附录 · 原始资料与证据

完整来源与证据等级

本页列出研究版书稿使用的全部来源登记。它是资料索引,不是第三方全文转载。等级即署名门:A1 为本人独著,A2 为本人口述转录,B1 为以他为主、含第三方整理的文本,C 为团队署名或篇内混写——C 级只作背景登记,绝不作为他本人的话引用。

全库共 109 件语料,均带可回源链接。

年份 语料路径 材料 等级 状态
2000 essays/jg-jg-irrational-exuberance-in-the-u-s--equity-market-4-2000.txt First Quarter 2000 Quantitative Review A1 链接已核验
2000 letters/jg-jgletter-1q00.txt First Quarter 2000 Quantitative Review A1 链接已核验
2002 letters/jg-jg-letter-3q02.txt The Bubble Deflates – Part 7: The Easy Part Ends A1 链接已核验
2003 letters/jg-jg-letter-3q03-final.txt The Greatest Sucker Rally in History? A1 链接已核验
2003 letters/jg-jg-letter-4q03-all.txt Skating on Thin Ice A1 链接已核验
2004 letters/jg-jg-1q-04-letter.txt “Lord Make Me Prudent, But Not Yet.” A1 链接已核验
2004 letters/jg-jg-3q-04letter.txt The Countdown Continues A1 链接已核验
2004 letters/jg-jg-letter-all-4q04.txt Apocalypse Not Now: Inevitable Pain Postponed A1 链接已核验
2005 letters/jg-jgletter-1q05-all.txt The Canary in the Coal Mine* A1 链接已核验
2005 letters/jg-jgletter-3q05-all.txt The Day of Reckoning or A1 链接已核验
2007 essays/jg-jg-its-everywhere-in-everything-4-07.txt It’s Everywhere, In Everything: The First Truly Global Bubble A1 链接已核验
2008 letters/jg-jgletter-3q08.txt Reaping the Whirlwind1 A1 链接已核验
2008 letters/jg-jgletter-4q08.txt Obama and the Teflon Men, and Other Short Stories. Part 1. A1 链接已核验
2008 letters/jg-jgletter-all-2q08.txt Meltdown! The Global Competence Crisis A1 链接已核验
2008 letters/jg-jgletter-all-3q08.txt Reaping the Whirlwind1 A1 链接已核验
2008 letters/jg-jgletter-all-4q08.txt Obama and the Teflon Men, and Other Short Stories. Part 1. A1 链接已核验
2009 essays/jg-jg-reinvesting-when-terrified-3-09.txt Reinvesting When Terrified A1 链接已核验
2009 essays/jg-jg-reinvestingwhenterrified.txt Reinvesting When Terrified A1 链接已核验
2009 essays/jg-reinvesting-when-terrified-3-09.txt REINVESTING A1 链接已核验
2009 letters/jg-jgletter-1q09.txt The Last Hurrah and Seven Lean Years A1 链接已核验
2009 letters/jg-jgletter-all-2q09.txt Boring Fair Price! A1 链接已核验
2009 letters/jg-jgletter-all-3q09.txt Just Deserts and Markets Being Silly Again A1 链接已核验
2009 letters/jg-jgletter-all-4q09.txt Stop the Presses! (January 21, 2010) A1 链接已核验
2010 essays/jg-jeremygrantham-summeressays-2q2010.txt Summer Essays A1 链接已核验
2010 interviews/jg-2010-11-17-cnbc-full-interview.txt Full transcript: Jeremy Grantham interview A2 链接已核验
2010 letters/jg-jgletter-all-1q10.txt Playing with Fire (A Possible Race to the Old Highs) A1 链接已核验
2010 letters/jg-jgletter-nightoflivingfed-3q10.txt NIGHT OF THE LIVING FED A1 链接已核验
2010 letters/jg-jgletter-pavlovsbulls-4q10.txt Pavlov’s Bulls A1 链接已核验
2010 letters/jg-jgletter-summeressays-2q10.txt Summer Essays A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-gmo-jgletter-timetowakeup-1q11.txt Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletter-longestletterever-4q11.txt The Longest Quarterly Letter Ever A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletter-pt2-dangerchildrenatplay-2q11.txt Danger: Children at Play A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletter-resourcelimitations2-2q11.txt Resource Limitations 2 A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletter-shortestletterever-3q11.txt The Shortest Quarterly Letter Ever A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletterall-1q11.txt Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and A1 链接已核验
2011 letters/jg-jgletterpart2-1q11.txt Time To Be Serious (and probably too early) Once Again A1 链接已核验
2012 essays/jg-my-sisters-pension-jeremy-grantham-apr2012.txt My Sister’s Pension Assets and Agency Problems A1 链接已核验
2012 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-4q2012.txt Investing in a Low-Growth World A1 链接已核验
2012 letters/jg-gmoq2letter.txt Welcome to Dystopia! A1 链接已核验
2012 letters/jg-jg-letterall-11-12.txt On the Road to Zero Growth A1 链接已核验
