橡树资本十年
Memo to:
Memo to:
Oaktree Clients
Oaktree Clients
From:
From:
Howard Marks
Howard Marks
Re:
Re:
橡树资本十年
Oaktree at Ten
橡树资本管理有限责任公司于十年前,即 1995 年 4 月 10 日开门营业。那一天是朝着创始人们梦想迈出的第一步,我们所有同事都拥抱并实践了这一梦想。仿佛真是一眨眼,我们就迎来了十周年,我写这封信是为了分享我们对第一个十年的看法。
优先事项——橡树资本创立之初,没有预算、利润预测或商业计划。相反,它建立在投资哲学和一套商业原则之上。当我们创办橡树资本时,许多人问起我们的动机。我们告诉他们,原因很简单:我们想要一家以我们自己的方式运营的公司。构成“我们的方式”的那些东西,在我们脑海中萦绕多年,也是无数次共同交谈的话题。剩下的只是将它们写下来并付诸实践。
正如你们已经听得不胜其烦,我们选择将橡树资本管理资金的方法建立在一个简单的座右铭上:“如果我们避开输家,赢家自然会照顾好自己。”因此,我们努力构建投资组合,使我们在预期未能完全实现时也能获得可接受的表现,同时如果预期实现,则存在上行惊喜的可能性。我们努力在顺境时跟上市场回报,在逆境时明显做得更好——这听起来简单,实则不然。我们选择只在低效市场运作,投资组合严格遵循其章程。我们的每个投资组合都由专注于该市场领域的人员组成——他们努力工作,以求比其他人更了解公司、行业和证券,并且他们认识到,在宏观预测和市场择时方面无法获得优势。因此,我们的投资哲学为橡树资本的人们提供了清晰的指南。
同样重要的是我们的经营实践。这里的概念甚至更简单,但同样有用:投资决策基于对专属研究的大量投入。利益冲突每次都以客户利益为先。薪酬安排将我们的利益与客户的利益绑定。完全诚实的沟通,以及明确拒绝淡化坏消息。只有在风险可控的情况下才增加新策略。1995 年,我们写道:“公司的盈利能力必须源于做好以上所有事情……如果我们实现卓越投资,我们的收益就应该增长……但仅此而已。”近年来,我们都看到过一些实例,将收取资产置于为客户表现之上——而头条新闻便是这种做法的可悲见证。我很自豪地说,橡树资本对客户利益始终如一的追求从未受到质疑。
我们在 1995 年春天发布了我们的指导原则,此后实际上一个字都没改过(除了增加了橡树资本新策略的标准)。当我们进入第二个十年时,我们认为这些原则对未来同样适用,正如它们在过去一样。
Oaktree Capital Management, LLC opened its doors ten years ago, on April 10, 1995. That day represented a first step toward the founders’ dream, which all of our colleagues embraced and implemented. In what truly feels like the blink of an eye, we’ve reached our tenth anniversary, and I’m writing to share our view of that first decade. Priorities – Oaktree didn’t start with a budget, a profit projection or a business plan. Rather, it was built on an investment philosophy and a set of business principles. When we started Oaktree, many people asked us about our motivation. We told them it was simple: we wanted a firm that would run our way. The things that constituted “our way” had been rattling around in our heads for many years and were the topic of many shared conversations. All that remained was to write them down and put them to work. As you’ve heard ad nauseum, we chose to base Oaktree’s approach to money management on a simple motto: “if we avoid the losers, the winners will take care of themselves.” Thus we’ve endeavored to build portfolios that would give us acceptable performance if our expectations weren’t fully realized, combined with the possibility of surprises on the upside if they were. We’ve strived to match market returns in good times and do markedly better in bad times – something that may sound simple but isn’t. We chose to work in inefficient markets only, with portfolios that stick closely to their charter. Each of our portfolios is staffed by people dedicated to that market sector – who work hard to know more than others about companies, industries and securities, and who realize they can’t get an edge with regard to macro forecasts and market timing. Thus our investment philosophy has provided a clear set of guideposts for Oaktree’s people. Equally important have been our business practices. Here the concepts are even simpler, but no less helpful: Portfolio decisions based on substantial investment in proprietary research. Conflicts of interest resolved in favor of the client every time. Compensation arrangements that align our interests with those of our clients. Thoroughly truthful communications and a pronounced refusal to downplay bad news. New strategies added only if they can be executed with risk under control. In 1995, we wrote that “The firm’s profitability must stem from doing all the above. . . . Our earnings should grow if we achieve excellence in investing . . . but only then.” We’ve all seen instances in recent years when gathering assets was accorded a higher priority than performing for clients – and headlines that were sad testimony to the result. I’m proud to say Oaktree’s single-minded pursuit of its clients’ interests has never been questioned. We published our guiding principles in the spring of 1995 and literally haven’t changed a word since (other than to add the criteria for new Oaktree strategies). And as we head into the second decade, we consider them just as applicable to the future as they have been in the past.
