首席投资官致经理关于气候变化的信函,2014年8月27日(大卫·斯文森签署)

2014 · 书信 · 原文约 558 词
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首席投资官致经理们的信 2014 年 8 月 27 日

我写这封信是为了讨论气候变化与耶鲁的投资计划。投资办公室对全球变暖的处理方式基于这样一个结论:温室气体排放对人类生存构成了严重威胁。气候变化(由森林砍伐以及二氧化碳、甲烷及其他气体的排放所导致)既给世界生态系统带来重大变化的风险,也给应对这些变化的行动带来风险,因此在评估投资机会时,必须考虑气候变化的影响。

Chief Investment Officer Letter to Managers August 27, 2014 I write to discuss climate change and Yale’s investment program. The Investments Office bases its approach to global warming on the conclusion that greenhouse gas emissions pose a grave threat to human existence. Climate change (caused by deforestation and emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and other gases) creates a substantial risk of significant changes to the world’s ecosystem and from actions to address those changes, making consideration of the impact of climate change essential when evaluating investment opportunities.

耶鲁大学要求,在代表该校进行投资决策时,你需评估潜在投资的温室气体足迹、气候变化后果对预期回报的直接影响,以及旨在减少温室气体排放的政策对预期回报的成本。简言之,温室气体足迹相对较小的投资,将比天然气足迹相对较大的投资更具优势。

Yale asks that when making investment decisions on the University’s behalf, you assess the greenhouse gas footprint of prospective investments, the direct costs of the consequences of climate change on expected returns, and the costs of policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions on expected returns. Simply put, those investments with relatively small greenhouse gas footprints will be advantaged relative to those investments with relatively large greenhouse gas footprints.

对温室气体排放的内部和外部成本进行全面核算,将会对一些投资的商业模式提出质疑,这需要格外审慎的考量。如今,相关例子包括动力煤生产商、油砂开采企业、依赖廉价煤电的公司以及低洼沿海地区的房地产。当然,需要特别关注的投资清单,将随那些商业模式依赖外部性错误定价的投资群体变化而不断更新。

A full accounting of the internal and external costs of greenhouse gas emissions will call into question the business models of some investments, which will require especially careful consideration. Today, examples include thermal coal producers, tar sands operations, companies that rely on cheap power from coal and low lying coastal real estate. Of course, the list of investments requiring special consideration will change along with changes in the population of investments with business models that rely on mispriced externalities.

相反,全面为温室气体排放产生的外部性定价,会创造盈利机会。举例来说,包括生产可再生能源的公司,以及那些能够促进需求转移或以其他方式推动能源高效利用的产品。

Conversely, fully pricing the externalities created by greenhouse gas emissions will create opportunities for profit. Examples include companies that produce renewable energy and products that facilitate demand shifting or otherwise promote efficient use of energy.

关于公司实体投资的具体案例,在考虑气候变化的影响时,耶鲁大学希望你们与公司管理层讨论气候变化的财务风险,以及当前和未来政府减排温室气体政策的财务影响。你们应鼓励管理层通过减少温室气体排放来降低财务风险、提高财务回报。耶鲁大学要求你们避开那些拒绝承认气候变化的社会与财务成本、且未能采取经济上合理的措施来减少温室气体排放的公司。

With respect to the particular case of investments in corporate entities, as you consider the implications of climate change, Yale expects you to discuss with company managements the financial risks of climate change and the financial implications of current and prospective government policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. You should encourage managements to mitigate financial risks and to increase financial returns by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Yale asks you to avoid companies that refuse to acknowledge the social and financial costs of climate change and that fail to take economically sensible steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

应对气候变化的政府政策将给许多投资带来成本,尤其是那些温室气体足迹相对较高的投资。如果世界各国实施反映温室气体排放真实成本的定价方案,并且你在投资决策中恰当考量温室气体排放的成本和风险,耶鲁大学的投资将能够从容应对一个更具前瞻性的监管环境。另一方面,即使政府采取并不完善的温室气体排放控制政策,通过考量这些政策对投资组合的财务影响,大学的处境也将得到保障。即便缺乏有效的政府政策来减少温室气体排放,你对气候变化成本和风险的审慎考虑,也应当能够引导你做出更明智的投资决策。

Government policies addressing climate change will impose costs on many investments, especially those with relatively high greenhouse gas footprints. If countries around the world implement pricing schemes that reflect the true costs of greenhouse gas emissions and if in your investment decisions you properly account for the costs and risks of greenhouse gas emissions, Yale’s investments will be well positioned to deal with a more enlightened regulatory environment. On the other hand, even if governments adopt imperfect policies to control greenhouse gas emissions, the University’s position will be protected by accounting for the financial impact of these policies on portfolio investments. Even in the absence of effective government policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, your consideration of the costs and risks of climate change should lead you to better investment decisions.

分析投资活动相关的温室气体排放绝非易事,且充满挑战。与投资分析的所有方面一样,决策将基于不完整、不完美的信息。即便如此,考虑气候变化相关风险,应能带来更高质量的投资组合。

Analyzing the greenhouse gas emissions associated with investments is far from simple and fraught with challenges. As in all aspects of investment analysis, decisions will be based on incomplete, imperfect information. That said, consideration of the risks associated with climate change should produce higher quality portfolios.

如需任何疑问或意见,请随时与我联系。

Please contact me with any questions or comments.

诚挚的,大卫·斯文森 首席投资官

Sincerely, David Swensen Chief Investment Officer