2012 letters/jg-jgletter-all-4-12.txt My Sister’s Pension Assets and Agency Problems A1 链接已核验
2013 essays/jg-the-race-of-our-lives-jeremy-grantham-2013.txt The Race of Our Lives A1 链接已核验
2013 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-1q2013.txt The Race of Our Lives A1 链接已核验
2013 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-all-2q2013.txt Having some considerable trouble (once again) nailing down the topic I’ve been working on for this quarter’s letter, A1 链接已核验
2013 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-all-3q2013.txt Breaking News! U.S. Equity Market Overvalued! A1 链接已核验
2013 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-all-4q2013.txt Year-End Odds and Ends A1 链接已核验
2014 letters/jg-bi-isthispurgatoryorhell-qtlyletter-3q2014.txt Third Quarter 2014 C 链接已核验
2014 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-1q14-fullversion.txt First Quarter 2014 A1 链接已核验
2014 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-2q14.txt Second Quarter 2014 A1 链接已核验
2014 letters/jg-gmo-qtlyletter-3q14-full.txt Third Quarter 2014 A1 链接已核验
2014 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q14.txt Ditch the Good, Buy the Bad and the Ugly A1 链接已核验
2015 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter.txt Just How Bad Is Emerging, and How Good Is A1 链接已核验
2015 letters/jg-quarterly-letter-complete-1q15.txt Breaking Out of Bondage A1 链接已核验
2016 letters/jg-2016-1q-keeping-the-faith.txt 1Q 2016 GMO Quarterly Letter — Keeping the Faith / Always Cry Over Spilt Milk A1 链接已核验
2016 letters/jg-2016-3q-not-with-a-bang-but-a-whimper.txt 3Q 2016 GMO Quarterly Letter — Not With a Bang But a Whimper (and other stuff) A1 链接已核验
2016 white-papers/jg-lw-jg-resources-9-16.txt GMO White Paper A1 链接已核验
2017 essays/jg-jg-viewpoints-us-market-will-revert-6-17.txt I Do Indeed Believe the US Market Will Revert A1 链接已核验
2017 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q17.txt Emerging Value and Margin of Superiority A1 链接已核验
2017 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q17.txt What Happened to Inflation? A1 链接已核验
2017 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q17.txt Don’t Act Like Stalin! C 链接已核验
2017 white-papers/jg-lw-jg-climate-change-opportunities-8-17.txt GMO White Paper A1 链接已核验
2018 essays/jg-the-race-of-our-lives-revisited.txt GMO White Paper A1 链接已核验
2018 essays/jg-viewpoints---bracing-yourself-for-a-possible-near-term-melt-up.txt Bracing Yourself for a Possible Near-Term Melt-Up A1 链接已核验
2018 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q18.txt IS INVESTING STARTING TO GET C 链接已核验
2018 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q18.txt Emerging Markets—No Reward Without Risk C 链接已核验
2018 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q18.txt AND THE WINNER C 链接已核验
2018 white-papers/jg-jg-morningstar-race-of-our-lives-8-18---short-version.txt GMO White Paper A1 链接已核验
2019 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q19.txt STOP WORRYING ABOUT YOUR PORTFOLIO C 链接已核验
2019 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q19.txt BIGGER’S BEEN BETTER C 链接已核验
2019 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q19.txt SHADES OF 2000 C 链接已核验
2019 white-papers/jg-lw-and-jg-thinking-outside-the-box-4-19-strategy.txt THINKING OUTSIDE THE BOX A1 链接已核验
2020 essays/jg-jg-chemical-toxicity-and-the-baby-bust-2-20.txt CHEMICAL TOXICITY AND THE BABY BUST A1 链接已核验
2020 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q20.txt UNCERTAINTY HAS A1 链接已核验
2020 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q-2020.txt GOVERNMENT US SO MUCH C 链接已核验
2020 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q-2020.txt VALUE: IF NOT NOW, WHEN? C 链接已核验
2020 white-papers/jg-lw-and-jg-the-tactical-case-4-30-20.txt AN INVESTMENT ONLY A MOTHER COULD LOVE A1 链接已核验
2021 essays/jg-2021-01-05-waiting-for-the-last-dance-pdf.txt Waiting for the Last Dance — The Hazards of Asset Allocation in a Late-stage Major Bubble A1 链接已核验
