,至少没有那种我们会投入资金的看法。第二,我们学到,或者说更确切地认识到,一家公司的品格——也就是抵抗更衣室诱惑的能力——远比我们最初意识到的要重要。这是一个重要的洞见。从长远来看,这可能就是一切。注意,Nomad 绝大部分投资于具有卓越品格的企业。
Regardless of how it may appear, Zak and I are drifting toward inactivity, at least as judged by our industry. As we have set out in earlier letters, in part this is because we realise through vicarious, and not so vicarious (!), experience that we do not know that much. We certainly do not have an opinion on many hundred shares, at least, not an opinion in which we would invest money. Second, we have learned or, rather, come to appreciate, that the character of a firm - call it the ability to resist locker room temptation - is far more important than first we realised. This is an important insight. In the long run it may be all that matters. And note, Nomad is overwhelmingly invested in businesses of great character.
第三,如果我们的企业能够成功成长,而我们又能抵制住折腾的诱惑,那么我们就可以有意义地降低大量买卖股票所固有的再投资风险。最后,优秀企业一直在“打折销售”,在我们看来,这是信贷危机期间的投资机会。一年前我们写信给你时说:“也许感觉不像,但对长期投资者来说,这是最好的时代,而不是最坏的时代……振作起来,放眼远方。”今天,我们拥有一个由卓越、特立独行的企业组成的投资组合,我们可以持有多年。
Third, if our firms can successfully grow, and we can resist the temptation to fiddle, then we can meaningfully reduce the reinvestment risk embedded in lots of share buying and selling. Finally, great businesses have been “on sale” and were, in our opinion, the investment opportunity of the credit crisis period. When we wrote to you a year ago, we said, “It may not feel like it but for a long term investor this is the best of times not the worst…Take heart and look to the horizon.” Today we have a portfolio of exceptional, iconoclastic businesses that we could own for many years.
这是投资的天堂。
This is investment heaven.
祝愿你在新的十年里非常成功。
We wish you a very successful new decade.
此致,尼古拉斯·斯利普 “此处无欺诈” 我们听说,印度某火车站有一个售票亭,窗口上方写着“此处无欺诈”。我们本着同样的精神写下这些警示语。免责声明归结为以下陈述——如果你选择相信其中的任何内容,那么后果自负。我们也很难逃避这一结论,对我们来说,除了不承担错误、遗漏的责任,不提供任何担保之外,做任何其他事情都没有什么意义——请检查我们所说的一切,当我们出错时告诉我们,并原谅我们的错误。我们向你保证:我们是人,我们犯错,但我们的错误,我们希望,是诚实的错误。虽然我们无意误导,但我们也不能保证这些信件中的信息,或者我们的一些想法可能以我们未曾预料的方式被解读。作为投资者,我们正在尽力做好工作,我们本着诚意撰写这些信件,旨在告知和教育投资者我们在合伙背景下的行动和思考。我们希望读者能以与撰写时同样的精神来阅读。作为作者,我们主张我们的版权。然而,我们也理解我们的信件会被传阅。我们只要求你在引用时注明出处。
Yours sincerely, Nicholas Sleep Our Footnotes - “No Bamboozlement Here” There is, we are told, a ticket kiosk at a railway station somewhere in India with a sign above the window that reads, “No Bamboozlement Here”. It is in the same spirit that we attempt these cautionary words. Disclaimers boil down to the following statement – if you choose to believe any of this, then you are on your own. It will be hard for us to escape this conclusion too, and it makes little sense for us to do anything but dis claim liability for errors, omissions and offer no warranties – please, check everything we say, let us know when we are wrong and forgive our errors. We do promise you this: we are human, we make mistakes, but our mistakes, we hope, are honest mistakes. Although we do not intend to mislead, we also cannot guarantee the information in these letters, or that some of our ideas may be interpreted in ways we do not intend. As investors we are trying to do as good as job as we can and we write these letters in good faith to inform and educate investors on our actions and thinking in the context of the Partnership. We hope that they will be read in the same spirit in which they are written. As authors we assert our copyright. However, we also understand that our l etters are passed on. We ask only that you attribute our work to us.