2005 橡树资本管理,有限合伙
2005 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
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客户——我们一开始就感觉到,如果我们遵守之前遵循的规则,并交付同样水平的表现,其余的事情自然会水到渠成:我们将拥有一家成功的公司。幸运的是,事情正是如此。
我们对能够称其为客户的投资者素质感到欣喜——“金边”这个词似乎难以避免:截至 2004 年底,美国最大的 50 家企业养老金计划中有 24 家是我们的客户。50 个州中有 22 个州的养老基金(外加许多县、市以及警察和消防部门)。81 家学院和大学捐赠基金。许多世界领先的慈善基金会和最为精明的保险公司。一只先锋共同基金。以及日益增长的高净值投资者群体。这里有一个事实供你参考:根据《养老金与投资》杂志的数据,在对不良债务承诺最大的 25 个养老金计划中(我们认为这是投资成熟度的良好指标),有 23 个参与了至少一项橡树资本策略。橡树资本的客户名单代表了对我们作为投资专业人士努力的最大认可。而且这个名单每年都在扩大。事实上,我们认为,大多数有十年历史的资金管理公司,如果其客户群仅仅相当于橡树资本在典型一年内新增的账户数量,它们就会非常满意。
比客户数量更重要的是关系的质量。许多人已成为真正的合作伙伴,他们热情欢迎我们,对我们的提议持善意怀疑态度,当我们说某事属实时会相信我们,提供宝贵的建议,并不断扩大与我们合作的范围。因此,平均而言,我们最大的 20 个客户关系中,每个都涵盖了橡树资本 12 项策略中的 4 项以上。客户对我们的接纳,确实是我们满足感的最大来源之一。
表现——当然,我们意识到这些关系仅部分源于客户喜欢我们这些人或认同我们的理念。没有表现,我们将一事无成。因此,我们自豪地说,我们已经实现了最初设定的目标。我们很乐意每年都交付出色的业绩,但这根本不可能。相反,简而言之,我们的目标是消除灾难,这样每一年要么是好年景,要么是大好年景。如果一家资金管理公司除了每年至少提供体面的回报外什么也做不了,它肯定会有出色的长期记录。我真的可以说我的同事们做到了这一点,而且自橡树资本开业以来,我们每年都为我们全体客户赚了钱。
包括我们在 TCW 度过的时光,我们有超过 100 个完整日历年的符合 AIMR 标准的业绩记录:高收益债券 19 年,可转债 18 年,不良债务 16 年,等等。在这 100 多年里,你会发现很难找到一两年表现低于“至少体面”的年份——我们所说的“至少体面”是指绝对或相对回报都算得上好或大好。
同样,我非常自豪地说,我们在 1988 年至 2003 年间组织的 24 只封闭式基金,全部实现盈利,迄今为止的净内部收益率从 4% 到 49% 不等。再说一次,每一个案例都是好或大好,没有灾难。
我们追求仅仅“每年至少体面”的表现,是不是把标准定得太低了?我不这么认为。首先,我确信,每年、每只基金都能取得这样的结果,将为我们带来最好的长期记录之一。其次,据我所知,在我们这个领域,很少有人能像我们这样长久地做到这一点而不失手。第三,据我所知,从来没有客户因为对我们的表现不满意而离开橡树资本。这听起来可能像是一个温和的目标,但持续实现它是我最大的愿望之一。
Clients – We felt going in that if we stuck to the rules we’d followed previously and delivered the same level of performance, the rest would come: we’d have a successful business on our hands. Happily, that’s what happened. We are thrilled by the caliber of the investors we’re able to call our clients – the term “gilt-edge” seems inescapable: Twenty-four of the fifty largest corporate pension plans as of year-end 2004. The pension funds of twenty-two of the fifty states (plus many counties, cities and police and fire departments). Eighty-one college and university endowments. Many of the world’s leading charitable foundations and most sophisticated insurers. A Vanguard mutual fund. And a growing complement of high net worth investors. Here’s a fact for you: of the 25 pension plans with the biggest commitments to distressed debt according to Pensions & Investments, (a good indicator of investment sophistication, we think), 23 participate in at least one Oaktree strategy. Oaktree’s client roster represents the ultimate validation of our efforts as investment professionals. And it expands every year. In fact, we feel most ten-year-old money management firms would be happy to have a clientele consisting of just the accounts that join Oaktree in a typical year. Even more important than the number of our clients is the quality of the relationships. Many have become true partners who extend a warm welcome, give our proposals the benefit of the doubt, believe us when we say something is true, provide their valuable counsel, and continue to broaden the list of things they do with us. As a result, on average our twenty largest client relationships encompass more than four of Oaktree’s twelve strategies. The reception we receive from our clients is truly one of our greatest sources of satisfaction. Performance – Of course, we realize that these relationships stem only in part from the fact that our clients like us as people or share our philosophy. We’d be no place without performance. Thus we’re proud to be able to say we’ve achieved what we set out to do. We’d love to deliver great results every year, but that’s simply not possible. Instead, in short, it’s our goal to eliminate disasters, so that every year is either good or great. If a money management firm can do nothing other than produce returns that are at least decent every year, it’s sure to have an excellent long-term record. I truly can say my colleagues have done so, and that we’ve made money for our collective clientele every year since Oaktree opened its doors. Including our time spent at TCW, we have well over 100 full calendar years of AIMR-compliant performance records: 19 years in high yield bonds, 18 years in convertibles, 16 years in distressed debt, and so forth. And of those 100-plus years, you’d have to stretch to find one or two when performance fell short of “at least decent,” by which we mean a return that’s good or great in either absolute or relative terms. Likewise, I’m very proud to say that of the 24 closed-end funds we organized between 1988 and 2003, they’ve all been profitable, with net IRRs to date ranging from 4% to 49%. Again, good or great in every case, with no disasters. Do we set the bar too low by pursuing performance that’s just “at least decent every year”? I don’t think so. First, I’m sure results of that sort in every year and every fund will give us one of the best long-term records. Second, I know of very few others operating in our fields who’ve done it as long without stumbling. And third, as far as I know no client has ever left Oaktree because they found our performance unsatisfactory. It may sound like a modest goal, but continuing to achieve it is one of my greatest aspirations.
