《每日电讯报》|英国与迫在眉睫的欧元区灾难隔绝

2011 · 文章 · 原文约 573 词
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这次否决的直接导火索是,其他欧盟领导人(实际上是德国和法国)拒绝提供他所要求的保障,即他们不会实施对英国金融服务业产生不利影响的监管和税收改革。

The immediate cause of this was that the other EU leaders (in reality Germany and France) refused to give the safeguards that he demanded that they would not impose regulatory and tax changes which would adversely affect the UK’s financial services sector.

他没有别的选择。金融服务在英国经济中的重要性远超其在任何一个欧洲国家。

He had no choice. Financial services are a far more vital part of the UK’s economy than they are of any European country.

伦敦金融城为全球很大一部分地区提供服务,而金融服务是英国在就业、税收和出口方面最大的产业。

The City provides services to a large part of the world, and financial services are our biggest sector for employment, taxes and exports.

欧盟,尤其是德国和法国,对此地位颇为嫉妒。他们想尽可能多地把这些业务吸引到法兰克福和巴黎,因此提议出台监管措施,将所谓场外交易产品(如外汇和债券)的市场转移到德意志交易所和泛欧交易所等交易所。欧元区领导人同样害怕这些市场,因为它们是最后一道能让他们承担责任的机制。

The EU, and Germany and France in particular, envy that position. They would like to divert as much of that activity as they could to Frankfurt and Paris, hence the proposed regulations to move the markets in so-called Over the Counter Products such as foreign exchange, and bonds onto exchanges, like Deutsche Borse and Euronext.The eurozone leaders also fear the markets because they are the last thing which holds them to account.

由于欧元区国家预算赤字庞大,它们不得不对债券市场负责,而后者如今拒绝提供资金。

Because the eurozone countries are running such large budget deficits they are answerable to the bond markets which are now refusing to supply those funds.

欧盟当局试图通过禁止卖空等手段来压制市场,这分明是想要“杀掉报信人”,但只要这些市场仍在伦敦运营并接受伦敦的监管,这些手段就毫无效力。

The attempts by the EU authorities to silence the markets by devices such as bans on short selling are a clean sign of their wish to shoot the messenger, but they are ineffective whilst those market are in and regulated from London.

工党的道格拉斯·亚历山大等批评者告诉我们,此举使英国在欧洲陷入孤立。如果欧元到目前为止没有被证明是一场彻头彻尾的灾难,而且最近这次看似无休止的峰会系列中没有任何迹象表明情况会改变,这或许才值得担忧。

We are told by critics like Labour’s Douglas Alexander that this move has left Britain isolated from Europe. This might be worrying if it were not for the fact so far the Euro has proven to be an unmitigated disaster and there is nothing from this latest in the seemingly endless series of summits to suggest that this will change.

我们被告知,条约修改的全部意义在于确保有一个中央权威机构,能够保证未来欧元区国家不会再积累像现在这样的债务。

We are told that the whole point of the treaty changes was to ensure that there was some central authority which would ensure that, in future, eurozone countries cannot run up the sort of debts which they now have.

难道我们没有已经有过这样的规则吗?就是《马斯特里赫特条约》中那个具有讽刺意味的“增长与稳定公约”,但它被无视了。

Didn’t we already have such rules in the ironically named Growth and Stability Pact enshrined in the Maastricht Treaty which were disregarded?

引入新规则让我想起前工党政府处理持刀犯罪的方式,那就是通过越来越多的立法(1997 年和 2007 年)。持刀伤人本来就是非法的,需要的其实是执法。

Introducing new rules strikes me as like the former Labour government’s approach to knife crime, which was to pass more and more legislation (in 1997 and 2007). Stabbing people was already illegal, what was required was some enforcement.

欧元区情况相同——峰会协议中已经出现了关于限制“结构性”赤字的含糊措辞。当你入不敷出时,就是赤字。什么叫结构性赤字?我怀疑这是一种机制,确保在超限时不会受到惩罚。

The same is true of the eurozone - already there are weasel words in the summit agreement about limiting 'structural’ deficits. When you spend more than your income, it’s a deficit. What’s a structural deficit? I suspect it’s a device to ensure there is no penalty when you exceed the limit.

峰会协议还提到为救助基金注资,并向国际货币基金组织提供资金,再由其将钱贷回给欧元区。这完全是循环操作。如果你支出超过收入,终有一天需要第三方借钱给你。

The summit agreement also talks about funding a bailout fund and sending money to the IMF for them to lend to back to the eurozone. This is all circular. If you are spending more than your income, at some point you need some third party to lend you money.

最后,无论是这次峰会还是以往任何一次峰会,都未曾试图解决欧元根子上的根本缺陷:希腊、葡萄牙、西班牙、意大利、爱尔兰,甚至法国,都无法在与德国的货币联盟中让自己的经济具备竞争力。

And finally, neither this summit nor any of the others has even sought to address the underlying flaw at the root of the Euro: Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Ireland and even France, cannot make their economies competitive in a currency union with Germany.

所以,英国被隔绝于一场即将到来的灾难之外:欧元区将走向分裂,各国退出,债务违约。这就好比泰坦尼克号起航前,一个没能上船的人——他反而是安全了。

So all the UK is isolated from is an impending disaster: the eurozone will fragment with countries leaving and debt defaults. It is like being as isolated as a man who failed to get onto the Titanic before it sailed.

Terry Smith

Terry Smith

The Telegraph

The Telegraph