常识告诉你,股票的价格和价值可能相差很大,虽然我们不追求这个,但我们也认识到,资本永久性减值是可能的。我们的基金是集中的,也许比许多其他基金更集中,因此我们的业绩将比许多同行波动更大。Nomad 也是一个非常长期的基金。我们认为它不适合持有期不足五年的投资者。我们也不认为 Nomad 适合那些在委托代理问题上过度纠结的投资者。如果你有任何不适,那么 Nomad 不适合你。
Common sense tells you that the price and value of shares can vary greatly, and whilst we do not aim for this, we also recognize that permanent impairment of capital is possible. Our fun d is concentrated, perhaps more than many other funds, and as such our results will be more volatile than many of our peers. Nomad is also a very long term fund. We do not think it is suitable for those with time frames less than five years. We also do not think Nomad is suitable for investors overly conflicted with principal-agent issues. If you are at all uncomfortable, then Nomad is not for you.
Nomad 投资合伙有两个普通合伙人:从 2001 年成立到 2006 年 9 月期间的马拉松资产管理公司,以及从 2006 年 9 月至今的斯利普·扎卡里亚有限公司。扎克和我自成立以来一直负责合伙的投资管理,先是作为马拉松的员工,后来在我们自己的公司,这家公司就是为了管理 Nomad 而设立的。冒险还在继续…… 法律附注 业绩数据由 Nomad 的管理人 Phoenix Fund Services 编制,并在其年度审计中由安永会计师事务所审计,该审计在我们信件发布后进行。
The Nomad Investment Partnership has had two General Partners, Marathon Asset Management for the period from inception in 2001 to September 2006, and Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd. from September 2006 until the present day. Zak and I have been responsible for the investment management of the Partnership since inception, formerly as employees of Marathon and then at our own firm, which was set up for the purpose of managing Nomad. The adventure continues… Legal Footnotes Performance numbers are produced by Phoenix Fund Services, Nomad’s administrator, and are audited by Ernst and Young in their annual audit, which follows publication of our letters.
在我们的信件中,我们将合伙的有限合伙人和 Nomad 投资公司(Feeder Fund)的普通股东都称为“合伙人”。我们这样做是为了传达我们寻求的一种关系,在这种关系中,我们的投资者是共享经历和命运的合伙人,他们也有贡献。我们并非暗示在 Feeder Fund 的股东与 Nomad 或斯利普·扎卡里亚有限公司之间存在严格法律意义上的合伙关系。
In our letters we refer to both limited partners in the Partnership, and common shareholders in the Nomad Investment Company (feeder fund) as “Partners”. We do this to convey a relationship we seek in which our investors are partners in a shared experience and destiny, in which they too have something to contribute. We do not mean to suggest that there is a partnership, in the strict, legal, sense of the word, between the shareholders in the feeder fund and Nomad, or Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.
本文件由斯利普·扎卡里亚有限公司发布,该公司由金融服务管理局(FSA)授权并监管(编号 451772)。本文件仅发送给有兴趣接收的人士,不得进一步分发。本通讯仅针对并仅面向以下人士:(a) 英国境外人士;(b) 2005 年《金融服务与市场法 2000(金融推广)令》第 19(5) 条所定义的专业投资者;(c) 该法令第 49(2) (a) 和 (d) 条所述的高净值公司、非法人协会、合伙以及高价值信托的受托人,以及该法令第 49(1) 条范围内其他可合法接收该通讯的人士。Nomad 投资合伙并非《金融服务与市场法 2000》(FSMA)项下的认可计划。鉴于 Nomad 投资者基础的性质,向 FSA 和金融服务补偿计划追索的权利可能受限。注册办公地址:1a, Burnsall Street, London, SW3 3SR, England。© 斯利普·扎卡里亚有限公司
This document is issued by Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd., which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) (No. 451772). This document is only sent to people who have an interest in receiving it and is not for onward distribution. This communication is being made only to and is directed only at: (a) persons outside the United Kingdom; (b) investment professionals, as defined in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Order"); or (c) high net worth companies, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) (a) and (d) of the Order, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order. The Nomad Investment Partnership is not a recognized scheme under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”). Given the nature of Nomad’s investor base, recourse to the FSA and the Financial Services Compensation Scheme may be limited. Registered office: 1a, Burnsall Street, London, SW3 3SR, England. © Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.