2005 橡树资本管理,有限合伙
2005 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
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增长——橡树资本起步时带着七项“传统”策略:高收益债券;美国、国际及高收益可转换证券;困境债务;用于企业控股的 principals 投资;以及房地产。在离开 TCW 创办橡树资本之前,我们在这些领域管理着 70 亿美元,并带过来了至少 60 亿美元。截至 2004 年底,这些资产已增长至 225 亿美元。
[资产增长首次提及,正好顺带说一个关键题外话:我们认为自己最出色的决策中,不少与限制管理资产规模有关。四项最初的“可交易证券”策略的市场营销工作时不时被收窄。(以高收益债券为例,自 1998 年 11 月以来,我们拒绝了或未参与竞标约 140 亿美元的新资产。)三项最初的“私人合伙”策略都限制基金规模,使其与市场机会相匹配,效果良好。]
经历了 1995-1997 年发展基础设施和吸引客户到七项原有策略的岁月后,我们于 1998 年转向拓展“产品线”。此后七年,我们识别了五个符合标准的新策略(低效市场且具备获得超额风险调整后回报的潜力;有办法在控制风险下利用这些机会;现有人员有能力做到)。因此,我们开始管理新兴市场股票(1998 年)、欧洲高收益债券(1999 年)、电力基础设施收购(1999 年)、夹层投资(2001 年)以及一个以信用为导向的对冲基金(2004 年),每一项的成绩都令我们自豪。我们的目标是为客户提供有益的新策略,但不是变成“每月一基金俱乐部”。我们要求每一项新策略都遵守橡树资本的投资理念。
产品线的扩展与我们放眼美国之外的决策同步推进。1998 年之前,我们在海外主要只投资可转换证券。但那年早些时候,我们得出结论,我们的能力可以在国际上应用。国际化步骤包括:1998 年在伦敦设立办公室管理欧洲高收益债券组合,该业务始于 1999 年;1998 年底成立第一只新兴市场基金(同时在新加坡设立研究办公室);1999 年在东京设立房地产办公室,此后其范围扩大到日本企业的投资;2001 年从伦敦启动全球其他地区的营销。2004 年我们在法兰克福开设办公室,寻求房地产、私募股权和困境债务机会,多个策略将在 2005 年及以后进一步国际化。关键是提醒自己这些市场与美国存在差异,因此要谨慎推进,对预期回报率保持高标准。
最后,我们积极回应了服务高净值投资者方面日益增长的机会。虽然我们的方法从不包括广告或促销,但依靠口碑推荐和首先通过机构关系认识我们的知名人士,我们从中受益。因此,从 1995 年底的 3 亿美元,我们与高净值投资者的业务已增长至今天的 11 亿美元。
对我们而言,橡树资本不是一个“成长故事”。我们从未设定过增长率或管理资产规模的目标。相反,我们希望在自身有优势的地方服务客户。我们一直确信,审慎的扩张会带来资产增长,结果非常积极:截至 2004 年底的资产中,52 亿美元(即 19%)来自上述五项新策略。美国以外的投资总计 71 亿美元,而为海外客户管理的资产达 25 亿美元。因此,加上 11 亿美元的高净值……
Growth – Oaktree began ten years ago with seven “legacy” strategies: high yield bonds; U.S., international and high income convertibles; distressed debt; principal investments for corporate control; and real estate. We managed $7 billion in these seven just before leaving TCW to start Oaktree, and we brought over at least $6 billion. As of year-end 2004 they had grown to $22.5 billion. [This first mention of asset growth makes this is a good time for a key aside: we feel many of our best decisions have related to limiting the assets under our management. Marketing efforts in all four of the original “marketable securities” strategies have been curtailed from time to time. (In high yield bonds, for example, we’ve turned away or declined to compete for $14 billion of new assets since November 1998.) All three of the original “private partnership” strategies have restricted the size of their funds to match the available market opportunities, with good results.] After spending the years 1995-97 developing our infrastructure and attracting clients to the seven original strategies, we turned in 1998 to expanding our “product line.” In the seven years since, we’ve identified five new strategies that met our criteria (inefficient markets that offer the potential for superior risk-adjusted returns; a way to exploit them with risk under