2021 essays/jg-2021-01-waiting-for-the-last-dance-html.txt Waiting for the Last Dance — gmo.com article page (pre-gating capture) A1 链接已核验
2021 essays/jg-2021-09-waiting-for-the-last-dance-revised.txt Waiting for the Last Dance — revised edition (September 2021) A1 链接已核验
2021 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q-2021.txt SPECULATION AND INVESTMENT C 链接已核验
2021 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q-2021.txt DISPELLING MYTHS IN THE VALUE VS. C 链接已核验
2021 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q-2021.txt Introduction to the 3Q 2021 Quarterly Letter C 链接已核验
2021 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2021.txt INVESTMENT MISTAKES TO AVOID C 链接已核验
2022 essays/jg-2022-01-20-let-the-wild-rumpus-begin.txt Let the Wild Rumpus Begin A1 链接已核验
2022 essays/jg-2022-04-putins-invasion-finite-world.txt Putin’s Invasion Reminds Us That We Live in a Finite World A1 链接已核验
2022 essays/jg-gmo-entering-the-superbubbles-final-act-8-22.txt ENTERING THE SUPERBUBBLE’S A1 链接已核验
2022 essays/jg-gmo-making-money-and-reducing-risk-in-an-equity-superbubble-2-22.txt MAKING MONEY AND REDUCING RISK IN AN C 链接已核验
2022 essays/jg-gmo-market-reversal-or-bear-rally---jg-views-on-the-superbubble-9-9-22.txt MARKET REVERSAL OR BEAR RALLY? B1 链接已核验
2022 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q-2022.txt WHO NEEDS TIPS WHEN YOU’VE GOT C 链接已核验
2022 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q-2022.txt THE DOLLAR C 链接已核验
2022 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q-2022.txt THE VALUE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY C 链接已核验
2022 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2022.txt A Bad Year in Markets Brings C 链接已核验
2022 speeches/jg-2022-06-15-update-bursting-bubble-growth-stocks.txt Update on the Bursting Bubble in Growth Stocks (event remarks) B1 链接已核验
2023 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q-2023.txt THE QUALITY SPECTRUM C 链接已核验
2023 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q-2023.txt BEYOND THE LANDING C 链接已核验
2023 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2023-etf.txt THE QUALITY ANOMALY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY C 链接已核验
2023 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2023.txt THE QUALITY ANOMALY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY C 链接已核验
2024 essays/jg-2024-03-sustainability-or-bust.txt Sustainability or Bust A1 链接已核验
2024 essays/jg-2024-03-the-great-paradox-of-the-us-market.txt The Great Paradox of the U.S. Market A1 链接已核验
2024 interviews/jg-excess-returns-bubbles-ai-mean-reversion.txt Excess Returns podcast — Jeremy Grantham on bubbles, AI and mean reversion (full transcript) A2 链接已核验
2024 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-1q-2024.txt MAGNIFICENTLY C 链接已核验
2024 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q-2024.txt FAQ: PASSIVE INVESTING C 链接已核验
2024 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2024.txt BARGAIN, VALUE TRAP OR C 链接已核验
2025 essays/jg-gmo-rising-toxicity-and-the-threat-to-capitalism-and-life-itself-3-25.txt RISING TOXICITY AND THE AND LIFE ITSELF A1 链接已核验
2025 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter---part-1-1q-2025.txt TRADE C 链接已核验
2025 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter---part-2-1q-2025.txt TARIFFS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY C 链接已核验
2025 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-3q-2025.txt AMERICAN EXECUTIVE SUMMARY C 链接已核验
2025 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-4q-2025.txt IT’S PROBABLY A BUBBLE, ELSE TO INVEST IN C 链接已核验
2026 letters/jg-gmo-quarterly-letter-2q-2026.txt WHAT BARBARIANS LIKE TO TAKE PRIVATE C 链接已核验

证据等级与归档状态会随新原件更新;正文中的每一处判断都应回到本表所列原件核对。

本站正文为基于公开材料的独立编辑与研究归纳,不替代原始资料,也不构成投资建议。