control; and people at hand who’re capable of doing so). Thus we began to manage assets in emerging market equities (1998), European high yield bonds (1999), buyouts in power infrastructure (1999), mezzanine investments (2001) and a credit-oriented hedge fund (2004), with results we’re proud of in every case. It has been our goal to offer helpful new strategies to our clients but not become a “fund-of-the-month club.” And we have required that every new strategy adhere to Oaktree’s investment philosophy. The expansion of our offerings overlapped with our decision to look beyond the U.S. Before 1998, we had significantly invested abroad only in convertibles. But early that year we concluded that our strengths could be applied internationally. The steps in our internationalization have included the 1998 creation of a London office for the management of European high yield bond portfolios, which began in 1999; formation of our first emerging markets fund at the end of 1998 (which brought the establishment of our research office in Singapore); the creation of a Tokyo real estate office in 1999, which since has broadened its scope to include investments in Japanese corporations; and the initiation of rest-of-world marketing out of London in 2001. In 2004 we opened a Frankfurt office to pursue opportunities in real estate, private equity and distressed debt, and several of our strategies will see further internationalization in 2005 and beyond. The key is for us to remember that there are differences between these markets and the U.S., and thus to proceed cautiously, with the bar held high in terms of required returns. Finally, we have responded positively to the growing opportunity available to us in serving high net worth investors. While our approach has never included advertising or promotion, we have benefited from word-of-mouth recommendation and from the prominent individuals who first learned of us through institutional relationships. Thus, from $300 million at the end of 1995, our business with HNW investors has grown to $1.1 billion today. For us, Oaktree isn’t a “growth story.” We’ve never had goals in terms of growth rate or assets under management. Rather, we want to serve our clients where we have an advantage. We’ve always been certain that prudent expansion would lead to asset growth, and the results have been most positive: Of our year-end 2004 assets, $5.2 billion (or 19%) was in the five new strategies mentioned above. Our investments outside the U.S. total $7.1 billion, and assets managed for clients based abroad stand at $2.5 billion. Thus, adding in the $1.1 billion in high net worth
2005 年橡树资本管理公司(Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.)
2005 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
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这些数字(即便剔除其中的重大重复计算)表明,新方向为橡树资本这十年的增长贡献良多。
人才——成就这些业绩的不可替代要素是人,我对同事们无比自豪。橡树资本创立时有 42 人,都曾在 TCW 共事,开业第一天迎接我们的是“先遣队”——首席财务与行政官戴维·基希海默(1 号员工)及其支持团队。创业伊始最大的意外是事务性工作之多,但戴维带我们上了轨道,并一直维持运转。
从那时起,我们发展到约 300 人。他们在才智、人情世故和品格方面都是顶尖的,相处起来令人愉快。“第二代”既推动也支持“第一代”,“第三代”随时紧随其后。我很高兴地说,他们共同营造了我们想要的和睦环境,在这里团队协作带来卓越成果。投资管理行业满是才华横溢的人,能帮你赚大钱,但难以共事。我很欣慰,橡树资本没有这样的人。
说到“欣慰”,我觉得我们的员工就是如此。这很重要——不仅因为我们希望他们幸福,还因为幸福会让他们为橡树资本及其客户做到最好。我们最喜欢的指标:这十年间橡树资本员工及其配偶生了 139 个宝宝,我们认为这就是积极氛围的明证。
底线是什么?1995 年与我共同创立橡树资本的六位合伙人如今全部还在。我与九位合伙人共事总时长已达 127 年(比如谢尔登·斯通,我即将与他共庆共事 22 周年)。这段时间里——信不信由你——我们十人之间从未有过一次激烈争吵或艰难谈判。从 TCW 时代算起的二十年里,高级投资专业人士非双方协商一致而离开的只有两例(不包括新兴市场团队,该团队人员流动较大)。十年前开业时管理传统策略的每个人,至今仍管理着同样策略。动荡的投资行业里,这些绝不是“常态”。
股权——起初,橡树资本由创始合伙人 100% 拥有。此后十年间,我们以相当于次年预估盈利一倍的价格,向核心员工出售了约 25% 的股权。这种股权共享在团队协作、满意度、共同动力和人员留任方面都产生了理想效果。我们认为,橡树资本员工必须为所有客户谋利益,而不仅限于自己策略的客户。广泛持股有助于确保这一点。
如您所知,一年前我们按公允价值将公司约 6% 的股权出售给七家长期客户。我们的目标实现了:个人多元化固然是其中一点,但更重要的是——通过标出真实价格,证明那 60 位非合伙人股东做得很好,也得到了公平对待。结果完全符合预期:新投资者建设性而不越界。还能更完美吗?随着时间推移,你们无疑会看到更多向第三方出售股权的动作,但控制权绝不会移交。当然,员工持股还会进一步扩大。总之,我们喜欢与人共事,但不喜欢为别人打工。
accounts (and even after eliminating the significant double counting among these numbers), it’s clear that new directions have contributed a lot to Oaktree’s growth in these ten years. People – The irreplaceable element in producing these results has been people, and I couldn’t be more proud of my colleagues. Oaktree started with 42 of us who had worked together at TCW, and we were greeted on that first day by the “advance party” consisting of Chief Financial and Administrative Officer David Kirchheimer (employee #1) and his support crew. The biggest surprise upon starting up was the amount of non-investment work there was to do, but David got us rolling and kept us there. From that beginning we have grown to roughly 300 people. They’re tops in terms of intellect, street smarts and character, and a pleasure to be around. The “second generation” both pushes and supports the first, and the “third generation” is right behind them every moment. I’m glad to say that, together, they have created the harmonious environment we wanted, in which team effort leads to excellent results. The investment management industry is full of brilliant people who can make you a lot of money but are tough to work with. I’m happy to say there aren’t any at Oaktree. And speaking of “happy,” I think our people are. That’s very important – not just because we want happiness for them, but also because it’ll make them the best for Oaktree and its clients. Our favorite indicator: we think the 139 babies born to Oaktree employees and their spouses in these ten years attest to a very positive mood. What’s the bottom line? All six of the Principals who started Oaktree with me in 1995 are still here. I’ve worked with my nine fellow Principals for a total of 127 years (exemplified by Sheldon Stone, with whom I’m about to celebrate my 22nd anniversary). In that time – believe it or not – there hasn’t been a heated argument or difficult negotiation among any of the ten of us. In twenty years reaching back to our beginning at TCW, there have been only two departures of senior investment professionals that weren’t by mutual agreement (excluding the emerging markets group, which has seen significant turnover). And everyone who managed a legacy strategy when we opened ten years ago still manages it today. Certainly none of this is “par for the course” in the turbulent investment industry. Ownership – Initially, Oaktree was 100% owned by the founding Principals. Over the next ten years we sold roughly 25% to key employees at a price equal to one times the coming year’s estimated earnings. This sharing of ownership has produced the desired results in terms of teamwork, satisfaction, shared motivation and personnel retention. We feel it’s essential that Oaktree’s employees work for the good of all clients, not just those in their own strategy. Broad ownership helps us ensure that. As you know, a year ago we sold roughly 6% of the firm to seven long-term clients at its fair market value. Our objectives were achieved: personal diversification, of course, but – more importantly – demonstration, by posting a real-world price, that the 60 non-Principal owners had done well and been treated fairly. It’s working entirely as we had hoped: the new investors are constructive but not intrusive. What could be better? Doubtless you will see further sales of ownership to third parties over time, but never transferring control. And of course ownership among employees will be broadened further. In short, we like the idea of working together, but not of working for someone else.
2005 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司
2005 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
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未来计划——走过十年、管理规模达到 280 亿美元之后,我们遇到不少人,把橡树资本说成是一家成熟的投资机构。所幸,我可以告诉各位,我和同事们仍把它当作一家初创公司,再没有比这更利于未来的心态了。这意味着我们依然投入、依然兴奋,依然担心太过放松或太过自信会导致失败,也依然在思考如何迎接前方的挑战。
我们未来的目标很简单:一如既往。业绩始终优良或出色。与优秀客户的关系始终让他们感到被公平对待。一个由聪慧、快乐的同事共同奋斗的和谐工作场所。由此带来的审慎增长和持续盈利。夫复何求?
这些目标的实现,始终有赖于各位客户。“没有你们,我们做不到”这话听起来或许老套,但再没有比这更真实的了。为了能与你们共事、为你们服务,能登门拜访、称你们为客户,橡树的全体员工致以最诚挚的感谢。
Plans for the Future – After reaching ten years and $28 billion, we run into a lot of people who speak of Oaktree as an established investment institution. Happily, I can tell you my colleagues and I still think of it as a startup, and nothing could bode better for the future. It means we’re still engaged and excited, still worried that being too relaxed or too confident could cause us to fail, and still thinking about rising to meet the challenges ahead. Our goals for the future are simple: more of the same. Performance that’s consistently either good or great. Relationships with terrific clients who always feel they’re treated fairly. A harmonious workplace shared by bright, happy colleagues who pull together. And, as a result, prudent growth and continuing profitability. Who could ask for more? The achievement of these goals will always be dependent on you, our clients. “We couldn’t do it without you,” may sound hackneyed, but nothing could be more true. For the ability to work for and with you, to visit and call you our clients, the people of Oaktree give their heartiest thanks.
April 11, 2005
April 11, 2005
2005 年橡树资本管理有限合伙公司
2005 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
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